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Preview and Game Thread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Florida State Seminoles, 7pm EST

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Florida St. Seminoles, Mar 3, 2010 7:00 PM EST


Despite a missed opportunity against Clemson, the Florida State Seminoles have the best defense in the nation according to Ken Pomeroy. Outstanding defense from the Seminoles is a given. The ability of the Seminoles to capitalize on that defense is the question that Seminoles fans have. Can the Seminoles keep pace with their opponents at a national level? Tonight, the Seminoles will be faced with the challenge of keeping pace with Al-Faroq Aminu and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. At the time of writing this (Tuesday evening), multiple teams have the potential to earn a bye in the ACC tournament. With a win, Florida State will stay in that conversation.


Wakeforest_medium

vs

Floridatstaelogo2_medium

Game Time: 7:00pm EST

Opponent's Site: Blogger So Dear

Television: ESPN2

Live Stats: scacchoops.com

Star-divide

Time to step up to the challenge. With their win over Georgia Tech, the Clemson Tigers moved to 9-6 in conference playing, leaving Florida State tied with Virginia Tech and Wake Forest going into Wednesday night's games. Virginia Tech takes on NC State and Florida State takes on...Wake Forest. Florida State needs to win this game in order to have the opportunity to have a bye in the first round of the ACC tournament. Wake Forest fans are hoping to have the same result. However, Florida State has the 'easier' path compared to Wake Forest. The Seminoles end the season with Miami. Wake Forest welcomes Clemson to Winston-Salem.

Entering tonight's game, the Demon Deacons are 18-8, with an 8-6 conference record. Their out of conference schedule included big wins over Gonzaga, Xavier and Richmond. Wake Forests only two out of season losses were to William and Mary, at home, and at Purdue. They currently rank 24th in the nation for defensive efficiency and 87th in the natoni for defensive efficiency. They are the number two team in the nation for eFG% and happen to be one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country. The Deacs, however, enter the game with a three game losing streak. With the type of season that Wake was putting together, one would think it was to the likes of Maryland, Duke or Clemson.The losses have been at the hands of Virginia Tech, NC State and North Carolina. The last game was particularly troubling to the Deacs as it was at home. UNC played an outstanding game and easily earned the victory.

Unfortunately, I don't have a ton of time to put this preview together. Here are Wake's stats from Ken Pomeroy:


Record vs. D-1: 18-8
Luck: +0.036  National Rank=82  (+0.0 wins)

Raw Tempo: 71.5 poss/40 min  National Rank=29
Adj Tempo: 71.1 poss/40 min  National Rank=34

                      Offense               Defense
Raw Efficiency :  101.9 (156)           93.8 ( 38)
Adj Efficiency :  107.0 ( 87)           89.5 ( 24)

Effective FG%  :   47.9 (207)           42.5 (  2)
Turnover Pct.  :   20.8 (183)           19.7 (220)
Off. Rebound%  :   38.2 ( 23)           33.1 (199)
Free Throw Rate:   41.0 ( 94)           38.6 (197)

3-Point FG%    :   32.1 (255)           28.8 (  9)
2-Point FG%    :   47.8 (169)           42.1 ( 14)
Free Throw Pct.:   65.5 (271)           69.5 (209)
Block Pct.     :    8.3 (110)           13.5 ( 17)
Steal Pct.     :    9.4 (149)           10.0 (147)

3PA/FGA        :   23.1 (340)           31.9 (151)
A/FGM          :   45.6 (323)           47.8 ( 43)

 

In their last three games, Wake Forest has really struggled as a result of their poor shooting percentage. This plays directly into the hands of Florida State. Clearly, the Noles will need to limit the production of Al-Farouq Aminu (AFA). He is having an outstanding season and this will be an outstanding matchup with Chris Singleton. Ishmael Smith is having a wonderful season for the Deacons, better than I had expected. Chas McFarland is going to give Alabi a run for his money. His is a big, physical player who likes to intimidate his competition. He will try and get Alabi in to early foul trouble.

Fortunately, Wake Forest does not force may turnovers, nor do they shoot well from beyond the arc. They prefer to play an up-tempo style of basketball. All of these elements play into the hands of the Seminoles. However, Florida State is coming off one of their worst shooting performances of the year.

This could be another game in which the first team to 50 wins. Again, apologies for the short preview.

Four Factors:

 

 

Rank and Records WAKE
FSU
RPI #30
#41
Strength of Schedule #34
#54
Overall 18-8
20-8
Conference 8-6
8-6
Home 12-2
12-3
Away 5-6
5-5
Top 25 3-3
2-2
RPI Top 50 5-4
2-3

 



PPGFG%FT%3P%RPGORPGDRPGAPGTPGSPGBPGFPG
Wake-forest WAKE 74.5 44.2 65.5 32.1 42.7 14.8 27.8 12.2 15.1 7.3 5.7 20.3
Florida-state FSU 70.0 45.9 64.7 33.7 38.6 12.8 25.8 14.1 16.7 8.4 6.5 17.9
Wake-forest WAKE Opponents 68.7 37.9 69.5 28.8 37.8 14.2 23.5 11.1 14.3 6.9 3.9 21.2
Florida-state FSU Opponents 60.7 36.9 66.1 32.9 33.2 12.8 20.4 9.9 16.2 8.0 2.3 18.9

 



POSPPGPPPFLR%EffeFG%TS%FTR2P%FTP%3P%OR%DR%A%A/TT%S%B%
WAKE 1893.0 72.8 1.02 54.9 102.3 47.9 51.3 41.0 60.0 21.9 18.1 38.6 66.2 45.6 0.81 20.7 10.0 9.2
FSU 1926.0 68.8 1.02 53.0 101.7 51.2 53.8 39.1 55.2 19.8 25.0 38.5 66.8 56.2 0.85 24.3 12.1 11.6
WAKE Opponents 1893.0 72.8 0.94 49.5 94.3 42.5 47.2 38.6 51.3 24.0 24.7 33.8 61.4 47.8 0.77 19.7 9.5 6.4
FSU Opponents 1926.0 68.8 0.88 46.4 88.3 42.9 46.5 33.0 46.7 20.3 33.0 33.2 61.5 47.3 0.61 23.5 11.7 4.2

 

All tables from Statsheet.com

Prediction: Florida State 65 Wake Forest 62

Game Time: 7pm EST

Opponent's Site: Blogger So Dear

Television: ESPN2

Live Stats: scacchoops.com

Random Fact From Seminoles.com

FLORIDA STATE'S DEFENSE IN THE LAST FOUR GAMES
Florida State, who is generally recognized as having the nation's most tenacious defense, has held its last four opponents to an average of 54.3 points per game and a cumulative shooting percentage of .365. The Seminoles have allowed 53 or fewer points in three of their last four games including an average of 26.5 points in the first halves of the last four games. The Seminoles have also forced and average of 16 turnovers. Florida State's dynamic Defensive Duo of Solomon Alabi (11 blocked shots and two steals) and Chris Singleton (five blocked shots and 11 steals) have combined for 16 blocked shots and 13 steals in the four games.

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No bounce back for the noles

I see a hangover from the Clemson game, combined with Wake being embarrased by UNC and the Deacs’ eFG% getting back to their seasonal average.

Wake 66 FSU 59

If it helps, I’ve gotten game predictions wrong all year so here’s hoping I don’t break my streak tonight.

"I got a PBS mind in an MTV world"...Jimmy Buffett

by The Ryno and I Know on Mar 3, 2010 9:28 AM EST reply actions  

I hope we win.

It will get ugly on the interwebs if we don’t.

by MattDNole on Mar 3, 2010 9:39 AM EST reply actions  

I will be disappointed, but not particularly disappointed.

I tend to believe this will be a tougher game to win than people expect.

by MattDNole on Mar 3, 2010 10:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Agree, and I'm on the "hope springs eternal" side of things.

I had the same opinion about Clemson; people were assuming a “W,” but knew it would be a dogfight. Biggest concern for this one is whether we can contain Ish Smith or not. Aminu will get his 15/9 or so… it’s if our somewhat slower guards can contain Ish or not that determines whether we win or lose.

That said, there is the ever-present possibility that a generally BAD 3-point shooting team decides to light us up from outside, for no apparent reason other than we’re FSU, and that’s what teams do against us. I nominate Ari Stewart or CJ Harris to be the culprit, if this comes to pass. Both like to chuck it up with fairly streaky results.

Maybe TC should include a poll of nominees at the bottom of each preview, to see if we can come up with predicted winners of the Scott Wood Memorial Blistering 3-Point Barrage Performance of the game?

by arrdub on Mar 3, 2010 12:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah...Wake is rarely a cakewalk.

It depends on the manner in which we get beat, if we do, that determines my level of disappointment. For example, if one of WF role players goes for 31 and shoots 74% from 3 pt land, I wont bitch too much

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 2:38 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Don't EVER forget that.

I like to be polite, however. It’s good for appearances.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 3:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Hey man. Welcome back

In case you didn’t know, we just won a big basketball game.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 9:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I was there.

It was nice of you to bring Coach Fisher out at half time… and letting the special kids dance was a nice touch.

by arrdub on Mar 3, 2010 10:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Being there is no excuse for not commenting...

Yeah, well, as far as Jimbo goes, I’m working on a interuniversital athletic integration project (AKA the IUAI). Where I help teams gather support for one another.

I’ll be having Pat Kennedy speak at halftime of the homecoming game this year, and probably have Coach Martin guest host.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Got an old school phone.

Managed to stay contract-free for 1.5 years now.. is a good feeling. But some of these new toys are close to luring me back in.

By “special kids dancing,” I was not referring to our geriatric and/or alcoholic current/former coaching ranks.

by arrdub on Mar 3, 2010 10:44 PM EST up reply actions  

You were very lucky we didn't boo you during the trophy presentation last night

Consider yourself warned, Mr. AD

"I got a PBS mind in an MTV world"...Jimmy Buffett

by The Ryno and I Know on Mar 4, 2010 10:53 AM EST up reply actions  

My entertainment-purposes only internet site that puts out game pointspreads has

the Noles favored by 7. So does phoney-baloney Danny Sheridan at USA Today. That seems to be like a lot of points for the Noles to be favored by against ANY ACC opponent, especially one over .500 in the conference. However, cover or not, this line makes me breathe a little easier about tonight’s game, as the pressure on the line probably overtighten it. Lets also remember Wake’s eFG% on offense is ranked 208 in the country. Our D will shut them down. Thus, I go with:

Noles 65, Wake Forest 55.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:59 AM EST reply actions  

We need to win this game

Where is our homecourt advantage? If we lose, we’ll be 4-4 at home in the ACC.
Of course, it’s possible to go to the dance without it. With a win at Miami and a win or two at the ACC tournament, we’ll probably go despite a Wake loss. But right now, our resume doesn’t have anything particularly impressive on it…

by CelticPride on Mar 3, 2010 10:13 AM EST reply actions  

Pomeroy loves our defense

And Wake just lost consecutive games @VaTech @ NC St and home to Carolina
Plus it’s at home…
We SHOULD win this game.

by CelticPride on Mar 3, 2010 10:28 AM EST up reply actions  

Very surprising...

it will be very interesting to see which Wake and FSU team shows up tonight. Wake split its series with Miami, UNC, GT, and NC St but then beat Maryland. Look at the results of these games…

UNC
W 82-69
L 68-77

GT
W 75-64
L 58-79

Miami
W 62-53
L 66-67

NCST
W 67-59
L 54-68

Now mind you, the final score is not necessarily indicitive of how the game went as we all know but still. I have zero confidence in this team to win big games so i wouldnt be surprised to see us lose by 7. That line is very strange to me…but as they say Vegas is always right….

by Renegade11 on Mar 3, 2010 11:18 AM EST up reply actions  

edit

“Wake Forests only two out of season losses were to …..”

I think you meant to say “conference.” Nice write up tho!

by Gulfport Nole on Mar 3, 2010 10:36 AM EST reply actions  

Gulfport, I'm guessing you're over in Mississipp?

I’ve always liked that area…probably because of my propensity to find ways to get drunk for free and lose all my money

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:41 AM EST up reply actions  

Gulfport, FL

I’m down in Gulfport, FL….it’s in Pinellas county, about 10 minutes from downtown St. Petersburg. It’s nice, and you can still lose all your money up the road at the Hard Rock Casino if that is your thing.

by Gulfport Nole on Mar 3, 2010 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

My bad...Had no idea there was a Gulfport, FL...

I’m up here in PCola, so I assumed you were stuck in MS. That’s what I get for assuming.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 1:21 PM EST up reply actions  

They currently rank 24th in the nation for defensive efficiency and 87th in the natoni for defensive efficiency.

Two errors in that one sentence, unless WFU plays defense at both ends of the court and natoni is Italian for nation…

I assume their defense is 87th and their offense is 24th.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 2:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Right...

And I think this is where is formula falls short a bit. We won 3 in a row against poo poo competition…got back to reality against Clemson, and dropped the ball.

Both teams appear inconsistent. To me, 79% is really high (Like Pomeroy himself, as MattD is claiming)

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:37 AM EST reply actions  

on the other hand, at least we won those three games. As the Celtic points out, Wake just

lost to three so-so teams, @VaTech @ NC St and home to Carolina.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:47 AM EST up reply actions  

ESPN saying that Clemson is definitely in,

and if GT wins against VT in the finale, they’re in too.

We really need to win these next 2, to erase all doubt.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:46 AM EST reply actions  

I was thinking last night after watching Clemson-GaTech, that maybe we just ran into the

buzzsaw again with Clemson on Sunday. Not only did they drop 91 on GaTech yesterday (season high, GT has KenPom #20 defense), but the Tigers have won 5 of 6 now, the lone loss being AT Maryland (surely at least the 2nd best team in the conference).

One could make a reasonable argument that this year, the top 3 squads in the conference are Duke, Maryland, and Clemson; then a not-significant drop-off, then a fight for 4th best between FSU, Wake and GaTech, then another drop-off.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:53 AM EST up reply actions  

It's hard to call a team a buzzsaw that scores 6 points in the first 16 minutes of the game.

Might Clemson be the 3rd best team in the conference? Sure.

But that in no way excuses what happened Sunday evening.

by MattDNole on Mar 3, 2010 10:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah...I'd love to be able to justify that performance by that logic, GNO

But I can’t, It was your typical FSU/Leonard Hamilton basketball performance. If some backup 2 guard had gone for 29 points, or had Booker put up a triple/double, then maybe.

IMO, it was nothing more than a wasted opportunity.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Definitely not a buzzsaw.

If you take out the final 4:36 of the 1st half and 1:24 of the 2nd half, they scored 29 points in the 34 remaining minutes of play.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 2:52 PM EST up reply actions  

I would love to take out the final 1:24 of the second half

Can’t wait to get the next W and put Sunday night’s debacle behind us

"I got a PBS mind in an MTV world"...Jimmy Buffett

by The Ryno and I Know on Mar 3, 2010 3:02 PM EST up reply actions  

well, maybe "buzzsaw" is not the right word, as it possibly connotates an

offensive onslaught. I was just suggesting what Sperrett1 wrote very well about below: Duke, Maryland and Clemson are just the class of the league, and we are fighting for 4th.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 6:57 PM EST up reply actions  

In 34 (of 40) minutes of game play we held Clemson to 29 points.

They are not “the class” of the league. Not even close.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:22 PM EST up reply actions  

agree

duke, md, CU the class of ACC. Hopefully, we establish ourselves as the clear no 4 tonite. Unfortunately, we don’t match up w/ the top three. All have solid upperclassmen who are their unquestioned go to guys, which we don’t have. All have guys that can hit big 3s and they can force TOs, which are our achilles. I think we beat wake because they don’t have or do these things which makes them a great matchup for us.

Say what you will about us, but, other than NCSt, this team has taken care of teams that we should beat based on matchups. You might put UF in the category of not TCB but it was the first true road game and, I didn’t get to watch, but, apparently, they had by far their best 3 pt shooting night of the yr. Go figure.

Speaking of UF, I watched the 2nd half of them choking away another one of their “really need this one” games last night. The difference in atmosphere between that last week of the season big SEC game and our same situation CU game was alarming. Their arena was packed and loud as compared to our tomb against CU. I’m just basing that on the TV perception but there was a huge difference.

by sperrett1 on Mar 3, 2010 4:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I would hope UF would have a loud and packed arena

1) Unlike FSU, they know how to properly seat students to enhance the crowd participation and noise.

2) They have had 13 straight wining seasons, went to the NCAA tourney from 98-07, won national titles in 06 and 07. We went to the tournament last year. For the first time in 11 years. And lost in round 1. That’s the summit of FSU hoops since 1998. That’s a ho-hum year in Gainesville.

3) Last Sunday’s game would have sucked the life out of just about any home crowd outside of Duke or Kentucky. Horrid, horrid basketball from tip-off to buzzer.

by omeganole on Mar 3, 2010 5:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Kentucky's home crowd is much like UNC's.

And UF’s fans/crowd is, from my understanding, no better/worse than ours.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 6:54 PM EST up reply actions  

im coming into the game positive:

we win by a comfortable 9:
68 – 59

(thinking happy thoughts….)

by 000111 on Mar 3, 2010 11:27 AM EST reply actions  

I actually agree

WF is tall (#9 in effective height (KenPom)), they like to play halfcourt D. They’re a less-talented / less-effective version of us, IMO.

by ricobert1 on Mar 3, 2010 12:24 PM EST up reply actions  

TC, great write-up as usual, but one bone to pick:

Chas McFarland is going to give Alabi a run for his money. His is a big, physical player who likes to intimidate his competition. He will try and get Alabi in to early foul trouble.

You simply cannot laud this moronic sasquatch without lambasting him for the manner in which he is able to “succeed.”

by arrdub on Mar 3, 2010 12:32 PM EST reply actions  

McFarland is a dick.

