ACC v. SEC Money Numbers
On the heels of Tomhawk Nation's much talked about "What It Take$ To Be Consistently Successful In College Football" piece comes this this 4-part series from ACCSports.com. It is a re-print an ran in August of last year, but is very relevant today.
The news that the Big Ten plans to pursue expansion plans has set off a wave of speculation about the potential impact on all the other major college conferences.
It’s also reminded us of the central role that money and television play in college sports.
To give you a glimpse into the sort of things that conferences are weighing right now when contemplating their future decisions, we’ve decided to take a look back at an article we wrote last August. It’s a in-depth piece by Jon Solomon of the Birmingham (Ala.) News that compares the financial strength of the ACC and the SEC.
Part One discusses the SEC's TV package and includes some (now very funny) quotes from ACC officials and members. Nine months ago some of them (Bowden) apparently thought the ACC would get a package equal to that of the SEC. Now it appears the ACC won't approach half. The SEC is undoubtedly the better product, with more passionate fans and a higher quality of play, but there is also no question that the SEC got lucky with its deal. ESPN is kicking itself for dolling out a deal of this size before the economy went in the tank.
In Part Two, there is some particularly distressing news for ACC fans.
“There’s a reality that we all know: If the game is a blowout, there’s a tendency to get out of the game,” Gerber said. “Now the tendency will be to go to another SEC game. You have people moving from one game to another, and that’s how you grow ratings. …
“ESPN will promote the SEC quite a bit. ESPN has never been one to make a commitment of that size (the SEC package) and not promote it. They do it better than anybody.”
It’s not just SEC football that will be plastered all over ESPN. The SEC used football to leverage significantly more exposure for men’s basketball, the bread and butter of the ACC.
Last season, the SEC was guaranteed only a Tuesday night game on ESPN or ESPN2. Starting in 2009-10, the SEC will be on ESPN or ESPN2 on Tuesday, Thursday and Saturday, plus more games on over-the-air syndication. In addition, the SEC men’s basketball tournament semifinals and final will be on ABC. Previously, only the championship game was aired nationally, on CBS.
“We made basketball a priority in our negotiations,” [SEC Commissioner] Slive said. “We’ve been woefully underexposed.”
That's particularly bad because SEC schools are now spending their way towards quality basketball programs much like they did with football. They simply have a lot more money than almost anyone else. ACC fans had hoped to leverage basketball into a big contract, but that does not seem likely now.
Part Three paints a pretty bleak picture for ACC schools.
* Tennessee defensive line coach Ed Orgeron makes only $150,000 less than new Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney.
* Auburn lured popular North Carolina assistant Tommy Thigpen away from his alma mater during the offseason despite downgrading his title. A linebackers coach who made about $150,000 annually at UNC, Thigpen is making $250,000 per year as the safeties coach for the Tigers.“There’s no doubt that the SEC has raised the bar (on financial matters) in some ways in recent years,” North Carolina athletic director Dick Baddour said.
Whereas Florida State has delayed a plan to build a $20 million indoor practice facility for football and other sports, Georgia is moving ahead with a $40 million plan to renovate and expand its football and athletic department facilities.
And it’s not as if SEC schools were hurting before the new TV contracts. Of the top 15 revenue-producing athletic departments in the country in 2007-08, six were SEC schools, according to the latest data compiled by the U.S. Department of Education.
The Big Ten and the Big 12 each had four schools in the top 15, joining Notre Dame. The only ACC school that cracked the top 25 was Duke.
And the SEC continues to spend wildly while the ACC instituted spending freezes and cuts, had some schools force their coaches into furloughs, and even had a few schools post posted losses.
Part Four shows a chart with Gross Receipts, TV Breakdowns, and Revenue Breakdowns.
After reading those four, what are your thoughts on conference expansion? Should FSU look to join the SEC to avoid getting left in the dust financially? Or is it wise for FSU to be by far the top dog in the ACC (in football), win a lesser conference, and take advantage of its easier route to the championship?
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IMO
Winning a Championship will bring in dollars in boosters for FSU. Putting a product on the field will bring fans to the stadium and revenue in FSU gear. Will it approach SEC? Not likely. But FSU could play in a BCS bowl this year in the ACC and be .500 in the SEC this year. I don’t want to see a move to the SEC unless its to the point we have to because of dollars and sense.
Team GOLD
"I don’t want to see a move to the SEC unless its to the point we have to because of dollars and sense."
“I don’t want to see a move to the SEC unless its to the point we have to because of dollars and sense.”
We are there now.
You don't think that with a 8-5 season this year with a 10-11 win season next year
That FSU wouldn’t see a boom in sales of season tickets and in FSU merch? I don’t see us currently struggling for recruits at the moment and feel that moving to the SEC would actually have us struggling for recruits and numerous games where students and fans would only be in attendence to watch the other team like basketball games. Money doesn’t equal winning. Easy opponents does.
Team GOLD
Takes money now to buy easy opponents for your non conference...
so losing you non conference games and beating bad ACC teams = No resect given, no good poll numbers, littler interest from the fans, etc.
So lets look at it this way
Last Year.
Say we buy 3 wins from garbage teams. Which wasn’t the case cause Jax State game us a run for the money but lets just do a for instance with UF’s schedule last year.
Wed be 3-0 from OCC. and have to play 9 in conference
Toss vs UT
Beat UK
Beat by LSU
Toss vs Arkansas
Toss vs MSU
Lose to UGA
Beat Vandy
Lose to UF
Toss vs USCe
So we’d have 5 “easy wins” 4 tosses and with our team last year that would have been 1-3 and for sure 3 beat downs on national TV.
Does 6-6 look better in the SEC then it did in the ACC hells yes. But 6-6 in the ACC was 2 games away from playing for a BCS game. 6-6 was 6 games away from a BCS game.
Team GOLD
FSU was not a toss v. MSU and would definitely have been favored by more than a field goal against Arky
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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The same arky
that had two pick 6’s and took advantage of a bad QB
"Kill a fly with an axe"
by SteadfastNole on May 3, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions
scratch that
that was miss state wasn’t it
"Kill a fly with an axe"
by SteadfastNole on May 3, 2010 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions
The same Arky that gave up 42 to Georgia in Fayetteville
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Fine still 4 games back from playing for the title in the SEC
and only 2 games back in the ACC. Point being its much more likely for FSU to make the title game in the ACC then it is in the SEC. If you don’t make the title game then you aren’t playing for the NC regardless of who you are.
Team GOLD
I've been told on other threads that such money pales in comparison to the TV money.
Also, I don’t think easy opponents make for the best wins – being a dominant program is how I want to win!
This.
Boosters, ticket sales, concessions, merchandise, etc., are great. But most SEC school have similar or more than us. Their tv deal is double ours. That’s big. The Big Ten’s is triple, and looking to put even more distance.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Abiaka
Keep in mind that this discussion compares revenues from an old ACC TV contract to revenues from a new (and pre-crash) SEC TV contract. Everyone was reminded of this, happily, less than 2 weeks after this discussion took place.
http://www.tomahawknation.com/2010/5/17/1475305/acc-gets-new-tv-deal-with-espn
Perspective. Always a good thing to have.
Abiaka Windclan
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by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions
Gotta go after the money
The easier road argument certainly makes sense, but the proof is in the pudding. The last 4 champs are from the SEC, and if the easiest road to the BCS was really the end all be all, why aren’t teams clamoring to get into the Big East? Don’t think you’ll hear Mississippi State’s AD commiserating with USF’s AD saying “Yeah, the SEC is nice, I guess, but it’s too hard! I wish we had what you have…” Competition breeds quality. It’s tougher, but we’ll get better, and we’ll have the money to get better.
I feel like the only way to ACC can stay relevant in all of this is to expand it’s basketball prestige by adding schools like Syracuse and UConn. They’ll try to become a basketball “super-conference”. They can’t compete with the SEC for football, so they have to take advantage of their strengths. IMO, this makes us even more of a misfit in the ACC. We’re a football school, and if we’re offered a spot we’d be crazy not to jump on it.
We have to do something.
This does make things seem very bleak indeed. Is there any way to improve the ACC via expansion (I’m not sure what big teams we could draw)? Should we approach the Big 10 (an unlikely scenario)? Put our name out there for the SEC, if it expands (if so, I’d rather wait until we’ve recovered a bit)?
Of course, if I become a billionaire, I’ll make sure FSU is well-taken care of. Someone wanna help me get there? ;-)
I'm holding you to that statement once you get there.
In fact, just make the check out to me, and I’ll distribute the money as I see fit.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions
more like cruel and unusual punishment
for making us watch his offense
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
Can you even call it that?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 10:03 PM EDT up reply actions
It's highly offensive
Especially to the game of basketball.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions
Football team will average more ppg this year than bball.
/definitive
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
I think if the opportunity presents itself, we HAVE to move to the SEC. The only negative is a tougher road to the NC, but if you do the math, it’s not that much more difficult than what we have now.
If FSU, Miami, and Clemson jump ship, let’s assume that the new 14 team SEC looks like this:
East:
Clemson
Florida
Florida State
UGA
Kentucky
Miami
South Carolina
West:
Alabama
Auburn
LSU
Miss State
Ole Miss
Tennessee
Vanderbilt
Note: I’ve seen some different breakdowns, but this seems like the most balanced breakdown IMO, and it still makes some geographical sense.
We already play the best team in the East (UF) every year, in addition to Clemson and Miami. So we’ll add UGA, Kentucky, and South Carolina. To me that’s on par with GT, Virginia, and Wake Forest, so that’s pretty much a wash.
Then we’ll add 2 teams rotating from the West. If we pull LSU/Bama, yes that would suck. But we could also pull Vandy/Miss State. Then since we’re in the mighty SEC, we can stop playing OU, BYU, etc, and replace them with more SEC quality OOC opponents (Charleston Southern).
It really doesn’t seem like the schedule should be that much of a detterent for us. If an offer comes in, we have to take it.
by Klak on May 3, 2010 10:48 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
"The only negative is a tougher road to the NC."
This argument has been butchered on TN. And if it hasn’t yet, it needs to be, because it’s very important to the discussion. The SEC champ gets an automatic bid to the BCS MNC game with one (or * cough * LSU * cough * two) losses after beating one or two studs on its schedule and the same also-rans that appear in every other conference. I know some will argue that the middle of the conference will rise, but the SEC champ will still get its automatic bid to the BCS title game – I don’t care if it has three or four losses by the time it gets there. The landscape is changing. The SEC teams that won MNC’s in the last half-decade generally did not play brutal schedules (never let anyone tell you that perception doesn’t equal reality in college sports) yet were the first to get a pass for their one (or two) losses regardless. Any other argument is fair game but leave the path to the MNC out of it if you think it’s a negative for joining the SEC. It’s just one more plus for the SEC if you’re on that side of the fence.
Go undefeated. Beat out the Big16 and 16-team SEC champion for the MNC game spots.
Do all this while falling so far behind the SEC in resources that our program crumbles to near non-existence. (That was Bud talking, not me.) Just looking ahead.
And then the argument is, well, the ACC needs to be more proactive now! And do what? Realistically?
Damn, I promised myself I wouldn’t get into this debate, ha. For the record, I see everyone’s point and could probably argue any side if I really had to. I love the ACC and always have. But to say the path to the MNC would be tougher by joining one of the 16-team power conferences is easily the worst reason to stay put if an opportunity to bolt arises. Really big money and really big power are coming to college football.
It's tough to go there, though
Because we don’t know what the 16 team mega conferences will look like. We’ve heard a lot of rumors and speculation, but we really don’t have any idea what’s going to happen.
>>---l>
Still disagree
FSU can overcome the stigma surrounding the ACC’s perceived weakness. The name is everything. FSU and Miami have it made in the current structure.
>>---l>
Well, the current structure is meaningless soon anyway.
I’ve never been an advocate to bolt for the SEC, believe me, and I loved the opportunity to join the ACC in the first place. (Hate admitting I’m that old.) But when the time comes, I’m all for looking at every option. If the time comes in June 2010, we’re outta here.
Thats not even close to balanced unless your mean geographically
Clemson, UM, UF, AND FSU in one division? There’s no way any of those schools agree with that.
only Alabama and LSU in the other? Tennessee is going downhill fast. Thats a cakewalk for the Alabama v. LSU winner.
Flip one of the top 4 in the East with one of the bottom 4 in the West and it evens out
by freshcollegeboy on May 3, 2010 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions
What i UM falls, like some think?
Or, what if UM was not invited – would that contribute to a fall?
Below, someone said we’d drop UM if we jumped and they didn’t. How would UM fare in a weakened ACC, with their skimpy fan support, not playing FSU or UF (except rarely), but with the Miami talent base?
Would their future be bright (easier road to titles) or would they fade to moderately good?
In that case
with Miami in the ACC and not playing FSU or UF, it could be bad. Their revenue will blow and they’d have no way to pay Shannon (or any coach) much more than the $800K or so he’s currently making. Or maybe they’d become the minor league champ and remain a somebody, just never really competing for national titles.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I think it'd be appropriate...for where they BELONG
Buried in shit…
but that’s just me.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:05 PM EDT up reply actions
Maybe we'd have so much revenue we could buy UM and rename it the FSU, Miami.
Suck it UF.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Miami would play USF, UCF in the ACC
The ACC would add another Florida team or two. The new programs at USF and UCF have a lot of upside. If Miami ended up in the position you describe, regular games between these teams and Miami, as part of a BCS conference schedule, would amount to a rising tide that lifts all boats.
Sport, like the universe, is a complex system. It’s not a zero-sum game.
Abiaka Windclan
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by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions
I agree - if offered we should go to the SEC. In fact, we should leave skid marks if offered.
Talk of creating a basketball superconference sounds good until you realize that the financial packages for basketball pale by comparison to college football TV packages. The big money is in college football. If college basketball money was huge – then the Big East wouldn’t be worried that its about to be raided by the Big10 and/or ACC.
I think your split of conference teams is probably right on – though I think Arkansas to the Big 12 is a big assumption. The Big 12 would need to pony up a pretty sizeable offer I think to attract Arkansas away from the SEC money.
The problem with all of this is that for the SEC to expand – they’re really just splitting revenue that they already have amongst more schools. Unless ESPN was willing to add money to the equation which IMO is unlikely without other concessions by the SEC. For example ESPN could agree to up the deal in exchange for lengthening the contract to 20 years. $11+M per team is alot in 2010 dollars – but may not look so bad in 2020 dollars.
Rest assured the SEC won’t be making any expansion moves without consulting the ESPN guys first. That actually IMO bodes well for us – because as much as ESPN has savored reporting bad news about FSU – they LOVE how many eyeballs we bring to the screen on GameDay.
If you look at our schedule in the conference layout that you proposed – its not massively worse that what we have in the ACC.
First, we already play Clemson, Florida and Miami every year so there’s no change there.
We would add UGA, Kentucky and South Carolina in our own division. Is that really that much worse than BC, Maryland and North Carolina St? I think BC’s been nearly as good as UGA. Kentucky and South Carolina are inconsistent – much like Maryland and NC State. I think those three would be more difficult than our ACC division opponents – but not by a lot.
Then we’d get 2 games from the other division to get to 8 conference games. From a recent history perspective (say the last 5-7 years) there are two premier teams (Bama and LSU), 2 pretty good teams (Auburn and Tennessee) and then 3 so-so teams (Miss St, Ole Miss, Vandy).
In the ACC, our rotational opposite division opponents are: GT, VT, UVA, UNC, Duke. GT, VT, and UNC are all at least pretty good IMO if not verging on premier some years while UVA and Duke have been so-so or putrid.
So again, its an upgrade of our schedule – but now consider the OOC games.
In addition to UF who now becomes a divisional opponent – we’ve played BYU, OU, Bama, Colorado, USF, Notre Dame, etc. Yes, we’ve also played some patsies – but now with an SEC schedule – they can all be patsies.
So IMO, the schedule isn’t way worse than what we have now – but the opponents are closer geographically. As a fan who wouldn’t like to alternate these home game schedules every year? Or make a few road trips for the road games?
EVEN YEARS = UF, Clemson, Kentucky (one of Bama, LSU, Tenn, Aub, Miss St., Ole Miss, Vandy)
ODD YEARS = MIA, UGA, South Carolina (one of Bama, LSU, Tenn, Aub, Miss. St., Ole Miss, Vandy)
In terms of recruting as an SEC team, I think we’d make out fantastically. The ACC brand name in football does almost nothing for us in terms of recruiting. The SEC brand name does TONs for most SEC teams. Today I think there are a number of recruits that we just don’t get much play with because we have ACC next to our school name and not SEC. That said, I think we do well as is. But with the SEC logo next to our name – I think we’d rarely lose recruits to Auburn or UGA or LSU or Tennessee – I think the SEC logo is the primary reason why we’ve lost recruits to those schools over the years. We’d still be in a fight with UF, Miami, Clemson, and Bama – but on a much more level playing field.
by GraniteStateNoles on May 3, 2010 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions
Good post
I think about where the additional revenue is going to come from as well. This is the only thing I can think of. Who does the SEC have that tertiary TV deal with? Is it Raycom?
Think for a minute if the SEC added TX, TX A&M, FSU and Miami. Think of the games that would fall down to that 12:30 game. Instead of having Kentucky and Ole Miss or Mississippi State vs Auburn, they would have games like Auburn-FSU, Georgia-Clemson, TX AM – LSU, even AFTER CBS/ESPN got their pics.
The rights to that alone would probably be worth more than what most conferences would get for their entire football deal.
We know that ESPN/ABC isn’t going to pony up any more money, but what if CBS basically bought the rights to that 12:30 game, and went to double headers every Saturday? Or maybe Versus, who is still trying to get people to demand coverage with their carriers.
That Raycom package, and I have no idea how much time is left on it, would seem to be the biggest room to generate more TV revenue.
Even in a lot of other professions the name is HUGE for recruiting. Big 4 firms always get the top accounting students unless that student has some wierd interest in personal time, or time off.
So I can imagine how the SEC vs. ACC thing works in the minds of 17 year olds. Although, I would say that if FSU started constantly beating up on everyone else in the ACC and played the SEC consistently in bowl games/NC then it wouldn’t be a big issue at all.
Grace I call Your name, Oh won’t Your smile fall over me, I’m cracked and dry on hands and knees, Oh sweet grace rain down on me I need You grace
-Phil Wickham
I still say FSU would be a good fit for the West
Since you no longer have Ark (why would they bolt for the Big XII, esp. if the B12 loses a couple teams to the B10?), leave UT in the East, put us in the West. We’d be easy road games for Bama, Aub, LSU, and the Misses.
If the SEC invites, we accept...unless
…the ACC is willing to take a bold step and make a preemptive strike to grab a handful of the premier Big East schools before the Big Ten beats us to it. Having Boston College stuck way up there by itself isn’t doing much for us, but if we added Syracuse and Pittsburgh and Connecticut and Rutgers we’d just about lock down the east coast. We could also try to pull in a couple of basketball schools (Georgetown, Villanova) while we’re at it.
The expanded ACC would still suffer from having a bunch of schools with no common history, but there’s not much we can do about that. In the meantime, we’d have our product in some enormous markets, and two or three of our football programs can get themselves into the national championship picture, we could draw a lot of watchers.
So I think we either join the SEC or move quickly to expand the ACC. Doing neither of these will leave our conference in a very weak position compared to our primary competitors.
How does any of that translate to $$$$$
This article already explains how basketball doesn’t mean that much. Adding three 2nd- and 3rd-tier football programs doesn’t solve the problem.
I think the article said basketball was very important to the SEC package...but
beyond that, I would have to assume that adding fairly good, if not great, football programs that are in the heavily populated northeast would help immensely in attracting TV dollars. I’m not expert, however, so maybe that’s an incorrect assumption.
Regardless, it’s my opinion that the ACC cannot continue in its current state, even if Florida State and Miami get good again, and that our choices are join the SEC or beef up the ACC.
TV Markets
Being able to leverage, NYC, NJ and the tri-state area means they can add to the TV package negotiations. Folks often think of tv numbers based upon “popularity” in a given market. The truth is these tv numbers are leveraged based upon the amount of eyes that “could” tune in to watch.
Pitt, Syracuse, UConn, Rutgers all fit the relative academic profile and they would bring in new markets. Pittsburgh being the smallest but still a top 30 market I believe. NYC comes with Rutgers, Cuse or UConn as a selling point.
That’s where the money comes from.
http://inthebleachers.net
by InTheBleachers on May 3, 2010 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions
"premier" refers to their position in the Big East...
…as well as the new markets they’d open up for the ACC
Rutgers, Syracuse, Pittsburgh and Connecticut
… deserve consideration. The basketball value of the expanded conference would go sky-high, and basketball counts for a lot with the growing audience for American sports overseas. The hole between Boston and the rest of the league gets closed, so you get more rivalries. The academic reputation of the schools adds value. And you get an East Coast conference second to none in the value of the TV markets in its footprint. All of that translates into dollars for the teams.
And all this happens before you start improving the football.
Abiaka Windclan
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by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions
Or is it wise for FSU to be by far the top dog in the ACC (in football), win a lesser conference, and take advantage of its easier route to the championship?
yes
365 days, until I change my ways.
plus with the additions of sliced bread and NWO why would we jump to the SEC
365 days, until I change my ways.
There's also the possibility of extending the geographic footprint and obtaining the entire state of Texas' television market
By extending an invite to Chuck Norris.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 11:40 AM EDT up reply actions
You don't invite Chuck Norris.
Chuck Norris goes number 2 and then you pick through it to find stuff to add to your conference.
Problem solved...by adding Jimmy Trivette you make yourself more appealing to not only the Texas market, but the African-American Texas market.

"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions
Tough choices
I’m not sure that the ACC will be an easier run to the national championship. At this point, the winner of the SEC championship will go most years – against a round robin of Big 12, Big “Ten”, and PAC-10. I think an ACC team would need to be undefeated to be discussed for the championsship game. Undefeated, against ACC teams plus Florida, may not be any easier than undefeated against SEC teams including Florida.
On the other hand, SEC dollars would make a huge impact on facilities. Plus, ESPN will televise mediocre SEC teams relentlessly on the (bogus) argument about SEC “strength of schedule.”
