FanPost

Compu-Picks ACC Preview


Compu-Picks previews the 2011 ACC season.  One interesting note about Florida St is their recruiting.  Not only is it very good, it's on a major up-trend. That's a meaningful factor in their projection.

 

Projected ranking and key statistics

Team Rank 2010 Rank Prev 4 yr Recruit Rank Recruit Trend Injuries Turnovers Draft Losses Ch Starters
Florida State 6 12 32 7 3 16 4 24 . 7/8
North Carolina State 33 19 75 47 67 7 7 0 . 5/8
Clemson 40 37 17 17 71 11 -3 37 . 9/5
Boston College 47 55 22 45 106 26 8 12 . 9*/5
Maryland 60 39 58 44 37 10 15 10 1 7*/7
Wake Forest 69 84 38 67 48 11 0 0 . 8*/9
Virginia Tech 20 7 8 33 112 20 19 15 . 7/5
North Carolina 30 43 54 20 21 89 1 54 0.5 6/7
Miami (Florida) 46 28 44 14 118 13 -8 41 1 7*/7
Georgia Tech 48 60 23 40 70 13 -6 1 . 7/5
Virginia 56 86 57 49 28 34 -7 9 . 8/10
Duke 61 88 81 62 45 15 -10 0 . 8*/6

Projected Results - All Games

Team Rank SOS E(wins) 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Florida State 6 43 10.19 . 25% 27% 20% 13% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% . .
North Carolina State 33 51 7.88 . 3% 9% 14% 16% 17% 14% 11% 9% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0%
Clemson 40 9 6.03 . 1% 3% 5% 9% 12% 13% 15% 14% 13% 8% 5% 2% 0%
Boston College 47 30 6.05 . 1% 2% 4% 7% 12% 15% 17% 14% 11% 8% 4% 2% 1%
Maryland 60 24 5.15 . 0% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 14% 17% 17% 12% 8% 3% 1%
Wake Forest 69 26 4.46 . 0% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 12% 16% 17% 16% 13% 7% 1%
Virginia Tech 20 78 9.45 . 16% 21% 20% 15% 11% 7% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% .
North Carolina 30 49 8.43 . 8% 13% 16% 17% 15% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0%
Miami (Florida) 46 19 6.22 . 1% 3% 6% 9% 12% 14% 16% 15% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1%
Georgia Tech 48 46 6.86 . 4% 6% 8% 11% 13% 14% 13% 11% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
Virginia 56 41 6.11 . 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 15% 16% 13% 7% 4% 2% 1%
Duke 61 39 5.37 . 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 12% 16% 17% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%

Projected Results - League Games

Team Rank Division Odds Adj Div Odds E(wins) 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Florida State 6 68.5% 6.90 . 43% 29% 16% 7% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0%
North Carolina State 33 11.3% 4.49 . 4% 12% 17% 18% 18% 14% 10% 5% 2%
Clemson 40 8.6% 3.79 . 3% 6% 12% 15% 18% 18% 15% 8% 5%
Boston College 47 6.9% 3.70 . 3% 5% 10% 16% 21% 19% 14% 9% 4%
Maryland 60 2.9% 2.90 . 1% 3% 7% 10% 16% 19% 20% 15% 10%
Wake Forest 69 1.8% 2.23 . 0% 1% 3% 6% 11% 17% 22% 22% 16%
Virginia Tech 20 41.7% 55.7% 5.68 . 17% 22% 20% 16% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1%
North Carolina 30 25.3% 4.96 . 9% 15% 19% 19% 15% 12% 7% 3% 2%
Miami (Florida) 46 10.3% 13.7% 3.81 . 2% 6% 11% 17% 19% 18% 14% 8% 3%
Georgia Tech 48 13.1% 17.6% 3.78 . 5% 7% 10% 16% 17% 15% 15% 10% 5%
Virginia 56 5.6% 7.5% 3.05 . 1% 3% 7% 11% 17% 19% 20% 15% 7%
Duke 61 4.1% 5.5% 2.70 . 1% 2% 5% 9% 14% 19% 21% 18% 11%

 

Additional notes, commentary, caveats etc. through the link at the top of the post.

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