You're so wise. You're like a miniature Buddha, covered in hair.

by Nole93 on Mar 3, 2010 1:59 PM EST up reply actions  

must be flacid then

he has an ability to flop seen rarely outside of Holywood.

"I am not now at all sure that the tendency to treat the whole thing as a kind of vast game is really good - certainly not for me who find that kind of thing only too fatally attractive." - J R R Tolkein

by Olbrannon on Mar 3, 2010 7:02 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I got my tickets!

Last home game of the season woo!

by StM on Mar 3, 2010 1:03 PM EST reply actions  

BTW if you guys have time, the Wake site has some good stuff to say.

Not the most optimistic of fans. Perhaps trick is moonlighting for them (just kidding, trick)

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 3:13 PM EST reply actions  

lol

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 6:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Suck it

Trebek.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 6:58 PM EST up reply actions  

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Not sure what is more important to you all, but

If we win tonight and VT loses, we lock up 4th place in the ACC. (If VT loses, the odds of them finishing in the RPI top 50 and improving our record vs the RPI top 50 takes a hit.) I think finishing 4th

If VT wins tonight, they improve the chances they finish in the RPI top 50, and therefore our record vs the RPI top 50, but it leaves open the possibility they take the 4th seed in the ACCT if they win their last game and we lose at Miami (assuming we win tonight vs Wake).

So what’s more important to you, finishing top 4 in the ACC or the additional RPI top 50 win (no, these are not mutually exclusive)? If we finish 4th in the ACC with a 9-7 record (beat Wake, lose to Miami, VT loses one of their final 2 games), does that assure us of a bid (4th place ACC finish, 9-7 conference record)? If we lose to Wake but beat Miami, we couldn’t finish any higher than 5th. No matter how the season finishes out, we are assured of at least a 6th place finish.

We can still finish 3rd in the ACC (win out, Clemson loses final game to Wake) if we get to 10-6.

Not sure this is response-worthy. Kind of a bunch of rambling.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 6:52 PM EST reply actions  

I was wondering about that. Do we clinch #4 in that scenario tonight?

What about a four way tie at 9-7 (Wake, VaTech, FSU, and clemson)

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:04 PM EST up reply actions  

If we win and VT loses, we finish no worse than 4th.

We could do no worse than tie VT and/or WF, and we’d own the tiebreak over both. GT can’t tie us, let alone win a tiebreak. It would be us and Clemson 3/4, depending on what we both do in our final game.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Id rather finish 4th.

When was the last time the ACCs 4th place team didnt dance?

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 7:12 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

we've had better starts

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:06 PM EST reply actions  

S.o.a.b.

I explode spaghetti sauce all over the microwave and when I clean it up and sit down at the tv we’re down 6-0 only 1:45 in?

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:08 PM EST reply actions  

Im running calls tonight (moonlighting gig)

Can you guys post the score every once in a while so I can keep up without having to bounce between sites? Thx

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 7:09 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

6-4, wake

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:10 PM EST up reply actions  

We need Dulkys out there..

stretches the defense.. I like Snaer coming off the bench as instant offense

by Midtownnole on Mar 3, 2010 7:10 PM EST reply actions  

Snaer has been starting for the last several games..

if I’m not mistaken. I don’t want to be mistaken, I get he’s the future and kid has a world of talent, but as soon as Dulkys wasa heating up again.. we need that deep 3. Dulkys got paltry minutes in the Clemson game

by Midtownnole on Mar 3, 2010 7:14 PM EST up reply actions  

He IS absolutely the future

I think he was ranked the 7th overall recruit this past year

by BostonNole on Mar 3, 2010 7:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Deep 2 for Ish.

8-4.

Alabi driving the lane without dribbling (8 steps), no travel but a foul called. Makes the 1st. Makes the 2nd.

6-8 15:50

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:13 PM EST reply actions  

What was with that general statement before the game

about Wake’s chances are 80% to make the tournament and ours are 70%

That didn’t seem to be based on anything but a guess.

by BostonNole on Mar 3, 2010 7:14 PM EST reply actions  

wake picking up a lot of early fouls

we cant inbound the ball though

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:17 PM EST reply actions  

10-8 wake, 13:49 to go

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:19 PM EST reply actions  

Haha, hits the side of the backboard (Stewart of Wake).

Singleton with a midrange jumper. 11-10 FSU.

Ish Smith for 2. 11-12 WFU

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:20 PM EST reply actions  

are we in the bonus now?

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:29 PM EST reply actions  

NCState 17, VaTech 15

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:35 PM EST up reply actions  

VaTech 31, NC State 22 half

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:53 PM EST up reply actions  

20-17 UConn over ND

Rooting for ND in this one.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:57 PM EST up reply actions  

any FSU-related reason?

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Not really.

Just hoping an ND win knocks UConn out but isn’t quite enough to put ND in. Just my general disdain for the Big East.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 8:01 PM EST up reply actions  

GIBSON 3!

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:37 PM EST reply actions  

looks better than singleton from 3?

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:41 PM EST up reply actions  

You always look better when you make it.

Singleton looks good when he makes his 3’s. I meant more the height comparison.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:42 PM EST up reply actions  

true, I kid.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:42 PM EST up reply actions  

GIBSON X2 from 3!!!!

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:40 PM EST reply actions  

Duke vs Maryland

Who you got?
Who you want?

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:42 PM EST reply actions  

as much as I cant stand Vazquez, I hate Duke more. Go Terps!

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:44 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm thinking UMD

just to make them look better? If we’re going to have 3 losses to those teams, better to have them all be to top 25 RPI teams.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:47 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed there

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:48 PM EST up reply actions  

26-22

Alabi, feed by Kitchen
Just under 4

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:43 PM EST reply actions  

lol

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:44 PM EST up reply actions  

And now every Nole to play has scored.

As Kitchen gets a breakaway 2. To go along with his 5(?!) assists.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:49 PM EST reply actions  

SNAER!!! HUSTLE!!!!

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 7:49 PM EST reply actions  

SNAER OUTRUNS EVERRRRRRRYBODY

Loose ball. 3-0 FSU fast break. Snaer dunk city. Started by huge Alabi block.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:49 PM EST reply actions  

LATE foul call.