Probably a stupid question, but...
does FSU make more money in a conference than they would as an independent? I assume that was part of the reason they joined a conference in the first place, but I’m just wondering if that is still the case- considering that if FSU does get back on top and can consistently reach a BCS bowl they will have to split the revenue 12 ways.
Only ND can realistically survive as an independent in today’s landscape, and that’s only because of their NBC deal. Conferences provide money, stability, and 8 of your 12 games already scheduled for you. Ok maybe they don’t provide that much stability, but the others are still valid.
To add on to Klak
ND is the only independent that can survive in todays landscape but they can’t survive in the future. The NBC deal is only a third of what Big 10 schools are receiving in TV money right this second and will probably be a quarter by this time 2 years from now.
Not ND. The institution in the best position to go it alone is (appropriately enough) Texas.
Abiaka Windclan
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by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions
BCS games and National Championships
will make us enough money to stay afloat.
We just gotta win, then we’ll be rich and on top in the ACC.
If we can’t we may have to be rich and above average (for a while) in the SEC.
by freshcollegeboy on May 3, 2010 11:27 AM EDT reply actions
It seems pretty clear to me that there's only two possibilities
Either join the SEC or get Notre Dame in the ACC as a full member. I don’t see how any other option makes us viable. It will be very difficult to hold our coaches, including our head coach, when the SEC comes calling.
Some people are missing the point. Being a national title contender in the ACC may put you in the financial ballpark of the SEC, maybe. But sorry, that’s not the issue. The problem is nobody is going to stay on top that long again. The SEC teams are raking in the dough even when they’re down. That’s how Alabama bounces back in a flash from DuBose and Shula. They can.
If Fisher ends up sucking (nobody believes this) and we end up with losing records the next two years, will we have the cash to fire him and replace him with the best available coach in the country, and pay their assistants as well?
If Fisher’s offense had NOT materialized, could we have afforded NOT to make him the HC?
If you’re banking on being a national-champion level performer every year in the ACC just to get within sight of Vanderbilt and Mississippi State, you have to GET EVERYTHING RIGHT EVERY TIME. That’s not a recipe for success.
It also means you’re the most financially vulnerable at the moment you need the cash to make changes/improvements.
That’s why Clemson kept Tommy so long and ended up with Dabo Sweeny. That’s why Groh ended up in VA so long. It’s damn hard when you have to get it right every time.
I actually hate how quickly the SEC schools pull the trigger and fire their coaches so quickly. But they do it because they can afford to do whatever they have to do to be at the level they want to be. The coach firing is just the most visible aspect of that.
Unless there is some revolutionary revenue stream I’m not visualizing like ACC basketball going to pay-per-view or something, I don’t see the options.
Notre Dame is the only thing that can save the ACC now.
by LouC on May 3, 2010 11:39 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Some good point, but it's a bit dramatic, no?
I don’t think that adding ND is even a remote possibility…not with the Big 10 sitting there.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions
Agreed...
which means, there is nothing to save the ACC.
I completely agree.
If 14+ team expansion occurs, the ACC will be second rate in football and conference revenues. It would be a great basketball league (vying with the Big Ten for top dog with the Big East dismantled), but that won’t bring in the megabucks to keep FSU afloat against nearby SEC competitors.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
That may be true.
That’s certainly the common thought. But I’m not totally convinced it’s true. What if the ACC allowed NC to cut it’s own deal for it’s home games, and the rest of the conference split the other TV deal, which would include 5-6 ND games a year? The Big 10 would never do that, but the ACC might.
Biggest stumbling block is what Notre Dame does with the annual game against Michigan, USC and Navy. Can’t keep those up in a conference schedule.
Why couldn't Notre Dame still play those 3?
Why would Notre Dame keep its own tv contract if it were to join a conference? The reason they don’t want to join a conference has nothing to do with money. Joining the Big Ten would double their money but they still don’t want to do it. They think by no longer being an independent they will have stripped away everything that IS Notre Dame. A bunch of crap, if you ask me, but many of them truly, deeply and firmly believe that.
I also truly, deeply and firmly believe that if conferences go 14-16 and Notre Dame remains independent, they will also become entirely irrelevant without finagling to join a conference later.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
ACC and Fox deal?
what ever happened to the negotiation between the ACC and the Fox Network?
1st Coast Gridiron @ http://www.1stcoastgridiron.com/
Jacksonville Seminoles Club @ http://jaxnoles.com/
All reports are that no possible deal for the ACC
is going to even approach being good enough. As the article said, lucky to approach half the size.
I wonder if the ACC would be roughly competitive in revenue if they created their own network.
They’d have some major/solid tv markets in Miami/Ft. Lauderdale, Orlando, Tampa/St. Petersburg, Atlanta, Charlotte, Washington, D.C., Hampton Roads, Baltimore, Boston (and possibly Connecticut, Cincinnati and Louisville?).
Is Indianapolis, Cleveland, Columbus, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Detroit, Chicago, Milwaukee, Minneapolise/St. Paul better/bigger than that? Obviously it appears as if the Big Ten will expand, but not before they raked in over $20M/school with that conference footprint. If the ACC could make that money, would that be good enough for us to stay?
I guess it would depend on who all the SEC adds in a conference expansion. If they were to add, say, Texas and Oklahoma (the states, along with their top 2 programs from each), all bets are off. What would that get them, maybe $30M+/year? If so, that $10M different would be a lot. Making only 2/3 of your nearest competitor wouldn’t be near as bad if they were only making $6M and you were making $4, but 30 and 20 are much different. If the SEC couldn’t lure Texas but lured away Oklahoma, let’s say, AND the ACC had their own network in place, would they be able to lure away ACC schools then?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I'm intrigued by an idea someone else posted
The ACC and Pac 10 teaming up for a network. From coast to coast, baby. Plus, there are some very competitive non-football sports in those two confs. It’s a thought.
Maybe call it the ACC (pronounced ACK) 10 Network?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Bud, is there a link to part two of the referenced story?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 11:50 AM EDT reply actions
http://www.accsports.com/articles/201004277743/from-the-vault-acc-vs-sec—money-matters—part-2.php
Tim Tebow 2010.
Bring the hate.
Feed the beast.
My biggest fear is actually that the SEC doesn't invite us.
While I can see $millions$ of reasons why we would want into the SEC, I’m not sure we’d bring enough to the table to be chosen. I’m afraid they just go to 14 and stay in TX, or choose Clemson and Miami or something.
Although, I’d have to think that UF despite their hate would rather pull us into the conference, rather than bring another tough opponent into the conference and still need to play us outside.
Which brings up another question. Assuming that expanded conferences mean more conference games, how long before UF says they just can’t afford to play us any more, and same with UGA and GT, etc. That just buries the ACC further.
Before you claim that could never happen, there was a time when you would have said the same about Pitt and Penn St.
Agreed.
If the SEC took Clemson and Miami ONLY to get to 14 teams and we got left behind – that would S-U-C-K. That’s why we have to go if offered. Its not like the SEC is going to ask us and then when we decline say – oh OK, well I guess we won’t expand then.
If they want 2 out of Clemson, Miami and us – we have to go.
If they want 3, they’ll take 3 of Clemson, Miami, GT, and us – again we have to go IMO.
by GraniteStateNoles on May 3, 2010 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions
Honestly
I think they’ll try to solidify a couple states. If they take FSU, Miami, Georgia Tech and Southern Miss, they then realistically own the entire states of Florida, Georgia and Mississippi, in addition to Alabama. Put Miami and GT in the east, FSU and USM in the west.
by tuckwell@work on May 3, 2010 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions
I guess I don't understand why they'd take Southern Miss, or why
they’d look to “solidify” states instead of making claims in other states. The SEC is already on on tv in all 4 of those states. It’s not as if half of Florida, Georgia and Mississippi aren’t able to watch SEC games.
Wouldn’t it seem to make more financial sense to increase potential viewers than to try to increase the percentage of viewership from within your already staked out territory?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Agreed 100%.
Besides, how many eyeballs with the SEC add by adding Southern Miss? 22? On that note, I don’t think “solidifying Mississippi” is high on the priority list.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions
Miami has
as much chance of getting in ahead of FSU as Wake does.
Same thing with Clemson really.
FSU is hands down the top ACC school, barring MAYBE some argument with UNC and Va Tech (new TV markets), but even then….it is all FSU….IF they expand
Well
Perhaps not if Texas wanted to join them. I’m sure there are scenarios where we wouldn’t get in. I think we should, though.
However, would a souped-up SEC make it less likely that their teams play for NCs? Would having so many power teams make it almost impossible for anyone to go undefeated, or even escape with 1-2 losses on a regular basis? If so, would that affect their money? (Maybe not for a while with the ESPN deal… or later, with a kick-butt network…)
I agree, Texas is #1 on SEC list...
however, outside of the Big 12, I think FSU is #1 on the SEC list. JMHO. But everything I have read outside of the Orlando Sential has suggested the same.
The SEC is Texas 4th or 5th choice
This is fan thinking not president thinking. UT does not think of itself as a southern school they think of themselves as being with the Michigan’s, UCal system schools, and Wisconsin’s. If there was no state politics involved they already would be in either the Big or Pac 10 which they still might end up being. State politics is going to be a strong push to stay in any reformed Big 12 in order to save the Texas Techs and Baylors that have strong political support. And while I believe its a long shot and a bad idea Texas can go independent with there Longhorn Sports Network they keep kicking about which can give them money that is not that far off from even a SEC tv money.
Few things.
Who is #2 for Texas, after the Big Ten? The Pac 10 doesn’t provide near the money or exposure. It would also be over a day and a half’s trip to the Oregon and Washington schools (it’s only 25 hours from Miami to Boston).
Who is #3-5? Mountain West? WAC? C-USA? The Big East won’t exist, and if it does, it will be C-USA with the Big East name, so they’re out. The ACC may be a better academic fit but the geography thing again makes that a no go most likely.
Doesn’t that kind of leave the SEC? So I’d think it’d be no worse than their 3rd choice.
Also, if the Big Ten or SEC takes some Big XII schools, they’ll likely be some of the good ones. Possibly Nebraska and Oklahoma. If those two schools are gone – heck, even if they stay – Texas could have conference legislation act against it in its quest to create its own network.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Common sense says that Texas would probably move to the SEC
should the Big 10 offer fall through, and the current B12 is weakened.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions
Texas is one of the only schools...
that can write their own rules.
So I don’t think your argument works for them. Maybe, but I doubt it.
I'm arguing that Texas can do whatever the hell it wants. It's Texas.
I just don’t think the SEC is their "4th or 5th’ choice.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:25 PM EDT up reply actions
So you think Nebraska, Oklahoma and Texas A&M would allow Texas
to make their own network?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
You are thinking like a fan or AD not a President
There first choice is to stay in the currently constructed Big 12 with Nebraska and MO (especially if they can strong arm there Longhorn Network as the cost of staying).
Since the chances of Nebraska and MO leaving are so high there next choice would be the Big 10 but state politics might interfere. The Pac 10 is right behind the Big 10 in the presidents office. The reason they like these choices are the Big 10 is where the money is both athletically and in research it is a hell of a lot easier to bitch to the state legislators that you are 200 million dollars down in research spending compared to Wisconsin and Michigan than it is to go to the state asking for more when you are in the top 3 and only a few million from the top. The Pac 10 is attractive because if Texas joins the Pac 10 is in position to start a Pac 10 network that would have every cable channel locked in the two largest states and might come close to the BTN deal.
There forth choice is independence for a few years with the Longhorn Network. With this option not much would change from the Big 12 except the loss of some revenue sharing of the BCS pot.
There is a 0 percent chance that Oklahoma goes to the Big 10 or Pac 10. They don’t fit the academic profile of the Big 10, they are in a small state, the school is a different culture than Big 10 schools. With the Pac 10 you need unanimous consent from the current members and if Stanford rejected UT in the 90’s there is no way in hell they are going to consent to Oklahoma now.
With the loss of Nebraska and Mizzu the chances of the rest of conference approving the Longhorn network goes up not down. They know they have no other options for long term viability with out Texas and will bend over backwards to do anything to keep them.
You are thinking like a fan or AD not a President
No, I am thinking how the university would logically act as a single entity, which it is.
There forth choice is independence for a few years with the Longhorn Network.
What? Didn’t you say this (down below) prior to saying this (up above)? Presumably you were saying they wouldn’t allow UT to ditch TAMU or for both to ditch TTU or BU, or something of the like?
there next choice would be the Big 10 but state politics might interfere.
There is a 0 percent chance that Oklahoma goes to the Big 10 or Pac 10.
Who the hell said they were?
With the loss of Nebraska and Mizzu the chances of the rest of conference approving the Longhorn network goes up not down. They know they have no other options for long term viability with out Texas and will bend over backwards to do anything to keep them.
Is that so? Why wouldn’t the conference just demand the Longhorn Network be turned into the Big XII Network?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
No, I am thinking how the university would logically act as a single entity, which it is.
Not really. The University President and Regents control all activities they might give some thought to what the AD says but the AD is far below them in this type of decision. In a decision to change conferences its the Presidents in the room not the ADs.
What? Didn’t you say this (down below) prior to saying this (up above)? Presumably you were saying they wouldn’t allow UT to ditch TAMU or for both to ditch TTU or BU, or something of the like?
No, what I said is there first choice is to stay in the current Big 12 with teams like Nebraska and in there fantasy world that would include the Longhorn Network but the LHN is not a deal breaker its just a dream.
What I said about independence is that they would not mind this as they can start up the LHN. A and M only matters for state political reasons UT can’t be seen as screwing over A and M. This is the reason that when you see the rumors about the Pac/Big 10 and UT they mention A and M because that is the only way the Texas legislator approves of this move. If A and M could get there own deal independent of UT there are no problems.
Who the hell said they were?
Sorry, I misread what you wrote.
Is that so? Why wouldn’t the conference just demand the Longhorn Network be turned into the Big XII Network?
Because Texas is worth more to them than they are to Texas. The need Texas to stay relevant. Texas has already nixed the Big 12 network idea already. If Iowa St and KState tried to give them an ultimatum Texas laughs. The only reason the Longhorn Network does not exist right now are the other Texas schools like Tech and Baylor that can run to daddy legislator as well as Nebraska being a big enough counter weight as well as Mizzu because they are in the second biggest state in the Big 12.
Their president will not make the choice by himself, without consent from the athletic department.
I’d never considered Texas as in independent (until you mentioned it earlier). Would their old Big XII mates avoid scheduling them as payback? Would they make significantly more as an independent with their own network than as a top dog in the Big XII? Not sure.
But wouldn’t going independent screw A&M? Because Nebraska and Missouri seem gone. That’d be 3 members of the Big XII gone. OU may go to the SEC, an Colorado may go to the Pac 10 in that scenario. The Big XII would be a shell.
And maybe a new Big XII would be ruled by Texas. I was thinking the new schools combined with the older non-OU/UT/NU/A&M schools would have a majority to veto anything Texas. Maybe they would agree to less desirable terms when joining the conference that UT could exploit.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Interesting thought...
Would TAMU care if UT went independent?
Or is it just a big deal if they go somewhere else.
It’d be interesting to see the reasoning behind the whole “UT and TAMU attatched at the hip” rule/law. If it’s strictly revenue based, I would think that UT going Indy and grabbing their own network would be a big no-no.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:00 PM EDT up reply actions
I can't see that not affecting A&M negatively.
And IF (strong if) that whole legislative thing exists to the extent people are claiming, there’s no way they’d allow Texas to leave.
I don’t think it’s realistic. Just like I don’t see Texas playing 4 teams in Oregon and Washington over 35 hours away is realistic.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Politics in Texas has always been behind the TAMU/Texas agreement. The Good ’Ole Boy Network is strong.
Right, and we understand that.
But are there specifics of some sort of understanding? Or would it be a case-by-case basis to determine if Texas can ‘secede’ without TAMU
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:13 PM EDT up reply actions
Oh, I wasn’t offering up an answer. I don’t know. Just ruminating on the Texas legislature’s interest in college football.
Oh, I thought maybe you knew.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:27 PM EDT up reply actions
The politics now
The politics right now in the state is TAM has the governor and along with some powerful legislators that are alumni that will not allow the school to be hurt financially. This is the reason UT was forced into the Big 12 despite it being there 4th choice at the time and why Tech and Baylor went for the ride while the rest of the SWC got screwed in the early 90’s these schools had strong friends at the top of Texas politics. If TAM is taken care either by getting its own good deal independent of UT, UT can pretty much do what it wants along as they are not seen as causing the Big 12 to blow up otherwise they are tied to the hip and what ever UT does TAM is along for the ride including being part of the Longhorn Network as duel independents.
So UT can do what it wants, just so long as TAMU is financially OK?
Is that basically what the dealy-o is?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 5, 2010 12:32 AM EDT up reply actions
I read in a blog I'll never be able to find again
That Tex and A&M are not as joined as is often quoted. Apparently, when the Big 8 imploded, TX looked very hard at the PAC 10 and A&M would not have joined them there. At the same time, A&M flirted with the SEC, and TX didn’t.
As someone referred to above, I don’t think they are so much joined at the hip, rather whatever TX does just can’t be seen to cripple A&M terribly. So you could theoretically see TX to the Pac 10 or independent, and A&M (and maybe OK) to the SEC, and that would probably fly.
One thing I’ve read is that unlike most rivalry games, the TX-OK can NOT go away. Because it is not a home game, you don’t get those tickets with your season ticket package. TX extracts insane amounts of contributions for the rights to buy that ticket, too much cash to give up.
I think they may drop it if they join the SEC and OU doesn't.
But, if the joined the Pac 10, different story.
And I’m glad somebody else thinks this “package” stuff is overblown.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Could anybody see a scenario in which ND goes to the Big 10 and it's all over?
Seems logical to me. I haven’t read up on the whole expansion issue, though, because it’s basically all rumors right now.
>>---l>
Worst case scenario?
That might be, for us. The ACC doesn’t seem primed to bring in the big bucks.
I wouldn't really mind it
It would maintain the status quo. We have a sweet deal right now. Though we can’t compete financially with the SEC, we can dominate the ACC and have a great path to the title game.
>>---l>
But we need to find ways of making a lot more money
Some coaches might like the opportunity to win titles, but many would prefer to stock away a few extra million per year to take care of their families. With the extra millions (annually) that the SEC teams are getting, smart people could do big things at those schools.
Heck, give me an extra $5 million a year to use at my discretion (for FSU), and in 10-20 years I would have accomplished a lot us. Each SEC team brings home more than that (in difference) from their TV deals, right?
I don't know if I agree with that
If LSU offered Jimbo 5 million in a couple of years, I’m not sure it’s guaranteed he would bolt if we offered 4 and he was having a lot of success. I think winning will allow us to be in the same financial ballpark as far as coaches salaries go. Success also cures a lot of recruiting deficiencies created by subpar facilities in comparison to SEC schools. I just don’t think it’s a no-brainer to go from a chance to compete for a title once or twice every 10 years to maybe once every 2 decades in exchange for more money.
>>---l>
If it is a money battle...
LSU can now offer 3 times what FSU can.
The money differences are very recent (at least to this degree).
I don’t totally disagree with the pro ACC agruments, but they are all based on FSU winning it every year like during the dynasty years.
That seems like a REAL bad business plan….."OK, we win the ACC every year and our donors might make up the HUGE money differences’
They would not offer 3x
Even if they could.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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They could not offer 3x as much
There would be riots in the legislators if a college coach was offered that deal.
Of course, 20 years ago...
if someone said a football coach would make over $4 Million, I would of heard the same thing.
True
I don’t know if a million would lure someone away, but they will be outdistancing us financially each year. Some years from now, what if we offer someone 5 mill and another school offers 8.5?
Is it a given that the gap widens each year?
As our booster base grows and the SEC is locked into their TV contract until when, 2025? The ACC will also sign a new contract soon. It won’t be close to the SEC, but it will provide a bump.
>>---l>
I think their money offers a great cushion
But a lot of our money depends on us doing REALLY well (near dynasty level), and the ACC becoming better in the eyes of the nation. I’m not sure the ACC has the support. How many subscribers does the B10 network have? Could an ACC network approach that?
Hey, if we can make the ACC viable, and make enough money that the SEC big boys don’t have that much of an advantage, I’m happy where we are. But I don’t want to get left too far behind.
Takes less money to win the ACC
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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yea, same with winning the Big East...
but tough to make it to the title game from that conference.
Better go undefeated if you have any hopes.
Agreed but I think we have a much better chance of going undefeated in the ACC than we do escaping that 16-team SEC monster w/ a single loss
These other ACC teams are getting poor quick. At least we’re gaining ground on them. Nobody is spending in the ACC like we are.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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I agree Bud to an extent
If you want win a national championship in the next three year, we’re probably better off in the ACC. But the long term health of the program, between TV revenue, attendance, boosterism, etc, the SEC would be better. Unless you think we fall into the Kentucky/Ole Miss level.
But I think we can play at the UF, UGA, LSU level.
Many people are really underestimating the intensity of fandom (and and as a result financial support from the fans) engendered by SEC football compared to the ACC.
I didn't realize it until I arrived in SEC country.
The difference is ridiculous.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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People that aren't here don't get it...
People are always referring to South Carolina as “mid-tier”, “mediocre”, “losers” and so on. If you asked most fans on here to match up the ACC and SEC, many would probably match them up with Maryland or maybe NC State.
You should see the Atlanta area before the GA-South Carolina game. Georgia fans are amped up for the game, worried and excited, in a way that FSU fans don’t get up for short of Miami and UF. And they aren’t nearly their biggest rival.
South Carolina fans are rabid. More rabid than FSU fans.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Which makes fans of schools playing them respond in kind
I don’t think people understand the level of intensity in the SEC. It would be overstating it a bit to say it’s like our UF game four or five times a season, but not by much.
That kind of intensity leads to much greater support and booster levels.
People who cannot afford to do so give much more than many 'Noles who can afford to give but do not.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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like the guy who can't buy his kids new shoes but purchases a whole shopping cart of fireworks
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Outside of Vandy
They’re all rabid…even Kentucky impresses me at times
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 3:29 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
SEC atmoshere attracted Ronald Powell to UF in fact
I met a guy who worked in S&C at Kentucky. He would go to the road games on occasion. At UF pre-kickoff the only thing you would hear is the frickin chomp. And at LSU they would roll the Tiger cage right by the visitors entrance to the field. You had to run out the tunnel right past it not knowing it was there and that scares the s**t outta you.
