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Basketball

Looking for the UNC-FSU Game...

...and it's not available in your area.

You can try ESPN360.com if it works for you (it doesn't for me...if you have a backdoor link it'll be appreciated)

Or try www.channelsurfing.net, the picture is a little blurry but it's something.

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Can They Do It?

Let's be clear, FSU isn't on the bubble. They can play their way onto the bubble, but right now they are pretty much an NIT lock (although a win wouldn't hurt them with that either).

Here's the basic ACC math in terms of FSU basketball.

Zero wins = NIT probable
1 win = NIT Lock
2 win = NCAA Tournament Mid-Bubble
3 win = NCAA Tournament Major-Bubble
4 win = NCAA Auto Bid & No. 8 seed.

So that being said there's a case for Leonard Hamilton:

With its victory against Miami on Saturday, FSU concluded its third consecutive season with at least seven ACC wins -- the longest such streak in school history.

In the past three regular seasons, FSU has won 23 ACC games. In the five seasons before, the Seminoles won just 22 conference games.

Before Hamilton arrived, FSU hadn't won more than six conference games since the 1992-93 team won 12. Between the '92-93 season and when Hamilton arrived in 2002, the Seminoles won five or less ACC games five times.

A case against Leonard Hamilton?

During the past six seasons, FSU is 22-30 in games decided by five points or less. Removing the Seminoles' best (6-3 this year) and worst (3-9 in 2004-05) performances in games decided by five or less, FSU is 13-18.

The Seminoles have finished just one of the past six seasons -- when they went 7-3 in 2006 -- with a winning record in their final 10 regular season games, a stretch of importance to the NCAA Tournament selection committee. Overall, FSU is 25-35 under Hamilton during the final 10 games in each of his six seasons.

Of course what would noted Gator graduate Mike Bianchi do? He'd fire Hamilton and hire former Gator assistant Anthony Grant...

And in five years when Billy Donovan heads to the NBA for real, he'll say the Grant should go back to the Gators...

But enough of that...Does anyone smell an FSU upset?

His team has been playing awfully well of late. The Seminoles have won four of their last five - with their lone loss coming at the hands of the Tar Heels in Chapel Hill, N.C. - and are coming off an overtime win over Miami on Saturday.

So it's not inconceivable that they'll make a run at the title in Charlotte.

But first they will have to figure out a way to beat Wake Forest, which swept the season series from the Seminoles.

Or Cinderella Run?

Hamilton has made a point of telling his players: "There's no reason you should go into the tournament not feeling you are capable of making something happen."

Maybe they'll be able to make a run this weekend in Charlotte. Maybe their luck will turn. Finally.

"Sometimes the basketball gods smile down on you," senior guard Jason Rich said. "Stranger things have happened."


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Down the Stretch They Come

Surprisingly the basketball team is still in this race and tonight's game against North Carolina could be the beginning or end.

Actually a three-game win streak and 17 wins on the season has them in the NIT (in my opinion). Another win, however, wouldn't hurt. It wouldn't hurt at all.

Record: 17-12
ACC Record: 6-8
Next Game: Tonight (Tuesday) at North Carolina
Last Game: 72-62 win at Miami
Best Victory: 62-55 win at Miami
Worst Loss: 74-57 loss at Wake Forest
Estimated No. of victories for NIT Berth: 18
Estimated No. of victories for NCAA Berth: 20
Regular Season Games Remaining: 2
Strengths: Team cohesion has actually improved without Isaiah Swann (??)
Weaknesses: Late-season run could be to0 little too late.
Outlook: The losses to Cleveland State and USF hurt badly because instead of trying to run the table, the Seminoles would just need a respectable performance against North Carolina and a victory over Miami.

But this team made its bed and they must lie in it. Whether or not they get put to sleep is up to them. There has been a lot of optimism over this particular game and even though UNC has a major front court advantage, I could see why people feel that way.

For one thing, UNC has a major revenge game coming up Saturday with Duke and could be looking ahead. Of course a win tonight all but assures the team a No. 1 seed regardless of Saturday. And it's senior night.

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Chugging Along...

The basketball team, now without Isaiah Swann, who tore his ACL to end his career as a Seminole two weeks ago. The injury came right as the team started to get healthy.

Otherwise it's been close loss after close loss. OT loss to Clemson that they led in the final seconds before giving up an uncontested 3-pointer. Close loss to Duke, close loss to North Carolina, close loss to N.C. State...on and on and on.

Record: 14-10
ACC Record: 3-6
Next Game: Thursday at home vs. Wake Forest
Last Game: 62-55 win at Miami
Best Victory: 65-51 win at Florida
Worst Loss: 74-57 loss at Wake Forest
Estimated No. of victories for NIT Berth: 18
Estimated No. of victories for NCAA Berth: 21
Regular Season Games Remaining: 7
Strength: Recent emergence of Toney Douglas and guard play in general.
Weaknesses: Numerous lapses on defense and the loss of Isaiah Swann has killed this team. A lack of size doesn't help either.
Outlook: FSU must win at least 3 of the next four game (vs. Wake, at Maryland, vs. Clemson and vs. Boston College), with three of those games at home, it should be possible. The final three games are much more difficult with road trips against N.C. State and North Carolina along with a home finale against Miami.

