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Here's the story for the next couple years...

At the end of the season, Bowden will retire - yes, amazingly, even he will see the plain truth that our program under his leadership has become mediocre and under-performing.

In 2010, Fisher will can Amato, and Mickey will retire.  Quite frankly, I could care less where who the new coaches are - at least they will bring new thinking and, hopefully, better execution. 

Recruiting, however, will take years to recover.  I expect our 2010 class to once again be full of 3 and 2-star athletes.  These new kids will join our current team, which also consists mostly of 2 and 3-star athlets. What this means is that it will take YEARS for us to actually rebuild the program to be competitive.  In fact, it will take 2 years too many. 

When Fisher takes over next year, we won't see a drastic change in team performance.  Instead, we'll be lucky to see winning seasons for the next couple years.  The problem is that all the current Bowden devotees will claim Fisher has been in charge of the team for last 4 years.  They will claim, unfairly, that Fisher should have turned the team around in one or two years.  They will even claim that the slow improvement (yes, I do expect someimprovement) is proof that Bobby should not have been fired and Jimbo is the wrong coach.  (Don't know about you, but I can just feel the Bowden disciples rubbing their hands together at the thought of skewering Fisher if he doesn't experience immediate success.  And, here's the irony: the Bowden disciples will criticize Fisher with same unfair bias they use to insulate Bowden from any accountability -- e.g., "Bowden can do no wrong" and "Fisher can do no right".  Trust me, it's coming. )

Which is why, sometime around 2012, Fisher will have had enough and will leave the program.  He will have had enough of the double-messages from Administrators and Athletic Directors.  He will have had enough of Bowden disciples hating him for dethroning their idol.  He will have had enough of impatient fans who had unrealistic expectations to turn around a program in 2 years when it's been in the dump for 10.  When Fisher leaves in 2012, we'll start the coaching carousel once again.  Recruiting will, once again, tank.  On the field performance will, once again, tank. 

The reality, my loyal FSU brethren (I refer specifically to those loyal to the program, not an idol) is that our resurgence is many years away.  I truly wish I had a better feeling about this, but I saw our current malaise coming years ago -- "Head Coach In Waiting?", c'mon; perfect recipe for a power struggle that's unfolding before our eyes.  Everyone thinks our transition from Bobby is the end of tumult, uncertainty and mediocrity.  But I've got news...it's just the beginning.

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