He explained to me that games in the SEC are SO difficult regardless to final score and that there’s a reason hardly anyone goes undefeated. The games are absolute wars
by westcoastnolefan on May 3, 2010 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions
So its NC or bust for you?
Think about it this way. FSU competes year in and year out in the ACC for a BCS bowl game. And thats at 7-5 and 6-6 in the ACC….Would our product even have won 4 games last year in the SEC? I am sorry. I think that competing for a BCS game every year is slightly better than fighting for 2nd place in our division. More BCS games = more money for FSU. More money for FSU = further domination of ACC. I’d rather be dominant in a weaker conference then be average or “just another fish in the pond” in the SEC. Which would you rather be the Lead Attorney a smaller firm or the 4-5th guy in a larger conglomerate. We don’t have the money coming in now to compete in the SEC and just getting that TV contract won’t make us automatic contenders. Winning and developing players so we can attract the top talent can.
Team GOLD
Would our product even have won 4 games last year in the SEC?
Easily. Our schedule is more difficult than 8 of 12 SEC schools.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Last year we still would have had
2 wins from Jax St and BYU. I certainly hope we would have been able to take 2 SEC games.
Team GOLD
Quick question
Does the fact that so many ACC teams wind up around .500 unduly weight our SOS favorably? In the long run, is facing 8-10 mediocre teams tougher than a couple strong teams and several weaker teams?
If we had 90s level talent, no one in the ACC would beat us consistently – is that a difficult schedule? In the SEC, though, uf, Bama, and maybe another team or two could beat us, every year.
Does the ACC’s overall mediocrity just make the schedules appear more difficult? (I don’t know the full SOS formula, but it involves opponent’s records and opponent’s opponents records, right?)
The ACC performed very well in the non-conference
The ACC’s bottom dweller, UVA, crushed the Big 10’s (Indiana) by 40.
Wake Forest beat the Pac-10 runner up (Stanford). Many more examples.
The 4 most difficult schedules in the country were LSU, Miss St, South Carolina, and Arkansas. All played Bama and UF. FSU was 5th I believe. The issue here is that if you dodge either UF or Bama (or if you ARE UF or Bama and don’t play yourself), you get a huge media benefit for SOS purposes but your schedule isn’t anywhere near as tough.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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How can we generate more ACC interest?
SInce we are solid, top to bottom, how can we capitalize on it? Like I said, if we can make enough money to compete with the SEC, I’m fine staying in the ACC (I love the non-football aspects).
Plus (this isn’t aimed at you specifically, Bud), most people point to the SEC’s NCs as one of the main sources of conf dollars (perception, etc.), yet on another thread few people seemed to be willing to cheer for another ACC team in the NCG because of the recruiting boost that program would get. Wouldn’t a NC – even if not from us – help the ACC, and therefore help FSU (by giving the conf more respect)? (Granted, the first example I used was UM vs. Bama, but I think someone else pooh-poohed the idea of any other ACC team winning.)
I'd rather follow the USC model to be honest
One lead dog with superior talent while everyone else either lags behind or tries to catch up. I just don’t think we contend for anything of significance if Miami is strong. I’d rather us be the bellcow. That would generate enough interest on it’s own IMO
by westcoastnolefan on May 3, 2010 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah I meant to draw attention
By no means do I want Miami to be good. Especially since we would end up having to play them twice.
>>---l>
Got an enormous TV network?
The key is that anyone can win one game, so getting to the championship is what matters.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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I once half-jokingly suggested mega expansion
But it was pointed out that while B10 expansion was on the table, no one would join us. If B10 takes 1-5 teams, and the SEC takes a couple more… is there much of a chance for an ACC network?
Or should we pursue my 24-team mega conference master plan??? ;-)
Expansion
I think the ACC is in a position to expand before the SEC. The B10 is also only going to take 2 or 3 from the BE. The ACC will have a chance to get a couple more schools, they just might not be as good as the schools the B10 grabs.
by osceolafan850 on May 3, 2010 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions
I agree
The ACC still has an ACC channel on the table while the SEC doesn’t and any SEC expansion everyone has to hope they are able to renegotiate there deal or have a buy out that will allow them to bump up there rights fees dramatically. There are 2 very attractive schools for the ACC to go after in UConn and Cincinnati from a cable household perspective that you have to assume will be more than happy to jump.
So of these schools, who would you take?
UConn
UC
UL
Pitt
WVU
USF
Memphis (yes, I know they’re not currently BCS, but I wonder if becoming BCS could have a similar effect on their football program as it did for USF, given their local talent)
I would likely take the top 4, but, if Pitt or UConn were unavailable, I may take Memphis to replace them.
Either way I’m not taking USF. Just depends on if I value WVU or Memphis more.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
WVU and Pitt
Easy
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions
I don't know if in a legit conference WVU
is any better than a Maryland or NC State. Maybe they would be. Don’t know. Not a large market, either.
Are you saying them due to their rivalry?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Well, I'm kinda torn on WVU
Evidently their academics are shit. However, this affords them more leeway with athletes, and if they can get a decent coach up there, I think they can be VERY competitive. They have a good fan base, and it would add an entire state to TV ratings (However, I’m hesitant to assume how many WVU fans in WV actually OWN a TV, but that’s beside the point)
Pitt is a little stronger IMO. I have no doubt that Wandstedt has that team pointed in the right direction, and given some more resources, they could really be dangerous. Plus, another state (Pennsylvania) with a much larger population.
I like their rivalry as well, plus they’re both quality basketball programs.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions
Their academics are crap.
But they aren’t much different from USF, Memphis, Cincinnati and Louisville. Pitt and UConn are quite good. So if we take one of the 1st five we shouldn’t, theoretically, be opposed to the others due to academics.
But the state population of West Virginia (1.8M) isn’t much larger than the metro area of Memphis (1.3M).
Good fan base. Yes. But they aren’t rich. And they have no talent pool. They couldn’t be better than 6/7th in an expanded conference (VT, CU, GT, FSU, UM, UNC?). I’d call middle of the pack competitive, just not very.
Assuming Pitt’s gone (Big Ten), I’ll now take WVU, UConn, UL and Memphis. UC’s football stadium seats 35K, unless they eventually move to Paul Brown Stadium. Memphis is at 62K but would need some work. UL is at 60K. WVU is also 60K. UConn would be to help out BC some, tv markets (little CT is double the population of WV), basketball and maybe get SOME ACC vibe going in the northeast.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
WVU gets that Big East exemption. They wouldnt get that in the ACC
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Is that real?
But I called WVU an NCSU/UMD type in a real conference. I think it holds.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
What's a "Big East Exemption"?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:01 PM EDT up reply actions
They can get in kids like Devine
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Oh.
I think I covered that. I just didn’t know it was called that
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:04 PM EDT up reply actions
But is this documented somewhere?
I’d just like to read up on it some.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Or is it just an allusion to that the Big East has certain schools that the conference doesn't care about their academics.
Giving them the freedom to bring in the " slow kids"
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:14 PM EDT up reply actions
They all must meet NCAA regulations.
Conferences are able to raise those. Does the Big East keep them low? And if so, it has to be made available somewhere.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I believe the BE does make them low
not sure where to find this now
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I wonder if joining the ACC
would affect their talent base.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:29 PM EDT up reply actions
They may not have Devine in that case.
Are they anything without him?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
No way WVU gets in.
The Atlantic Coast Conference doesn’t burn couches.
Abiaka Windclan
>>>----------------------->
by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions
I don't think Pitt will be there
If I am the ACC I am taking all of the Big East teams left standing after the Big 10 is done with them. I know academically schools like WVU and Louisville don’t fit but they still bring value for any ACC network. I have no problem with USF coming aboard for the simple reason of locking down the state of Florida. With FSU and Miami it is already locked down but you add USF and that might be worth an extra 2 or 3 cents a household in subscriber fees in Florida.
I really don't see any of them as being heads and shoulders above the others...
They all have their ups and downs.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 5:44 PM EDT up reply actions
Adding USF would seem to do more harm, potentially, to us and Miami
than a few cents would do good.
I’m surprised the Big Ten wants Pitt so badly. I would have thought, that if ND and UT said no, KU might be a legit option. I guess it’s that few cents/household in PA thing.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Pitt has great ratings
Pitt has great ratings as well as fitting the Big 10 school model almost to a tee. The only thing holding it back at all is that it is in the footprint of the Big 10. While new subscribers are important advertising is also strong on the BTN and they only help to draw more viewers.
Every 1 cent increase in the state of Florida for subscriber rates is worth 1.2 million a year. As for recruiting purposes I don’t think that will be an issue. USF can’t match FSU campus or facilities.
How did you come about that figure?
USF is much closer to Orlando and obviously the Bay area. Recruits may very well favor them in many instances because of that.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Syracuse, Pittsburgh, Rutgers and Connecticut
Those are the cream for ACC expansion, if the conference can get them. They bring a nice combination of academics, quality basketball, well-rounded programs, natural rivalries, tradition and TV markets. They help the ACC fill in its footprint. They solidify the ACC identity: the 13 original colonies+Florida. They bring lots of upside.
USF or UCF have some great years ahead, but no reason exists to invite them to the ACC in the near future unless the conference loses one or both of its current Florida teams.
Abiaka Windclan
>>>----------------------->
by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions
BCS money is split evenly within conferences
I’m reading these posts and I get the feeling that some maybe unaware that all bowl money is pooled and split evenly with the rest of the conference, so FSU getting to BCS bowls every year isn’t going to bring in much more money than VT going as ACC rep. Another way the SEC is raking in the dough is they send two teams to BCS games almost every year
by NationWideNole on May 3, 2010 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions
it's a common misperception that the winner takes all
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Exactly right.
FSU gets the same cut of the ACC bowl pie if they win a BCS game vs. don’t make a bowl.
The only way to increase your “cut” is to have an ACC team play in the NC game and another ACC team take a 2nd BCS bowl appearance and even then FSU’s cut is exactly the same as Duke’s or anyone else in the ACC.
by GraniteStateNoles on May 3, 2010 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions
Is that good enough?
If in the long run, uf, Bama, Aub, LSU, UGA, and even Tenn are all able to hire the best coaches, build the best facilities, etc. (b/c of the extra SEC money), will we be able to hang with them? Or, would we become OSU-south – get a rep for going through a weak conf only to get trounced in the NCG?
Your column about UGA seemed to betray a concern should UGA get an elite coach. What happens to FSU when those 6 SEC schools I listed above all have coaches and facilities ranked among the best in the nation? Elsewhere, TN has discussed FSU’s geographic location and the difficulties it causes (distance from major metro areas) – now put mega players on every side of us, and would winning the ACC be enough to remain relevant? The last thing I want is for FSU to get left behind – is this doomsday scenario too far out of the realm of possibility? And if so, why the concern for ACC vs. SEC money in the first place? (And I don’t mean to sound snippy if I do – I’m genuinely interested in figuring this all out.)
We can hang in a one-game scenario, sure.
The most important step, by far, is getting there.
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The very latest rumors as of the monring of May 3rd, 2010
which of course can change at any time have the 5 teams that will be getting an invite to the Big 10 as Syracuse, Rutgers, Pitt, Mizzu, Nebraska.
This is for anyone that has questions about why a 16 team Big 10, the Big 10 does not really care about a championship game that will bring only about a little more than a 1 million per school which while nice is chump change for the schools there, what they care about is the Big Ten Network which currently brings them 22 million (well if you include the rest of there TV deals). If this expansion goes though this should add about 12 to 30 million if not more new basic cable tier households to the BTN while increasing the subscriber fee in a PA while including one of the 2 or 3 most bowl friendly programs in Nebraska. This is going to be worth probably an additional 5 to 10 million at a minimum per school in TV money.
Is it better financially to lock up Pitt/eastern PA, or add Kansas?
Serious question. Lot more people in PA, but a good chunk likely get the BTN. I’ll guess they ran the numbers and Pitt is better.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
The Big 10 presidents love Pitt
I agree with you but I think the thinking is with Pitt they can increase the subscriber fee rates for the state of PA. The other advantages of Pitt is they get some of the highest ratings of any program so while they duplicate a market they make up for that in higher ad rates. Plus the Presidents love Pitt’s academics and campus culture.
You've read they love Pitt where?
Obviously they’re a great fit for most reasons other than location.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Yes, I could see that scenario.
I just don’t think it’s a likely one. I truly think Notre Dame would lose their identity, in their eyes, if they were no longer an independent. It’s apparently more outrageous to them than the thought of us having to get rid of the Seminoles as our namesake.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Preciate it.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Money Isn't Everything
Come on, money isn’t worth selling our soul to join the SEC. Money doesn’t guarantee championships either. Tell me how the SEC money is working out for Vandy, UK, SC, MS St and other bottom feeders in SEC football?
What about all of the money that Boise St has? How about Utah and TCU?
Money doesn’t win championships. It keeps you from sucking, but it doesn’t win championships. Winning championships is about having high quality coaches and good kids.
How do you get high quality coaches and good kids?
How many titles in a row has the SEC won, now? Money is huge.
>>---l>
Sports is Cyclical
Right now the SEC is enjoying a nice run, but it wasn’t that long ago that they weren’t even playing in championship games. Playing in the championship game has more to do with pre-season rankings than how much money the school has because the ranking system is a simple bubble sort. Start near the top, end up in the championship game.
The SEC has been fortunate the last couple of years and have backed their way into the championship game aka LSU.
The SEC won 2 championships in the 90s and have 5 in the 00’s . So at their “best” they have only have won 50% of the time.
That logic is actually cyclical
College sports are not. You are forgetting that the SEC was not bringing in NEARLY the amount of money in the 90’s that they are now. Also, programs have learned to leverage their only in the last decade. I really encourage you to read the article I linked to your post below.
>>---l>
As Censored says...
the rich schools have really learned only recently how to FULLY leverage their money advantage.
This is going to be a blood bath for 90% of the schools out there and I don’t think 99% of the fans out there see it.
But What About the Rest Of The Teams in the SEC
I read the article and it was very good.
Winning a championship is football is a bit of a joke. If you go undefeated from a major conference you will play in the championship game.
I would submit that much of the SEC’s success has come from the bottoming out of their conference. They have 1 to 2 elite teams every year and the rest are mediocre at best. They are seen as a powerful conference because they have these elite teams. There have been a number of years that top to bottom the ACC was better than the SEC. The problem the ACC hasn’t had an elite team in a decade.
The reality is that if FSU or anyone else in the ACC can go undefeated they will play in the championship game. I just don’t believe money plays that big of a role in going undefeated. I think it plays a big role in being a consistent 8 or 9 win team, but not in winning a championship.
I just don’t believe money plays that big of a role in going undefeated.
You need to buy your 3-4 free wins per year. The rich teams can do it and the poor teams cannot.
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Why not?
Don’t those wins come from scheduling OOC cupcakes?
Because those teams want guarantees
The price to schedule North Texas will soon approach 2 million.
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LOL
I suppose the little men are going to profit from supply/demand, huh?
Yes
And scheduling more than a single 1AA kills you in the media. Even though there are 5-7 1AAs better than the worst 1A schools.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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gotta love how Michigan scheduled App State.
Grace I call Your name, Oh won’t Your smile fall over me, I’m cracked and dry on hands and knees, Oh sweet grace rain down on me I need You grace
-Phil Wickham
They don't bring their teams in to play for free
AND their getting much more expensive. Especially the upper tear of bad teams.
I'm thinking of starting a small college just so I can have a cupcake team and build the endowment.
Abiaka Windclan
>>>----------------------->
by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions
The SEC was in the right place at the right time
and was able to leverage having the high profile “elite” teams into a lucrative TV package during the height of the economic bubble. Even if we are able to run the table in the ACC and Miami is a strong second place team, how does that translate into the money the SEC has. No one is writing those checks now.
Short of getting our own T. Boone Pickens, we are going to have to do more with less somehow.
but it wasn’t that long ago that they weren’t even playing in championship games
Are you talking about the 1990s. Maybe not every year like they are now, but in the 90’s they won in 1993, 1996, and 1998, and played for it in 1997. And that was when they were supposedly bad, and didn’t have the money advantage.
When exactly were they not playing for national championships?
Tell me how the SEC money is working out for Vandy, UK, SC, MS St and other bottom feeders in SEC football?
SOMEBODY has to lose. Roughly 50% each week, as a matter of fact.
What about all of the money that Boise St has? How about Utah and TCU?
Yea. They don’t have a ton of money. They also don’t have any national titles, do they? I feel like TCU may actually have one, but, in the last 50 years? Or has BYU even won one in the last quarter century?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
There are so many reasons why that above statement is absurd.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions
We've been through this several times
You are relatively new, (welcome, by the way) and I encourage you to read this great article from a few months ago. I think you’ll find it interesting.
http://www.tomahawknation.com/2010/2/9/1302407/what-it-takes-to-be-consistently
>>---l>
I somewhat agree
I don’t disagree that money buys consistency. I can turn to the Yankees, Red Sox in baseball to show that, but they don’t win every year. At the same time the Cubs are one of the wealthiest teams in baseball and when was the last time they won a championship?
I agree money is important. I just don’t think that if FSU has more money it will automatically turn into championships.
To me, coaching is much more important than any other factors. Good coaching will outshine financial situations. Boise St is a prime example of this. They have no money and are consistently a very good team and have won multiple BCS games.
Besides joining the SEC is just evil.
Takes money to buy coaching...
and it is stolen by rich schools if you don’t have it.
The evil factor holds no water
I think saying that we’d be selling our souls is a bit overboard. CFB is a business as much as a sport, and the SEC would almost certainly increase our “value.” If Apple and Microsoft figured out a way to make more money together than separately, they’d eventually merge I bet (even if it was after the people who have the most emotional investment in the separate entities were dead)… unless a potential partner is actually immoral, I don’t think our current dislike for SEC pride should make us decline an offer if they make one.
Some people internalized way too much of the talking points
that got thrown around over the years trying to justify and then devend our entry into the ACC. Say what you want, at the time, and for several years after that, the ACC paid out more per team than the SEC. Us being in the ACC only made ANY sense at all when that was the case.
This stuff about evil, redneck, stupid, blah blah blah is a bit embarrassing. We have met the SEC fan and he is us.
Trying to convince yourself that FSU and FSU fans are somehow different or above or smarter than the SEC is a joke. Be sure, nobody outside of the FSU fan base views FSU that way.
Boise plays a weak schedule though and are not going to the BCS title game unless...
Crazy things happen, which I know they almost did last year, but even so Cinncy would have gone over BSU and in most years a one loss BCS team is going to jump them despite going undefeated.
I think there is somewhat of a sliding scale as far as money goes, BSU is going up against other programs not making a whole hell of a lot of money so it evens things out IMO. If they were plopped into the PAC10 I think they become a .500 ball club real quick.
Scarily enough, I think they have a real shot to get to the title game this year
The national media is really, really dumb. However, this trait could play into our hands in the near future if/when we’re dominating the ACC while ESPN analysts scream “FSU’s swagger is back!!!” So, while it’s ridiculous to put Boise in a BCS championship game, the same system could put an FSU team with a weak SOS into many a title game based on name recognition alone.
>>---l>
FSU's SOS will never be as low as Boise's
by NationWideNole on May 4, 2010 7:10 AM EDT up reply actions
Only way Boise State plays in the title game is if they're the only undefeated?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I could see them there if the other undefeated was Bama
Dumb media members will talk about their record. I could really see them getting in over a 1-loss Texas or OU, which would be absurd.
>>---l>
Outside of VT, does Boise play anyone?
Hopefully their computer numbers are real weak.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Oregon State
Other than that, it’s the SOS
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions
The home opener in Boise, too...
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
does boise only play the big boys if they will come to boise for a home and home?
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
I think the VT game is at a neutral site, if I remember correctly.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:31 PM EDT up reply actions
Just wondering...
They complain about no one wanting to play them, but it doesn’t seem like they are willing to go and prove how good they are by going and playing anyone, anywhere, anytime. Probably because they are average.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
They went to Athens a couple years ago
and left with their asses handed to them. I don’t know if a return game is scheduled. I doubt it.
5 ints?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Sort of.
Their qb at the time had a ton of preseason hype stemming from his success the prior year. I believe he went and threw 5 picks. That or 3 picks and fumbled it away twice. Something like that.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
That may be, but
UGA rolled up 600 yards of offense…that means something, too. It would be interesting to see a recap/analysis of the game.
I lean toward the camp that believes Boise can’t hang week in and week out with the big boys. They make their hay in bowls with 5 weeks to prep and early season games with 5 weeks to prep.
Just an opinion…YMMV.
Ymmv?
I wasn’t saying Boise could, would or should hang with them. I was saying they tried UGA once and their “star” played looked like shit.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
He probably got a look at UGA co-eds
who are nearly on par with FSU co-eds, and the concentration was gone.
YMMV=your mileage may vary
Or if they can play them at a semi-neutral site (VT in DC?).
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
That's what I was thinking of...Fedex Field.
I hope VT sticks a pipe up their ass.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:02 PM EDT up reply actions
More than anything
- ranking is absurd and makes me wanna send Lagarrette Blount back up to Boise
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
Exactly
I fail to see why intelligent people cannot figure out that Boise manipulates the current system by scheduling cupcakes. And then cries for them when they get shut out the NC game for doing so
by westcoastnolefan on May 3, 2010 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Competence wins. Money helps buy competence, but doesn't guarantee it.
Abiaka Windclan
>>>----------------------->
by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions
Money Is Overplayed
If money is all that mattered how come UK, Vandy, MS St, and all the other crappy SEC football teams are competing for a championship every year?
Why do you think?
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Because
Better teams with the exact same amount of money are above them.
by osceolafan850 on May 3, 2010 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Talent base and academic restrictions in the case of Vandy
Also, Miss State does not have the money of most SEC programs.
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And I would argue UK cares more about B-Ball...
I wouldn’t be surprised if much of their SEC football money gets reinvested into the B-ball side of the house.
Money isn't all
But when other teams that have similar fan support, recruiting base, etc. are also making a lot more money, they can hire better coaches, attract recruits with better facilities, etc.
Can the SEC even afford to expand to 14/16 teams?
