Florida State Baseball and the Field of 64: Regional Stat Breakdown

USA TODAY Sports

A regional by regional look of how each team matches up statistically with one another plus predicted winners.

Yesterday we took a look at all 64 teams in a broader scope and applied certain statistics to them in a roto style scoring system. If you haven't looked at it I suggest you should before you compare the teams in each region, it might give you a better perspective when choosing a favorite in an individual region.

Each national seed below is paired with the other host school with the winner of each regional to meet in super regionals. (All stats as of 5/25/14)

Corvallis Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
49 6 1 Oregon St. (1) 76.1% 12.6% 36.9% 0.275 0.384 0.374 0.758 5.87 2.13 1.08 6.84 6.25 2.92 2.14
46 27 2 UNLV 77.1% 8.0% 39.3% 0.293 0.361 0.409 0.770 5.86 3.19 1.24 8.42 7.23 2.73 2.65
29 44 3 UC Irvine 55.4% 8.2% 30.9% 0.273 0.357 0.350 0.706 4.26 2.84 1.15 8.37 7.03 1.99 3.53
290 250 4 North Dakota St. 72.5% 10.4% 40.8% 0.275 0.370 0.349 0.719 5.65 4.42 1.54 9.80 7.01 4.06 1.73
Stillwater Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
165 18 1 Oklahoma St. 77.2% 12.1% 35.8% 0.274 0.386 0.398 0.784 6.05 3.27 1.34 8.35 7.21 3.69 1.95
45 26 2 Nebraska 67.9% 9.3% 40.5% 0.293 0.366 0.385 0.751 5.95 3.55 1.37 9.03 5.87 3.26 1.80
78 54 3 Cal St. Fullerton 73.0% 9.6% 32.0% 0.260 0.355 0.338 0.692 4.70 2.03 1.00 7.52 7.62 1.46 5.20
264 153 4 Binghamton 84.9% 10.0% 34.9% 0.273 0.362 0.373 0.735 5.08 4.02 1.41 8.93 5.57 3.80 1.47

I believe that Oregon State was deserving of the number one overall seed, they are well balanced, well coached and played in a competitive conference all season. For where UC Irvine is lacking offensively they make up for it with their pitching staff, they are one of only five teams in the tournament with a strikeout to walk ratio at 3.00 or better. The Anteaters have two strong starters and could give the Beavers but in the end I think OSU advances.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

The Stillwater bracket has been labeled the Regional of Death or whatever nickname give to the host site that probably has the best teams. While Binghamton is one of the worst teams in the field the two and three seed are very dangerous teams. Cal State Fullerton has an atrocious offense but were ranked as one of the best teams in the nation to start the season because of how amazing their pitching staff is and they showed all season that they are the best. Oklahoma State has a exceptional offense and an average pitching staff which is enough for them to move on to supers.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

Gainesville Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
1 3 1 Florida (2) 67.5% 9.1% 33.0% 0.267 0.350 0.352 0.702 4.67 3.26 1.25 8.51 6.72 2.78 2.42
26 42 2 North Carolina 73.7% 10.9% 34.1% 0.273 0.363 0.366 0.729 5.15 3.03 1.25 7.80 8.08 3.50 2.31
5 29 3 Long Beach St. 65.3% 7.5% 34.4% 0.261 0.332 0.338 0.670 4.25 2.91 1.14 7.80 5.73 2.47 2.32
180 53 4 Col. of Charleston 66.7% 9.7% 34.4% 0.261 0.347 0.375 0.723 5.00 2.81 1.12 7.48 7.65 2.60 2.94
Coral Gables Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
23 15 1 Miami (FL) 63.7% 10.6% 38.4% 0.262 0.353 0.362 0.715 5.50 3.10 1.27 8.19 8.19 3.27 2.51
7 17 2 Texas Tech 75.8% 10.2% 40.1% 0.294 0.385 0.422 0.807 6.40 3.44 1.30 8.60 6.63 3.07 2.16
64 35 3 Columbia 80.0% 7.6% 34.9% 0.265 0.346 0.370 0.716 4.81 3.35 1.23 7.71 7.68 3.35 2.29
161 208 4 Bethune-Cookman 75.4% 8.7% 33.2% 0.254 0.343 0.323 0.666 4.39 3.57 1.29 8.20 6.31 3.44 1.84

It was mentioned yesterday that Florida could face a challenge in their first game as College of Charleston is one of the best four seeds in the tournament. The Cougars have gone 7-7 against top 100 RPI teams this season and while the Gators have a fantastic record against elite competition (23 wins vs top 50 RPI) they have had a couple cases of wher ethey lost a game to an inferior team. Florida has too much talent to lost this region.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

