Tuesday FSU Smrogasbord... and get your questions in.

The Numbers Game:

15 Sacks in 177 Dropbacks (162 Pass Attempts) in games against Legit D1 competition is good for a sack rate of 8.5%  This is a great stat to use when measuring pressure, as it accounts for the frequency at which an offense passes.  Back in August, I detailed our sack rates in the past:

  • '04: 7.8% 25 Sacks over 322 Dropbacks in 9 games. Teams Excluded: UAB, Syracuse, Duke.
  • '05: 9.0% 33 Sacks over 366 Dropbacks in 10 games. Teams Excluded: The Citadel, Duke. Syracuse.
  • '06: 6.8% 18 Sacks over 266 Dropbacks in 9 games. Teams Excluded: Troy, Rice, Duke, Western Michigan.
  • '07: 6.4% 27 Sacks over 424 Dropbacks in 11 games. A sack every 14.7 dropbacks. Teams Excluded: UAB, Duke.

and wrote:

Sack rate is the most effective way to measure sacks because it takes out the naturally occurring variance that results from game to game. A good sack rate is 8.5%. The top teams in the country have sack rates of about 10.5%, but they probably average around 9% against their good competition. Since that is the filter I applied, that is the number we will shoot for. 6.4% for FSU is bad.

The 6 against Virginia Tech definitely helped. 

Florida State still leads the Nation in the following defensive statistics:

  • Red Zone TD % Defense, allowing only 31% TD's in the red zone (7 TD's in 22 Trips)
  • 3rd down % defense (and nobody else is even close)  Opponents are 16 of 92, which is sick (17%).

Enough with the nerdy stuff for now.  I have an announcement!

 

I think Jimbo Fisher is a reader.  Why?

In yesterday's press conference, he mentioned that it was good to see Greg Carr play a good game against a good team.  Rough quote:

His number's are against better people.  He's doing it against better competition and in bigger situations than when he was younger.

How does that relate to us?  Well, we were the only ones talking about that very issue!  Nobody else had mentioned that Carr was averaging 3.7Catches 75 yards,  and 1.7TD's against garbage teams, while only averaging 2.8 Catches,  48Yards,  and 0.4 TD's against good teams.  Jimbo, if you are a fan, keep up the good work.  You guys have quite the challenge this week. 

 

A note about poll questions:

17% of people would rather see a sack than a holding penalty.  I have to say that I voted for the Holding penalty.  Think about this:

A Sack can result in a fumble, and possible an injury, and definitely results in a loss of down!  The loss of down is the key.  A holding penalty does NOT result in a loss of down. 

I would rather have a holding penalty and 1st n 20, than a sack that results in 2nd and 15.  Why?  Ref's will NOT call holding every play.  They subconsciously want to call a similar amount of penalties on each team.  I've discussed this at length HERE, and HERE

I think now is good time to take a look at the most and least penalized teams in the nation:

Rank Name Games Penalties Yards Penalized Penalties Per Game Yards Per Game Wins Losses Ties
1 Arizona 8 25 207 3.13 25.88 5 3 0
1 Navy 8 25 201 3.13 25.13 5 3 0
3 Penn St. 9 29 238 3.22 26.44 9 0 0
4 Ball St. 8 26 264 3.25 33.00 8 0 0
5 Pittsburgh 7 24 185 3.43 26.43 5 2 0
6 Army 8 28 274 3.50 34.25 3 5 0
7 Boston College 7 26 204 3.71 29.14 5 2 0
8 Missouri 8 31 290 3.88 36.25 6 2 0
9 Colorado St. 8 32 277 4.00 34.63 4 4 0
9 Vanderbilt 8 32 281 4.00 35.13 5 3 0
9 Rice 8 32 271 4.00 33.88 5 3 0
9 Syracuse 7 28 253 4.00 36.14 1 6 0

I conveniently bolded the ranked teams.

Now the most penalized teams:

112 Southern California 7 57 513 8.14 73.29 6 1 0
112 Florida 7 57 442 8.14 63.14 6 1 0
114 Texas Tech 8 66 552 8.25 69.00 8 0 0
115 South Fla. 8 69 514 8.63 64.25 6 2 0
115 Hawaii 8 69 615 8.63 76.88 4 4 0
117 Florida St. 7 63 578 9.00 82.57 6 1 0
118 TCU 9 83 742 9.22 82.44 8 1 0
119 Georgia 8 76 619 9.50 77.38 7 1

Yes, 7 of the 8 most heavily penalized teams are ranked!  What group do you want to be in?  I'll take aggressiveness.

Finally, a huge concern:

Florida State is 94th in Tackles for Loss allowed!  That's bad, but what's worse is that we've played only 7 games, while other teams have played 8 or 9, and 2 of our 7 were against 1-AA teams!  This WILL come back to doom us, and unless we get lucky and fix it, this week looks like the perfect opportunity for it to hurt us.

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