Everyone assumes that this is a forgone conclusion if the Big 10 expands that the SEC expands to match it. But, it does not necessarily make business sense. The Big 10 is expanding because of the Big 10 network which is now there cash cow. The teams they are adding are in states with 10 million people with the exception of Nebraska which is a national brand. Each team needs to bring 40 million a year in value to the table just to break even for the other schools in the conference. The Pac 10 is looking to expand because they are looking to start up there own network. The Big 12 and ACC still have the ability to start there own networks.
The SEC on the other hand has there hands tied. ESPN overpaid them in order to prevent them from starting there own network. Adding teams might get a token renegotiation but why would ESPN dump that much more into them they already got the brand and unless Texas which I find extremely doubtful they are not adding any new markets with there rumored teams. FSU and Miami are not going to be able to make up the short fall of splitting a pie two more ways never mind UF has vetoed both of them a number of times in the past. Maybe the SEC does this because well they have to be the biggest and bestest but does it actually make monetary sense?
If some Big XII schools entertain offers form the Big Ten, and Colorado and Utah are intrigued by the Pac 10, doesn't that leave Texas in a precarious situation?
Would Texas stick around if they’re maybe the only big market state left in the conference? Everyone would be leeching their revenues off of Texas. They’d be replacing upwards of 3 schools with BYU, TCU (decent, but by no means great adds), SMU, Houston, UTEP, Tulsa, New Mexico, Wyoming, Nevada and UNLV. And if they wanted to go to 16 to keep up with the Jones’, maybe they take 6 of those teams. What sounds better, that or the SEC? Texas academics may not want to join the SEC due to their academics, but would they want all those other schools joining the Big XII with their academics?
And I’m sure the SEC would take a temporary hit if it ensured the future financial health of their conference significantly. I don’t think anything would stop them from at least attempting to go to as many teams as the Big Ten goes to.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I agree Texas is a game changer
Yes, if Texas is on the table it changes everything and would have ESPN/CBS running to them to re do the deal. But, as I have said else where I think its very unlikely that UT is going to the SEC and without them what schools or combo of schools can make up the 1 billion dollars it would take just for the SEC schools to stay at the same payout? UT is the only school that changes the math for ESPN/CBS.
I'm not even talking about ESPN renegotiating their deal for the SEC.
If Texas goes to the SEC, they could create the Longhorn Network to supplement the SEC schools and after the ESPN deal is done the SEC could take over control of the Longhorn Network.
That’s not what I was talking about above, either, but that would seem to work very well for all parties.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
That can't happien
If anything close to that happened the SEC and its 12 current schools would be tied up for years in litigation with both CBS and ESPN and they would be with out a network. The networks overpaid expressly to prevent a SEC network which is going to include any individual school from starting there won sports network. Never mind there is no way in hell that the current 12 SEC schools would allow this to go forward. This is not the Big East or Big 12 that have little to no leverage over a school as powerful as UT. If UT starts a Long Horn Network they are not in the future going to give that up either.
It would obviously be in the contract to turn it into the SEC Network asap...
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
What About Kentucky and South Carolina?
I live in Kentucky and have been to UK games. Even when they suck they fill the stadium. They have big money, but have only recently started playing in bowl games and that is only because they schedule 3 soft schools every year.
South Carolina is another example. They have a rabid fan base, but yet again they pretty much suck in football.
Both these schools have a bunch of money and they both are miserable.
I answered this above.
Talent base.
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They both
play UF, UGA and Tennessee every year. Sprinkle that in with playing LSU, Bama and Auburn from time to time how would they jump those teams?
by osceolafan850 on May 3, 2010 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions
What About Georgia?
They have the “talent base” and the rabid fan base and the money and still are mediocre at best.
Georgia is not "mediocre at best"
Please be serious if you want to discuss this.
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Georgia
I am defining mediocre as “not elite”. The reality is Georgia has won an average of 8.5 wins over the last 20 years. They have won 2 SEC championships in the last 28 years and haven’t won a national championship in 30 years.
The are above average, but they are nothing special.
Why in the world would you use a 20-year sample
The dynamics of CFB have drastically changed over the last 8 or so years.
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Ok, how about Alabama in the last 10
They are averaging only 7.5 wins a year. They have only had 6 seasons with a winning record during the last 10 years. Yet they have a national championship. Was it money or was it the coach?
In the last 10
They were on probation for 4. They made 3 bad hires and each time could afford to fire the guy because they had the money to buy out the contract.
It was the money to buy the coach. How many can afford Nick Saban? You’re smarter than this.
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The ability to recover from mistakes is huge and afforded to those with cash.
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I don't disagree
I have said money buys you consistency (UGA is a good example). I just don’t believe it buys championships (Again UGA is a good example).
At some point you are big enough to hang on to your head coach as long as he wants to stay in College Football (aka Saban and LSU). I think FSU is at that level. Why would Fisher leave FSU to rebuild another program for what would not be that much more money in the big scheme of things?
The argument would be that we couldn’t hold on to our assistant coaches? That is true of every good program. How many coaches has UF lost in the last two years?
I think you need to get a good coach (aka Fischer) and hang on to him and the money will take care of itself.
At some point you are big enough to hang on to your head coach as long as he wants to stay in College Football (aka Saban and LSU). I think FSU is at that level. Why would Fisher leave FSU to rebuild another program for what would not be that much more money in the big scheme of things?
But FSU does not have the money to do that. And rebuilding happens quickly w/ great resources (See Bama).
The argument would be that we couldn’t hold on to our assistant coaches? That is true of every good program. How many coaches has UF lost in the last two years?
UF isn’t losing them to lateral moves or to demotions that pay more money.
I think you need to get a good coach (aka Fischer) and hang on to him and the money will take care of itself.
Um… how will you hang onto him? Where is this money coming from?
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I Guess I Didn't Realize That FSU Is A Pauper
Weren’t we paying Bowden over $2 million a year? I figured a similar salary would keep Fisher. Maybe I am wrong.
Hell no $2 Mil wouldn't keep him long term
FSU wasn’t a pauper in the early part of the decade before the rich teams (not FSU) learned how to leverage their immense resources to full effect.
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Meyer, Saban, and Miles are making what, 13 million combined?
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Peterson at Boise is making $650,000 a year
And he isn’t going anywhere :)
1. His religion is a big issue.
2. Boise is not an example. They play a schedule of nobodies, go undefeated, and take advantage of a lazy media who only wants to look at record instead of resume.
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Arkansas is better than Boise
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Like I said above, put them in the Pac10
and they are a .500 at best and lose their “feel-good” relationship with the media really quick like.
Peterson just got an extension paying him 1.8 mil a year
So he’ll stay for the time being. And we know what it took
by westcoastnolefan on May 3, 2010 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions
Question About Money
Let’s say Fisher starts winning next year and FSU has a great year and gets to 10 or 11 wins. He wins the ACC and the BCS game. Let’s say FSU wins the ACC the next 3-4 years. Let’s say he gets into a national championship game in the next 5 years.
Would FSU be in the same ball park financially as these other teams?
Not even close
The money comes from TV and rich boosters.
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So How Does Joining the SEC help?
We would get a bit more from Television… how much money would that be?
Wouldn’t we still be way behind UF, Alabama, and other rich schools?
What is gained?
Joining the SEC gets FSU cash
I’m not saying to join the SEC. I presented it as a question.
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I was wonder how much
I was wondering how much money would it gain? Would it be worth the trade off?
Especially if you are going to lose the money game anyway. The ACC is ripe for the picking in football (although GT is an up an coming school). Wouldn’t FSU be better served trying to regain dominance in the conference?
They would get exposure playing in BCS games and maybe even a national championship game that would help with recruiting.
That seems like it would be better than wading into the middle of the pack of the SEC with little hope of getting on top of the big money schools.
It depends on how the contract was divided or revised.
I agree with you that the ACC, for now, is the way to go. We can capitalize on our history and name to overcome conference level
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Long term
I think we are in a position to be successful, regardless of conference. We’ve improved our infrastructure and coaching, etc., so hopefully we can keep a necessary core in place to be competitive going forward. If we can be successful in the SEC as well as get more money in the process, that can only be a good thing.
The other thing is by being in a tougher conference, you have some leeway, i.e. you can lose 1-2 games a year and still be in the hunt for the BCS, whereas in the ACC you would pretty much need to be unblemished.
However, I also am curious about the actual $ numbers and what kind of increase it would be for FSU.
SEC makes what, like 17 million annually from tv?
ACC makes about 7? The SEC is currently locked up long term in their ESPN deal. If that stayed the same and 4 teams joined, that’s still nearly 13 million, or nearly double what we’d make in the ACC.
And that’s only if they couldn’t get ESPN to pick up a little slack. Maybe they won’t make the 17 per team anymore, but they may make more than the 13. But we’d be on much better footing with our southern football peers. Plus, the ESPN deal isn’t for eternity. In a decade, if ESPN doesn’t alter it immediately, I’m sure the SEC could opt out of it early and maybe start their own network or do something to again increase money.
The ACC would have to double it’s current contract to get what the SEC would make in a worst case scenario 16 team expansion.
If things stay at 12, or only go to 14, FSU in the ACC may be best. If things go to 16, get us out now (imo).
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
And that's with the ACC likely losing at least a team to the SEC.
The ACC would have to double it’s current contract to get what the SEC would make in a worst case scenario 16 team expansion.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
The cure to everything is winning. Go, Jimbo.
Abiaka Windclan
>>>----------------------->
by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions
FSU needs to have majors that make a lot of money.
Grace I call Your name, Oh won’t Your smile fall over me, I’m cracked and dry on hands and knees, Oh sweet grace rain down on me I need You grace
-Phil Wickham
What gives you the indication that rich teams learned how to leverage?
Increase in coaching pay?
Just increase in spending in total?
This is not a question posed that implies I disagree, but I’m curious as to what flags your attention to it.
Grace I call Your name, Oh won’t Your smile fall over me, I’m cracked and dry on hands and knees, Oh sweet grace rain down on me I need You grace
-Phil Wickham
Just the ridiculousness of some of the facilities.
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Let's not forget HOstesses.
They’re NOT cheap. Believe me…I know.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 10:04 PM EDT up reply actions
HaHa! Awesome.
Will Ferrell is still funny. I don’t care what anyone says.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions
Still funny...
just beat the sports comedy genre into the ground.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
Athletic spending. Yes. You got it.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Exactly Bud
And forget for a moment about whether a coach will leave his $2 mil salary for a $3.5 mil salary. Some won’t under some circumstances.
But they will almost always leave for indoor practice facilities, twice as high an assistant coach budget, better recruiting tools, etc.
South Carolina has an indoor practice facility.
And a lazy coach who is too old for the game. And a rabid fanbase. It’s attractive but there are 2-3 better programs IN DIVISION
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Talent base, lack of winning tradition, lazy coach.
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Money won't make you win, but you cannot win without it.
Necessary but not sufficient.
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I think you are missing our point
It seems like you are arguing that having a lot of money doesn’t mean you will win a MNC and lack of money doesn’t mean you can’t win. That isn’t our point. We are saying having a lot of money makes it easier to win and increases your odds.
If you look at a school like Bama they can fire you no matter how much money is left on your contract. You could be owed 8 million and get canned. Now look at UMD, where the Fridge is horrible, but because of his money they are not going to fire him. Bama can go out and pay massive bucks to lure a coach back from the NFL. Now look at Miami who couldn’t even get enough money together to hire a guy with head coaching experience. Bama gives every Asst. Coach a pay raise to keep the staff together. Miami can’t even come up with enough money to extend their current coach at the pay rate he wants. That is the kind of stuff money brings.
Bad hires, probation and even a bad recruiting year will happen to everyone from time to time. But having SEC/B10 money will allow you to overcome those much faster and get back to the business of winning.
by osceolafan850 on May 3, 2010 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions
Within the next 3 years half of the defensive coordinators in the SEC will make more than the bottom 3rd of the ACC's head coaches.
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Make it bottom quartile and I'm in agreement.
Unless you’re talking about after a post 14/16 team expansion, because no way any team the ACC adds will have a head coach making more than $2M (although I don’t see d coordinator salaries higher than $1M at that, but the overall premise is still strong).
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
top 3rd of SEC DC's make more than the bottom 1/4 of ACC HC's? Agreed. By the 2013 season.
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UGA would be the class of the ACC right now
Personally I think they need to fire Richt. But objectively they have been better than FSU for the last decade and a case could be made that the voters screwed then out of playing for it all when Miles won a championship.
by osceolafan850 on May 3, 2010 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions
If they offer we jump
I’m on record as not expecting an offer as that widens the gap between the SEC and B10 financially, but if the offer comes we have to move on it. Not only is the SEC out pacing ACC revenue but the B10 is at well. That means when picking a coach FSU would be behind tOSU, Penn State, Michigan, UF, Bama, UGA, LSU, Tennessee and Auburn on the money scale of places that can win. So if the SEC gets into the expansion business when their contract is winding down or half way through we jump ship like the bearded lady on Spaceball-1.
The only thing the ACC can do is expand, create a network and hope teams improve. If the ACC becomes simply a supplier of content then once/if FSU gets things rolling again and the ACC pulls more eyeballs there is no more money coming in. But changing to an owner of content allows a jump on the SEC, who will be a supplier only until 2024, and allows for an increase in profits with an increase in performance. A year ago there were a couple of networks who were willing to partner with the ACC in a sports channel. Discovery was looking at cutting a deal with the ACC like the one they did with Oprah. The ACC commish needs to either partner with the P10 or take one of those offers, then force tobacco road to accept UofL, WVU and maybe even two more schools. Standing pat and doing the same ol same ol is no longer an option.
Good Point
I don’t know why the SEC would expand. They already have their contracts in place with ESPN. Adding more teams will just water down what each team already makes.
You may be right, if we can't get into the SEC
It may be a generation before an ACC network brings in anything like Big 10 or SEC money. But at least theoretically you’d be in a position to capitalize on it if miracles happen (ACC puts 3-4 teams in the top 10 for a couple years).
Wouldn't take that long
In the span of 10 years the SEC went from behind the ACC in revenue to almost doubling it. You also have to look at the B10 having 1 nationally elite team, 2 good teams, and then nothing else but leading the revenue wars. With a fairly good product and a good footprint there is money to be made. I don’t think we made B10 money because their enrollments are bigger than ACC schools and they have some larger markets, but I think there is potential for a lot of profit.
by osceolafan850 on May 3, 2010 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions
I disagree
The Big 10 will never be touched in revenue after expansion. The SEC on the other hand is locked in a 15 year deal that is great in the very short term but by year 5 is going to be a hindrance and by year 10 is going to be bad. Conference networks are where the money is to be made. The ACC with out expansion could get at least 50 to 60 cents per household while being on a basic cable packages in Florida, SC, NC, Virginia, Maryland, DC as well as Atlanta and probably Boston. If the poach a school like UConn that is another state and at least digital tier cable in the NYC market. They could ask for 80 cents a subscriber and end up at around 65 cents in these markets. Throw in what will be a higher than average basketball contract and all they would need from an ESPN football deal is 30 percent bump which is reasonable to be in the SEC ball park today.
I vote
for a Playoff system. It will make all this conference talk less relevant.
True
I have long thought that these “inequalities” in league payouts would force a playoff system on college football.
All you need is the ACC, Big East, Big 12, PAC 10, and minor conferences to agree to form a playoff. If the Big10 and SEC won’t join in then let them go off on their own. It won’t take long before they would be forced to join the system.
Super Conferences
I hate to see any of them getting bigger than 12 schools. Wish the NCAA would stop it. Loses the character of each conference. Notre Dame to the Big 10 is a no brainer to me (but maybe Notre Dame sees it differently) I would be fine with the SEC (more football prestige) but if you are an SEC school, do you want to play FSU every year? I’m sure there would be some resistance there.
Doubt they care
We have been 7-6 3 out of 4 years in the ACC. SEC schools would be licking their chops to play us right now. This isn’t 1999. The NCAA also has no control over any of this. The NCAA is much less powerful than most people think it is.
by osceolafan850 on May 3, 2010 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Expanding on this....
With the development of “superconferences”, if they harnessed enough power collectively, could they theoretically ‘seceed’ from the NCAA and create their own governing body?
This would allow them to tweak rules and regulations, including disciplinary guidelines, rankings system, champion determimation, etc?
Essentially, the NCAA would be left standing with what is currently the smaller conferences now.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 2:08 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Even better
Maybe they get rid of scholy limits, or allow significantly more. Not only would the “New NCAA” be taking all the name brands, but also a disproportionate share of the talent.
by Mr. Tito Carlos on May 3, 2010 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions
They could
but they would have to worry about the image hit. I don’t think the NCAA has partial members, so the super conferences would have to form a new union in all sports. But if they really wanted to they could basically choke the NCAA out. The main source of money for the NCAA is Men’s Bball which would be worthless without the Big 6 conferences. The reduced revenue would make it hard to pay for non-revenue generating sports championships. It would be ugly for the smaller schools and they would become D-II in all sports basically.
by osceolafan850 on May 3, 2010 3:31 PM EDT up reply actions
So youre saying theres a chance!!!
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 5:34 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
They do partial members.
I believe Florida Tech is starting an NAIA program in football but are NCAA D-II in all other sports.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I believe that happens sooner than later
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Divisions
The could have a 24 team “Super” conference with one division being the ACC and the other being the SEC. Wait, they could have a 48 team “Super” conference with a Big 10/12 division and a ACC/SEC divsion. Wait, they could have a 96 team “Super” conference….
Any idea of what type of revenue increase FSU would see
if they were in the SEC? Just curious. Any estimated figures out there?
Quick back of the napkin calucatlation
Without knowing every detail and only going on what is publicly available I get between 1 million on the low end and 8 million on the high end. The low end is based on the differences between contracts right now the SEC going to 16 teams and the SEC not being able to renegotiate the ESPN contract this will make every school currently in the SEC poorer. The high end is assuming a renegotiation with a generous boost. The whole range is assuming no ACC network or a bump in right fees.
If we were to move to the SEC
Can we, as a fan base, PLEASE agree to never write “Geaux Noles” on poster boards and act like complete douches.
Provided we do not move to Louisiana, agreed
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What's the one short tune several (most? all?) SEC schools play?
I think they all end in “Go [school’s mascot]!”
I know, not very descriptive, but I can’t think of the tune right now. I had always thought it was just UF, but then I thought I heard another school do it during a game, and then I started noticing it more. Perhaps UF was just playing all those schools…
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
this conference expansion talk can BLEAUX ME
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
If we go to the SEC
I’m opening up a polo/birkenstock/dockers/sperry/croakley store with a barber shop attached to it that specializes in cutting your hair too look like your an SEC dickface.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions
What else would it cut?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:03 PM EDT up reply actions
Haha didnt know if I was the only customer.
Well im gonna open a church so you can consummate your SEC strokefest in marriage. Nananana boo boo!
As an aside I go to school in New Orleans and every time I see “GEAUX WHOEVER”, or any derivative of it I wanna kill someone.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
MY SEC strokefest?
Maybe you should direct that comment towards Bud. I’m not the one writing stories about it.
I’m just in favor of it. If the ACC had a plan to stay viable, I’d probably vote for staying if we could. Show me the damn money.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:14 PM EDT up reply actions
Just playing, I too am in favor of being where the money is.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
Don't forget the mint juleps.
Takes care of the Ole Miss sorority set.
Then you can open a new wing to sell caps with curled visors, Confederate flags, and pickup trucks with ‘Dixie gonna rise again’ bumper stickers. This gets the rest of the SEC fans and you can corner the market.
Abiaka Windclan
>>>----------------------->
by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions
For those of us in Georgia surrounded by UGA friends, this has an additional plus.
Years of listening to “SEC. Oh man, we rule. SEC Unite, we just rule, all other conferences bow before us, yah sure FSU, You try to play in the SEC, you would be 6-6, you couldn’t hang”
You call down the THUNDER?! We’ll now you got it!

Like in the radio interview on ESPN yesterday, it really hinges right now on what the Big10 does. If they bring in just ND, which is the only way they would just bring ONE team and which most signs point to NO, then it stays status quo for now in SEC. However, they expand by 3+ and SEC makes a move. The decision on what to do if offered is already decided by the coaching staff and I am sure they are talking to all they.
I feel the super conference is inevitable now. The money and math alone is just to overwhelming.
All I want to know is:
What is the right answer? How do we become a program that is a perennial championship contender? How do we maintain a possible road to the championship without having to deal with the SEC schedule unless we magically start also getting the patsies.
I want to give an opinion, and feel like Im contributing to the discourse. I just have no idea what the best thing is for FSU. I dont want to be mediocre, I hope that is not our destiny.
Bring back Peter Tom Willis— a true Nole! -FiestaNole
IMO
Our move is determined by what happens in the Big 10 and the SEC. People have been talking about how we have to be proactive, but that simply isn’t the most prudent approach right now, from what I can see. Best case scenario for FSU is that the status quo is maintained as closely as possible. If the SEC expands, which I don’t think they want to, in response to a Big 10 expansion, then action will have to be taken. Which schools are involved in the expansion of the Big 10 dictates how FSU should respond.
>>---l>
IMO
Florida State’s best move is to stay in the ACC and do everything it can to help the conference succeed. TV is where the money is. And as a TV market, in the long run, the USA east coast obliterates everything between it and the Pacific time zone. Tuscaloosa is a nice town, I’m sure, but… the ACC footprint includes the original 13 colonies plus Florida. If the league can pick up some combination of Syracuse, Rutgers, Pittsburgh and Connecticut to solidy that footprint, and if its teams win, the conference is in great shape for the long haul. There’s no reason to move.
Abiaka Windclan
>>>----------------------->
by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions
We got thyat
ESSSSSA EEEEEYYYAAA SEEEEEEEEAA SPPPPPPPPEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEYYAAAADDD!!!!!
If I hear one more person say that, I’m going to lose my mind. What if everyone on this board joins together in a pool to try to win the Powerball or MegaMilliions? Then we just offer the winnings to Jimbo.
I have a question
I all this talk the one thing that I have not seen addressed . Is it going to bring in more money for FSU if the visiting team(rabid fan base) is a good traveling team?
I am not understanding the question...
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sorry
ACC fans don’t seem to travel well as a whole of course there are a few fans bases that do , but the SEC seems to travel better as a group. does that mean more $ if we are filling up the stadium every home game with not just FSU fans but visiting fans?
I believe the simple answer here
is yes.
Implications for crowd noise and us getting shut out of our own stadium… That’s really a different story.
