Another week means another revision to the ACC Bowl Projections! Here they are:
|Bowl Game||Last Week||This Week|
|Orange Bowl (ACC Champ)||Miami (9-3, 6-2)||FSU (9-3, 7-1)|
|Chick-fil-A Bowl ACC #2 v. SEC 3/4/5||FSU (8-4, 6-2)||Miami (8-4, 6-2)|
|Champs Sports Bowl ACC #3 v. BE #2/ ND||Clemson (8-4, 5-3)||VT (8-4, 6-2)|
|Sun Bowl ACC #4 v. Pac 10 #4||VT (8-4, 6-2)||NCST (8-4, 5-3)|
|Meineke Car Care Bowl ACC #5 v. Big East #3||NCST (8-4, 4-4)||Clemson (7-5, 4-4)|
|Music City Bowl ACC #6 v. SEC 6/7/8||GT (7-5, 5-3)||GT (7-5, 5-3)|
|Independence Bowl ACC #7 v. MWC #3||UNC (6-6, 4-4)||UNC (7-5, 4-4)|
|EagleBank Bowl ACC #8 v. Army or C-USA #6||BC (7-5, 4-4)||BC (6-6, 4-4)|
|Fight Hunger Bowl #9||MD (6-6, 3-5)||MD (6-6, 3-5)|
I included last week's projections so you can see the changes. As of now I have FSU going 9-3, but a win over BC would push the projection to 10-2. These changes are not drastic, but rather the games of the weekend helped to push a few teams to a new number.
Inside, find the blogpoll!
This is not a power poll. I don't attempt to rank teams based on how good I think they are. I only rank teams based on their resume. What have they done? Not how talented are their players or what other polls project them to do, but what have they done? The poll is designed to be dynamic. I try to start from scratch every week.
I do attempt to reward teams for "quality losses," while punishing them for poor performances. I do not give excessive credit for stomping horrible teams. I reward quality play, win or lose, particularly against other good teams. I am not bumping team A 10 spots and docking team B 10 spots when team A beats team B by a field goal in what was essentially an equally played game. I like to reward playing well against good teams, win or lose, and punish losing to poor teams more harshly than I reward defeating poor teams. To that end, TCU and Boise will probably not climb much higher in my poll for the rest of the year because they don't really play anyone. And if those two don't blow out the weak competition every week they will start to slip in addition to not climbing.
I Reward Grinders. I reward those who play difficult schedules. Teams that play a tough team every week don't get to spend extra time preparing for their tough games, and they also don't face the attrition other teams face because they are able to pull their starters in blowouts. Fewer plays for important players reduces the chance those players will get injured.
Change my mind using my criteria if you can.
You'll notice the absence of West Virginia, Michigan, Air Force, and Wisconsin, all of whom are ranked by the Coaches' Poll and all of whom lack quality wins. Lots of scheduling fluff with that group.
Should Oregon State be there? With losses to TCU and Boise, and wins of @ Arizona, Arizona State, and Louisville? If so, where?