Thoughts On Early Vegas Betting Lines For FSU, Florida And Miami

The Golden Nugget released the first bettable college football lines (for a brick and mortar casino, anyhow). Here is a look at the games involving Florida State, UF and Miami and my analysis. For in-depth analysis, you can listen to the On The Line Podcast, which is being recorded tonight.

  • Miami at Kansas State (-7) (Too low. Early game w/ KSU most experienced BCS team in CFB Miami super young)
  • Florida at Texas A&M (Pick) (thought anything within 3 either way. Will be on Texas A&M at this number for a variety of reasons to be discussed on tonight's podcast)
  • Florida at Tennessee (+5) (Surprised by this. UF back to back SEC road games with young/new offense certainly a factor, but I am surprised the Nugget laid out a line bigger than a field goal.) Oops! I read this wrong. This seems too high to me, as I was expecting within a FG line either way. I would take Tennessee at this number given that it is UF's second consecutive big road game.
  • Clemson at Florida State (-8) (Dead on, anything between 7.5 and 9.5 is right. Won't get 7 or less or 10 or more. Line implies FSU is 4 points better than Clemson on a neutral field and a big game at Doak gets about 4 points of home field value.)
  • LSU at Florida (+7) (Seems too high. Implies LSU would be favored by 15 or 16 in Tiger Stadium)
  • South Carolina at Florida (-3.5) (Seems right for evenly matched teams)
  • Miami vs. Notre Dame (-9.5) (Seems low! Game in Chicago! Not a true neutral field. 4 point HFA for Notre Dame at least, and ND is certainly a TD better over Miami on true neutral field)
  • Florida State at Miami (+9.5) (I expected to see a double digit number here. A little low)
  • Florida vs. Georgia (-4.5) (About what I expected)
  • Virginia Tech at Miami (+6.5) (Thursday night game for which Miami fans might show up)
  • Missouri at Florida (-5.5) (Too low. If this remains under a TD I'll bet UF heavily. Line implies UF is not at least a FG better than Missouri on neutral field. )
  • Florida State at Virginia Tech (-1) (No problem with being the underdog here. Expect within a FG line to either side)
  • Florida at Florida State (-7.5) (Again, anything between 7.5 and 9.5. Won't get a flat 7 or a 10).
  • Quite disappointed that they did not post any lines for Georgia Tech, any North Carolina school, etc. Also wanted to see Clemson-VT and that didn't come.
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Tomahawk Nation

You must be a member of Tomahawk Nation to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Tomahawk Nation. You should read them.

Join Tomahawk Nation

You must be a member of Tomahawk Nation to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Tomahawk Nation. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker