Conference predictions by a small stat based site. The ACC preview breaks down formula used to pick who does what. Again FSU is the pick for the Atlantic, with Clemson a close second (in a two horse race). The surprise is that this guy's math picks BC to finish 4th in the division, with Maryland third. SWFLNole: Matt generally does a good job on his website. The log 5 probability explanation is indeed very math heavy, but there is a lot of information here. I'm not sure how much he accounts for schedule, but it is interesting to see how he has BC rated.