Seven questions (and two bonus) for 2012
Last year, I came up with seven questions for the offseason (defined as recruiting, spring, and preseason) as a means of determining what were the big seven questions for the offseason. The post was nominated for a Tommy, which prompts me to try again (though maybe not harder).
This year, I initially find it harder to come up with seven that determines FSU's fate next season. But in the end, I even came up with a couple of bonus ones.
In no particular order ...
A. Who replaces Rodney Hudson?
Ok, this is a hold over from last year. But it is still a valid question. Last year's offensive line was hit with injuries that kept the question from being fully answered. The questions on the OL next year are well covered on TN. Related to this is the next question ...
2. Will the unit hit with injuries in 2012 be one that can take it?
Actually, in 2012 two units were devastated with injuries, the offensive line and wide receiver. But the receivers had some depth and many 1st and 2nd year players stepped up. Two units on the team seem very vulnerable to injuries - tight ends and linebackers. Only one tight end (Nick O'Leary) who got more than a handful of snaps last season returns, and, admittedly unlike some others, I'm not happy with the depth at linebacker.
Related to this question ...
D. With FSU's depth at numerous positions but less so others, what kind of position changes will happen between now and the fall?
Some positions are more loaded than others, and others will become more loaded this fall. The best athletes/players should get on the field. Possible changes rumored and speculated on include Karlos Williams to running back, James Wilder Jr and/or Nick Moody to linebacker, Giorgio Newberry and/or Derrick Mitchell to OL, etc. Not as publicly speculated moves could be Dan Hicks to TE, bolstering that spot and clearing playing time for the incoming class of defensive ends.
Purple. What's the drop-off with the loss of Shawn Powell?
Powell not only punted but was the holder for a Lou Groza winner and another finalist. Cason Beatty is enrolled early to start prepping taking over for at least the punting duties. Fisher mentioned that Powell's 2011 performance was worthy of consideration of the team MVP award - the loss of Powell could be more significant that is commonly discussed.
5. Will E.J. mature significantly as a QB between his first and second year as a full-time starter?
E.J.'s play was severely criticized down the stretch, and perhaps rightly so. Will he mature? Was Fisher's son's health a factor, meaning E.J. didn't get the coaching he might have had Fisher not had family distractions?
6. Will O'Leary and Kourtzidis make a fearsome tight end pair?
Fisher is all about creating mismatches between his offense and the opposing defense, and one potentially great one (as the New England Patriots have shown) is a double tight end set with good receiving pair of tight ends. More generally, will FSU's arsenal of offensive weapons finally be the combination that Fisher has been recruiting towards, that is, a set of combinations no defense can have the answer for all combinations?
7. Will FSU's defense be the nation's best in 2012?
FSU's was the best defense not in the SEC in 2011, and was arguably top three behind Alabama and LSU (South Carolina finished with fewer yards per game, but FSU yielded fewer yards per play). With more seasoning and much more depth at DE, it just may be. Stoops has to find replacements for Parks, Harris, and Bradham, but the questions are less where do you find the replacements and more who will be the replacement.
Bonus questions:
8. Who's the second year player who steps up?
In 2011, it was Bjoern Werner, who unexpectantly beat out the 2010 JUCO player of the year for a starting position. In 2010, Xavier Rhodes, as a redshirt freshman, came on to start at corner. What 2011 redshirt or seldom used freshman will emerge? JWJ? Nick Waisome? One of the redshirted OL?
9. Who will be FSU's true freshman of the year in 2012?
This is often a talent meets opportunity question, though one might not have expected Rashad Greene to get the opportunity he did last season. But it came and he made the most of it. Tim Jernigan was the player on the defense who made his opportunity through talent. Starting punter is pretty much Cason Beatty's job to lose, so that's an obvious possibility. The depth at DE isn't the best, so a Mario Edwards Jr or another of FSU's DE class could emerge. Marvin Bracy could emerge as a very special returner, on either kickoffs or punts, or even both. Mario Pender could do well enough in the spring to force JWJ to think of moving to linebacker for more playing time, paving the way for Pender to break out in the fall, especially if CT doesn't fully recover. And it is hard to imagine Eddie Goldman fighting through the depth chart at DT to get enough reps for consideration as a freshman (his sophomore year is more geared for his coming out party), but some bad luck on the interior d-line healthwise could give him opportunity.
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I'll play.
A). I’d put my money on Matias at this point.
2). Yes, I think we get lucky this year with injuries (at least no concentration in one segment)
D). I think we see Los on offense some. I think Moody moves to LB. I think Newberry is at OL this spring. Don’t see much other than that.
Purple). Significant (how can it not be after losing that good a punter). As long as it stays above catastrophic, I think we’re okay. As long as we get average punting, we’ll be fine.
5). Yes. I’m of the belief that much of EJs struggles this year had to do with a struggling OL that also led to a lack of supporting running game.
6). No, not in 2012 at least. I certainly think NOL can become a force in the passing game this year, but I just don’t see Christo coming in and having that sort of impact. I know he was highly rated, but just look at last year. NOL was the top tight end coming in and even he had struggles making a huge impact. Eventually though, YES.
7). Hard to predict statistically. There’s not one I’d trade it for, though. Even Bama or LSU.
8). I’m gonna refer back to question 1 and say Matias. I could see Jackson, Waisome, or one of the redshirted DBs, too.
9). I think Pender. We don’t have a lot of depth at the RB position and we all know Gran and Fisher’s penchant for liberally subbing RBs. I think it’s easier to make a big splash at RB as well.
