The above chart shows first-year quarterbacks who led their team to a top-5 finish. I posted this today to make a point. I've seen many 'Noles here and elsewhere forecasting failure for UF because they are replacing a very accomplished QB with a very talented, 4th-year backup. The bottom line is that FSU fans cannot doubt UF's brantley if they plan to tout E.J. Manuel In 2012. Both replace one of the best quarterbacks in school history. Both do so as red-shirt juniors. Both were highly touted four-star recruits. Both have some experience. Brantley has had 4 Spring practices, while Manuel will have had only 2 (injuries), but Manuel will have thrown about 40 more passes. If Manuel has an advantage in 2011 that Brantley likely will not have this season, it is that the FSU defense will likely return 9 starters. H/t Doc Note: I do not endorse using total offense or scoring offense as a performance measure because it doesn't account for opponent quality or garbage time, but the audience for which that author writes is about as dumb as CFB readers come. I know our readers are much smarter.