FanPost

Looking at the Coastal

Earlier today Bud asked on Twitter for the tiebreaker scenarios for the Coastal. But since Pitt is still alive mathematically it would take several tweets and a lot of people would miss out on the fun. So here is a quick fanshot instead. First the rules:

Two-Team Tie:
1. Head-to-head competition between the two
tied teams.
2. Records of the tied teams within the division.
3. Head-to-head competition versus the team
within the division with the best overall record
(divisional). Conference record and preceeding
through the division. Multiple ties within the
division broken from fi rst to last.
4. Overall record versus all common non-divsional
opponents.
5. Combined record vs. all non-divisional teams.
6. Record versus common non-divisional teams
based on their order of fi nish (divisional and nondivisional)
and proceeding through other common
non-divisional teams based on their order of
fi nish within their division.
7. The tied team with the highest ranking in the
Bowl Championship Series Standings following
the end of regular season game shall be the
divisonal representative in the ACC Championship
Game.
8. The representative shall be chosen by a draw.

Three-Team Tie (or More):
(Once tie has been reduced to two teams,
the two-team tiebreaker format is used.)
1. Combined head-to-head record among teams.
2. Records of the tied teams within the division.
3. Head-to-head competiton versus the team
within the division with the best overall (divisional
or conference) record, and proceeding through
the division. Multiple ties within the division will
be broken fi rst to last.
4. Overall record for non-divisional teams.
5. Combined record versus all common nondivisional
teams.
6. Record versus common non-divisional with
the best overall Conference (divisional and non
divisional record) and proceeding through the
other common non-divisional teams based on
their order of finish.
7. The tied team with the highest ranking in the
Bowl Championship Series Standings following
the conclusion of regular season games shall be
the divisional representative in the ACC Championship
Game, unless the second of the tied teams
is ranked within fi ve or fewer places of the highest
of the highest ranked tied team. In this case,
the head-to-head results if the top two ranked
tied teams shall determine the representative in
the ACC Championship Game.

8. The representative shall be chosen by a draw.


As of right now, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Miami and Duke are all tied in the loss column. Miami and Duke still have to play each other so that takes one possible team out of the tie breaker scenarios. But lets deal with the messy scenarios first, the 3 way ties.

The possible three way tie left out there is Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech and Duke or Miami. All that is needed for this is for the Jackets to beat Clemson and then the Hokies and one of the Canes or Blue Devils to win out. The messier tie is for the Blue Devils to win out. GT beat Duke, Duke beat VT, and VT beat GT so head to head is gone. #2 is where the swing happens. Both of Duke's losses are in the division so that knocks them out. That puts us back to the 2 team tie breakers and the Hokies take it. If Miami wins instead of Duke things get easier. Va Tech beat both Georgia Tech and Miami so they go.

As for 2 team tie breakers, if Duke wins out they go over anyone except the Jackets. For the Hokies to go they need Duke to drop a game and to run the table as they hold tie breakers over everyone else. For the Canes they need to win out and have the Hokies drop a game. The Jackets need to beat Clemson, which puts them in the clubhouse, and then for the Hokies and Canes to drop a game as GT has the tie breaker over Duke.

These are the most realistic outcomes for the winner of the coastal. But if you want pure chaos both UNC and Pitt are 1 game back at 3 losses. They play this week and UNC gets a shot at Duke while Pitt gets a shot at Miami. The winner of the UNC-Pitt game runs the table, putting Duke or Miami a game behind them, Clemson beats Ga Tech and then 2 upsets gets us a FSU match up with either UNC or Pitt.

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