With the news that Florida has booted Janoris Jenkins for his third arrest in the last 12 months, Florida fans are preaching about having a young team. And they are right. Florida does have quite the young team. Looking at the juniors and seniors on the list, it seems Miami is built to win in 2011, FSU should dominate in 2012, and UF should be pretty loaded in 2013. But we all know that is not likely to be the case. At least not when it comes to the Miami Hurricanes. It seems odd that Miami, the worst team of the big three, is by far the most veteran. The 'Canes have 50% more seniors than the 'Noles and almost 3X that of the Gators.
The other assumptions, that FSU should be loaded in 2012 and that UF should be quite loaded in 2013, are pretty reasonable.
But know what matters more than pure roster numbers? Starters. Let's take a look at the projected starters on offense and defense.
And here, Miami's issue and Florida's youth really shines through. The Canes have more than double the senior starters of Florida State. And they have more than 4X the senior starters of the Gators. I covered Miami's issue here. They absolutely have to win in 2011 because the Miami squad in 2012 sets up as perhaps the worst team in Coral Gables since the 1970s.
Florida State and Florida, however, have their talent in the sophomore and junior ranks. FSU does lose a lot after 2012, though the Gators do as well.
This analysis, of course, is free of juniors leaving early for the NFL, which is both certain to happen and unpredictable.
But yeah, Miami needs a miracle. Or as award-winning journalist Michael Felder put it tonight: