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What Kind of Talent Will Syracuse and Pitt Bring to the ACC?

With Syracuse and Pittsburgh announcing that they have bought their way out of the Big East for 2013, I thought it might be interesting to try and project out a little to see how Pittsburgh and Syracuse will fit in with their new ACC brethren in their first year.

As a back-of-the-envelope way of getting a picture for how these teams stack up talent-wise, I took each ACC team's recruiting classes from 2010 through to their current, partial 2013 classes as ranked by Scout and Rivals. I averaged their Rivals and Scout rankings though the years, and then created a composite score by averaging the Rivals and Scout scores. The results are below.

There are plenty of caveats listed below. Understand: this is a rough picture.

Rank

School

Overall Recruit Quality

Rivals

Scout

1

Florida State

3.63

3.59

3.66

2

Clemson

3.34

3.35

3.33

3

Miami

3.18

3.24

3.11

4

North Carolina

3.09

3.16

3.01

5

Virginia Tech

3.04

3.16

2.92

6

Virginia

2.93

2.99

2.86

7

Georgia Tech

2.92

3.00

2.83

8

Maryland

2.82

2.89

2.75

9

Pittsburgh

2.81

2.90

2.71

10

Boston College

2.69

2.75

2.62

11

NC State

2.69

2.80

2.57

12

Wake Forest

2.62

2.75

2.49

13

Syracuse

2.51

2.51

2.50

14

Duke

2.50

2.52

2.48

Caveats:
(a) I didn't factor in attrition, graduation, enrollment, whatever. This is purely a measure of the recruits signed since 2010. Thus, also no redshirt seniors for next season. Sorry, but I had no interest in spending hours and hours cross-referencing rosters and checking for utmost accuracy. Plus, who knows, maybe Doug Marrone will go on a recruiting rampage and sign 20 4 stars to close out the class (19 more than he's signed since 2010 total). Haha, just kidding. It isn't perfect, but I think this provides a decent rough picture of what these programs have stockpiled. (While I know FSU's roster, I didn't want to skew FSU one way or another by using different standards for FSU over everyone else.)
(b) This is all back-of-the-envelope math, so excuse any computational errors (and feel free to point them out if you spot them).
(c) The 2013 recruits are based on Rivals and Scout's lists as of around 8pm PT on July 18, 2012.
(d) Remember that a less talented roster might make up for it over a more talented team with experience.

A few thoughts:

- Based on these rough rankings of talent, FSU and Clemson should dominate the ACC Atlantic next season. They have put a good deal of recruiting distance between themselves and the rest of the division.

- In the Coastal, things are a lot tighter. While the Atlantic takes the top two spots, the Coastal takes the next five places. Even Pittsburgh doesn't fall too far behind.

- Syracuse will likely be bringing another Duke-quality team into the conference. I expect Syracuse to struggle this year and struggle in its transition to the ACC. If there is any saving grace, at least five of the bottom seven teams in the league talent-wise will be on Syracuse's schedule next season (and a crossover with Duke would complete the run).

- Despite having better overall talent than Syracuse, Pittsburgh might have a rougher go of it to start because the Coastal Division is much deeper from top-to-bottom. Pittsburgh would be in a near dead-heat with Maryland for third in the Atlantic Division (and maybe ahead when you factor in Edsall attrition), but is sixth in the Coastal. On the positive side, they won't have to play FSU or Clemson every year and there may be a little opening with UNC on probation and Miami headed there.

- I've said it a few times in comments here and there, but it bears repeating: Miami may not be keeping up with FSU in recruiting, but they still will likely have the best overall talent in the Coastal division and will always remain a dangerous team (particularly once they finish turning over the roster and get some experience).

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