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Seminoles Basketball Bracketology Week Six 2/22/2010

This is part six of my weekly look at our NCAA Tournament resume. Just like last time let me explain a couple things about the chart:

The graph below is broken into three columns: teams we've already beaten, teams we've yet to play, and teams we've lost to.

You'll notice numbers beside each teams name. If a team's name is bold then that means they are projected by ESPN's Joe Lunardi as a tournament team. The number next to their name represents their corresponding tournament seed. If a team is not in bold then they are not projected as a tournament team. The number next to their name is their corresponding RPI ranking as per RealTimeRPI

[Note: I do not include the AP or Coach's Poll Rankings because they are not used by the selection committee making them obsolete in college basketball]

FSU Record: 19-7          ACC Record: 7-5

RPI: 40                             SOS: 56

Projected Seed: 8

 

Wins: 19

Upcoming: 4

Losses: 7

(9) Virginia Tech

#92 @ North Carolina

(2) @ Duke

(10) @ Georgia Tech

(8) Clemson

(3) @ Ohio State

(10) Georgia Tech

(6) Wake Forest

(7) @ Maryland

(11) Marquette (Neutral)

#88 @ Miami

(7) Maryland

#88 Miami

 

(8) @ Clemson

#91 Iona (Neutral)

 

(11) @ Florida

#103 Alabama (Neutral)

 

#116 NC State

#104 @ Boston College

 

 

#104 Boston College

 

 

#108 @ Virginia

 

 

#129 Jacksonville

 

 

#144 Auburn

 

 

#201 Texas A&M CC

 

 

#223 @ Mercer

 

 

#244 Georgia State

 

 

#287 Florida Int’l

 

 

#325 Stetson

 

 

#332 Alabama A&M

 

 

#339 Tenn-Martin

 

 

 

 

Well, not much happened this week. We got one big away win and we finally played like a tournament bound team, but we still aren’t in the clear. I was hoping that with four games left we’d be close to a shoe in but that’s not that case. We’re definitely on the good side of the bubble, but as the pundits say, we still have work left to do.

For our resume, we lack many marquee wins, so the Clemson and Wake games can help that greatly. Luckily, we only have one bad loss (home against NC State, ugh…) which is a good thing for the selection committee to see.

Once again, the prediction stands at 9-7. 9-7 for us will be a lock for the tournament- I’m sticking by that. First things first let’s go into Chapel Hill and bring a win back to Tallahassee. Go Noles!

 



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Marquette has 4 games left, and will be the favorite in every one.

Rooting for the sweep of course, but 3-1 would bump that win up a notch.

by norcal_nole on Feb 22, 2010 7:13 PM EST reply actions  

Yes

At this point in the season it’s all about rooting for your opponents (except UF) to win for the added bonus RPI/SOS points. There’s a guy on WC who always does a pretty good rundown of the upcoming games that could affect our rpi

by HarlemNoles on Feb 22, 2010 9:55 PM EST up reply actions  

alabama bc and virginia

these schools need to get in the top 100 , except miami needs to do it while losing the final game to us

by Mr. Seminole on Feb 23, 2010 5:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Bama

Has got to be one of the most unlucky teams in the SEC. They’ve lost many a game after holding a double digit second half league.

by HarlemNoles on Feb 23, 2010 10:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Great points Trick

The committee puts plenty of weight in Top 50 and Top 100 wins. These last four games will be very intense, er…interesting.

"I got a PBS mind in an MTV world"...Jimmy Buffett

by The Ryno and I Know on Feb 23, 2010 9:13 AM EST up reply actions  

So we should win 2 games, and 0.56 of another one?

If we win 56% of a game, does that mean we win the game? What if the other team wins the game 44% of the time, but by a larger margin.

That’s kinda like the average family have 2.56 kids…

Anyways, I think we split them. W’s against UNC and Miami, and we get dropped by Wake and Clemson.

by Randall W. Spetman on Feb 24, 2010 12:55 AM EST up reply actions  

We will see if we are a real team for the NCAA tourney

4 and 0 in this stretch would say that we could at least get into the Sweet 16.

by mudra on Feb 24, 2010 9:31 AM EST up reply actions  

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