There's been a lot of hype about FSUs 3-game win streak. But the Seminoles now go on the road and take on a Duke team which has won 45 in a row, at least at home (and 64 straight vs unranked opponents). Cameron Indoor is traditionally one of the hardest places to play in the nation. The students are loud and right on top of the players. It's how college basketball should be played.
Duke is the lone undefeated team in the ACC (16-2, 4-0). But they've played the 2nd easiest schedule (next to NC State). The only tough game was a home match with Virginia which Duke won by 3. But don't be mistaken - this is an elite team. They've beaten Michigan State, Michigan, Kansas, Virginia, Colorado State, Davidson and Belmont. Their losses are to Ohio State and Temple, both on the road.
On offense, this is a typical Duke team, ranked 3rd nationally. They are 9th in the nation in shooting 2s, 10th nationally shooting 3s and get to the line more than all but three other teams. They have five regulars who convert at least 40% of their 3s. The only weakness is their armor is that their least efficient player (Austin Rivers) takes 26.3% of their shots when he's on the floor. This is due to two things: 1) he's the only player who can consistently create his own shot, and 2) the coaches let him try and be the man. He leads the team at 14.1 ppg and is one of five players in double-figures. Duke's offense thrives on getting the defense moving side to side and going inside out for looks from beyond the arc. If Duke has a good shooting day, then tip your hat and move on.
On defense, this isn't your typical Duke team. Not that their philosophy has changed. They look to take away the 3 and to take away layups, forcing teams to beat them with the worst shots in basketball: mid range and deep 2s. They've been the best defense in conference games for four straight years, and right now they're 10th (and 60th nationally). Duke hasn't had a defense finish out of the top-20 in over a decade. Their guards just aren't your standard Duke guards (on defense). FSUs guards will have a significant size advantage. Duke is 200th at forcing turnovers, 143rd getting defensive rebounds, and 168th defending 2s. 62.2% of the points scored against them come from inside the arc which is the highest % in the nation. FSU needs to continue what it's been doing - spread the defense and attack off the dribble.
The game tips at 4pm on ESPN. This is a rare game when Vegas and Pomeroy aren't that close. The line in Vegas opened at Duke -12 and has since moved to Duke -10.5. Pomeroy has Duke -8.