Team Gold
Well not only does it mean better traveling fan bases
but I think more FSU fans show up too. Which game are you more willing to spend money to see, FSU vs. Virginia or FSU vs. Tennessee?
With more wins, better match-ups, and playing teams with a better traveling fan base, I don’t think stadium expansion would be out of the question in the future (10 years down the road maybe)
maybe I’m missing something, but doesn’t part 4 say that the ACC has a larger payout per school then the SEC? I know it’s for 2006, and I know a zillion people are going to say that 2006 is so vastly different than 2010 that we cannot possibly compare the two time periods, afterall, Facebook was only for college kids in 2006 and hadn’t yet been opened up to the public at large.
No you are not
The big huge multi billion dollar CBS/ESPN deal ends up being worth about 16 million per school in the SEC. The new ACC tv deal has not been negotiated yet and while it will not touch the traditional deal that the SEC struck they have the option to start there own network which is the future of sports deals and the SEC is barred from for the next 15 years.
Just came across this...
For further evidence just how little value the ACC has in football as it is:
FedEx first moved above the fold for Notre Dame’s 21-6 win over Colorado in the 1990 game, the first of five games with direct national championship implications over the next six years, but the BCS-era tie-in with the ACC has been Nielsen death since the demise of Florida State and Miami as annual contenders: The last four Orange Bowls were the four lowest-rated games in the BCS’ four-year cycle on Fox, and didn’t featured a single team that entered (or went on to finish) in the top five of any mainstream poll. Throw in a crippling economic recession and the increased network demands – on top of the brand-expansion into the regular season, ESPN is upping the annual commitment from BCS title sponsors to $20 million over the next four years – and the juice is no longer worth the squeeze.
Note that FedEx isn’t leaving just the Orange Bowl on the table, but also its spot as the sponsor for the Miami leg of the BCS Championship Game every four years. Apparently even a 15.8 rating for Florida’s win over Oklahoma in 2009 couldn’t make up for the Cincinnati-Virginia Tech flop a few days earlier, the lowest-rated game in BCS history (not to mention the cheapest ticket).
Just for those people that like to talk about SEC brainwashing, or that the ACC is almost as good, or they’re not strong top to bottom or whatever. You don’t have agree on the solution, but you have to admit the ACC has a football problem.
And again, saying the solution is one or two teams being in national championship contention every single year is not a sensible solution or a healthy foundation for a conference.
The problem is at the top
The ACC consistently has the highest rated non bcs bowl games outside of the Big 10, Nebraska and USC. The problem is the teams that move the dial for the ACC have been down namely, North Carolina, FSU, Miami and Clemson and the matchups for the Orange bowl have been bad as Ciny seems to be a ratings killer (throw my idea of the ACC adding them out the window), WF and Louisville has no national value. I have to give you the Iowa GT from this year though that should have done better than it did.
Did you read this?
Did you read the article int he Sports Business Journal? Their sponsorship decision has nothing to do with the ACC and everything to do with the way ESPN wants to make them do. FedEX wants to continue on their one game Orange Bowl Sponsorship but ESPN wants them to buy a full season package.
FedEx doesn’t want to buy a full season of college football sponsorship so they decided to take their $20 million and use it elsewhere.
I agree that the ACC needs to improve but I’m sick of this story being made to be about how the ACC sucks. ESPN and FedEx didn’t see eye to eye on the sponsorship goal, this had nothing to do with football and everything to do with ESPN trying to turn that $20million dollar one game sponsorship into a $25-$35million full season deal.
Read the whole article
http://inthebleachers.net
by InTheBleachers on May 3, 2010 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions
So I guess the other sponsors will drop their bowl game as well?
And it has nothing to do with the pitiful ratings the ACC champion gets?
The Basis is ESPN
If FedEx was game to sponsor the Orange Bowl as usual this year does that answer your question?
I don’t know what citi, Tostitos or Nokia are going to do. But a full season package has no bearing on the Orange Bowl.
Its like if you wanted to buy tickets to 1 game each season and had been buying just those tickets since 1990. That’s what you budget for and that’s all you want. 2010-11 season comes and instead of just plopping down your $2,000 for that 1 game they said you need to pay $4,000 to get tickets you don’t even want.
Could you afford it? Maybe but its not what you want so you decide to spend that cash elsewhere instead.
http://inthebleachers.net
by InTheBleachers on May 4, 2010 11:24 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
So the facts are wrong
And the ACC isn’t having the lowest rated games? Maybe we just see what happens with the other bowls. If the rest of the bowl games lose their sponsor or ESPN has to change tactics, I’ll concede maybe it’s atrocious ACC ratings year after year isn’t a factor.
And again, don’t say it’s because Miami and Florida State aren’t in it. It’s not healthy to be in a conference where one or two teams have to carry the load.
You're missing the point
I’m not disputing the ratings. I’m saying that the ratings weren’t FedEx’s reasoning and nowhere in the Sports Business Journal does it say that. The article says FedEx pulled out because they wanted to make the same ONE GAME commitment that they’ve been making of $20 million or so. ESPN wants a FULL SEASON or 13 GAMES (12+bowl) commitment.
Two different things. You’re trying to say that oh because of the ACC’s ratings FedEx doesn’t want to be associated with the bowl. I’m just stating that FedEx’s beef wasn’t with the exposure, it was with how ESPN wanted to do the sponsorship package.
http://inthebleachers.net
by InTheBleachers on May 4, 2010 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions
Just realized I left the quote out
While the game itself was important to FedEx, the company was not interested in a larger college football platform. ESPN is reserving bowl game entitlements for companies that buy a lengthy and more expensive college football package starting in September.
Where does that say “FedEx pulled out because of bad ratings?”
http://inthebleachers.net
by InTheBleachers on May 4, 2010 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions
The Orange Bowl has lost some of its prestige in recent years because of lackluster matchups, due primarily to its ACC bowl tie-in and TV ratings declines. The Iowa-Georgia Tech game on Jan. 5 generated a 6.8 rating and 10.9 million viewers, the smallest audience of the four BCS games.
Orange Bowl ratings in BCS era
Year Network Matchup Rating No. of viewers (000s)
2010 Fox Iowa-Georgia Tech 6.8 10,879
2009 Fox Virginia Tech-Cincinnati 5.4 9,319
2008 Fox Kansas-Virginia Tech 7.4 11,958
2007 Fox Louisville-Wake Forest 7 10,655
2006 ABC Penn State-Florida State 12.3 18,557
2005* ABC USC-Oklahoma 13.7 NA
2004 ABC Miami-Florida State 9.1 NA
2003 ABC USC-Iowa 9.7 NA
2002 ABC Florida-Maryland 9.5 NA
2001* ABC Oklahoma-Florida State 17.8 NA
2000 ABC Michigan-Alabama 11.4 NA
1999 ABC Florida-Syracuse 8.4 NA
NA: Not available
- BCS National Championship Game
Source: Austin Karp, SportsBusiness Daily
The 2009 game between Virginia Tech and Cincinnati drew a 5.4 rating and 9.3 million viewers, the lowest numbers ever for a BCS game.
Ok, sorry, I was talking by you. We're mostly talking about two different things
I’ll concede that the FedEx pull out had nothing to do with ratings, and you can concede that the ACC BCS bowl ratings are piss poor.
It had everything to do with ratings.
If the ratings hadn’t sucked lately, they would not be dropping their sponsorship due to a couple million more in fees required by ESPN.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Agreed LouC
I agree the ratings have dropped but I think we’re seeing eye to eye now. FedEx didn’t want to add to their budget. Perhaps it was because of ratings but with FedEx’s aggressive marketing cutbacks lately I think it was more financially being spent and budgeted for $20million, not wanting to go over that with their Memphis Arena, FedEx field deals already set as well.
http://inthebleachers.net
by InTheBleachers on May 4, 2010 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions
The ACC's football problem is Florida State and Miami.
These two programs are not carrying the load they were brought into the conference to carry. They were supposed to help it build football cred. Instead, they have allowed their own to erode.
The ACC has plenty of talent and solid mid-major programs. What it needs is contenders. That’s what Florida State and Miami were brought in to be.
No one can say the basketball programs at Duke and North Carolina have dropped their ball. They get it done. They’re the teams carrying Florida State and Miami right now while those schools try to get their football acts together.
Abiaka Windclan
>>>----------------------->
by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions
I feel like little brother who just cannot seem to take down big brother in a wrestling match. Envy grows and grows until finally little brother takes a gun and shoots big brother in the head.
by Winfield Featherston on May 3, 2010 4:40 PM EDT reply actions
This is one of those rare instance where what is best for the university is not best for the fanbase. The university’s goal is to make money, and joining the SEC will help them do that. A fanbase’s goal is to see their team win. Staying in the ACC would be better for the fanbase because the team would win more.
A large percentage of the fanbase would love to be in the SEC
How come no football fan of any SEC school wants to leave the SEC, money aside?
Do you think Georgia wants to leave the SEC, but can’t because of the money?
Nothing would do more to energize the fan base than joining the SEC.
I just don’t understand this new mantra that we can’t challenge for a national championship in the SEC. I just don’t understand why we’re putting ourselves in the same category as Kentucky and Mississippi State. Is that what we think we are now?
I love how the justification for ACC membership has changed over the years. I remember for years how we would have to defend that the ACC wasn’t really easier, or at least that we didn’t join the ACC because it was easier. Now, are we saying we ARE in the ACC because it’s easier?
And we are not on the level of Tennessee, UGA, LSU, UF, etc?
agreed
“well, we can just dominate the ACC and scoot into NC games like USC dominated the PAC10 in the 00’s”
They WERE the school of Cali, they had that pool and the surrounding recruiting base to pull from and feed that.
Our recruiting base is surrounded/mixed/SHARED with SEC. We couldn’t hang with recruiting and the SEC mentality is taking recruits already that would probably like to play for us but the spotlight and quality of competition and facilities is funneling them to SEC now.
Defending the quality of the ACC should be a secondary concern
Improving the quality of the program (Regardless of conference affiliation) should be what people care about. The hope is that Jimbo and his staff fortify the talent level and have the team operating at optimum level. We already had a tougher schedule than most SEC teams and the resulting record just gave rivals more ammo to use against us in recruiting.
I’d rather win another NC while residing in an “Inferior” conference than trying to prove we can compete in the SEC. I care about returning to prominence as opposed to sticking out our chest trying to win small battles when BCS crystal is what we all really want. Too much mediocre ball has already been played. Bud Elliot is convinced that FSU will not win another NC in his lifetime. I’d like for him and other pessimist to be proven wrong. And I don’t give a damn how it gets done at this point. Trust me, I do understand the challenges. And the fact is if we didn’t have access to Florida talent we’d be screwed in that regard
by westcoastnolefan on May 3, 2010 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions
If we move to the SEC
I am right there with him. FSU will not immediately start winning in the SEC. This will just put us even further behind the likes of the Gates/Tigers/Tide….We don’t have SEC facilities because of money and by the time we get money to get SEC facilties the SEC teams will have surpasses that. Better to win now and build the rep before you move to the SEC then Go now, suck for a couple of years and then be close to the top tier but never there.
Team GOLD
And if we stay out of the SEC,
we’ll NEVER be able to compete with them b/c recruits justifably prefer to play for a team in a conference that puts them on TV and puts them in the NFL.
Accountabilty is back in Tallahassee....
So you'd be happier
going 8-4 every year putting loads of dudes in the NFL with the every once in awhile 10-2 maybe once 12-0, then against easier competition going 10-2 every year with the every once in awhile 12-0. FSU will only struggle in recruiting if the reputation dies. And the only way that dies is by not winning. If TCU can win in Texas fighting those machines, then FSU has a chance to compete for recruits too. Facilities can help sway recruits yes but which is more important, the coach or the facility? Now I understand that the best coaches want to be in the SEC, but its not unrealistic to think we can’t have a coach that just wants to win where ever he is.
Team GOLD
We wouldn't go 8-4 for long if
we start signing the big SEC prospects that we miss out on every year, e.g., Lemonier last year, who know this year (e.g., Drew, et. al.)
Accountabilty is back in Tallahassee....
Are you sure of that?
We’d automatically start signing kids like Matt Elam, Calvin Smith, Demar Dorsey just because we were in the SEC? Somehow I fail to believe that. I dont think top SEC kids want to play for a team that isn’t winning. In fact unless we rolled into the SEC and started whooping with kids we already have I think that you’d end up getting the Gators/UGA/LSU/Bama saying “see.. they can’t compete with us, sign with a team that actually wins in the SEC” Which could make the distance between FSU and team SEC even further.
Team GOLD
I wouldn't want any of those kids
Elam said the thought of playing for FSU made him “sick to his stomach”, Smith was looking for a payout, and Dorsey may never see the field at Michigan.
However, we were close to signing those kids. JLEG + FSU + SEC is enough.
Meyer/Richt/Miles/Saban aren’t dumb. They know our coaching staff. I refuse to believe that they actually think our path of mediocrity is going to continue, whether we’re in the SEC or not.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 1:13 PM EDT up reply actions
They aren't dumb
But whos to say the recruit isn’t? After all is “faith” is all you need then seriously. So I want the players mentioned….not really. But the point being is that those plus Lemioner were the guys that we “missed” on this year.
Team GOLD
Of course not...I don't think those are good examples
2 out of the 3 didn’t go to SEC schools…besides, those are just kids that were uncommitted towards the end of the cycle.
I’m willing to bet that there were many more that committed early to SEC schools that we had our eye on, but our stock fell…probably not exclusively due to not being in the SEC, but it sure as hell didn’t help.
Corey Miller comes to mind…Lord knows what Kiffin told him, but still, UT over FSU? Cmon, man!
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions
And the 2011 class is loaded
with prospects that we’re chasing but have already ended up at SEC schools (Ha Ha, LeMay, Pettway, Pagan) or will likely end up there (Jernigan, Waisome, Drew, Crowell, Therezie, Rome, O’Leary). The SEC train keeps rolling…
Accountabilty is back in Tallahassee....
Right...
Lets take Trent Richardson for example. That kid wanted to play in the SEC. He wanted to play against the best possible competition possible. Elite kids almost always do.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions
Absolutely.
However, if we were forced to make a decision in 2011 or 2012, I wouldn’t feel good about it. We have work to do.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions
I'd be happy with a move to the SEC in 2013/2014
But earlier and we could be setting ourselves just as far back as we do ahead.
Team GOLD
Agreed 1000%
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions
and to whomever I've been argueing with
Thats my belief. That in a few years we’d be prime for a move. But not this very moment.
Team GOLD
And Dre Kirkpatrick's mom babysit Trent's kids.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Forget the water cooler debates. Florida State doesn't have to prove anything.
It just needs to win. Winning solves lots of problems.
Abiaka Windclan
>>>----------------------->
by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions
But most of our fan base keeps insisting
we should schedule the hardest schedule possible (see USF after BYU last year).
We get no money for that AND we lose.
Seems folks are arguing it both ways here.
We've discussed this enough to know that the fanbase is split on this.
Some fans are living in 1993 and want us to “play anyone, anywhere, anytime”.
Some fans are smart and want to see us spend the money and play Charleston Southern, North Texas, and FIU
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions
There is a split...
but our AD tips the blance to the ‘anywhere, anytime’ side.
;)
Ha ha...we'll see how long that lasts...
THAT way of thinking is GONE, brotha…Air Force is gone, and WVU 2012 needs to go soon too.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions
Fans might be split...
but our AD tips this over to the ‘play anyone anywhere’ side (ie USF).
;)
Does he really?
Because I could’ve SWORN he took Air Force off the schedule next year, and our head football coach has publicly stated his discontent with the scheduling.
There is a new set of rules in town. The play anyone, anywhere, anytime mantra is dead.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions
The rules are coming from Jimbo...
not Spetman.
Spetman signed up USF on his own. Bobby didn’t know the difference between them or UCF.
Jimbo would of stopped that move INSTANTLY if he had the power he has now.
Spetman is now just doing what he is told…..OK, he did that with TK as well, but TK wasn’t doing a good job….Jimbo is.
In your last 2 comments, you've said that "The AD tips this over to the Play anyone anywhere side"
Then you say “The rules are coming from Jimbo”.
Your point is not very clear.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Spetman has no idea what he is doing...
he thought signing up USF was a great idea because it filled seats. He didn’t see the issue with it being AFTER AT BYU, an instate rival, etc.
I was just joking really about the tipping the debate over……because NOW Jimbo is keeping him in check….thank god.
But in some ways, I think his scheduling hurt Bobby.
Charleston Southern
Yea boy, that’s why I pay big bucks for my booster contribution, so I can pay more bucks for season tickets just to watch a HIGHLY competitive game with Charleston Southern and FIU. That’s a good bang for the buck. So our football team can play Saint Mary’s Sisters of the Poor like our baseball team likes to schedule. Can’t wait. Woooo wooo!!
Psssshhhh. That's stupid
Don’t you know that FSU got where it is today by playing anyone, anywhere, anytime!?!?! Scheduling patsies is stupid!
You guys are all Gator lovers! That’s what you are!
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Yawn.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
That's directed at you, not the "competitive nature" of those games.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Agreed...it's just a very "tired" point.
Usually RaysnNoles has a chart he posts to shut them up, but he’s not here.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions
I mean, just recently
Ohio State started scheduling a monster OOC game, right? Before that, how did they treat their OOC schedule? Often they didn’t even leave the state, right? A couple of games against Akron, Miami (OH), Toledo, Youngstown, etc, before the B10 schedule started was a damn good recipe for a run at a BCS title.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions
We’ve always scheduled tough out of conference games. 2007 was the outlier, but the media jumped on that because it was “cool” to hate Ohio State that year. Not surprising that a non-Northerner would be influenced by the media’s representation.
Influenced by the media's representation?
or influenced by the fact that we could give 2 craps about who Ohio State is playing in September.
No offense to you (and Trick), of course.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:07 PM EDT up reply actions
Hell, even in 2007 you played Washington.
Not really all that shabby…better than what UF does.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:08 PM EDT up reply actions
I was living an hour and a half from the Shore during those years and still couldn't remember (m)any solid clubs.
I only care about OSU to dislike them. Watching them vs UM and UF in the title games was rough.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
or influenced by the fact that we could give 2 craps about who Ohio State is playing in September.
Yes, and that.
I'm an honest guy.
Unless it’s a OSU v UT or USC matchup, I’m not paying attention. It’s not like it’s on TV down here, or it influences us in any fashion.
I hope you didn’t take that the wrong way. It kinda came out wrong. It’s probably the equivalent of you caring who LSU is playing in Sept or something.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:35 PM EDT up reply actions
Can you provide examples?
USC and UT but I can’t think of anyone else.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Here
http://www.ohiostatebuckeyes.com/SportSelect.dbml?DB_OEM_ID=17300&SPID=10408&SPSID=87745
Scroll through the years from the dropdown.
Ghanki is absolutely right. There’s usually a halfway decent OOC game on that schedule.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:17 PM EDT up reply actions
2002 Season – Beat Texas Tech, Cincinnati, San Jose State, and Pac 10 Champion Washington State.
2003- San Diego State, NC State, and Washington
2004- Cincinnati, Marshall, and NC State.
2005 and 2006 was Texas. 2008 and 2009 was USC.
2007’s big game was supposed to be Washington but then they hired Ty Willinghame.
That 2003 State team was good
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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That also happened to be one of the best games in the Horseshoe, ever. Triple overtime thriller. Phillip Rivers ran the scat passing concept twenty times that day.
Best offense in conference play since the 1999 Noles and the... 2009 Noles
Can anyone average 7 yards per play in conference? I think our 2011 unit will.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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And I say 2011 because we trade UNC for Duke
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Someone call GSN and see what our D has to do if we average 7+ yds in conference.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm still seeing Jericho Cotchery in my nightmares.
Didn’t the FSU/NCST game that year almost go to 100 combined points or something?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:51 PM EDT up reply actions
Alright.
I only remembered a couple C-USA Cincinnati teams and Bowling Green. BGSU was my first college game. Neutron man or something? And I sat behind two lesbo heffers in the closed in shoezone. I proudly wore my FSU shirt. Pretty decent game. Wrong team won though.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I know, right.
I thought that OSU just beat up on Ohio high school teams for the first 3 weeks of the season. I learned something tonight.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:52 PM EDT up reply actions
There's no chart to undermine his opinion that watching games that are unfairly matched lack the excitement of two teams of equal quality determining who is better.
Grace I call Your name, Oh won’t Your smile fall over me, I’m cracked and dry on hands and knees, Oh sweet grace rain down on me I need You grace
-Phil Wickham
disclaimer: no valid chart.
Grace I call Your name, Oh won’t Your smile fall over me, I’m cracked and dry on hands and knees, Oh sweet grace rain down on me I need You grace
-Phil Wickham
I bet RaysNNoles has one.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:53 PM EDT up reply actions
See Tire Bowl vs. National Title Game by DKfromVA not far above you for an answer.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
That’s because big games are fun to watch. But the argument here is that FSU will actually play in less big games (BCS, Conference Title, OOC) with a move to the SEC because of stronger competition.
You mean more big games with a move to the SEC?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
With "Big" = postseason game?
Is that what you’re implying?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions
The reason many FSU fans bristle at playing the same OOC games as SEC schools
is because most of them don’t consider wins against Duke, NC State, Boston College, Maryland, Wake Forest, etc. big games. Now it’s bad when you lose to them, but nobody takes any satisfaction in beating them in front of 25,000 people.
Beating Arkansas, South Carolina, Ole Miss, even Kentucky gives SEC fans a thrill, whether it should or not. They don’t mind playing a couple pushovers because they care deeply about almost every other game.
I know it's not your intention, but the more you describe SEC fans, the more they sound like yahoos.
Abiaka Windclan
>>>----------------------->
by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions
gahnki said
FSU will actually play in LESS big games (BCS, Conference Title, OOC) with a move to the SEC because of stronger competition.
Did they mean more? Or maybe I didn’t track the history of this thread upwards very well?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I'm a bit lost on that comment, too, Trick.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 8:53 PM EDT up reply actions
Big as in, nationally relevant between two powerhouse teams. If I understand the previous poster’s argument correctly, it’s that FSU will be thought of less in the SEC than ACC. In the ACC, they could be the consolidated power. In the SEC, they would just be another one of the boys.