Damn. Should’ve been a breakaway steal for Singleton.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:52 PM EST reply actions  

are we beating the phillies? somebody just posted on j.tv

by jasonole59 on Mar 3, 2010 7:53 PM EST reply actions  

4-0

Check recent comments on here.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 7:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Do we start pitching underhanded?

Jeff Cameron was talking about the “understood rule” that college team does not beat the pro team.

by jasonole59 on Mar 3, 2010 8:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Never heard that before.

The regulars usually only play 3/4 innings and it’s just exhibition for both squads. It’s 5-2 now. Buckley or w/e isn’t doing so hot pitching for us.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 8:12 PM EST up reply actions  

32-29 noles, 1st tv time out of 2nd half. we needed it

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:19 PM EST reply actions  

yep

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Buckley gives up 4 (I think) in the 3rd.

5-4 Noles

Ramsey solo shot. 6-4

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 8:21 PM EST reply actions  

Thanks for keeping me updated, gents

I’m back in front of the TV. No more gibberish from the AD

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 8:27 PM EST reply actions  

we needed that tv time out too. 1 point game

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:30 PM EST reply actions  

I'm talking about if both reached their max,

given their respective skillsets.

Right now I’ll give Alabi the edge, even though I’m not terribly impressed with his all around game.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 8:38 PM EST up reply actions  

IMHO

Xavir Gibson is better than Alabi

"Its called the Veer"

by EducatedSpear on Mar 3, 2010 8:36 PM EST up reply actions  

all year

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:35 PM EST up reply actions  

good news

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:37 PM EST up reply actions  

They've got coordination. lol

But little different when you intentionally do it and get knocked over in mid drive and still maintain your dribble.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 8:43 PM EST up reply actions  

You laughed?

I was under the impression that you didn’t do that.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 8:43 PM EST up reply actions  

HUSTLE STEAL SINGLETON!

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:42 PM EST reply actions  

next up...woods

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:47 PM EST up reply actions  

aminu...out!

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:47 PM EST reply actions  

afa

Out w/no points and we’re up only one

by CelticPride on Mar 3, 2010 8:50 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Mike McGee starts the inning by walking them loaded.

Sac fly. A 4th walk to reload the bases. 11 with the pitching change.

6-5 FSU, bot 5, 1 out

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 8:50 PM EST reply actions  

double bonus?

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:54 PM EST up reply actions  

macfarland...4

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:53 PM EST reply actions  

If Alabi makes these two, it's GO time.

Time to put the foot on their throats…close one out for a change.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 8:54 PM EST reply actions  

fsu up 3

4 mins left _ Alabi to line

by CelticPride on Mar 3, 2010 8:54 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

VaTech 71 NcStaTE 58, under a minute left

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:56 PM EST reply actions  

its a final

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 8:58 PM EST up reply actions  

FSU up 4

Our ball 2.5 togo

by CelticPride on Mar 3, 2010 8:59 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

go inside?

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:00 PM EST reply actions  

darn it

That was not a foul

by CelticPride on Mar 3, 2010 9:01 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

"Just threw it blindly..."

No, it slipped out of his hands. Still an awful end result but it wasn’t a conscious decision.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:03 PM EST reply actions  

How so?

The guy has been asked 80 times tonight, “Are we using metal or wooden bats?” I feel sorry for him kind of.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:05 PM EST up reply actions  

It's just a stupid question.

Yes, let’s put a lethal weapon in the hands of Howard and Utley. Idiots.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:07 PM EST up reply actions  

this is unbelievable

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:06 PM EST reply actions  

That's not my stomach turning due to nerves.

That’s indigestion from the tomato sauce.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:06 PM EST reply actions  

I cleaned it up.

That’s why I missed the first 6 points of the game (all Wake). 49-41 FSU run while I’ve been “watching”.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:08 PM EST up reply actions  

i am without speech

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:08 PM EST reply actions  

We just clinched no worse than 4th place in the ACC?

I almost can’t believe it. Assuming we hit free throws and/or don’t turn it over.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:09 PM EST reply actions  

freshman at the line now. too funny

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:11 PM EST reply actions  

Good lord another terrible inbound play

Do we have a an assistant who has ever coach basketball before?

by Legal_Seminole on Mar 3, 2010 9:11 PM EST reply actions  

Snaer to line

Up 2 – 4 to go

by CelticPride on Mar 3, 2010 9:11 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

PUNCH THAT TICKET!!!

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:12 PM EST reply actions  

Bout to get blown out by the Phils now.

Pitching completely hit the wall. Can’t find the strike zone.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:12 PM EST reply actions  

YES!!!!

Big Fan of Big Spear Diplomacy

by NCNole99 on Mar 3, 2010 9:12 PM EST reply actions  

everyone to Orbitz...CHARTER flight to Providence, R.I.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:12 PM EST reply actions  

Damnit.

Never considered this possibility.

FSU, Clemson and VT all win out…we finish 5th. We play @Miami. Clemson @WF. VT @GT.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:15 PM EST reply actions  

trick, so, after the 3 team tie is broken among FSU, Clemson, and VaTech (to clemson's

favor), it doesnt reduce to the two team tie breaker in fsu vs vatech (which we win)?

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:20 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Trick's original point is right. I googled, and my reading says the tie does NOT

reduce to a 2-team tiebreaker as I thought. The three team tie we are taking about would result in: Clemson 2-1, VaTech 1-1, FSU 1-2. No tie exists to revert to a two team tiebreaker. Thus,

3. Clemson
4. VaTech
5. FSU

at least thats my reading

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:40 PM EST up reply actions  

and whats worse, I am pretty sure the #5 seed plays at 2pm next thursday AND

friday if they win. man, that would SUCK!

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:41 PM EST up reply actions  

I thoughts that's what it was...I was pretty sure it didn't revert to a 2 team tiebreak

But didn’t wanna say anything just in case I was wrong…lest I look like a pecker.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 9:43 PM EST up reply actions  

2pm thursday...then friday... would suck ass. suck ass.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Isn't that kind of the m.o. for conference tourneys?

