Note: We use this column to examine the college football landscape and the weekend ahead. The use of gambling numbers helps to show the public perception of a team and of their respective conferences. Even if you don't gamble, or are against gambling, this is worth a read solely because it will keep you informed of the happenings with many of college football's teams. Think of this as your weekend primer!
Welcome to another edition of For Entertainment Purposes Only! Last year, this rather informal column went 251-190 (57%) +41.0 That's 251 wins and 190 losses for a winning percentage of 57%. If you were wagering $100 fake dollars per game, you would have netted $4100 at season's end. But since these are fake wagers, we refer to our wager amount as "units." First though, a disclaimer:
I want to emphasize that we don't endorse gambling at this site, and anything on here is for entertainment purposes only. Always check with your local, state, or federal laws to determine the legality of wagering.
First we discussed some wagers for conference and division winners. Since then, the odds on Clemson have gone from +1000 to +300, and Ole Miss went from +350 to +200. No odds went against our decisions. Then we went over season win totals. Vegas set the number, we called it over or under! In Week 1 we went 20-24 (45%), -6.3 Units. Week 2 we went 39-22 (63%), +16.32 Units. Week 3 was 34-27. +4.50 (+5.7 College, -1.2 NFL). Week 4 was 50-34, +13.62 For the season, we sit at 146- 109 (57%), +28.14 Units. If we finish at 56% over 500 selections, we'll be absolutely elated. We like to play a lot of games to grind out the variance. The swings over 500 games aren't nearly as dramatic as they are over 100. It's as simple as grinding out the sample set.
This week I am very anti-public. Many people like to wait and see what happens in the season before they start betting, I don't like that approach. The way to make money, in my opinion, is to do your homework in the off-season and come out firing in the first few weeks. This is a battle of information.
College ball sits at 128-98, +21.74. NFL sits at 18-11, +6.4
This week, we are looking to go against the public sentiment.
Here were the opening hitters:
Georgia -2.5 LSU outgained in every major game so far.
Syracuse +7 USF hangover.
Minnesota -2 Not a big Wisconsin fan here, but might middle.
Buffalo +8.5 Faded the bulls last week, on them here.
Georgia Tech -4 Hangover from LSU, GTech much better coached.
Michigan State +1 (+100) Scalp
Northern Illinois -6.5
Bowling Green -2.5 Middle opportunity.
UNLV +3.5 Scared about this now.
Iowa State -2
Memphis +7.5 (+100)
New Mexico +35.5 (+103)
SMU +28 (-113)
SDSt -16.5 (-105)
I added these yesterday and today
West Virginia -16.5 (-103) This is tonight, and I don't like Colorado's secondary.
UAB +10 Might head up to this game (I live in Tucaloosa)
Louisville +7 Pitt won't be prepared.
Utah State +24.5 Like the hook.
USF/ Syracuse Under 46.5 USF's offense is terrible.
Colorado Under 55 WVU's defense underrated.
NCST/ Wake Over 46 Neither team plays defense.
Clemson/ Maryland Under 48.5 Neither team plays offense
Virginia +14 Silly line
Virginia Under 42.5 Two defensive minded coaches
Ball State +180 The first of many moneyline shots.
Miami (OH) +29
Notre Dame -12.5 Washington is overrated still.
Duke +17 VTech takes a game off.
Alabama/ Kentucky Under 47 Bama's offense comes out flat, UK's never shows.
Miami +7.5- no Bradford helps.
E. Mich +215 Upset special. I have had a great feel for the Temple team.
LSU/ UGA Over 51.5 No defense.
Gtech/ MisSt. Over 46
Oklahoma/ Miami Under 49.5 OU's defense is very good.
Illinois +7.5 (+100) Penn State Hangover
Michigan +127 Scalp
Oregon State +171 Wanted a touchdown, but ML will do
UCF -7 (-101) Scalp/side
Texas Tech -35 (+100) Scalp/Side
Arkansas PK +100 Like the Hogs here
Arkansas/ T A&M Over 66.6 and the over
Tennessee -1.5 People are too in love with Auburn
Cal +4.5 +100
Arkansas State +21.5
Ark State/ Iowa Under 45 +100
Remember now, there are a few middles in there, and a few scalps, so pay attention.
2-Team, 6-point, even money teasers
Jax +8.5/ Balt +8.5
Jax +8.5/ Wash -1
Jax +8.5/ Miami +8.5
Jax +8.5/ Denver +8.5
Balt +8.5/ Wash -1
Balt +8.5/ Miami +8.5
Balt +8.5/ Denver +8.5
Wash -1/ Miami +8.5
Wash -1/ Denver +8.5
Miami +8.5/ Denver +8.5
NE -1 (-113)
New Orleans -6.5 (-107)