Seminoles Basketball Bracketology UPDATED 2/15/2010
This is part five of my weekly look at our NCAA Tournament resume. Just like last time let me explain a couple things about the chart:
The graph below is broken into three columns: teams we've already beaten, teams we've yet to play, and teams we've lost to.
You'll notice numbers beside each teams name. If a team's name is bold then that means they are projected by ESPN's Joe Lunardi as a tournament team. The number next to their name represents their corresponding tournament seed. If a team is not in bold then they are not projected as a tournament team. The number next to their name is their corresponding RPI ranking as per RealTimeRPI
[Note: I do not include the AP or Coach's Poll Rankings because they are not used by the selection committee making them obsolete in college basketball]
FSU Record: 18-7 ACC Record: 6-5
Current RPI: 45
Projected Seed: 10
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Wins-18 |
Upcoming-5 |
Losses-7 |
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(9) Georgia Tech (Home) |
#95 Virginia (Away) |
(2) Duke (Away) |
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(9) Georgia Tech (Away) |
#81 North Carolina (Away) |
(3) Ohio State (Away) |
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(11) Virginia Tech (Home) |
(9) Clemson (Home) |
(8) Maryland (Away) |
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(12) Marquette (Neutral) |
(5) Wake Forest (Home) |
(8) Maryland (Home) |
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#80 Miami (Home) |
#80 Miami (Away) |
(9) Clemson (Away) |
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#94 Alabama (Neutral) |
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#59 Florida (Away) |
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#96 Iona (Neutral) |
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#120 NC State (Home) |
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#105 Boston College (Away) |
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#105 Boston College (Home) |
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#150 Jacksonville (Home) |
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#152 Auburn (Home) |
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#173 Texas A&M CC (Home) |
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#222 Mercer (Away) |
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#252 Georgia St. (Home) |
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#284 Florida Int’l (Home) |
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#313 Stetson (Home) |
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#336 Alabama A&M (Home) |
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#339 Tenn-Martin (Home) |
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Although this week didn’t go exactly as we may have wanted, I think it was probably the expected result. Despite our awful game at Clemson, we really stepped up in the second half in our must-win game against Boston College.
Our upcoming schedule could really go either way. I feel like we are safe to get 2 more wins which would bring us to 8-8 and put us squarely on the bubble. More than likely, we end up at 9-7, but we do have an outside shot of getting to 10-6.
This week: Although both of these games are away, we absolutely must win at least one of them. Virginia has had a better ACC season, but I seem them as the more beatable team. Although UNC has been beaten several times at home this year, they’re still UNC and playing in their stadium will always be difficult. Go Noles!
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Things hurting FSU's resume:
1) That NC State loss was horrible. We all knew it was a bad loss at the time and it remains a bad loss. I know they beat Duke, but Duke is a team that can absorb that loss because they are good enough to beat other great teams and have plenty of signature wins. FSU cannot afford losses like NC State because we are not good enough to make up for it with signature wins. We have zero “signature” wins this season and really only have one more opportunity (Wake).
2) We needed our OOC opponents (especially those in the power conferences) to have decent enough seasons to help our RPI. Alabama and Auburn, noteably, are just horrific. Those teams we need in the 65-85 RPI range and one is 94 while the other sits at a horrific 152. Marquette has made some progress which has helped but we also need Iona to keep winning and stay inside the top 100.
3) Playing 3 teams below 300 RPI. We should only be playing 1 or 2 teams MAX ranked that low. It would be nice if Stetson could move in the top 300 at some point before the season ends.

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