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Around SBN: The End Of Sabanball: Details, Barbarians, And Precision

FSU Football WX Outlook

 

The impacts of weather have always influenced almost every aspect of any military operation throughout the world.  FSU has a new Commanding Officer (CO) in town and he is looking forward to assault any apposing force whether it is at home, in familiar territory, or in unfamiliar territory.  Our new CO will need every tool possible to make sure his forces are prepared physically, emotionally, and mentally.  I am sure there is a seasoned meteorologist on the staff and provides him accurate and timely forecast, seeing that FSU has one of the best meteorological schools in the nation. We can only assume that he uses that information and exploits it.

            So why do we as fans care about weather? $$$$$. An accurate and timely forecast could help an individual out when using other traditional betting techniques. A slippery field that hinders grip could greatly reduce a point spread.  An extremely hot playing field could cause some of the best players to suffer from fatigue and cramps.  A rapidly developing thunderstorm moving toward the stadium could force a delay in action and cause a momentum shift from one team to another. Temperatures below freezing could cause havoc on the side lines with players trying to stay warm and cause them to lose focus on the game. Weather plays a large role in the ebb and flow of games.

            My plan is provide not only the readers with an accurate forecast for games, but also insight on why what is happening, when it is happening. The way you take the information and use it is totally up to you.  Whether it help you with your travel plans to the game, the attire you wear the game (of course it will be Nole gear), or what bet to place in Vegas.

            Prior to the game I will post the current weather outlook for the game.  On the Thursday night game against NC State I will post it on Sunday afternoon. But that’s not all!  We all know that weather is a rapidly changing phenomenon. I will also provide updated data that I receive, in order to help facilitate the needs of individuals that decide to use the information provided. With that being said, in no way shape or fashion do I set out to be the one source of information. My intentions with these posts are to provide real time data and an educated forecast for the games. You're right I won’t always be right, but the information that is put out will be sound and as accurate as Mother Nature wants me to be.  Forecasting weather is not an exact science.  It’s merely taking data provided by a model or current conditions and combining your experience to make an educated guess at what is going to happen. Mother Nature loves to prove me wrong on a regular basis but I thoroughly enjoy the challenge of trying to figure her out.

This weekend in Tallahassee should not only be the first insight for fans to see the new regime at work, but a weekend that could prove catastrophic to the East Coast with the landfall of our first hurricane. With that said the storm will remain far away from Doak and prove no threat to our ball game. The weather for Tallahassee will be surprisingly HOT! Expect temps in the mid 90’s with light southwesterly winds and a near 0% chance of rain. Bring plenty of cold frosty beverages and stay hydrated.

I do want to note that the tropics are very active right now with three named storms and another wave moving off the coast of Africa right now. Hurricanes are the red headed step children of weather. They operate under completely different parameters than regular convective weather. As stated before Earl will move up the East coast and pose no threat to Florida. Fiona should remain well away from the US and dissipate in the North Atlantic. Gaston on the other hand is forecast as of 7:49EDT this evening to move toward Puerto Rico. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents. As you can see with this link it’s only a 3 day forecast. I suspect this storm may pose a threat to FL sometime within the next 10-14 days depending upon the speed and movement of the Subtropical ridge. Way too far out to start making predictions but something we all should keep our eye on. For those of you that are not familiar with the National Hurricane Center, this is a great place to get the most up to date Hurricane info.

Unless there is a significant change in the weather I will not post any updates to this weekend’s forecast. But on Monday I will post the forecast for Norman. Good Luck to the Noles and hopefully I’ll be writing about a 1-0 team headed to Norman looking for a huge upset on National TV!

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Great job!

Glad to have passed the TN weather baton to somebody who actually knows what they are talking about!

Look forward to tracking how the weather might impact our games through the season.

by Fsued on Sep 1, 2010 11:19 PM EDT reply actions  

man

my, “It goin be hot our der” didn’t pass the interview?

Not an alcoholic, just an FSU grad.

by onebarrelrum on Sep 1, 2010 11:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Tremendous Work!

This team will improve in '10... on its 16-16 conference record over the last 4 years.... after losing 20 games in the last 4 years... after having the 7th worst major-conference defense... after not even winning its own division in the ACC in the last 4.

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by Bud Elliott on Sep 1, 2010 11:27 PM EDT reply actions  

This is great stuff.

Look forward to the weekly forecasts. I unfortunately have a fascination with hurricanes. Probably started right here in Tallahassee when I was young. Hurricane Kate came through. While it was not a high cat storm it spawned a lot of little tornadoes. Walking around my neighborhood and looking at pine trees snapped like tooth pics…wowza. I found the destructive force quite awesome. All of the old growth in this town, trees overhanging power lines everywhere, makes for a bad combination. Tally does not handle strong storms well.

