FanPost

Week 4 WX

Its that time again!  Just as the staff at TN is dedicated to providing you the best FSU sports info, I'm dedicated to giving you the most accurate forecast for each game. To date the forecast provided for each game has been accurate. Mainly because the weather has been great!  Thanks to everyone that has rec'd my posts and to each person that has read it!

Now to the good stuff. Weather this week looks to be hot as usual and a 20-30% chance of a  pop up afternoon thundershower. Practice this week should go off without a hitch. Any thundershowers that develop will be inland, do to the effects of the sea breeze and will battle the sun set to make it to Tallahassee.

This weekend could prove to be a first with a weather delay. Right now all the models I've been interrogating are showing an increased chance of showers Saturday afternoon. Usually the most unstable portion of a high pressure system is the southeast sector. Currently the high pressure center is located over southwestern Mississippi. That puts Tallahassee in the northeast sector. The models are forecasting the high to slowly track to the northeast giving way to a developing low that will originate in the southern Rocky Mtns. That means Tallahassee should stay out of the unstable portion. But the frontal boundary is what could be a player for our weather on Saturday. Right now I'm not comfortable with giving a "yes" its going to rain or a "no" its not going to rain. The chance for this system to move into the area is there but I personally believe that it will be a dry front and thus chance for rain is low. Throughout the week I'll continue to monitor the situation and make any necessary adjustments to the forecast as needed. So check back for the updates thorough out the week. I would like to throw this out there: What happened the last time we played Wake in the rain? That's why I'm hoping for no rain! GO NOLES!

Game time forecast:        High of 93 and a 50% chance of rain. Winds will be light and out of the east/southeast.

Wednesday Update: Looks as though the forecast is much of the same.Although the front that I spoke of has been slow to develop there is an abundance of tropical moisture over the Gulf and with it being pumped in over the region with the southerly flow, thundershowers are possible. I lowered the high temp 2 degrees do to the amount of clouds that will be in the sky. Lots of sun, but that much needed cloud cover will keep the temps just below boiling! Ill continue to monitor and give updates when needed.

Friday update: National weather service has increased the possibility of thundershowers over the region. The approaching front has lost most of it energy to the north do to lower surface temps, but storms remain to the south of the front/stationary boundary due to high surface temps. I am going to agree with the national weather service and bump the chances up of rain. Ill be monitoring the conditions over the area during the game and post it in the game thread of any approaching threats. GO NOLES!!

Saturday Morning: Thundershowers are already out over the water right now. I believe that between the start of the game and and 5 p.m. there will be some storms in the area. I do not believe it will be a wash out. This will be a temporary situation. Typical Florida afternoon thundershowers. Ill be keeping my eye on the radar through out and will post. A bit of good news though! with the cloud cover over the region today i don't believe that the temps will go much above 90. So that's going to be my high temp. GO NOLES!!

Game day forecast: High of 90 and a Thundershowers will be around the stadium throughout the game 75% chance and a delay during the game. Winds will be light and out of the east/southeast.

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