Scouting FSU's Opponents: Week 2

This is a weekly feature on TomahawkNation.com in which we review the performances of each of FSU's upcoming opponents. I've also added two potential teams in Virginia Tech and UNC that are likely to make the ACC Championship Game. I will not do game charts for games against D1-AA opponents. All game charts are non-garbage time only.

This takes a lot of work. I hope that your enjoyment of each game increases with additional knowledge of the opponent.

Last week 

The Clemson Tigers took on the Wofford Terriors. Clemson held out several key defensive players, but the game was an absolute cluster. STS covers this team really well, so I'll shut up and let them do so: http://www.shakinthesouthland.com/2011/9/11/2418231/clemson-wofford-sunday-thoughts  |  http://www.shakinthesouthland.com/2011/9/10/2417311/clemson-charmin-tigers-struggle-to-defeat-wofford

 

State Wake
Yards/Play 6.3 6.3
Plays 67 70
Starting Field Position Own 32 Own 28

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons took on the N.C. State Wolfpack and came away with the 34-27 victory. This was a very even game, with Wake jumping out to the big early lead, and State dominating the second half. Jim Grobe said this team would be much better than last year, and he was right. Wake is a team that simply cannot win with young players. Luckily for the Deacons, this group is much more mature. I don't think State missed Russel Wilson all that much, but they absolutely missed the top three receivers from a season ago. State also failed to run the ball like they should against an underwhelming Wake front. Wake has a very talented QB in Tanner Price. He'll be a pain to defend and will give people some trouble. N.C. State has to figure out what's going on with a very good defense.  

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I caught some heat in the preseason for laughing at the notion that Duke would make a bowl game. Duke is 0-2 now, but did show some fight in losing to Stanford 44-14. Duke just does not have the talent up front on either side of the ball to hang with good teams. Stanford ran 51 non-garbage plays to Duke's 51, and outgained Duke by 79% per play (8.1-4.5). Field position was negligible.

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Maryland: bye week.

N.C. State: see above

The Boston College Eagles lost to UCF, 30-3. It was a close game through three quarters before the Knights blew it open in the fourth. Not only did UCF double BC's yards-per-play (6.0 to 3.0), but UCF ran almost 20 more plays (63 to 44).  Oh, and UCF had a big edge in starting field position as well. Here is Brian's recap: http://www.bcinterruption.com/2011/9/10/2417518/ucf-football-22-boston-college-3-central-florida#comments

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The Eagles appear to be in trouble. That's not to say this team can't get healthy and grow up, but as of now, it is the circumstance (Thursday nighter on the road on short rest) that scares you -- not BC's team. There is a lot wrong with this group right now. BCI asks http://www.bcinterruption.com/2011/9/11/2418229/central-florida-30-boston-college-3-where-does-bc-go-from-here

Miami: bye week

The Virginia Cavaliers moved to 2-0 on the year with a road win at Indiana. The hoos got up big, then let Indiana fight all the way back, only to win it in the end. This was an evenly played game, with UVA outgaining Indiana by 16% per play, but also giving it away four times. Virginia still cannot throw the ball (6.6 per attempt with 2 INTs) and its defense is still suspect.

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The Florida Gators blanked the UAB Blazers, 39-0. This was domination, as UF doubled UAB's YPP (8.5-4.2) and ran 21 more plays before garbage time. They also had a big advantage in field position. My opinion of UF remains unchanged: if UF stays very healthy, the current line (FSU favored by a single point in Gainesville) makes sense. If not, UF could tumble. Tennessee will test this young secondary next week.

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Possible ACC Championship Game Opponents

The Virginia Tech Hokies won a sloppy game against East Carolina, 17-10. Make no mistake, VT's defense is back and dominated this game. That's a pretty good East Carolina offense, and VT killed them, allowing only 2.1 yards-per-play! 2.1! VT's defense has regressed the last four years, but this defense looks very legit. 

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VT's offense should be much better than this, however, and VT fans should be worried. They should worry over putting up only 4.7 YPP against one of the worst defenses in the country. They should worry that Logan Thomas' statistics on the season are terrible. This kid is a great, great runner. If EJ is 245, Thomas is 260. VT needs to run him 10+ times per game and have him as a threat to run on some sort of run-read on at least 15 more. Every game. Thomas has a great arm, but he is completely without polish and is missing wide-open receivers left and right, throwing for only 240 yards on 39 tosses (6.1 yards per attempt). He cannot play in a pro-style offense and I guarantee you there are spread-option coaches all over the country who would kill to have a kid like Thomas. Through two games, VT is wasting this talent. If they figure it out, VT will be one helluva game. But from what they showed yesterday, this VT offense looks quite poor against a terrible defense. For some 'Nole perspective, Louisisna Monroe's defense is much, much better than ECU's.

Here was GobblerCountry's take: http://www.gobblercountry.com/2011/9/10/2417188/virginia-tech-17-east-carolina-10-postgame-stream-of-consciousness

and TKP's take: http://www.thekeyplay.com/content/2011/september/10/2-0

But if VTech doesn't get stuff figured out on offense, it might not make the ACC Championship Game. The North Carolina Tar Heels have some serious talent. UNC absolutely sleptwalked through a 24-22 win over Rutgers. UNC outgained Rutgers by 120% per play! But five UNC turnovers (most of them the careless variety) kept Rutgers in this game. If UNC puts it together, look out.

Game Recap: http://www.tarheelfanblog.com/2011/09/unc-24-rutgers-22/#more-11143

Good, bad & ugly: http://www.tarheelfanblog.com/2011/09/the-good-bad-and-ugly-report-rutgers-2/ 

 

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