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Bill Belichick- Process vs. Results

 


If you haven't heard about the choices made by Bill Belichick in the waining minutes of last Monday night's game between the Pats and Colts, welcome back to Earth. For everyone else, I'm sorry to burden you with another story on the subject. The decisions he made scream of process vs. results and there subsequent analysis.

Process_medium

via assets.sbnation.com

Star-divide

When I saw the highlights on Monday morning, my first thought was that "The Hoodie" would be ripped for this good decision. If you don't agree it was a good decision, read this. For years he is hailed as a mad genious who has found a way to beat the system, but one bad result ending in a loss, and he is suddenly an idiot. The loss by the Patriots Monday night was the result of a "bad break", not "poetic justice".

I was inspired to write this based on an article posted on SB Nation site, DRaysBay. It's a short piece and you should check it out, here. The Rays focus on new Sabremetric stats like OPS, FIP, and defensive efficiency, basically because traditional measures like batting average, ERA, and fielding percentage and extremely inaccurate measures of a players ability. That approach has allowed them compete with large market teams, while on a small market budget and take advantage of market inefficiencies.

The point is that we need to embrace measures that are statistically sound and base our opinions and analysis based on those measures. FSUnsensored and TrueCubbie have both provided us with excellent access to those measures and have also done a great job educating readers about more accurate ways to analyze Florida State and their opponents. If you don't understand a measure that is used, check it out. There are usually links. You won't regret it and you will be able to contribute in a more meaningful way. I am excited that Jimbo Fisher has shown a willingness to think outside of conventional wisdom and that he is building this program abound good processes and he is solely focused on immediate results. We have seen where "doing things the way they always have been done" has lead us. 

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TB

Spot on. TMQ (who hates BB but loves going for it no 4th) knew that BB made the right call. SportsGuy (who’s columns are funny but analysis is shaky) blasted him, but his math and understanding of odds are attrocious.

by CelticPride on Nov 21, 2009 1:24 PM EST reply actions  

DRaysBay opened my eyes to the world of in depth statistical analysis in sports.

A lot of it is beyond what I care or have time to study, but I like to read the articles from guys who do and I try tounderstand the concepts and reasoning behind the stats.

Process > Results

by TBfisherman on Nov 22, 2009 8:46 PM EST up reply actions  

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