With the reply being so hard down, it's hard to see what reply your post is in context to.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:10 PM EDT up reply actions
*hard = far.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:10 PM EDT up reply actions
use the "up" button
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Which quote, though?
There’s usually 2 right in the middle of my screen.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:53 PM EDT up reply actions
well, ya get your ruler and...
Its the one at the very top, Mr. AD
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
Well how about that...learn something new every day
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:04 PM EDT up reply actions
This "blogging" phenomenon might just catch on
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
So by being in the SEC FSU would be less relevant?
Matchups vs Georgia, Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, Alabama and LSU wouldn’t be interesting nationally/big? That’s what the person was saying?
I thought that guy was saying we would increase our big games and schedule difficulty by going to the SEC, which is exactly what we’ve been saying on here not to do.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
That's how I interpreted it.
Another “Blah blah blah play anyone, anywhere, anytime blah blah blah”
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions
Conference Expansion Hysteria
There is a lot of conference expansion hysteria right now because of the Big 10’s stated interest in adding a team or three. I for one hope this doesn’t set off an arms race between the conferences, because I don’t think it would be good for college football or basketball. Right now the ACC is actually the #3 conference financially. Ahead of the Big 12 and the Pac 12. That’s not bad when you consider how poorly the ACC has done in footbally the last three years of having no legitimate national title contenders.
Are any of you aware that the WAC was actually a 16 team conference in football for three years? It was a mess. When you have that many teams, there are going to teams you seldom get to play. What’s the point of them being in your conference if you never see them. That will be the case with a 16 team conference, unless you drop the OOC games. Now who wants to do that? That would mean never playing a team like Oklahoma, BYU, or Colorado. Good OOC teams add spice to the schedule and give your team exposure in areas you would not normally be playing in.
There is nothing wrong with the ACC that some winning football teams won’t cure. That’s the problem, especially for FSU. We have spent the last eight or so years allowing Coach Bowden and staff take a slow boat to retirement. Had FSU and Miami been on par with what they were at the end of the 90s or even the beginning of the 2000s, the ACC could negotiate a much better TV deal. As it is, the SEC has inflated the whole TV money discussion by taking advantage of some good timing and luck. They are the first conference in quite a while to string together a series of national championships and they used that to leverage their negotiations with ESPN before the recession fully hit. Do you think ESPN is not regretting that right now? It will be difficult for any conference to negotiate anything similar to what the SEC has in this economic environment. The SEC has clearly gotten a windfall that I doubt the could successfully negotiate again if they had to do it today.
The ACC isn’t #3.
The WAC was thrown together all hodgepodgedly due to the death of the Southwest Conference. They had Mormons, Texans and Hawaiians all in the same league. That’s not going to work very well. Wasn’t more of an impulse than a well thought out, calculated process like current expansion? Besides, those schools aren’t money makers. Comparing them to the big dogs just don’t make any sense.
I could care less about playing OU in ooc play if we were consistently competing for a shot at a national title.
The ACC won’t be able to “cure” itself if a school or two or more leaves for the SEC and/or the SEC and Big Ten blow up the face the the football world with 16 team expansion. They already destroy us in conference revenue and athletic spending. If the ACC is weakened by loss of a school or more, and the SEC is strengthened in the south via its mass television exposure and insane money, how does the ACC do then?
Even the ACC lost Clemson and VT and added Cincy, Louisville, West Virginia and Memphis/UConn/USF, does it not immediately fall further behind the SEC and Big Ten (I mention the Big Ten because they all dabble in the south/Florida for recruiting).
And what are some real reasons expansion is bad for football?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Coaches have said it for years: 'You don't want to be the guy after Bobby Bowden.'
Not a worry for Jimbo Fisher. Bobby Bowden was the guy after Bobby Bowden.
Abiaka Windclan
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by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Will we be able to sell recruits on FSU
When we become the current day Big East? I’m not sure what the right answer is.
El Venao!
That's exactly how I see a 14/16 team conference expansion period shaking out.
And no, I don’t think FSU would be able to sell recruits on FSU as well as the top dogs of the other mega conferences could sell recruits on themselves and/or away from FSU.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Is there anything the ACC could do to try and stop FSU from leaving?
If the SEC said “we want Florida State and we’ll pay for it,” is there anything on paper that says FSU has to abide by its ACC deal? Or would the SEC just be able to throw its weight around and write any check to cover it?
"It is defeat that turns bone to flint; it is defeat that turns gristle to muscle; it is defeat that makes men invincible." FSU's Return in 2010
usually
there is a buyout clause and you have to give a certain amount of time for notice. The ACC couldn’t stop the move though
by osceolafan850 on May 3, 2010 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions
I figured that there would be some kind of buy out clause at the minimum
But outside of that I wasn’t sure. So basically, if the SEC wanted us, it would just be an issue of FSU weighing the pros/cons of moving to the SEC, both short term and long term (according to revenue, TV deals, path to BCS title, etc.).
"It is defeat that turns bone to flint; it is defeat that turns gristle to muscle; it is defeat that makes men invincible." FSU's Return in 2010
by SeminoleSkins87 on May 3, 2010 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Yes, and, the most important thing to me is, the distance between the ACC and other BCS conferences if FSU stayed in the ACC and conferences went to 16 teams.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Comprehend what tailgating would be like outside the Doak.
A BAMA game alone would get liquor store owners in Tally to wet themselves. Follow that up with UGA and then Auburn? It will get rowdy. Far rowdier than Wake/Duke/NC State. “oh look honey, look how many came down, see the red spot over there, oh yah..far drive. Good for them.” Not anymore.
I agree
Not only do SEC fans travel better, but if you take the as-the-crow-flies distance between FSU and UM and create a circle with that radius, only 3 ACC teams fall within that circle, I think (UM, GT, Clem); 8 SEC teams fall within it (uf, Geo, Aub, Bama, LSU, MissSt, Tenn, SC). Just out of range: 3 more ACC teams (UNC, Duke, NC St; 6 total), but also another couple SEC (Miss, Vand; 10 total).
I think the games would generate more interest, and somewhat ameliorate FSU’s isolated location.
Still not arguing FOR the move per se
And *ameliorate is the wrong word there… nullify wasn’t quite what I was going for, but is better
Point taken just the same...
And yes…it would generate some serious gameday scenarios at Doak. SEC fans travel very, very well…I’ve been to many a Vandy game where the black and gold were outnumbered by the other colors.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions
I've been to FSU games were we were damn near out numbered
An I doubt its gona change in the SEC. FSU has fair weather fans. Not Die hards. SEC fans are die hards and Doak will not end up providing us the home field advantage rather I feel like 1/3 of the stadium will always be opposing fans. We aren’t going to compete in the SEC for awhile….and if we lose then our fair weather fans will start calling for heads and that will set us back even further.
Team GOLD
Yep. That ties into what I said below.
We CAN be successful, but we can’t expect Jimbo and the team to do everything themselves. We, as fans, have to help. Complete culture change, and thank GOD we have a coach who understands this and is one step ahead.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Being here on campus most people seem to think
Saturday is a day for drinking before the game… I just feel like the crowd currently here is position to think that FSU will suck and that the team will do whatever it will do. Good thing there is a new bunch of fans here every year…
Team GOLD
Exactly...That'll have to change
If I were a PR/Marketing firm, I’d have my eye on this situation. FSU would be wise to get some counsel on how to get the students/fans to invest more into this program.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions
Just win.
Seminoles fans are some of the best in the sport. Fun-loving, loyal, enthusiastic, classy. But they’re not insane. If you insist on making them give on you, they do. Eventually.
Don’t force them to that, and you’re good.
Abiaka Windclan
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by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions
Perhaps SEC conference helped CREATE 'diehard fans'...
so to assume FSU will gain in this area in the ACC makes little sense to me.
Great conference grow great fans. Crap football brings crap fans.
Your point?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions
I beg to differ
Kentucky and Miss St have crap football but those fans already crappy for sure.
Team GOLD
They're no crappier than some ACC schools...
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions
No, great teams grow great fans.
Great teams also grow great conferences. The reputation of a conference works from the bottom up, not the top down.
Abiaka Windclan
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by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions
Didn't someone just say that Vandy fans get outnumbered at home?
Abiaka Windclan
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by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions
More rednecks per mile with the SEC
Can’t wait!!
Excellent point.
Seriously….why didn’t anyone mention this earlier?
Reason #1 NOT to join the SEC: Rednecks.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions
Face, meet Palm.
Hi, how ya doin?
Slap.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
i'm going to add my two cents
If/or when we move it needs to be to the SEC. that would create more natural travel games and would also get a lot of visiting fans in our house. The SEC money also wold help us . I think that we can compete it the SEC and can win championships both conference and national. now with that said my only issue with the ACC is that the conference doesn’t seems to be able to leverage basketball and football it to a good TV contract and that scares me JMO
Your thoughts are not uncommon I don't believe.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
The real question is...
when I win the Mega Millions tomorrow night, can I close the gap by myself?
I fear the answer is no. But best believe FSU will have an indoor practice facility.
Team Gold
Remember...make checks payable to Randy Spetman
Seriously. I got this.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 3, 2010 8:16 PM EDT up reply actions
I would prefer you put that money towards our scholarship endowment and not an indoor facility.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Indoor facility is a lot cheaper
And we might see a more immediate impact. But I am much for endowing the scholarships.
Seriously, I can solve this problem.
20 gallons of rubber cement, astroturf, and a skeleton key to the Tucker center.
Problem solved, gentlemen.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:55 PM EDT up reply actions
We are screwed either way...
With the difference in money, we really can’t afford to stay in the ACC.
However, if we go SEC, we are suddenly competing with the Big Boys with far more money than us.
Our SEC schedule could look like this: UGA/UT/UF + Miami + one or two of Bama/Aub/LSU. And if we make it through this minefield we get Bama again in the SECCG. (I would drop Miami if we go SEC. Still, this is an incredibly difficult schedule).
This is Jimbo’s worst nightmare. We have zero chance of making the MNC game and a small chance at a BCS bowl. Jimbo is canned after a few years, and the next coach won’t fare much better unless he happens to be the next Urban Meyer.
This is grim.
I'm pretty sure Jimbo wouldn't fight this tooth and nail
Plenty of coaches are happy to go to the SEC. There’s something about that “competing and the highest level” and “having the most resources to work with” and “getting the biggest paycheck.”
I swear, this new “we can’t compete in the SEC” mantra is nothing short of bizarre.
LouC
over time we could. But we just went 6-6 in the ACC. Thats not competitive in the SEC for certain. We are predicting 8-4 in the ACC this season. Thats not going to win the SEC. Even 11-1 in the ACC isn’t going to win the SEC. Sure we will be competitive, but which would you be happier with…1 chance in 10 years in the SEC to play for the NC, or 2-3 chances in the ACC. Much easier to win the ACC undefeated then it is to go undefeated against the SEC.
Team GOLD
Grizz, if that's not two posters being on the same wavelength at the same time, I don't know what is.
Creepy…
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions
First of all...
In the ACC, the conference title is worthless. SEC titles are not.
So yes, one chance in ten years to play for a national title in the SEC and win it, picking up 2-4 SEC championships, well exceeds winning 9 ACC championships in 10 years and winning 1 out of 3 national championship games.
Because on the way there, the level of football and enthusiasm and attention is so, so much greater than what we have in the ACC.
Plus a TON more money to upgrade everything and hang onto our coaches.
Winning a national title is hard as hell anyway no matter where you are. Look at USC, how dominant have they been and they have 1.5 national titles. There’s certainly no guarantee you get there anyway.
So you might have a 65% to get there in the ACC, or a 53% to get there in the SEC, but in return you give up big time cash, the ability to hold your coaches, exposure, game day atmosphere, natural rivals, more booster support, more student support, more TV time, etc.
No, that’s not worth it. And I think it’s shortsighted with the long term health of the program.
Again, unless you think we are Kentucky, Mississippi status schools, and not UF, LSU status schools.
Whoa there killer
If you think that would be winning 2-4 SEC championships in 10 years you think that FSU will be playing for the NC 2-4 times. I don’t see that as realistic to think that FSU is going to stroll into a conference with more elite teams and be that dominant. I’m sayning that if FSU was in the SEC we’d win 1 SEC championship in 10 years, whereas in the ACC we’d win 6-8 and have a MUCH higher probablity of making it to the NC as an undefeated FSU in the ACC then we would not winning the SEC.
Team GOLD
Agreed.
That was ridiculous.
We don’t think we’re Kentucky, Mississippi State, Vandy, etc.
However, AS OF RIGHT NOW, we’re not in the same league as Alabama and Florida. Our EWP against LSU or UGA would be <30% IMO, and against Ole Miss, Arkansas, and Tennessee wouldn’t be that much better.
Can we GET there? Hell yes. Are we there right now? Nope.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions
Above I pointed out
That by the time things settled, I think we would be good. Will anything really happen in the next 1-2 years? (Even if decisions are made, isn’t there usually a lag time before teams join the new conference? Aren’t there scheduling issues to contend with?)
I'd like to think nothing would happen for a while
Which gives us time to right the ship and start kicking ass…
After all this banter, I’m interested to see where everyone “sits”. Yes or No? If the SEC expands in 2012, do you want to go or not?
I say YES. And let’s not let the door hit renegade in the ass on the way out.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions
If the SEC expands in 2012, it would likely send the invites and receive acceptances this year or next.
We’d only have this upcoming football season, at the most, to improve, prior to the SEC expansion.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Ok maybe I didn't express it in the best way
But the point I was trying to make is that yes, we would not see the same streak of success (if you measure success strictly by national championship game appearances) that we had in the 90s in the SEC. But in the SEC, you have levels of accomplishment that people in the SEC take pride in (division titles, conference titles, wins over key conference opponents) that soften the blow a little bit. You can have a nice year in the SEC without winning the national title, but you really can’t in the ACC if you are FSU.
But I don’t think there’s any reason why if UF can win two, LSU can win two, we can’t be in the mix.
And there’s no guarantee that we can do it in the ACC, so take the path that has the guaranteed other returns, primarily cash, but all the other benefits as well. Use those benefits to climb the SEC ladder, rather than the much much smaller benefits that come with being in the ACC.
To be clear, I understand that in the next 2-3 years the road would be tougher in the SEC. But over 10-15 years, I think the program would be in much better shape. At some point you have to look at history, and there’s nothing to indicate a reversal in fortune. We’ve had almost 20 years in the conference, and seven since the last expansion, and the gap just keeps getting wider.
I think you have to hitch your horse to the proven entity at some point and stop hoping for some kind of massive change of fortune for the ACC.
We'll be there in 2011
And if we get an SEC team in a BCS Bowl after the 2011 season, we will wax them.
How many ACC titles do we have the last 10 years?
How many national title games do other ACC teams have the last 10 years? They have had an easy road.
Points that make ZERO sense to me are:
1). Ones that suggest we can’t compete at ALL. As if we are Kentucky. Crazy talk. Would we win as many titles as in the ACC? no…but who cares about ACC titles?
2) Ones that ASSUME we will win the ACC every year.
I don't think anyone is ASSUMING we win the ACC every year.
We all know what assuming does…
I think the words being chosen are “The ACC affords us the easier path”
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions
Path to what?
A national title?
By that logic, shouldn’t the Big East and ACC teams have more national titles than they do?
Yet, it is the STRONGER conferences that have more titles.
I actually see BOTH sides of this argument………but I don’t get how folks can be SOOO sure of either side.
Because they don't have the dominate team taking advantage of the path
Hopefully, that’s what we can become. Obviously, there’s no guarantee.
>>---l>
There is in an SEC TV contract....
;)
Money is always the way to go. Otherwise, you are gambling WAY too much.
IF invited to the SEC…it is insanity to say no.
Wish it weren’t true and the ACC could compete….but it can’t or wont’.
Yup. This is best-case-scenario
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions
Whoa there yourself, pardner
So when was the last time we won the ACC? Uh, 5 years ago. We haven’t been close since. That’s not to say we can’t do it, but Bobby left us in a pretty deep hole and the ACC teams have actually gotten better from when we first joined the conference.
Were you trying to make a point?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions
SEC = Love
You are truly smitten with the SEC.
actually read what that was a response to since this was so far down and retract my sarcasm for complete agreement
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
nevermind retraction of the retraction just reread the comments
I’m gonna sit a few plays out….
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D'oh!
lol
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Hmm, didn't think it was appropriate at all.
LouC made some valid points I thought.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I think that's what RollNole5 was getting at.
A completely ill-suited reply to a completely valid and logical post.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:56 PM EDT up reply actions
The up button can't even help me now.
I’m completely vexed as to what I meant at all.
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Figured it out.
54Mercury is a douche. Just finished with finals and am lacking rest. Cognitive skills aren’t all there.
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He's not a douche, he's just old school I think.
Living in the 90’s
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:05 PM EDT up reply actions
Fair enough, but he was snarky so I snarked back at him.
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Semi-douche, I'd say.
Made his “snarky” (what are you, a 90 year old grannie?) remarks in several places in this thread to anyone who thought joining the SEC may end up being in the best interest for us.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
So he has douche like tendencies?
About 70 off the age and male but I ain’t trippin’
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I use the word "snarky".
It fits.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:34 PM EDT up reply actions
Me too I think trick has a little snark in him as well, he just won't admit it.
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Trick has more than a little "snark" in him.
But I instantly forgive him, because he’s one of the most intelligent posters we have.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:06 PM EDT up reply actions
He does. That's no secret.
But he’s usually very well prepared, and is rarely caught off guard. He’s not gonna say something w/out having the data to back it up.
Unless he’s been drinking rum. Then he gets a little one-sided.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions
Agreed. sometimes I think he argues semantics for arguments sake.
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Agree w/ both of your statements.
And I like Trick, too.
Either he just likes to argue, or he’s really f*cking bored.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:23 PM EDT up reply actions
And RollNole5,
you’re a snarky douche with homo tendencies.
And obviously I’m kidding. Or am I?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I think
there are 3 things I “argue” about.
Either someone is flat out factually wrong and I question them on it.
Someone makes a statement I completely disagree with and state my side.
Or,
I’m not sure what the person meant by their comment. As in, I literally don’t see what it had to do with that “thread” of thought. Or, it could also be that I can read into their comment multiple things and am simply trying to figure out which they meant.
I don’t consider most of it arguing at all. Nor do I love me arguments. It’s like watching PTI or ATH. I like the different viewpoints (even if I don’t agree with them) and general discussion.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I wasn't one sided.
I just didn’t make sense.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
If you don't have douche like tendencies it's probably because you're a total douche.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Wouldn't a total douche have douche like tendencies just very frequent ones?
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Maybe "constant" or "never-ending"...
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Ahhh i see.
This part of the thread has spiraled so far off topic
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Quit being snarky.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Like the smack off?
Any Rome fans here?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions
Guess not.
Good people.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Right. And his ratings are consistent with that statement.
YOU SUCK
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 5, 2010 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions
Very snarky.
He thought I needed some education on the past 10 years or so…funny guy.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:21 PM EDT up reply actions
It is, to a certain extent...but you gotta remember
That we were 7-6 last year in the ACC and needed an elite offense to get us that far. The ‘perception’ is that there’s no way a 7-6 ACC team could compete in the SEC (although most informed fans know that our schedule was as tough as they come).
This, IMO, contributes to that attitude.
I think that many fans are a bit scared that going into the SEC in our current state will be detrimental to our future. If we improve as we all expect, then I think most fans will change their tunes in 2-3 years.
Also, a move to the SEC will require a new commitment to excellence. Boosters will need to step up. Fans will need to show up to the games, cuz if they don’t, the other SEC fans daaamn sure will. Ticket prices will probably go up, but the fans will HAVE to support the team. The administration will have to step up as well…facility upgrades, indoor practice fields, new coaching contracts, smarter scheduling, etc.
We can be competitive. I’ve been watching this thread closely, and I don’t get the same vibe you do Lou…we CAN compete. However, the half-assed effort that’s been given over the past 10 years WON’T cut it. It will require a complete culture change…we do that. We’re fine.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions
It would be tough
And we wouldn’t be in good shape right now.
But if expansion happens, it would take a year or two or three, right? By then, I think we’d be on par with the very good SEC teams (perhaps excluding the Bama and uf of the day – whether it’s those two or if another team or two takes their place(s).
A good FSU can compete in the SEC, I believe. And we’ll have time to get “good” again before the dust settles (and if we are good again, and then join the SEC, think of what that first recruiting class would probably be like!).
To answer your only question, yes, it would take a year, or two or three for expansion to actually take effect.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Cool.
We’ll be ready if and when this happens.
I think we'd be ok in 2011.
Possibly 2nd in the east?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
2012 = better
A senior EJ (if all goes as planned), another year with the new D staff, another strong recruiting class. Yeah, 2012 could be good.
I'm just saying I think 2nd in the east isn't unrealistic just next year.
Which, if everything happened quick and there wasn’t anything longer than a one year grace period mandated by leagues, would be the first year we might play in the SEC if things shake down that way.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Perhaps
After all, UT looks to be in some trouble right now… I think we’d beat SC, Kent and Vandy. So, the UGA game would likely decide the #2 spot.
All I'm sayin.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I'm on board with that.
UT has issues. And I’ll put a 50% EWP on a UGA game.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Yes, if we move to the SEC we take the hit with competition
in the short run. Over time we improve our recruiting classes even more and start competing with the elite SEC programs. Meanwhile we make as much $ as any other program in FBS.
Accountabilty is back in Tallahassee....
How do we improve out recruiting classes?
Go from 5th to 3rd? I mean seriously its not like we are struggling recruiting.
Team GOLD
I think it helps with recruiting, if anything.
Kids want to play in the SEC. Period.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Is that what made Greg Reid
sign at FSU? How about McDaniel, or Bradham, or Chris Thompson, or Dent? I mean sure we will lose some kids who don’t want to play at FSU, but its unlilkely if in 5 years if FSU is still competing and winning 9-11 games a year that every kid will say, no I’d rather play for Bama/Tide/UGA because they are in the SEC
Team GOLD
For every one player you named, I feel confident that there's another kid with similar ability that is on an SEC squad that we've not heard of.
We have the luxury of coaches that are above average recruiters. In a vacuum, we’d lose more kids to SEC schools than we’d get.
