FanShot

FSU 34 - BYU 30!!!

13

Being an ESPN Insider, I have the wonderful priveledge of using their new AccuScore system, in which you can tinker with players stats and they show you the odds of a games outcome. Very interesting and the scores are quite accurate (given the correct stats) from what I've seen in the past. Every game is simulated 10,000 times and the averages are taken to produce the final product. AccuScore is predicting a final score of BYU 30 - FSU - 20. However, they are predicting Christian Ponder to throw for less than 200 yds, have only 1.11 TD, and 1.05 interception. Granted this is average. Being the kool-aid drinking, glass half-full kinda guy I am, I decided to tinker with Ponders stats a little, and it turns out things get real interesting. I found that if I tweak Ponder's stats to around 300yds total (pass and rush), at least 2TD's and at least 1 int. Florida State actually wins almost EVERY game! whether it was 280/20 or 265/35 or even 200/100, FSU comes out either tied (26-26) or wins by between 1 and 3 points! I would also like to add that Max Hall throws for over 350yds in probably 95% of the scenarios. Anyways I thought this was interesting. What do you guys think of our chances of Ponder having these numbers? having at least 300 total yards, 2TDs and 1 Int does not seem like a bold stretch to me at all, and actually made me feel a litlle better about our chances. Now I'm going back to my half-full glass of Kool-Aid. Peace

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