Texas Tech is probably the better than half of the two seeds in the field but the problem with the Raiders is that they don't have a great #2 pitcher that can match up with Miami and their ace. The Hurricanes had the best record in the ACC and while their numbers don't jump off the page as elite in any specific category they did have a great season. No other team in the pool can match rotation of starters that Miami can throw in the first three games.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

Charlottesville Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
27 1 1 Virginia (3) 75.9% 11.1% 34.7% 0.277 0.376 0.384 0.760 5.40 2.36 1.04 6.47 8.19 2.85 2.88
69 33 2 Arkansas 77.1% 8.9% 36.0% 0.263 0.353 0.355 0.708 5.05 2.63 1.12 6.90 6.68 3.20 2.09
123 30 3 Liberty 66.7% 7.7% 38.0% 0.276 0.353 0.397 0.750 5.61 2.62 1.13 7.25 7.46 2.93 2.54
187 110 4 Bucknell 66.7% 7.7% 36.7% 0.249 0.332 0.329 0.661 4.32 3.41 1.25 8.56 5.59 2.66 2.10
Columbia Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
59 13 1 South Carolina 71.7% 9.9% 36.1% 0.280 0.360 0.375 0.735 5.38 2.37 1.12 7.55 7.67 2.56 3.00
33 25 2 Maryland 75.7% 9.9% 35.3% 0.270 0.380 0.362 0.743 5.40 3.42 1.25 7.77 8.39 3.45 2.43
8 36 3 Old Dominion 75.9% 8.5% 37.6% 0.283 0.364 0.372 0.737 5.67 3.43 1.30 8.97 6.39 2.74 2.33
222 67 4 Campbell 73.4% 6.9% 38.6% 0.273 0.361 0.344 0.705 5.41 3.45 1.40 9.35 6.91 3.24 2.14

Virginia does not want a repeat of last year where they lost at home in regionals and unfortunately they have one of the toughest two seeds to deal with. When healthy the Razorbacks have one of the strongest rotations in the country which is needed because there is nothing prolific about their offense. Virginia was one of the best teams in the nation all season and should be considered one of the most complete, they're too well rounded and well coached to lose early this year.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

You couldn't pair four more perfectly matched offenses than what is seen in South Carolina's bracket. If the Gamecocks can get healthy there is no reason they should lose but Maryland has two very strong starters that could put them at two wins provided their offense can put a few runs on the board. As terrible as South Carolina looked in the SEC tournament and as much as I want to pick the Terps I think that the Cocks are too good of a team to lose at home in this setting that they are so familiar with.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

Bloomington Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
16 2 1 Indiana (4) 68.8% 8.0% 40.8% 0.294 0.363 0.430 0.793 6.27 2.17 1.19 7.77 6.86 2.96 2.32
95 21 2 Indiana St. 75.3% 9.0% 34.0% 0.274 0.365 0.352 0.716 5.14 3.23 1.28 7.89 5.67 3.59 1.58
61 45 3 Stanford 62.0% 8.4% 31.6% 0.269 0.347 0.376 0.722 4.51 3.45 1.33 7.74 5.91 4.22 1.40
269 270 4 Youngstown St. 67.9% 9.8% 33.1% 0.256 0.345 0.333 0.678 4.67 6.90 1.83 11.59 5.20 4.85 1.07
Nashville Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
10 8 1 Vanderbilt 71.7% 8.9% 38.8% 0.278 0.363 0.388 0.751 5.53 2.74 1.13 6.71 8.86 3.49 2.54
101 23 2 Oregon 68.8% 9.6% 39.1% 0.259 0.361 0.376 0.737 5.58 3.03 1.18 7.55 7.75 3.07 2.53
53 49 3 Clemson 77.4% 10.0% 38.4% 0.276 0.354 0.382 0.737 5.63 3.69 1.32 7.95 8.05 3.94 2.04
135 97 4 Xavier 70.5% 8.9% 35.3% 0.283 0.363 0.390 0.753 5.64 4.32 1.37 8.43 5.16 3.87 1.33

The Hoosiers proved last season that despite playing in the Big 10 they are a legitimate team and this year they appear better than the one that made it to Omaha in 2013. They were probably given the easiest bracket as they should destroy Youngstown State and their dreadful pitching. Stanford was one of the final teams in and Indiana State us not some under the radar Cinderella team. Indiana wins their regional going away.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

A national seed is what Vanderbilt was playing for going into their conference tournament but an 0-2 showing put an end to those hopes. There are no real great offenses in this bracket and all of the pitching staffs are very comparable. The safe pick is to go with the team that has all the advantages here and that is Vandy.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