Basically play a game every 24 hours as long as you keep winning?

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:26 PM EST up reply actions  

well, to clairfy, I meant it would suck for viewing purposes. I'd probably

have to dvr the thursday game.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Why?!?! Why couldn't you watch them both?

Don’t give me the “I gotta go to work excuse”

FSU>WORK

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:29 PM EST up reply actions  

you make a strong case. but arrdub here is contradicting

our assumption that we end up with the 5. I hope he is right

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Me too

I could’ve sworn the writeup TC did said otherwise. Maybe I’m thinking of a 4 team tie with the revertion not resolving the tiebreak.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Any of us could check ACC.com and confirm.

But I’m fairly certain I’ve seen it in print. Iterative process, break tie (winner), and proceed until any other ties are broken.

by arrdub on Mar 3, 2010 10:38 PM EST up reply actions  

because, of work, of course

by the way, maryland is down now. unbelievable

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:29 PM EST up reply actions  

I believe it

This Duke team is a bit tougher mentally than those in the past. I like their tourney chances, to be honest

Anyone else think those twirly things that Maryland has behind the opposing glass should be illegal?

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Almost absolutely certain that it DOES revert back to remaining pool...

after winner of group is determined. So if Clemson wins the 3-way, we get #4 over VT.

by arrdub on Mar 3, 2010 10:25 PM EST up reply actions  

I hope you are right. the way I was reading it, it only reverts to the

2-team IF there is a tie among the 3-team pool.

Although at the beginning of the thread, I was on your point, arrdub

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:32 PM EST up reply actions  

This, to me, says otherwise.

If three or more teams are tied in the standings, the following procedures will be used:
a. The combined record of conference games between the tied teams involved will be compiled. Ties will be broken, and seedings assigned, based on the winning percentage of the combined conference records. The higher winning percentage shall prevail, even if the number of games played against the team or group is unequal (i.e., 2-0 is better than 3-1; 1-0 is the same as 2-0; 2-0 is the same as 4-0; 2-1 is the same as 4-2; 1-0 is better than 1-1; 0-1 is the same as 0-2; 0-2 is the same as 0-4).

The winning percentages, as GNO pointed out, would all be different. The ties would be gone. Seedings for 3-5 would be set.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:34 PM EST up reply actions  

I am still leaning towards that reading.

although, as someone pointed out much early, we are in better shape for the final game that either of the other teams in question.

further, what are the chances all three road teams win or lose anyway?

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:38 PM EST up reply actions  

all 3 win? I'll take that bet.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I say no. I say odds are, at least one of the road

teams lose. And we got the weakest opponent, of course.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:41 PM EST up reply actions  

If the game vs Miami was this past weekend, I would've gone.

I was already down in Miami AND on the campus.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:43 PM EST up reply actions  

been on that campus for Noles vs Canes

baseball games twice in the past. I was more impressed with the cars than the campus!

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:48 PM EST up reply actions  

I was surprised how unimpressive the campus was.

Surrounded by a beautiful neighborhood, but the campus just doesn’t have much appeal. Not saying it’s ugly, but it’s just…nice/average.

It felt a lot more like Rollins College than a major university. They had a few hotties on campus (all looked and dressed exactly the same), but it was a Friday and it was chilly so hardly anyone was around.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:57 PM EST up reply actions  

I imagine those games were fun.

FSU/UM games were always great at the Dick.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:57 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree on the campus. average.

My family takes a vacation to Sanibel Island, FL every April. Twice, its landed on a week where FSU was at Miami, so me and my dad drove down there.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Heh, that's where I live (Ft. Myers, not Sanibel).

Just not driving back down there a 2nd time in 3 weeks when I’m a po’ a** (inbetween) college kid.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 11:07 PM EST up reply actions  

nice. I like ft. myers, and I like our

Sanibel vacation. Nice and quiet. A lot of grilling out. A lot of playing with my nephews. I also like putting a beach chair in the beach where my feet are in the water and just fall asleep with a cooler of beer by the chair

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 11:10 PM EST up reply actions  

No way.

Home teams are 3 for 3 so far tonight.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:42 PM EST up reply actions  

interesting question! you know, I'd say

VaTech is most likely to lose, and that is without looking at KenPom. What say you?

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Miami's most likely to lose.

Miami
beat Wake, VT, GT, UVA
lost to BC, Duke, NC State

Wake Forest
beat NC State, Maryland, UVA, Miami, BC, GT
lost to UNC

Georgia Tech
beat Duke, Clemson, Wake, NC State, UNC, BC
lost to FSU

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:53 PM EST up reply actions  

your saying it reverts to a 2-team after clemson takes the #3 seed?

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Where do we stand on this?!?!!

haven’t one of you lazy asses looked it up yet!?! I’m the damn AD, I can’t be bothered with minor stuff like this!

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:49 PM EST up reply actions  

thing is, I think we all HAVE looked it up, and we still cant

agree. I’ll go on record sticking with the “#5 Theory.”

anyone want to talk about what happens if we have 4 9-7 teams? Yikes.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:52 PM EST up reply actions  

  1. - VT: 2-1
  1. - CU: 2-2
  2. - FSU: 2-2
  1. - WFU: 1-2

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 11:02 PM EST up reply actions  

terps rush the court.

looks like we are #5 again there

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 11:06 PM EST up reply actions  

What a bunch of hooligans...

Seriously. Act like you’ve been there before. Maryland is a bunch of classless weiners.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 11:08 PM EST up reply actions  

so in reality, it is likely that those students

HAVENT been there before.

In any case, the “rushing the court” is getting old.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 11:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Here is the full clause.

If three or more teams are tied in the standings, the following procedures will be used:
a. The combined record of conference games between the tied teams involved will be compiled. Ties will be broken, and seedings assigned, based on the winning percentage of the combined conference records. The higher winning percentage shall prevail, even if the number of games played against the team or group is unequal (i.e., 2-0 is better than 3-1; 1-0 is the same as 2-0; 2-0 is the same as 4-0; 2-1 is the same as 4-2; 1-0 is better than 1-1; 0-1 is the same as 0-2; 0-2 is the same as 0-4).
b. If procedure (a) fails to break the tie, then each tied team’s record shall be compared to the team occupying the highest position in the final regular-season standings, continuing down through the standings until one team gains an advantage by a higher winning percentage.
c. If the tie is broken by (a) or (b) regarding one of more teams, but three or more teams remain tied, then procedures (a) and (b) will be reapplied among those tied teams only.
d. If two teams remain tied, procedures (1) and (2) will be followed.