As always, there are some kids who are fans of FSU. Most of the kids you listed were. I’m thinking more of elite kids, who have no allegiance to FSU.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions
You're just playing, right?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
So the fact that the SEC has smoked everyone else in the country in the post season for the last 5 years
has nothing to do with it?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions
He's an Ohio State fan.
VERY touchy subject.
I jest.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
The SEC has the best recruiters in the country. They win because they recruit the best talent. You are looking at this the wrong way.
It's a circular argument....
Money buys top coaches. Those coaches are usually good recruiters, and can also scheme accordingly. Good players + Good coaches = Good teams. Good teams win championships.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 4:53 PM EDT up reply actions
There's no way to prove where it starts.
That’s why it’s a circle. If the SEC always had better recruiters, then why all the success just recently? Why haven’t they been dominant all along?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:11 PM EDT up reply actions
The SEC has always been good, though. Recent domination comes from an arms race for coaches and facilities. I think the obsession with football in the SEC has influenced their willingness to spend money, and thus their ability to win.
So it starts with the money?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions
Per ESPN we were 6th
List of teams ahead.
UF, Texas, Bama, Auburn, Oklahoma.
So in Jimbo’s first year he already did better then quite a bit of the SEC. FSU can’t compete with the facilities of any of the schools ahead for a long while even in the SEC. I mean it takes time to build facilities even if you have money.
Team GOLD
Jimbo is good. Very good.
However, what if UGA, LSU, and Miami get Jimbo-like coaches? What then?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions
Then we compete...like always...
I don’t get the point.
We've been competing lately?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions
Lately???
Do you need a synopsis of our trials and tribulations with our football program lately. I suggest that you can’t compare FSU lately with a well run, focused program. Now with the coaching issues resolved we can get focused and see what we can do. But don’t compare what we have done lately.
Please enlighten me...
Since I am obviously lost, and on the wrong website.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions
Wow, that's insightful.
I’m asking you….have we competed lately?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions
If Miami locked up south Florida and Florida was the only other in-state team to be able to sneak guys out of south Florida,
how do we compete? We don’t have the talent pool around Tallahassee like Miami does, and we don’t have SEC money like UF.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
ESPN is new to the recruiting biz
FSU was #10 in both Rivals and Scout who’ve been doing it for much longer. We’d be better off financially and competitively on the field and recruiting as one of the top 4 SEC programs than as #1 in the ACC.
Accountabilty is back in Tallahassee....
Wait....we can't compete with the SEC..
but we can’t do better in recruiting?
Haven’t you suggested FSU can’t compete in the SEC? Yet know are saying we can’t do better in recruiting?
I think recruiting is not a problem at FSU (with real coaches) regardless of conference.
I don't recall anyone saying that recruiting is a "problem"
However, we have above average recruiters, and did well for ONE Year thus far (sample size, sample size). You cannot assume that we will be able to replicate this year after year.
Right now, we have Les Miles at LSU, Mark Richt at UGA, and Randy Shannon at Miami. This is good for FSU IMO, as many argue that with their respective resources, should be achieving better results.
However, due to the SEC $ we’re all talking about, these guys can easily be replaced with guys with Jimbo-like work ethic and recruiting abilities. What then? Does that not hurt our recruiting efforts? Would a bulldog workhorse like Kirby Smart at UGA be a good thing for FSU?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions
FSU has recruited well..
for years and will continue to do so regardless.
I think that talk is off the table. Now could it move from a regular top 10 class to regular top 5? Maybe. But recruiting is not an issue.
I agree with you…SEC money will make it harder….which is why I think SEC is the way to go.
FSU has recruited well?
You believe that?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions
Over the last 25 years...
yea. Scouted like crap during the Jeffery years of course and was lazy.
But FSU as a school recruits great. Especially when you factor in we are a .500 program right now.
LOL
Why do you think we’re a .500 program?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions
LOL...
because we have had a few 6-6…7-5 type seasons lately.
;)
Maybe because we didn't recruit good players?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions
As evidenced by the plethora of players put in the NFL over the past 8 years or so.
Alliteration aside, you’re going to have a hard time convincing anyone that we’ve “recruited well” lately.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions
Technically, we've recruited well
But we’ve had lots of DQs and stuff. Since ’02, our classes have been ranked: 4, 21, 3, 2, 3, 21 ,9, 7, 10. Not bad – if everyone showed up and performed as rated.
So… we’ve recruited “well” but not effectively.
And...
This info is below, posted hours ago, LOL
But if you "recruit" kids who never see the field
How is that good “recruiting”?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:05 PM EDT up reply actions
It depends
After all, many of the players like Rouse who never did anything on the field also received offers from places like uf, Bama, Oklahoma, Texas, etc.
We scouted poorly, we developed poorly, etc. – no doubt about that. But we attracted “talent,” even when that talent had other offers (and not because the other big boys ignored them because of grades, character, etc.).
I’m arguing that our name continued to pull weight well into the 00s, and that Jimbo has proven that we still have some appeal. I’m definitely not arguing that we did a great job “recruiting,” in the sense that we brought in players who effectively contributed (but we attracted players who had been sought by other big-name programs). Does that make sense?
Crystal clear.
However
1.) Every year we get further removed from a NC, we lose the “prestige” from the kids that actually remember it.
2.) UF continues to be elite
3.) Alabama is not slowing down….
All things working against us right now. I’ve said it once, I’ll say it again. thank GOD for Shannon, Richt, and MIles.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:37 PM EDT up reply actions
In order of importance:
Shannon
.
.
Richt
.
.
.
.
.
.
Miles
imo
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
True, but I'm speaking geographically.
We share the Mobile area w/ LSU, so he came to mind.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions
Thought you meant in order of direct impact on us.
Not just in matchups but recruiting. Didn’t think about the possibility of Miles being just a few wins worse and being fired recently and possibly affecting Jimbo as our coach, despite considering Richt’s effect on south Georgia recruiting.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I definitely agree
This year’s HS SRs were, what, EIGHT when we last played for the NC. They’d only started paying attention to football, in many cases.
PERHAPS...
it wasn’t so much that we recruited questionable character to go along with good talent. Perhaps it was that the INFRASTRUCTURE sucked and the discipline was weak and the authority nonexistent and shit happened.
Poor evaluating. Poor coaching. Poor leadership. Poor discipline. Great googily moogily.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Yep.
Sometimes I’m happy that we got by with a 7-6 record, honestly.
Also, the “infrastructure” isn’t gonna help some kids. Some are just either too damn stupid, or too damn stupider.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions
True
But, ahem, if it had just helped “one more player” – well, THAT would have made all the difference!
Sadly.
Some posters believe that.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions
Could've made just enough difference
to win like one more game per year and Bobby would still be here.
That would be a huge difference.
/speckalation
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Um...
I have a big thing I just wrote on this that I can’t post here (it’s for a pre-season mag for Tennessee)
On that note. If I produced a 120-page pre-season annual, would y’all buy it for $15?
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Are those 2 seperate comments?
Also, what is an “annual”? Because my parents cause their old yearbooks “annuals”, and I’m confused on what exactly you mean.
If, in fact, you are saying you produced a 120 page FSU yearbook, the answer is probably not.
However, if it’s filled with anti-UGA undertones, then I’ll consider it.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:27 PM EDT up reply actions
if it includes a feature on white walkons I'll buy it.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
I'll only buy it if they play corner.
Any other position…meh.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Almost every big school has one but FSU
http://www.maplestreetpress.com/book.cfm?book_id=47
http://www.maplestreetpress.com/book.cfm?book_id=48
http://www.maplestreetpress.com/book.cfm?book_id=50
http://www.maplestreetpress.com/book.cfm?book_id=51
http://www.maplestreetpress.com/book.cfm?book_id=54
http://www.maplestreetpress.com/book.cfm?book_id=46
But FSU doesn’t have one. Most of the guys who write them run the corresponding SBN site.
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Holy shit...seriously?
I would think it’s kind-of a no-brainer, really.
They come out preseason?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:33 PM EDT up reply actions
Yes,
but with studying for the bar and moving to where I (hopefully) find a job, I won’t have time to do one for 2010 though it would be ideal. It would have to be for 2011
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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They are not affiliated
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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I see,
I was confused by the fact that most of the authors were authors on SBN sites.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
Yeah, I'd probably buy one.
I mean, can you get help from your authors, or will it all be on you?
Not a knock on you, I just imagine it’ll be a ton of work for one person.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions
I'd definitely get help from some authors both here and elsewhere
I believe they give you a formula to follow.
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Very good. I'd buy one...
For the most part, I like your stuff.
You do realize that they probably won’t let you use:
“Chuck the Chest”
“The lost Decade”
“Jody Allen, who we all know sucked worse than any coach ever to coach any sport…ever”
“a terrible, god-awful defensive staff”
“a staff who obviously didn’t care about fundamentals”
so forth, and so on.
Otherwise, sign me up. I say go for it.
PS. MattD must contribute an off-topic section, with an article of his choosing. Preferably Chuck Norris related.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions
Absolutely
Though I think I will sneak lost decade in there
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When I'm watching FSU in 2030...
I have no doubt that “the lost decade” will be the generally accepted term for 2000-2009.
And I am not EVEN kidding.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Someone in the Nat'l media recently used it.
Can’t remember who.
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Well, sneak it in there if you can.
I’m sure it’d sell. However, I’ve never really seen that publication in my area, to be honest.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 5, 2010 12:05 AM EDT up reply actions
It was a newspaper guy I believe.
It was linked in a fanpost or something round here.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
The decade the tv show "Lost" was aired?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Although I doubt this would happen, but as long as the material is as quality as presented on this site, then definitely.
You should have a teaser when you make it for people who are on the fence.
Grace I call Your name, Oh won’t Your smile fall over me, I’m cracked and dry on hands and knees, Oh sweet grace rain down on me I need You grace
-Phil Wickham
**wouldn't**
Grace I call Your name, Oh won’t Your smile fall over me, I’m cracked and dry on hands and knees, Oh sweet grace rain down on me I need You grace
-Phil Wickham
FSU has recruited well
Except for afew years when JB was the offensive coordinator and then what we did recruit wasn’t developed. Go look at the Rivals ratings for FSU recruiting classes over the past 10 years, or even 20 years. With a few exceptions, FSU always recruits well.
Riiiight.
Because recruiting rankings from 10 or 20 years back will tell the story of how things will be in a world of conference expansion, public perception, and increased parity.
You guys kill me.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions
This is recruiting - know your facts
This is where FSU has been ranked in recruiting each of the past eight years by Rivals:
Year – Ranking
2010 – 10
2009 – 7
2008 – 9
2007 – 21
2006 – 3
2005 – 2
2004 – 3
2003 – 21
2002 – 4
That’s an average recruiting class ranking of 8th in the nation. Had it not been for two sub par years where we ranked only 21st, it would have been even higher. There are very few schools that have recruited better than FSU. The problem is that we have not properly developed the talent that we have. Hopefully our new coaching staff will do that.
Ok buddy, whatever you say.
I’m guessing that those rankings are counting the guys that never stepped on the field, huh?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Or was kicked out.
Or flunked out.
Or was generally under-developed due to poor coaching (which leads back to our poor recruiting, which is shown by our poor records).
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Exactly.
What’s the point in recruiting a 5-star guy if he’s not gonna stay on the team.
The rankings may be better than average, but numbers don’t tell the entire story.
The coaching was badterrible, but we lost a lot of good players that never saw the field. That’s bad recruiting.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions
I think you guys are arguing different points
Enticing 4 and 5 star recruits to come to FSU has proven over time to not be an issue. Maybe we took the wrong 4’s and 5’s. And we probably left some top recruits behind who desparately wanted to be here. So in effect, recruiting is not the issue…evaluation was. That is now changing. Our classes will arrive, matriculate, compete, and acheive.
Recruiting the right kids are part of recruiting.
Character issues and grades count. Evaluating them is part of recruiting. Now, that is an implict characteristic of the coaches, but it hasn’t always been that way.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 8:55 PM EDT up reply actions
What Randy said.
If you recruit the wrong recruits…how is that good recruiting?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I mean, I can see where he's coming from.
Maybe “attracting talented football players” isn’t a problem.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:02 PM EDT up reply actions
Or, we landed a lot of them because other schools passed.
Callahan Bright?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Probably
Smart coaches can see stuff like that.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions
Exactly what I'm trying to convey
Many excellent players wanted to attend FSU who were not offered because we evealuated poorly. The point is that “recruiting” wasn’t the problem…the talent pool was there, the coaching decision-maling wasn’t. I know it’s all tied in, I’m just trying to say that the fsu “package” allows us to recruit wisely if we evaluate wisely.
I guess I don't understand how evaluating isn't part of recruiting?
And how losing 1/3+ of your classes, combined, for like 5 years running, is good recruiting?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
It's not, but clipper is saying that
with our resources, we absolutely could be recruiting very well. The talent is there.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:59 PM EDT up reply actions
I can't seem to make myself understood
Let me try this…a hypothetical.
If 10 5 stars are standing outside Moore knocking on the door saying we want to play here, recruiting per se is not the issue. If we only have room for 5 of them, and for some reason choose the bank robber, the petty thief, the non qualifier, the lazy flunkout, and the drug abuser, then we evaluated the group poorly. For the sake of the example, let’s say that the 5 we rejected all went on to be all conference. We could have taken those five. But we didn’t. They could have been ours. We evaluated wrong on who to offer. The players were there.
Now the poor evaluators are gone, replaced by the good ones, so we offer the talent who will achieve.
Bottom line is that FSU’s legacy recruits and allows us a shot at superior talent. The previous regime often chose the wrong talent and the current regime will choose the right talent.
As said before, attracting talent has never been our problem…choosing talent has been.
Those days are over.
Yes, but evaluating a prospect is part of the recruiting process.
to me, anyways. I get your point, though.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:25 PM EDT up reply actions
I just read it wrong.
You’re saying the recruits are there for us if we evaluate them and recruit them properly.
The only thing is I think we haven’t attracted near as much talent the past 5 years as we had the prior 20. Poor evaluating is poor recruiting and that did hurt us.
Not irreparably. The right coaches can get us back to a relative level of where we once were.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
True
But remember the original argument.
Being in the SEC will HELP recruiting. Sure, FSU may have done “well” on it’s own, but is “well” good enough to win a championship?
HELL NO
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions
I think we could've done better than well at times.
And a couple excellent classes and several good ones are all you need for a chance at a championship.
If conferences remain at 12 and Fisher or any relentless coach is at FSU, I think we can get back to our relative recruiting and on field success of old (consistently top 10 in recruiting, top 10-15 in polls, ACC champs).
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I'll agree with that.
But what if there was no Jimbo? What if we’re bringing in a new HC (w/ no HCIW agreement ever set in place), AND considering a move to the SEC.
Are we so confident? Do we give Jimbo a reacharound if this goes through?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:11 PM EDT up reply actions
If we hired Chuck Amato, in otherwords, would I be confident?
While we moved to the SEC in, say, 2011? No. Would I have been confident in 2001? Probably.
Would I be confident with a Brian Kelly, Muschamp, Smart, etc? Yes.
And the Fisher reacharound, you’re asking if FSU moves to the SEC? Because it propels us forward much more? Not following. Either way, for me, I doubt it.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
If hypothetically we'd have to move to the SEC in the next 2 years...
We’re far more prepared to compete than we would had Jimbo not worked his balls off to get us there. Imagine considering a move to the SEC, while trying to hire a replacement for Bobby.
Fustercluck
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 5, 2010 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions
As long as we had Fisher or a coach with the relentlessness of Fisher, I think we'd be fine.
If we still had Bobby, hired one of his long time assistants or the like, I think we’d likely hit a rough patch and miss a bowl before hopefully (magically) getting better or hiring a better coach.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
That includes evaluating attitude and academics
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Good lord, THANK You.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:29 PM EDT up reply actions
Here is every 4* or better offensive player recruited between 2002 and 2006
5* booker
5* platt
5* davis
5* stovall wr
4* clayton rb
4* sexton
4* sam
4* harris WR
4* Aubrey McPhadden OL
4* John Frady OL
4* fagg
5* x
4* weatherford
4* edwards rb
4* clause
4* Atkins
4* Oneal
4* Carr
5* smith
5* rouse
4* ball
4* hardrick
4* Dunham
4* rose
4* piurowski
4* mcdaniel
4* dvo
4* parker
4* hardrick
4* boatman
NO 4* or better offensive player recruited from 2003-2006 was drafted.
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that none were drafted from 2003-2006 absolutely blows my mind
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
That is more highly rated offensive talent than 90 other programs get in two decades combined.
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Ok, so here's the million dollar question.
Did we fail in recruiting?
Or is part of successful recruiting the act of evaluating talent that will actually see the football field at some point?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:46 PM EDT up reply actions
Coaching in college is... (I bolded the issues in which we were really poor)
Recruiting: Evaluation (physical, mental, academic), & procurement
Coaching: Schematics & Teaching (technique & Schematics)
Player Development: mental, physical, nutrition, psychological, etc.
Motivation: gameday and every day in every aspect of the kid’s life
Hobnobbing with boosters.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Very good.
I feel somehow validated.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:50 PM EDT up reply actions
And I will add something else
Unfortunately, because prominent boosters pay close attention to recruiting rankings, coaches have an incentive to take a commitment of a higher rated kid with little chance of admission over the commitment of a lower rated player who will make the team and contribute. The reason for this is simple: recruiting rankings are tabulated in February, and kids don’t officially fail to qualify until the Fall. Thus, all players are included in the recruiting rankings that are most often referenced. To properly evaluate the talent being brought in by a coaching staff, you should ignore the rankings released in February and instead use the Enrolled rankings, which are tabulated in the fall after kids enroll or fail to qualify.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Now THAT is interesting...
Boosters pay attention to that stuff? That’s very noteworthy.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 5, 2010 12:06 AM EDT up reply actions
I think Fagg and Piurowski would have been if not injured.
But they would have been late picks.
And that “chart” threw me for a second. I didn’t realize those three 4* were a whole year (2003) at first. I thought they were meant to be lumped in 2002. What a pathetic class. Was that the year Darling died?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Also, you can't just magically "take out" certain years because the numbers don't support your point.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions
We've recruited VERY well in the past
Except for the yearS we weren’t in the top 20.
LOL. Riiight.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:00 PM EDT up reply actions
and except for the years when half the guys didn't qualify/stole from teammates.
But that’s beside the point.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
exactly...and in the situation where you lose 2 or 3 of those 4 or 5 star guys.
Your rankings will probably go from very good to mediocre.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:06 PM EDT up reply actions
Here's something to gnaw on
wow great link!
http://cfn.scout.com/2/726003.html – 2004
http://cfn.scout.com/2/615853.html – 2003
http://footballrecruiting.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=744628 – 2002
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
RollNole5, my sincerest thanks for proving my point.
And how the HELL did you find that site?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:28 PM EDT up reply actions
I had seen it before and just searched recruiting rerankings.
For some reason this was the only stuff that would show up, not any more recent stuff. SI.com does some BS stuff where they rerank, but they have like the top 15 and don’t say who fell out. They also have Boise St. at #2 so they can bleaux me.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
ESPN is too new to go back that far, anyways, IMO
They’re the WalMart of recruiting.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:50 PM EDT up reply actions
SI does recruiting?
They’re probably as credible as Sachs giving investment advice.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah this is the link with Boise at number 2
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/andy_staples/02/15/2007-classes/index.html
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
Hahaha
What a load of crap.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:30 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah SI is not my primary resource for CFB news
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
SI isn't my primary resource for....
well…anything.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:34 PM EDT up reply actions
Those aren't based on talent, per se,
but on how the players signed actually contributed during their careers. It’s different than an “enrolled” ranking, too.
It’s fairly subjective but I can’t really disagree that Boise’s class of players performed quite well.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Boise's performed well, but it was against inferior competition.
However, like you said it is a subjective list.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
So what I'm sensing...
Is that FSU couldn’t hold their ranking, but some LSU teams with Jimbo Fisher looked really good in the rerankings. Hmm.
;-)
Exactly
I mean, if you wanna be that guy that spouts off recruiting rankings and call it a day, then that’s fine.
I know that the coaching was bad. That’s evident. However, if it was evident that the talent was so bad, why did we have so many conversations over the past 5 years or so debating coaching v talent?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:33 PM EDT up reply actions
Oh, I could tell our talent had dropped
Most definitely, and in some areas it still shows. (Plus, was it just me, or did uf’s offense seem to dwarf our defense last year?)
No. It isn't you.
That’s the POINT. You can pull in 4* studs all day long, but when 2 of your rivals are pulling in 5* studs that could eat your kids, it doesn’t matter.
Our rankings may have been "good’ compared to the rest of the country, but not when compared to Miami and UF
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions
At one time I went through from like 2003-2007 or so
and looked at how many players never made it to campus, were kicked out, flunked out, or otherwise transferred due to not being good enough. I didn’t include guys going pro early, even in Cromartie’s case or guy’s going pro in baseball, like Richardson.
I think there was a year or two were OVER 40% never stuck around on campus. That’s not even counting how many just didn’t pan out but stuck around all 3-5 years.
And the whole 5 or so year span had over 1/3 that were just voids in our timeline. Attrition is normal and expected, but one out of every 3 is absurd.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Yeah I think Bud covered this with us last year having a very thin amount of seniors, and
low amount of upperclassmen overall.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
Geeeeez. I knew it was pretty bad
when I replied like I did to the guy above, but I didn’t know it was that bad.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Its especially bad since a lot of the guys that didn't even enroll
or otherwise left were some of our highest rated.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
Well...
Do we think maybe…just maybe…that’s why other programs didn’t push hard for them?
Just maybe?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions
I stated that this year FSU couldn't compete
But with the recruits that Jimbo has brought in….in the future we would compete
Team GOLD
Here's an interesting thing to consider
What about the infighting within the SEC re: this type of expansion scenario.
It seems to me UF and UGA would fight this tooth and nail. The Gators’ and Dogs’ recruiting claim of moral SEC superiority would vanish in an instant if FSU, UM and GT came into the league. If Southern Miss came in, the Mississippis would also cry uncle.
That’s already four no votes on practical grounds — I wonder if there would be any philosophical dissenters? Also, Alabama and Auburn would be in interesting spots — on one hand, they recruit against FSU and to a lesser extent into S. Fla. and Miss. — they might say that this hurts them as well. On the other hand, they might rationlize that what’s REALLY bad for UGA and UF must be good for them.