A. Matias
2. Not sure how you can answer this
D. Hicks to TE, Mitchell to OL and Moody to LB. I think Hicks to TE will be big help to the running game
Purple. very significant, which will be the case anytime you replace the best player in the nation at his position with a true Freshman
5. God I hope so
6. Yes
7. Top 3 but not #1
8. I’m gonna go with Tyler Hunter here.
9. Pender without a doubt
#7
" Stoops has to find replacements for Parks, Harris, Bradham, and Jenkins…" – Jenkins is staying.
Roses are red, Violets are blue, If it wears orange, Kill it.
Corrected
While good for FSU, I keep thinking Jenkins may have made a mistake staying, thus a bit surprised he didn’t. I think about the only way for him to improve his stock by staying is if he can add significant good weight. The downside in returning was he could suffer injury (like any other returner) or with FSU’s incoming crop of DE see reduced playing time. Without improving on weight, I don’t see him going any higher in 2013 than he would have this April.
by Wild@Heart Nole on Jan 30, 2012 6:42 AM EST up reply actions
Brandon will not lose playing time to a
true freshman (even one of the beasts we have coming in) unless it is for Brandon’s benefit
historically
FSU has given playing time to someone down the depth chart whenever a fresh second/third teamer is considered better than a been in for 20 or so snaps first teamer. Moreover, they’ll rotate in players to keep the first teamers fresh for the fourth quarter/final drives.
In that sense, I see Jenkins “losing” reps. It benefits the team to have Brandon and other more experienced/seasoned players fresh late in the game, and benefits the team going into 2013 by having more experienced returning players. Remember the coaches are going to think team first, the individuals involved second.
by Wild@Heart Nole on Jan 31, 2012 9:23 AM EST up reply actions
And this benefits Brandon
as his time in the field will be fresher and as a result, likely to be more productive. Team in the mind of the coaches? Yes, most definitely. But it is not in the interest of the team to damage the draft standing of a potential first rounder, just to give a highly recruited true freshman more snaps. Try getting another 5* defensive end to come when their playing time/draft rating is always threatened by “promises” to the next 5* DE.
Los will not move to rb
I think he will stay on d but if he does move to offense it will be a wr
by TheRenegade29 on Jan 29, 2012 9:49 PM EST via mobile reply actions
I personally think Los would have more opportunities at
by jenolesone on Jan 29, 2012 10:59 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
RB. I believe he has good enough vision to play there.
I could see him receiving some as well. I probably just wanna see him at RB more.
by jenolesone on Jan 29, 2012 11:01 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
A. POSSIBLE DAN FOOSE SIGHTING?
2. Hopefully. For some reason I think WR will be hit with injury again, and it won’t be as bad on the OL
D. I like Hicks to TE, Los to WR, and Moody to LB.
Purple. Hopefully not terrible.
5. I think EJ will be much better next year if we can get a running game going and if he stays healthy.
6. 2012-not sure Kourtz comes in and tears it up, but is a possibility. 2013-absolutely.
7. Unless someone surprises us, I say yes.
8. Waisom
9. Pender.
A. Different position than Hudson, but I think with a full spring at the right position Stork can become a pretty good center. Honorable mention for Matias.
2. The two positions that you’d expect to have the most injuries (offensive and defensive lines) both seem to have some decent depth going into next year. Going to hope that we have some good luck next year to balance out the terrible luck from 2011.
D. Moody to LB, and possibly some shuffling along the offensive line. Los will probably see some snaps on offense but I’m not counting on a full time move.
Purple. Depends on the offense. If our offense struggles again, without Powell punting the defense will have to defend a shorter field far more often and they could actually regress as a unit. However, if the offense can move the ball more consistently this year to compensate, the loss shouldn’t hurt too badly. Which leads into…
5. Yes. EJ is always going to have aspects of his game that frustrate us (ie overthrowing wide open WRs 50 yards downfield), but his first two years on the field he showed remarkable poise. Last year he had to deal with poor line play, an often nonexistent running game, lack of chemistry with WRs (due to injuries), poor officiating, nagging injuries, unrealistic expectations going into the season, and frustration all around that those unrealistic expectations weren’t being met. He finally cracked under the pressure of all that (as most probably would). I’m expecting a pretty good season from him in 2012.
6. Probably not on a regular basis, though NOL’s production should increase. Where we could benefit is inside the 5. Tough to cover two TEs down there.
7. We’ll be in the top 3, and our defense will be better than every offense we face. We have as good a chance as anyone else to have the best defense.
8. Matias and possibly Jackson on offensive line.
9. Pender
Nice job wild@heart. I think you'll get more comments once recruiting is over.
>------::----::------->Spearing 'em and Scalping 'em like it's 1999
I'm not so sure this Jimbo fella is the right man for the job.
Quick thoughts on recruiting ramifications
A. OL – with two JUCO signees, seems odds of a swap to the OL by someone like Mitchell may have increased, while Fowler’s switch on commitment, resulting in only two incoming DEs along with two seniors on the DE depth chart and the chance Werner departs for the NFL after next season probably means Newberry doesn’t swtich.
2. Nice building of depth with the class, reducing the risk that a unit is devasted that badly by injuries
D. Addressed some position changes in A. Linebacker depth could still use some help, so JWJ and/or Moody still a chance. With two incoming in 2012 DEs and 2-3 departing after, Hicks move to TE possibility just dropped along with Newberry to OL.
Purple: no change, though I note Darby apparently kicked some in high school
6. No change
7. No real change in the analysis.
8. No change
9. New candidates since the original analysis. Darby coming in the summer has a chance to take over Harris’ spot, but has lots of competition (Waisome, possible Brooks switch of DB position). and if Bracy reports late due to Olympics participation, may have the jump in taking over a returner spot from incumbents (Joyner, Willams, and/or GR5).
by Wild@Heart Nole on Feb 2, 2012 10:26 AM EST reply actions

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