The Miami Conversation Parte Uno: Talking with Chris of Allcanes
Every week at TomahawkNation we bring you a coversation with an enemy blogger.
This week we're exchanging takes with Chris of Allcanes
My answers to his questions are after the jump.
Allcanes Chris What would Miami week be without some custom DUbs? 1. Miami v. Florida State was the best rivalry in college football as recently as 14 years ago. Last year it was a forgotten regional game with a D-level duo of announcers. This year it's relegated to ESPN2. How long before you think this rivalry is rejuvenated?
I think the hate and intensity of the rivalry is still there. This rivalry is missing national relevance because it doesn't impact the National Title race. I think we will see this back to an "A" game in 2010, with Christian Ponder as a senior and Miami's two good recruiting classes maturing, combined with a Weak ACC.
Allcanes Chris 2. How 'good' is Florida State? The Noles beat up on two nobodies out the gate, struggled mightily against Wake Forest and beat up a mid-level Big XII Colorado team in Jacksonville? Miami's road to 2-2 was more difficult that Florida State's journey to 3-1. What do we really know about the Noles after four games?
I tend to think I have a good feel for this team, but as far as exactly how "good" we are, it is tough to say. The defense is really good, with a front 7 that is probably the best we've had this decade (on par with the Ernie Sims teams). The offense is a work in progress. The wideouts are the most talented part of this offense but they have slacked horribly. In terms of the last 4 years, I would place this squad Behind the 2005 team that went to the Orange Bowl, but way above the horrid 2006 team and slightly above last year's squad. FSU was the 2nd most injured team in the nation over the past two years, and this year they are better if for no other reason than average health luck.
Allcanes Chris 3. Whether it's Christian Ponder or D'Vontrey Richardson, neither looks all that hot and Miami seems to have the quarterback edge this year with Robert Marve. In another game that will come down to the turnover battle, what are your keys to the game - other than ball control and QB play? I don't expect to see much of any QB except for Ponder. Jimbo and I thought he played pretty well against Colorado, while other commentators did not. Here is the link to our review of him http://www.tomahawknation.com/2008/9/30/625444/the-report-card-colorado Your readers can check it out and judge for themselves. I like Marve a lot.
I think the keys to this game will be limiting big plays, since I don't think any team will have the ability to drive the ball down the field. Both teams struggled with that at times this year (Colorado had two instances where they failed to cash in. Marve is better than their qb and he would hit one of those if given the opportunity). My other key is winning on first down, meaning limiting the opponent to less than 2 yards on first down carries, setting up 2nd and 9 or greater. Miami can't handle FSU's DLine when they are turned loose, and FSU can't handle Miami's DLIne on 3rd and long either.
Allcanes Chris 4. How does Florida State's young offensive line handle Miami's defensive front seven?
Florida State has the youngest offensive line in the country, averaging 18.8 years. I think they will have mixed results. They are light and agile, so Miami's speed rush won't hurt them badly. They can be beaten with a good bull rush from the DE's, and they're not great in blitz pickup by any means. They won't even try to blast block Miami here, but will attempt to wear them our with the zone scheme. If Miami's defensive ends play undisciplined, as they did at the end of the UF game, and in parts of the UNC game (though not often), FSU can hit them for a cutback or two. This is Miami's greatest edge in this game.
Allcanes Chris 5. The Canes have been effective shutting down the run this year. UNC's Greg Little amassed 35 last week and the Canes held Texas A&M as a whole to 87 yards on the ground. Antone Smith had a solid outing last week against Colorado and ran for 122 yards against Miami last year at Doak. Does Smith go over that 122 yard mark this year? Why or why not?
I don't think he does. First, with the new clock rules, he will have fewer carries. Second, this game is in Miami, FSU's first road game of the season. Third, we have other backs (Thomas and Jones) who will carry the rock, as well as Ponder who should have 5-10 carries. Fewer Touches and changed conditions add up to lesser yards for Antone "Deuce" Smith.
Allcanes Chris 6. Miami and Florida State have sort of mirrored each other over the past few decades and both are on the mend right now. The Canes appear to be ahead in the rebuilding process, thanks to Randy Shannon's recruiting and assembling a solid staff. Where is FSU on the road to recovery? How long does Bobby stick around? Can Jimbo be 'the guy' in Tallahassee?
FSU had a top 10 recruiting class last year, will likely have a top 5 class this year, and has purged a lot of the trash that was on the team at the end of '06. The attitude is better and the talent is returning to the elite level. This offensive line has the ability to be something special down the road under highly regarded line coach Rick Trickett. At this point, Bobby is a drag on our program and needs to be relegated to the "John Wooden Ucla Elder Cheerleader" role. Insiders say next year is his last. FSU fans who are into the program and winning over nostalgia and legacy hope they're wrong and this this is the last year for a great coach. I think Jimbo has breathed new life into this program and can be "the man." He is a tireless recruiter, the kids like him a lot, he has improved the discipline (no arrests since April 27th, a full offseason), and is really building something. This rivalry will be great again.
Allcanes Chris 7. Give me your prediction and what (or who) you see as the difference-maker in the game...
Everyone is saying this will be a low scoring affair. Media people are saying 14-10, 10-3, etc. I will say FSU 24, Miami 20. If there are going to be as many turnovers as people think, that will create short fields. The difference maker in this game will be special teams and pass defense. Neither team is going to be able to run much on the other. It will be up to Miami to adjust to the UF and 2nd-half UNC game plans.
Go Noles!
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