I know FSU has a great meteorological program but I find myself turning to a University of Maryland site every hurricane season. It is hurricane.terrapin.com if you are interested in checking it out. Great historical data there. It has data (maps etc)

Not an alcoholic, just an FSU grad.

by onebarrelrum on Sep 1, 2010 11:44 PM EDT reply actions  

woops

don’t know what happened there. Continuing on with my nerd post…

It has data (maps etc) of every hurricane/tropical storm (think depression too) in recorded history. Very cool. It also links to all the important sites of course like noaa.

Not an alcoholic, just an FSU grad.

by onebarrelrum on Sep 1, 2010 11:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you want something FSU based

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

or http://moe.met.fsu.edu/~acevans/models/

I’m currently a met student at FSU and those two are great pages.

crownweather.com also has a very nice Atlantic Tropical Webpage that shows shear maps and SAL maps which are very important to TC’s and so its interesting from that standpoint becase those aren’t maps you normally see everywhere else.

Team GOLD

by fsugrizz on Sep 9, 2010 9:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cool, Thanks!

Not an alcoholic, just an FSU grad.

by onebarrelrum on Sep 9, 2010 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great work!

Makes me wish I had stuck with Meteorology at FSU…

Florida State Seminoles

by basbalstr101 on Sep 2, 2010 12:12 AM EDT reply actions  

?

Meteorology major Freshman year and switched to Biology Sophomore year to do something in health care. Graduated this last April.

Florida State Seminoles

by basbalstr101 on Sep 4, 2010 12:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

I will happily sweat Yuengling any Saturday

If it will clear the skies for Ponder’s aerial assault.

by NOLEmercy3 on Sep 2, 2010 12:54 AM EDT reply actions  

When you say
light southwesterly winds

what does that mean? ~ 5-10 mph? tia

"The only place success comes before work is in the dictionary." Vince Lombardi
"We'll win games with talent, we'll win championships with character." Jimbo Fisher

by RishiM on Sep 2, 2010 7:05 AM EDT reply actions  

no greater than 7mph

Thank God for the men and women who stand tall in the night to protect this great country we love so much

by NOLEcasterWX on Sep 2, 2010 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

TN has too much information!

this place gets better and better and better….

>>>──────►

by NorFla_Nole on Sep 2, 2010 11:42 AM EDT reply actions  

Can you bring a water bottle into the stadium

if it’s sealed? Seems like they’d be risking a lawsuit if they prohibited that.

by LouC on Sep 2, 2010 11:42 AM EDT reply actions  

Don't think you can.

Plus they have water fountains…so they are covered.

Not an alcoholic, just an FSU grad.

by onebarrelrum on Sep 2, 2010 3:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

one of the best things about being married

is the wife’s ability to smuggle contraband.

by fsu44 on Sep 3, 2010 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

I called the stadium to ask

The guy said technically it isn’t allowed. But he expects them to be pretty lax about it. I bet if it’s not obvious they aren’t going to say much. Probably have some in my wife and kids’ purses and maybe a couple under my shirt. I guess I’m older now, sneaking water into the game.

by LouC on Sep 3, 2010 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the kind words everyone!

I look foward to being able to do this every week. Everyone should look at the updated watches and warnings for Earl if you havent seen them yet. Refrence the link i shared in the post.

Thank God for the men and women who stand tall in the night to protect this great country we love so much

by NOLEcasterWX on Sep 2, 2010 12:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Weather has been great!

Nothing like looking at a blow out on a nice Florida day! Will be back on Monday with the Norman Forecast!

Thank God for the men and women who stand tall in the night to protect this great country we love so much

by NOLEcasterWX on Sep 4, 2010 2:20 PM EDT reply actions  

Love this!

I’m a naval meteorologist and am ending my tour in Japan this week; can’t wait to read your posts weekly as I’m finally able to enjoy a football season in Tally after 3 years overseas. Great work with the first week’s analysis!

by NavyNole on Sep 6, 2010 9:15 AM EDT reply actions  

Wow.

Welcome back man. Looks like you picked just the right time to come back to the states and watch some FSU football.

Not an alcoholic, just an FSU grad.

by onebarrelrum on Sep 6, 2010 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Isn't it though?

We’re having a ‘welcome back/FSU-OK’ party this saturday with the half of the family that aren’t crocs :-)

by NavyNole on Sep 6, 2010 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ha.

Awesome. Hopefully the ’Noles will give you plenty to celebrate.

Not an alcoholic, just an FSU grad.

by onebarrelrum on Sep 7, 2010 1:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

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