After a second reading, I think I was interpreting © to say it re-set after one team was pulled.. but seeing that says “three or more teams remain,” I now reverse my opinion to agree that we’re screwed. Bad rule, IMHO.

by arrdub on Mar 3, 2010 11:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Lol
I now reverse my opinion to agree that we’re screwed. Bad rule, IMHO.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 11:16 PM EST up reply actions  

my final comment of the night...

remember, we are up first of the 3 games in question (noon saturday), so lets bury Miami in the cellar, and then just hope GaTech beats VaTech at 4pm that day.

Then were got our bye.

Bye.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 11:23 PM EST up reply actions  

If Duke is #1 seed, which they apparently still are,

…then I’d prefer Clemson lose to WF, and we take the third slot. I want to beat down Vasquez in the 2-3 matchup in the 2nd round of the ACCT. That will make a successful season.

by arrdub on Mar 3, 2010 11:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Again, want to beat down Vasquez.

Ultimately, we’re not playing for a national championship. But we are going to make the NCAA’s, so I am looking for some other nice bells and whistles for the season.

I understand your concern about the NCAAs relative to our ACC seeding, but I think our run there will be dictated by the matchup as much as it will be about the “quality” of the opponent.

by arrdub on Mar 5, 2010 5:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Nope, not concerned about our NCAAT seeding due to our ACC seeding.

I want to say 3rd in the ACC. Period. The difference 3rd or 4th (or even 5th or 6th) would make is minimal, imo.

I want to say we went 10-6 in 2008-09 and finished 4th, ACCT Runner-Ups.
I want to say we went 10-6 in 2009-10 and finished 3rd, ACCT results tbd.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 5, 2010 8:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes, that's what I was thinking.

And i totally forgot to look it up.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes...Clemson>VT IMO

It’ll be harder for Wake to get the win than GT.

Although, Bilas just said that he’s on board with 7 ACC teams getting bids

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 9:18 PM EST reply actions  

If they lose to Auburn tonight (currently losing)

they should be done. Ole Miss shouldn’t be in consideration, either.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:42 PM EST up reply actions  

But at least Ole Miss has one quality ooc win (K State).

Miss State has none. Neither has beaten UT, Vandy or UK in conference play.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:44 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree.

You have to finish .500 in conference if you want a realistic shot at the Tourney.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Clemson has had a tough time on the road in conference this year, although they beat us.

Also, to Bilas’ point, Lunardi said early today that since they started doing the Bubble Watch, they have never removed a team from “Lock” status, and they may with Wake this year.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:25 PM EST up reply actions  

check that, what I meant to say is that ESPN has never put a team in Lock status who

did not eventually make the Dance.

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Ahhhh...that makes sense

I’m guessing they made Wake a “lock”?

Any of you guys watching this Dook/Maryland game?

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 9:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Wake has been a lock for some time now, and I dont want to sound like a smarty

pants, but I thought it was too early when they did so

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah...

The thing is though, that with this year in the ACC…ANYONE can go on a 5 game losing streak (except for Duke/Maryland)

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 9:29 PM EST up reply actions  

I think they probably still sneak in as a 12 seed

even if they lose their final regular season game and lose the opening round of the ACCT. Still would have top 50 RPI and SOS. Would still have 4 or 5 wins against NCAAT teams (3 of them ooc).

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:52 PM EST up reply actions  

you talkin' Wake losing their last game then their first ACCT game? man, THAT

would give the tourney one HELL of a decision

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:54 PM EST up reply actions  

No kidding.

That’s a tough, tough way to go out….

But hell, lose that many games in a row, and it almost doesn’t matter WHAT you did back in january.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:27 PM EST up reply actions  

That's what I was talking about.

They have more better ooc wins (yes, more and better) than many of the other bubble teams. All subject to conference tourneys, so I guess they aren’t a lock, atm, even though they certainly have a good shot at making it.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:28 PM EST up reply actions  

21-8. wow

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Haha, that makes much more sense.

When you beat Gonzaga (in Spokane), Xavier and Richmond, you’re in. Wins over Maryland and Georgia Tech help, too. Not to mention their computer numbers are pretty solid.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 9:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Meh...I think if they lose out, it's still questionable.

Xavier impresses me. Gonzaga isn’t the Gonzaga we’re used to seeing, and Richmond is a solid mid major that has dropped some winnable games themselves.

Bad losses, though. William and Mary, Miami, UNC, NC State….

If they lose to Clemson, I think they’ll have to win a couple in the ACCT

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 9:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Richmond certainly isn't a worldbeater,

but they actually won at Florida. Beat Missouri. Beat Temple (who beat Nova and other bubbles Siena and VT, also Xavier, Dayton, URI). Beat fellow “bubble” Miss State. Beaten other top 50 RPI teams in ODU and URI. (The A 10 will get 4 teams in, imo. The question is if a 5th sneaks in.)

If Wake loses to Clemson but wins they’re first ACCT game, they’re in. Some of the resumes of these bubble teams are so weak this year that even an 0-6 streak and 1-7 to finish the season won’t keep them out; not with their wins. I’m 99% certain.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Right.

But if they lose out, and drop their first ACCT…THEN what do you think?

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:28 PM EST up reply actions  

As of right now I still think their resume would be better than many bubble teams.

So as of right now I’d say they’d still squeak in. I think I said they are still a lock if they go 0-2 to finish the season. I’ll take that back. Definitely aren’t a lock. Should still get in though.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree.

But it wouldn’t surprise me to see the TC only send 6…weirdos

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:38 PM EST up reply actions  

If GT and WF lose their final regular season game,

do you invite both, invite one, invite none?

GT would be 7-9.
WF would be 8-8 (and finish 0-5)

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:44 PM EST up reply actions  

I am in the camp that says you do not invite a team that is

sub .500 in their conference. GTech is out in that case. Wake would be on very shaky ground, and if I could find a small conference school to take over them, I would.

Wake would have to win their first ACCT game.

Vazquez just hit a runner to take the lead. 67-65 maryland

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 10:55 PM EST up reply actions  

I generally tend to agree with not inviting sub .500'ers, but, in a year like this

I’ll make an exception.

Also, RpiForecast seems to agree with me on the 99% lock status. They put us at 99.26% in and that was prior to our win over Wake.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 5, 2010 1:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Also, don't forget

If crap teams in other conferences win their tourney and get that automatic bid – that takes away from the ACC getting their 7th team in, the Big East getting their 9th team in, the Big 12 getting their 7th team…… etc. So Bilas and those guys can get all cutesy with the number of teams each conference gets in, but that really can change a ton once the championship tournaments are decided. For example, say Portland wins the WCC championship, that’s 2 bids from that conference since the Zags are obviously in (maybe 3 because of St. Marys, but that’s not the point).

Hopefully I am not sounding like I’m trying to “learn” you, since I’m sure you already know all of this….. I just wanted to bring it up , that’s all.

by BostonNole on Mar 3, 2010 9:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Right. For example, if anyone who isn't Cal wins the PAC10, that's one less.

Any other conferences that are subjective to a team that doesn’t have an at large wrapped up winning?

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 9:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah. Thats a perfect example.

Cornell in the Ivy? Or do they not have a championship tourney.

by BostonNole on Mar 3, 2010 9:55 PM EST up reply actions  

No tourney.

Butler (The Horizon)

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Northern Iowa (Missouri Valley)

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe

Siena (MAAC)

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe

Utah State (WAC)

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Yup. All great examples.

What’s funny is my girlfriend is asking why I am still posting. “Isn’t the game over?” “What are you guys talking about, post game analysis?” Damn broads.

by BostonNole on Mar 3, 2010 10:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe

UAB (C USA)

These are in descending order (lucky coincidence), from definite bid stealer to a potentially one bid league regardless.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Arizona State probably shouldn't,

but it wouldn’t surprise me if they were in. Especially if they win their final 2 regular season games to get to 12-6 in conference.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Looking at Wake's complete body of work

I’m not impressed. If they drop their last one, I wouldn’t be surprised to see them left out.

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 9:36 PM EST reply actions  

BRING ME THE HEAD OF GRIEVIS VAZQUEZ!!!!!!

The dance can wait…we have ACC bidness to take care of first….just left the CC and Andrews is packed…this is a very different town when the legislature is in session…lol…where are these women the rest of the year?!?

by Jersey Nole on Mar 3, 2010 9:40 PM EST reply actions  

they aint in Cleveland, thats for damn sure

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:44 PM EST up reply actions  

they must be special “legislative assistants” …I’m sure they think Tally is Hooterville…wait a minute…Tallahassee IS Hooterville when they are in town.

GoNolz…the Dr Spetman says you’re sponsoring a charter? Save me a seat please…

by Jersey Nole on Mar 3, 2010 9:53 PM EST up reply actions  

uhh...on the advice of my attorney, I am going to have to go with this...

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:56 PM EST up reply actions  

I mean, with this...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Excited_utterance

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:56 PM EST up reply actions  

as in:

“Look out! We’re going to crash!”

All is not lost; the unconquerable will/And courage never to submit or yield.

by GoNolzOhio on Mar 3, 2010 9:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Don't know if you could see it on TV but

Solomon Alabi’s incredible shrinking hands got even smaller since Sunday…he looks like that guy on the BK commercial now.

by Jersey Nole on Mar 3, 2010 10:04 PM EST reply actions  

Alabi’s line tonight…0 rebounds, 0 assists, 4 TOs, 2-8 from the field…thank God he was 6-8 from the charity stripe…just sayin’…his mere presence alters shots but I want to see more X in the few games.

by Jersey Nole on Mar 3, 2010 10:22 PM EST up reply actions  

As much presence as he has in the paint on defense,

is the opposite of what he has on offense.

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 10:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Just got back from the game

WOW talk about on edge. The lower areas were filled out nicely, had a good crowd and a loud one in the end.

One thing I haven’t seen discussed here – at half time Jimbo Fisher + Family got a really warm reception. Gator bowl trophy presented (or something like that). Guy 2 rows in front of me started yelling something about NC championship trophies instead…. boy tough expectations! :)

He also got to talk a little, was very humble, still settling in and generous treatment of family. The best part for me was when he emphasized everyone working hard to “get a product you’ll be proud of this fall”.

Also, he talked about spring practice starting and building up to the spring game. Tried to drum up a lot of support for the spring game telling everyone to come on out. Had good crowd response.

by StM on Mar 3, 2010 10:08 PM EST reply actions  

Yup... and the crowd gave him a warm welcome.

Had to smile and wave a while before he could get in a couple words.

Seeing him talk in person, he reminded me of some actor, but I can’t put a finger on who… I have to think about this….

by arrdub on Mar 3, 2010 10:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks for the info, man

Always good to hear from you guys who went!

by Randall W. Spetman on Mar 3, 2010 10:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Wake beating Clemson becoming more important.

UMd up 5, and I don’t want to face Duke in round 2 of ACCT (if 4-seed vs. 2-seed). I want Vasquez, and the crowd that hates Vasquez, behind us.

by arrdub on Mar 3, 2010 10:36 PM EST reply actions  

Good night RPI-wise.

Beneficial:
Auburn beats Mississippi State (and bursts their bubble)
Alabama wins on the road at South Carolina
Jacksonville beats North Florida
Iona wins at St. Peter’s
Texas A&M – Corpus Christi wins at Lamar
Pretty sure Maryland beating Duke helps our RPI a tad since we faced Maryland twice and Duke only once.

Meh…
Georgia State lost at Hofstra
Florida International lost to Western Kentucky

"Trick is right."

by tricknole on Mar 3, 2010 11:14 PM EST reply actions  

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