Of course, what they ALL OUGHT to be looking at is the bigger picture of conference sustainability, but they might just take a Notre Dame-like approach and say “Hey, we already stand on our own — we don’t need to be a lifeboat for these other schools.” Regardless, it will/would certainly be a fascinating internal debate.
Perhaps
But they may still wish to expand, but just do so by taking teams in new geographical areas. I think if the B10 expands, the SEC will strongly consider it. Whether they try to enlarge their footprint or take teams that would enhance their profile and be more likely to contribute economically (e.g., FSU), I don’t know.
The fact that the SEC has a TV contract and not a TV channel may get us the nod
If they had a channel like the Big 10 network, I don’t think they’d want us because we wouldn’t add new markets/cable systems. But since their model is in the television value of their games, they have to look hard at us. We would bring some ratings punch, and if we have a good year this year it will help.
We were discussing this point on another board.
And I think you’re 100% right. Excellent point.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions
On the flipside, doesn't ESPN "act" like an SEC network?
They get more teams, and ultimately more viewership? What’s in a name, really?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions
Personally
I don’t think their ESPN deal means squat to the future of the conference. SEC football has been around what, 76 years now? This tv deal with ESPN would make up 16% of it. Unless you are a firm believer in the idea that the world will soon end (for whatever reason, no religion or politics), then maybe joining the SEC is stupid.
But, if you’re looking at where FSU could be in 50 years in the SEC, then this little ESPN contract means nothing. If SEC schools “only” make $5M/team/year more than ACC schools, that’s "only $250M over those 50 years. That’s big money.
The Big Ten HAS to expand outside it’s geographic footprint. There just aren’t many great programs within (ND, that’s it). The SEC doesn’t need to expand very far if it doesn’t wish, or is incapable of doing. But it certainly will explore options like OU, UT, and probably VT and UNC.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I'm not positive this is correct.
It may be. But here’s another way to look at it if you are UF or UGA. You play a tough (theoretically) game against your arch-rival anyway. If you bring them in the conference, they replace a game that’s probably already pretty hard. You’re basically getting one tough game off your schedule.
So now you have an extra game to play with, an extra home game. You can play another patsy, you can now play some higher profile OOC game if you want, a neutral field game, or a midlevel team you can trade 2-for-1. There’s a lot of options that go with not having an out of conference rival like UF and UGA have right now.
Example, Alabama has played games in the past two seasons in Atlanta to start the year. Great exposure there, to recruits and otherwise. They can do that, whereas UF cannot.
However, I would expect UF to adamantly oppose UM’s admission. They don’t play them now anyway, no reason to give another state rival the leg up. Leaving Miami to rot in what’s left of the ACC would be attractive to UF.
I like your thoughts.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
A coupe reasons the SEC would be better than fine
Recruiting would more than likely improve,that’s right: improve. We already go head to head vs SEC schools in so many instances,but we would no longer have to recruit vs the SEC. Many of the elite kids in the southeast want to play for a team in that conference. We would become a deeper more talented squad and that would enable us to compete in a better conference.
The repercussions of the SECs financial windfall have barely even hit and they’re already ahead…just think of how bad it could potentially get…I’d rather be on the safe side of that equation(keep your enemies closer).
The culture of the conference,the match ups etc is a better fit for FSU. Attendance would be better,and I believe booster donations would increase more as well. Here in the panhandle with all the Auburn and Bama people around(not to mention the usual UF)…I think people would be driven to be more competitive for there school support.
I agree
It’s not a convincing argument, because it’s speculative, but I’m sure you’re right. Let’s face it, FSU fans don’t believe that it takes that much to beat GT, Boston College, Wake Forest, etc. Florida atheletes and a 80,000 seat stadium should be enough. People feel we already have so many advantages that additional money is viewed as practially wasted.
SEC fans KNOW what it takes to beat the other schools in the conference, and they pony up.
Question
If the SEC TV contract is already in place, whats the incentive for them to expand? Aren’t they going to have to split their revenue a potential 16 ways instead of 12? If the Big 10 expands, thats great because thats more TV markets for their network, but I have a hard time foreseeing ESPN being willing to throw another $100 million on top of a TV deal that they already regret. So again, where’s the incentive for the SEC to expand and furthermore, for FSU to join?
That's a big question that I haven't heard answered
A couple suggestions. Some think that ESPN might renegotiate.
While that might seem crazy, if the SEC takes FSU, Clemson, GT, and Miami for example, that’s money ABC/ESPN won’t have to pay for ACC rights. So so say you are paying $20 for the SEC rights, and $7 for the ACC rights, and the ACC thinks they want $12. Instead of paying the ACC near $11, you could pay the new SEC $23, and then tell the new ACC they get $4, take it or leave it. That’s not to even consider what they’d save on the Big East and/or Big 12 rights after the Big 10 picks them over.
There might be something else there we’re just not seing. There’s only so many slots available on CBS and all the ESPNs. Maybe lower level conference games on PPV, like the games against patsies sometimes are?
If ESPN renegotiates in this economy their offer will be much smaller.
The SEC has no incentive to expand when it’s locked into a cushy contract that they can’t likely duplicate.
Completely Agree
If ESPN backs out for renegotiation, the next offer won’t come close to the current offer.
Team GOLD
The SEC's reason to expand
Would be because teams are ripe for the taking with the Big East, Big 12, and possibly ACC being plundered. If the SEC fails to move now, they will miss out on potential big names that may not be available later. The SEC does not wish to just stay relevant, it wishes to rule.
Well, would the payout from the TV contracts be renegotiated or not?
If not, I think they wouldn’t. If so, I think they’d at least listen.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions
ESPN wouldn't pay more money
then they already do. They already regret the current contract.
Team GOLD
But they could pay the SEC more and pay less TOTAL money
by not coughing up cash for a decimated ACC, Big East and Big 12.
That would make sense.
I don't know..
Missouri and Nebraska to the Big 10, Colorado to the Pac 10, no conference championship game. Texas to the Pac 10 (it’s been mentioned).
Or Texas and Texas A&M to the SEC West, FSU and Miami/Clemson to the SEC East. Big 12 would be decimated by losing TX and Nebraska, the ACC close to it losing FSU and Miami or Clemson.
The Big 12 and ACC aren’t securing big TV contracts as it is, without those teams they command much less. A little of that could go to the SEC. Hell, ESPN could probably get out of the Big East and ACC football business altogether if it wanted to and not lose a whole lot.
That’s my theory.
Especially...
If Fox is serious about winning for the ACC TV contract. ESPN could kill the value of the ACC contract outright for an extra $100 million a year. So they either pick it up much more cheaply, or if they lose it to a competitor, it is a crippled product.
Yeah, I thought that was the plan...
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions
The Big East is already Dead Man Walking
They are not getting an offer from any of the large or even second tier college football outlets at least until the Big 10 makes an announcement. With the Big East biggest rating draws being the teams that the Big 10 are going to take the most the Big East is going to get is a chance to give there games away for a cut of advertising.
Exactly for the reason jmiketaylor said.
It’s not about right now. It’s about the future of the conference. If they pass on trying to nab a Texas, Oklahoma, Florida State or Miami, they may never get the opportunity again. Take a decade long “hit” in revenue and reap the benefits later.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Plus
In a few years when the contract DOES expire, you can bet a SEC network will be closely examined. Especially with 16 teams. They could do very well for themselves, even if they showed replays of games.
(Seriously, if we beat uf, wouldn’t you watch the replay?)
That's fine
Conferences look very far ahead. Like smart businesses.
But why would they add 4 new teams now, take a smaller slice of the pie, and wait for 14 years to reap the rewards?
It’s not like the Big 10 is banging down FSU, Clemson, or Miami’s door.
If that’s who the SEC wants in expansion, then they can sit tight for 12 years, continue to get a higher per team share of the television contract, call us in 2022, expand, and then get a new contract.
And by 2022 we should have 3 or 4 more NC trophies in the ol' case...
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions
The only answer I have to that is
if the ACC and/or Big XII expand and create networks or combine forces to create a singular network, that they would both start rolling in the money and possibly surpass the SEC in revenue (I say possibly because I have no clue).
That would make it much harder for the SEC to pry the elite level teams (OU, UT, FSU, UM, etc) away later.
It may be now or never. A similar case of should FSU move to the SEC if offered. Fear of being left behind, I guess.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Hmmm...So it goes both ways, huh?
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 6:03 PM EDT up reply actions
It may.
I don’t.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Not that there's anything wrong with that.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 8:57 PM EDT up reply actions
Depends on the context.
I chose to cover my bases.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Always a good idea.
You can’t go wrong with that plan.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 9:03 PM EDT up reply actions
Guess I should have said,
“I chose to cover my ass.”
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I pretty much agree..
there are very few alternatives for the ACC, but joining forces with the Pac 10 and/or the Big 12 is one of hte only realistic ones I see.
That would be the best outcome, I think.
Easy ACC (or, easier than SEC) football. Great ACC basketball. Good/great revenue. Great academic peers.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
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"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I like the idea of an Atlantic/Pacific Coast partnership.
The academic look of the partnership is good. I like the company Florida State would be keeping. I wonder how having the two coasts in the fold works for TV. Pretty well, I expect.
Abiaka Windclan
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by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions
Guys, let's walk through a typical SEC schedule for us...
How do we win in the SEC?
If we are in the SEC East, our sample schedule looks like this. How would our 2012 team fare (first year in the SEC)?:
Cupcake 1AA school — 95%
Cupcake 1AA school — 95%
UGA — 60%
Kentucky — 80%
Miami — 55%
Vanderbilt — 95%
Tenn — 60%
LSU — 50%
Miss State — 80%
Auburn — 60%
SC — 70%
UF — 40%
This is assuming we avoid Bama. That’s 8.4 wins. If Jimbo goes 8-4 in the SEC, he doesn’t have a job for very long…
1AAs are almost always .99
If we joined the SEC we would drop Miami IMO
And you have us playing 9 conference games. Drop that to 8.
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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Would we not play 9 conference games?
6 from our division (if SEC East), and 3 from the SEC West? Or would it be changed to 2 from SEC West?
I don't think it's ever been fully explained how it would work
I’ve heard 9 conference games, seven in division and two outside the division, or 8 conference games with just one accross the division.
If we go 9 conference games we would drop Miami
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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You need home and aways...in the SEC the homefield advantage is huge.
Also, I think your EWP’s are very opimistic. All of them.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions
how are you assigning a win % for games 2 years from now?
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
Hahahahahahaha
I totally missed the whole 2012 part.
I was assuming a 2010 situation. Consider my comments null and void. I want THAT question answered!
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 10:01 PM EDT up reply actions
Because we need to understand how difficult our schedule will become...
Perhaps using percentages for two years away is not the best method.
Maybe it’s just better to say this: if we’re playing UGA/UF/Bama/LSU/Tenn/SC and possibly Miami in the same season, we are screwed. Our record would be no better than it is right now.
Lemme guess
You’re in the “stay in the ACC” camp?
Not jumping on you, just curious.
"I'm just a big, hairy, American winning machine"
by Randall W. Spetman on May 4, 2010 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions
No, I am in the 'we are screwed either way' camp.
Stay in the ACC, get lost in the arms race.
Go to the SEC, go 8-4 every year and become irrelevant.
I won't buy that...
I just won’t buy that we can’t eventually do better than that, when you factor in the boost the SEC would give the program. Yes, there will be some 8-4 years (which in the SEC definitely does not make you irrelevant on the national or conference stage). But I think we will be able to compete for SEC titles in some years. And in the SEC, you compete for SEC titles, and plenty of times that will put you in the NC hunt.
When it comes to relevance, unless you go undefeated in the ACC you aren’t relevant. In the SEC, any team is relevant when they are facing Tennessee, GA, AL, etc.
Also, remember, in a 16 team conference, you’re only going to see the teams on the other side once or twice every decade. So let’s not act like we’re playing Alabama, LSU, UF, Auburn, Tennessee and GA every year. We’ve got to play UF anyway. Are we really that scared of Georgia and Tennessee, in terms of thinking we can never be better than them?
Yes, some years you’ll draw Alabama. But other years you’ll draw Ole Miss, MSU, Arkansas, or a down Auburn. I don’t see why we have to pencil in 4 losses automatically.
And in the interem, you’ll have packed stadiums, huge excitement, more national attention, more money, better facilities, better recruiting, hold onto your coaches, etc.
Where do you see us in the pecking order for the SEC?
I see UF/Bama/LSU clearly ahead of us.
Do you think we can do better than UGA has done in the past 10 years in the SEC? How about Auburn? Tennessee? Please remember that each of these schools have more money than we do.
Definitely Auburn and Tennessee
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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One reason they have more money is because they are in the SEC
Not just the TV money, but booster money, ticket sales, etc. All that goes up in the SEC. So yes, they have more money that us, but that gap can close over time.
You’re certainly not going to get any closer in money NOT being in the SEC.
I can’t believe we can’t be competitive with UT, Auburn, Georgia, and even LSU as the Saban machine continues to erode. All it takes is a bad coaching hire to dent a program for several years. LSU wasn’t much of a player in the SEC for thirty years, I’m not convinced they will always be ahead of us.
Alabama and Florida seem to be the only ones with a persistent advantage over us right now. Bama because they have Saban at the moment, and UF because they have their money advantage AND the same fertile recruiting ground we do. UF we have to figure out a way to beat anyway (unless you are advocating we drop them) to win a national title, and Bama won’t necessarilly be on our schedule.
And again, taking the long view, Saban and Meyer won’t be there forever. Not every coaching hire works every time, even having all the money in the world (Kiffin at UT). So there will be opportunities.
It's relative
We go SEC, we still are way behind UF/UT/LSU/Bama/Auburn/UGA in money. And we have to play these teams every year.
We stay ACC, we are behind nobody in money, and we don’t have to play any of them but UF.
We would still be behind in money even if we stayed in the ACC.
The ACC does not play or win national championships in a vacuum, sign tv contracts in a vacuum, recruit in a vacuum, build facilities in a vacuum or build personnel infrastructure in a vacuum.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Look on the bright side.
If you go 8-4 in the SEC every year, you still have all the SEC braggarts saying what a glorious conference they hail from because the conference has teams like you in it.
Abiaka Windclan
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by Abiaka Windclan on May 18, 2010 12:52 PM EDT up reply actions
8.4 wins 8 and possibly 9 wins in that year which is actually better than our record this last year.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
should say 8.4 which is equivalent to 8 and possibly 9 wins
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
also that win total is a reasonable expectation for what our record will be this year.
should Jimbo’s job be in jeopardy?
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
If Jimbo goes 8-4 in 2012, his job would be in jeopardy...
If he does it this year, it’s OK because at least it’s improvement.
Fair enough, but 8-4 in SEC is different than 8-4 in the ACC.
However, I do expect our team to be better than that in 2012.
>>>-----------;;;-->CP7 for Heisman>>>-----------;;;-->
I agree, it's much different, being in the ACC is worth probably 2 extra wins every year...
and comes with the added bonus of not having to go through Nick Saban and Urban Meyer just to win your conference.
Don’t tell that to the people on Warchant though. They think if we go SEC we would be the #1 or #2 team there.
I really do not see where these 2 extra wins come from...
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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100% agreed
Is Tennessee and Georgia SO much more intimidating than Clemson and Georgia Tech? Yes, they’re tougher, but not so much tougher that an extra $15 million a year couldn’t close the gap.
Part of that toughness is made up anyway by the fact you’re spotted one loss in the SEC you wouldn’t be in the ACC.
The SEC is tougher, but not SO much tougher as to negate the financial and other advantages, at least not to dismiss them out of hand.
You don't see 2 extra wins...
the ACC?
ACC schedule: Clemson/BC/WF/NC St./Maryland/Miami/UF and 2 of: UNC/GT/VT/Duke/UVA
SEC schedule: UF/UGA/UK/Vandy/UT/SC/Miami? and 2 of: Bama/Miss/MSU/Aub/LSU/Ark
Our ACC schedule has 2 games where we may not be favored, even in tough years that we draw VT/GT.
On our SEC schedule, I see at least 3-4. If we draw LSU/Bama, it goes up.
Also, if we are undefeated, who would you rather play to go to the MNC game...
Bama/LSU/or perhaps Auburn in the SECCG
or
VT/GT/Miami in the ACCCG?
I know which one I’m picking.
You can't compare it if you're talking expansion IMO with yhose assumptions
Because we wouldn’t play 9 conference games, I don’t think.
And we would definitely never play a difficult noncon game under the expansion
I see is being dogs do UF and nobody else of UGA/UK/Vandy/UT/SC/Miami
Where are these 3-4 and more if we get LSU/Bama?
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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I see us being dogs to UF...
I also see Miami/UGA as coin flips. Could go either way. I’d almost put UT and Auburn in this category as well.
Obviously, if we play LSU/Bama during the regular season, we are likely dogs.
We could potentially play Bama twice. Or LSU twice.
And think about this scenario...
Arky goes Big 12. SEC invites us to take their place in SEC West.
Our schedule now has LSU/Bama/Auburn/UF every year, with potentially having to play UF twice.
If your choice is stay in ACC or go SEC West (in Arky’s place), which do you choose?
Why would we play UF every year if we were in the west?
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
Doesn't every SEC team have 1'rival' team they play every year...
in the opposite division?
Wouldn’t ours have to be UF?
Apparently they do.
Never picked up on it.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
And Arkansas is not going anywhere.
Just not happening.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
There are a number of scenarios where we end up in SEC West...
not just Arkansas leaving
Arkansas isn't going anywhere.
There’s no question that going to the west would be an extremely tough draw if they keep the crossover game.
But I think the more likely scenario is we end up in the east and UT shifts to the West and they eliminate the crossover game. It’s not impossible, but I highly doubt they’ll break up the UT-Alabama game. It’s possible of course, but that’s by far UT’s biggest historical game by far, and it would be way to easy to preserve it.
The guaranteed crossover is great, I just don’t see how it makes sense in the 16-team scenario.
Of course, you might have to try to preserve Clemson-USC and maybe UGA-GT as well, so it could get a little tricky.
In addition, taking the long view, 10 years from now, the west may NOT be tougher. The perception of the tougher side of the SEC has flipped back and forth over the years.
Remember when Bobby was scared of being put in the SEC west? As it turns out that would have been almost a cakewalk for much of the 90’s.
Wow
I’m not sure it would have been a cakewalk, but can you imagine if we would have been a consistent SEC CG participant for much of the 90s? Where would we be money-wise right now?
I realized that and just posted below!
Posting before thinking = not smart, heh heh.
Of course, we made more in the 90s in the ACC...
But the prestige, and the current state of things. How would things be different? It’s interesting to consider.
Certainly.
I didn’t say there weren’t. But the one specifically involving us replacing Arkansas is not a possible scenario imo.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I agree
If money is the driving factor (and not “fit”), why would Arky leave?
They wouldn't.
And they may not have to. OU and UT could certainly wind up in the SEC if this whole expansion thing blows up.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
In 2 years Miami is no coin flip
Ponder lacks arm strength? Think again.
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We won't have to go through Nick Saban every year
Assuming we’re in the east. I’m not ready to concede that Alabama will win the west every year.
And we have to go through Urban Meyer anyway for everyone’s stated goal of a national championship. It’s already established that virtually nobody cares about ACC titles. If you don’t think we can beat Florida, than what’s the point?
We don't have to go through Urban Meyer to win our conference right now...
and got to a BCS bowl.
I see us beating UF once every 4 years or so. In the SEC, that means we will almost never win the conference. In the ACC, it means we can still go to a BCS bowl every year.
How big a deal is a Orange bowl game against a Cincinnatti or Utah
We split the cash with the ACC anyway, and nobody watches the game or cares about it.
No reason to think we’d go to the BCS every year in the ACC. Every other year would be more plausible, if we think the ACC is going to ever approach respectability in football.
I would trade an appearance in the SEC championship game for two or three Orange Bowl games any day once you add the other benefits.
Again, what’s the thrill of going 10-2 and going to the Orange bowl? The ratings are putrid, no fans travel to the game, etc.
It's a huge deal...
Making a BCS game is huge compared to going to the Gator bowl.
You would trade an appearance in the SECCG for the Orange Bowl?
Wow.
If we are in the SEC and we never make a BCS bowl...
We are screwed recruiting wise.
What do you think we'd get more TV viewers for?
The SEC championship game or the Orange Bowl?
What do you think we’d sell more tickets to, the SEC Championship game or the Orange Bowl?
What do you think boosters would pay more money for the right to buy, the SEC championship game or the Orange Bowl?
Which is not going to sell out, the SEC championship game or the Orange Bowl?
Besides, you are the one predicting we would never go to a BCS bowl, not me. Remember, the SEC gets two.
If we make the SECCG once every 5 years,
our program is bordering on irrelevancy.
If we make a BCS bowl once every 2-3 years (as we could/should in the ACC), our program is viewed as one of the best in the country.
The Orange Bowl, like most bowls, does quite well when we attend.
Same with tv ratings.
To answer your questions, quite probably the SEC championship game would be the actual response. But, because if we were in the SEC championship game, we would theoretically, usually, be in the BCS championship game hunt. Being in the Orange Bowl would mean we aren’t playing for a national championship, at least with the current bowl setup. We likely would’ve just lost the SEC championship game.
I was going to say I’d prefer an Orange Bowl over a SEC championship appearance, but I think we’d be almost guaranteed a BCS bowl even if we lost the SEC. So I’d rather have the shot at a national title and still have a (nearly) guaranteed BCS bowl as a secondary option.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."
I just assumed neutral field, since we don't know which games would be home games (except for UF)...
But I agree homefield is very big in SEC.
I want what some of you guys are smoking . . .
You guys need to calm down with all of this SEC love fest. There is a very small chance we will be moving from the ACC. Focus on what is real, like winning the ACC title for a change and getting into a BCS game.
Ok...EVERYONE LISTEN UP...
Stop talking about this right now. Let’s all get back to the work we would all normally be doing in May helping FSU win the ACC title this season. :-)
Quit commenting on this particular article then, DAMN.
You presumably read the article or at least skimmed it. You knew what it was about.
MiNDSET? SWAG-ER-ISM!!!
---------------------------------------------------------
"Trick is right."
"Wherever you are, Trick, you are wise, indeed."

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