Tallahassee Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
15 4 1 Florida St.( 5) 80.3% 13.2% 39.6% 0.278 0.394 0.387 0.781 6.69 3.02 1.20 7.83 7.20 3.00 2.40
13 22 2 Alabama 70.5% 7.5% 34.4% 0.278 0.350 0.390 0.740 5.13 3.29 1.25 7.38 6.90 3.86 1.79
118 57 3 Kennesaw St. 74.0% 7.5% 40.6% 0.301 0.363 0.403 0.766 6.17 3.50 1.39 9.14 7.36 3.37 2.19
185 90 4 Ga. Southern 72.7% 10.0% 40.9% 0.289 0.372 0.432 0.804 6.68 3.17 1.29 8.61 7.76 2.97 2.62
Louisville Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
129 20 1 Louisville 79.1% 9.3% 40.9% 0.286 0.381 0.402 0.782 6.43 2.85 1.24 7.50 8.42 3.67 2.30
2 19 2 Kentucky 76.8% 10.3% 42.7% 0.302 0.401 0.453 0.854 7.81 3.98 1.41 9.55 6.11 3.11 1.96
89 47 3 Kansas 68.4% 9.3% 37.2% 0.283 0.370 0.382 0.752 5.62 3.50 1.28 8.95 5.71 2.57 2.22
267 126 4 Kent St. 78.7% 8.4% 42.3% 0.287 0.373 0.408 0.782 6.54 3.76 1.26 7.97 7.37 3.40 2.17

The Noles earned a national seed for the third season in a row and are playing great baseball the last two weeks of the season. They are hoping to get one of their best pitchers back in Brandon Leibrandt which would make this team even better than they look on paper. Georgia Southern looks to upset the Florida State as they are probably the best four seed in the tournament. There should be no questioning their offense but do they have the pitching to keep FSU off the score board enough times?

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

This is the regional that intrigues me the most, Louisville earned a host spot but they have one of the weakest schedules of all the top seeds. As much as I don't put stock into how a team performed in their conference tournament the Cards didn't win theirs and had a bad loss to USF on the way before being dominated in the final against Houston. The Wildcats have the best player and the best offense in the country, their pitching staff is suspect but they did have the 2nd most difficult schedule in the nation this season. My pick is Kentucky to advance and play the Noles in super regionals.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

Lafayette Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
124 5 1 La.-Lafayette (6) 73.9% 9.5% 44.5% 0.317 0.407 0.500 0.907 7.93 3.43 1.22 7.99 7.13 3.03 2.35
25 32 2 Mississippi St. 71.1% 10.9% 33.1% 0.275 0.370 0.340 0.710 4.95 2.90 1.26 8.11 8.13 3.24 2.51
178 41 3 San Diego St. 72.0% 8.8% 38.9% 0.291 0.370 0.396 0.766 5.82 3.70 1.39 9.08 6.82 3.42 2.00
297 271 4 Jackson St. 70.3% 10.9% 40.6% 0.273 0.388 0.367 0.755 6.26 4.16 1.48 9.19 6.64 4.11 1.62
Oxford Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
37 14 1 Ole Miss 76.3% 7.6% 38.4% 0.303 0.370 0.417 0.787 6.08 2.76 1.21 8.23 7.17 2.63 2.73
160 24 2 Washington 70.9% 7.6% 38.6% 0.280 0.366 0.383 0.749 5.62 3.23 1.25 8.27 5.71 2.98 1.92
11 31 3 Georgia Tech 66.7% 8.2% 35.2% 0.279 0.353 0.379 0.731 5.08 3.28 1.38 8.34 7.38 4.10 1.80
97 91 4 Jacksonville St. 79.8% 9.7% 37.6% 0.294 0.372 0.423 0.795 6.15 4.61 1.50 9.42 6.27 4.03 1.55

The majority of college baseball fans are wondering just how legit the Rajin' Cajuns from Louisiana-Lafayette. Yes, they went 3-1 against teams with a RPI of 50 or better but that was almost three months ago and they have not really been tested playing in the 11th best conference and have only played one team who has made regionals. The Bulldogs could give ULL some issues as they are used to playing at the highest level, I'll go with the team that has put up ridiculous numbers all season but wouldn't be surprised if the Cajuns didn't advance.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

Ole Miss was another national seed bubble team that just missed the cut but was rewarded with a host spot. The Yellow Jackets just won the ACC tournament winning five games and are playing extremely well and how will Washington adjust to the heat and humidity of the south will be a big question too. I think the strong Rebels offense and solid pitching staff will propel them to the next round.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

