You won't find FSU in the "last four in" category, nor the "next four in." That's important.
Last Four In
Boston College Eagles (18-11, 8-7 ACC, RPI: 47, SOS: 18)
The Eagles very much look like a team that peaked before Christmas, as they went 10-2 before the holiday (with a loss to Yale their worst of all) and 8-9 since. Plus, the shine of the Eagles' win over Texas A&M in Orlando, their only victory over a team in the RPI Top 50, has worn off slightly, thanks to the Aggies' up-and-down performance in the Big 12. In the ACC, the Eagles have been less "up-and-down" and more flat out mediocre. Sweeps of Maryland and Virginia Tech, are helpful, but losses at Clemson and Florida State, along with a sweep at the hands of Miami are problematic.
The Eagles final conference game, Sunday's home date with Wake Forest Demon Deacons, will do little to improve their fortunes, which means Boston College has a lot of work to do at the ACC Tournament in Greensboro.
Next Four In: Virginia Tech, Gonzaga, Michigan State, Butler
First Four Out
Clemson Tigers (19-9, 8-6 ACC, RPI: 68, SOS: 97)
The Tigers' lack of quality wins could push them into the NIT (which honestly wouldn't be the worst fate, considering where this team was at the first of the year). Clemson has just two top 50 victories on the year, which came over Boston College and Florida State, both at Littlejohn. Otherwise, the Tigers' wins are rather middling. As for the losses, the worst came at Virginia (thanks to a woeful offensive performance), but defeats at the hands of South Carolina and Michigan aren't helpful either, particularly as the Wolverines are now on the bubble too. Brad Brownell's team's best road win came at Miami, though Clemson also won at the College of Charleston and topped Seton Hall at the Paradise Jam.
Virginia Tech earned a marquee win over Duke on Saturday, but that was at Cassell Coliseum. Clemson's hopes to grab a potentially ticket-punching win over the Blue Devils are more limited, as they'll have to win at Cameron Indoor on Senior Night (ESPN, 9 p.m. ET). If that fails, which it likely will, the Tigers host the Hokies on Saturday to close the regular season.
Norcal seems to be right. Despite losing Chris Singleton, FSU's resume keeps getting better and better. The 'Noles seem like the clear bet to be the #3 team in from the ACC.
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