Not much broke FSU's way on Thursday. Arkansas knocked off Kentucky for the 2nd time this season, Green Bay stormed back from a big deficit to keep 2-bid-Horizon hopes alive, and then there was Oregon. The Ducks were neck and neck with FSU in most s-curves, and they traveled to UCLA in a game they desperately needed to win. UCLA - to help a brother out - suspended sophomores Kyle Anderson and Jordan Adams for one game. Anderson averages 14.9 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 6.9 assists, while Adams is the Bruins' leading scorer at 17.2 per game. The Ducks won in overtime.
Georgetown lost however, which helps FSU. According to Team Rankings, the Noles entered Thursday with a 38% chance of earning an at-large bid, and the win by Oregon ensured that Florida State didn't gain any ground.
So now we're on to Friday, which is typically slow in college basketball. Tonight is no different, as there is only one real game that affects FSU, but it's a big one. At 7PM, on CBS Sports, Providence plays at Seton Hall. The Friars are another team with a resume nearly identical to FSU's. They have a 31% chance of getting an at-large, and Bracket Matrix currently has them as the last team in.
The only other game that has any potential to affect the bubble is Iona at Manhattan. Iona could theoretically earn an at-large bid if they don't win their conference tourney, but I doubt it. Any loss between here and the conference final would certainly solidify that.