Fort Worth Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
42 11 1 TCU (7) 68.1% 9.8% 35.1% 0.287 0.378 0.365 0.743 5.30 2.27 1.05 7.22 8.45 2.20 3.85
71 28 2 Dallas Baptist 75.4% 11.7% 39.5% 0.260 0.372 0.397 0.768 6.41 3.70 1.38 8.15 8.34 4.26 1.96
48 37 3 Sam Houston St. 80.6% 9.0% 37.7% 0.287 0.366 0.400 0.766 5.83 2.79 1.26 7.97 5.72 3.35 1.71
295 196 4 Siena 71.4% 9.3% 34.5% 0.264 0.355 0.324 0.679 4.61 5.40 1.63 10.74 5.51 3.91 1.41
San Luis Obispo Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
210 16 1 Cal Poly 65.5% 9.3% 38.3% 0.300 0.382 0.403 0.785 6.05 2.96 1.24 7.79 8.58 3.36 2.55
34 38 2 Arizona St. 73.9% 9.6% 37.4% 0.286 0.374 0.389 0.763 5.91 3.91 1.39 8.82 7.40 3.73 1.99
85 34 3 Pepperdine 72.9% 7.0% 38.4% 0.286 0.349 0.401 0.750 5.51 2.52 1.19 7.57 6.82 3.10 2.20
258 140 4 Sacramento St. 69.3% 8.6% 36.2% 0.286 0.357 0.390 0.748 5.36 3.21 1.25 7.95 5.27 3.30 1.60

The Horned Frogs won the Big 12 tournament and have lost only once since mid April. A lights out pitching staff that features three arms capable of shutting down any opponent makes this light bracket very winnable for Texas Christian.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

The other team with big question marks surrounding them is Cal Poly who looks great on paper but makes you wonder if that is the product of a strong schedule. They do however play in a conference that produced four tournament teams in which the Mustangs went 6-3 against. The Sun Devils and Green Wave are no strangers to postseason baseball and quality seeds that are serious threats to win. Not sure I can go with two unknowns to advance, Ill take the three seed to advance from this regional.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

Baton Rouge Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
87 9 1 LSU (8) 67.2% 9.2% 42.6% 0.286 0.368 0.416 0.784 6.36 2.42 1.08 6.90 7.21 2.82 2.56
14 10 2 Houston 75.5% 11.6% 34.6% 0.281 0.379 0.360 0.739 5.22 2.20 1.02 7.37 6.70 1.77 3.79
236 43 3 Bryant 82.9% 9.4% 41.7% 0.304 0.395 0.440 0.835 6.84 2.94 1.17 7.42 7.45 3.11 2.40
136 73 4 Southeastern La. 62.9% 9.7% 36.8% 0.291 0.387 0.361 0.748 5.75 2.95 1.27 8.67 6.76 2.76 2.45
Houston Regional
SOS RPI Seed Name SB% BB% Rsco% BA OBP SLG OPS R/G ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB
4 7 1 Rice 55.4% 8.5% 36.8% 0.294 0.364 0.388 0.752 5.54 2.55 1.19 7.60 7.65 3.08 2.48
3 12 2 Texas 85.7% 11.3% 32.1% 0.266 0.363 0.358 0.721 4.66 2.45 1.21 7.49 5.72 3.42 1.67
20 39 3 Texas A&M 75.9% 9.1% 36.3% 0.286 0.362 0.383 0.745 5.40 3.58 1.32 8.93 7.68 2.98 2.57
217 122 4 George Mason 69.6% 10.0% 33.0% 0.271 0.362 0.361 0.723 4.91 3.14 1.28 8.94 6.23 2.55 2.44

Louisiana State went from the possibility of not hosting to a national seed in just over a week. There is no better team in the country playing better baseball then them right now, their offense is tearing the cover off the ball and they have the best college pitcher in baseball. There isn't enough pitching from Houston or Bryant to stop the Tigers from winning in front of one of the best venues in college baseball.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

The Houston regional feature some evenly matched teams with Rice being the host, the Owls had a successful season in a mediocre Conference USA.  As usual they have an outstanding pitching staff as do the Longhorns but I am not completely sold on Rice despite their results. I think either of the winner of the two Texas teams takes this regional and as much as I dislike Garrido and his style of play they are my choice for this regional.

Previews: Baseball America, Perfect Game

Overall I thought the committee did a good job of selecting the 64 teams, where they were placed and who they matched up with is still something that will always be debated until they start seeding 1-16 like every other sport does. To recap my 16 selections to advance from regional play are...

Corvallis - Oregon State

Stillwater - Oklahoma State

Gainesville - Florida

Coral Cables - Miami

Charlottesville - Virginia

Columbia - South Carolina

Bloomington - Indiana

Nashville - Vanderbilt

Tallahassee - Florida State

Louisville - Kentucky

Lafayatte - Louisiana Layfatte

Oxford - Ole Miss

Fort Worth - Texas Christian

San Luis Obispo - Pepperdine

Baton Rouge - Louisiana State

Houston - Texas

That makes 13 number one seeds, 2 number twos and 1 number three seed advancing to super regionals. So now that you have been presented with a vast amount of information and previews from multiple sources post your regional winners below.

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