Right now my estimate for an NCAA berth is 21 victories. But if the Seminoles can finish the season 19-12 and win a first-round ACC tournament game a 20-win season and an 8-8 conference record should be enough to get FSU threw the back door.

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Duke Is Tonight...

...and they're on TV more than a Leave it to Bea-vah, re-run.

Only guys who listen to Jim Rome will get that reference.

Judging by the response for more Seminole basketball (none), I'm guessing you haven't kept track of the men's squad this year. But in spite of the occasional lack of interest on the team (until National Signing Day is over) they haven't played poorly despite being hampered with a major lack of depth over the past few weeks.

Here's a little rundown on the squad.

Record: 12-5
ACC Record: 1-1
Next Game: Tonight (Wednesday) Home vs. Duke, 7 p.m.
Last Game: Loss 97-85 to Clemson in 2 OT
Best Victory: 65-51 win vs. Florida
Worst Loss: 68-67 loss vs. USF
Estimated No. of Victories for NIT Berth: 18
Estimated No. of Victories for NCAA Berth: 21
Strength: Guard Play
Weaknesses: Major Lack of Depth, Inside Play
Leaders: Toney Douglas (13.8 ppg), Isaiah Swann (3.4 apg), Uche Echefu (7.4 rpg).

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By The Way...

...FSU men's basketball is on ESPN2 tonight against Tubby Smith's Minnesota program.

Looks like there's a decent crowd and there should be after a dominating road victory against Florida on Friday.

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Why the Gators Suck...

...Done by a fan (most likely a Georgia fan) with more time than myself and good lyrics!

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Way to Go NCAA....

...Stanford sure proved they deserved that at-large bid. The Cardinal didn't even belong in the NIT.

Meanwhile one of the snubbed, FSU, will face Michigan tonight at home. If you're in Tally, go see Al Thornton play!

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Selection Sunday

6:00 -- Here we go: Florida, UNC, Ohio State and Kansas are the number one seeds. No real surprise there. Not sure who the overall number one seed is but a Kansas-Florida Final Four matchup is juicy fruit.

6:04 -- I don't see the gripe for UCLA, they got knocked out of their conference tournament early.

6:10 -- Old Dominion gets an at-large in the midwest. Lunardi had them as one of the last four out. No site of FSU in the Midwest.

6:16 -- FAMU gets the nod as a participant in the play-in game against Niagara.

6:17 -- Illinois gets one of those bubble spots. Lunardi also had them out. Remember when he used to brag about getting 64 of 65?

6:19 -- FSU will not be participating in the west side of the bracket.

6:25 -- BULLSHIT! Arkansas makes it? Based on what? Getting killed by Florida? Six ACC teams so far, it doesn't look good.

6:35 -- And with the final matchups announced, FSU is headed back to the NIT again. So much for beefing up the schedule and playing tough competition.

6:38 -- Seth Davis says Florida State played their way out of the tournament and I have to agree. The selection committee didn't take Toney Douglas' injury into consideration.

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Live Blogging Through Selection Sunday

This will update periodically.

This is a huge day for the FSU men's basketball program. Right now this team is the ultimate bubble squad and while those bubble positions are filling up, I believe there's one remaining for the Seminoles and we'll hear about it come 6:30 p.m.

As for today, we as Seminole fans have to root for Florida and North Carolina earlier. Both Arkansas and N.C. State probably need to win to make the tournament and neither would be considered to have a better resume than FSU.

12:09 -- FSU is mentioned on ESPN's College Gameday. They talked about Leonard Hamilton's petitioning and Toney Douglas' injury that put them on this bubble. They mentioned they don't have any bad losses and they have a good win at home (Florida) and a good one on the road (Duke). They've done everything asked of them to beef up their schedule and provide a more attractive resume than last year.

1:23 -- N.C. State 21, North Carolina 17 midway through the first period. The Tar Heels look incredibly flat right now.

1:58 -- UNC 42-34 and UF 36-28 as both games are at halftime. North Carolina warmed up considerably in the final five minutes of the first half.

2:19 -- UNC is up by 11 now and it looks like N.C. State is tired so that game appears to be safe.

2:43 -- The Gators are up by 26 and well in control. This is good news as any bubble love Arkansas was getting will now have this horribly lopsided result as part of the equation. Also FSU defeated Florida earlier this year (I love mentioning that).

2:57 --The ACC game isn't as safe as I thought. UNC is up by 6 with 42 seconds remaining. They need a stop and two free throws to be honest.

3:04 --UNC 89, N.C. State 80 and that's a final. The Gators won big, I don't have the final score but I heard 77-53. Either way it's everything the Seminoles could've asked for. So I'm going to take a jog. The Big 10 and Big XII games are meaningless for us as those four teams participating are mainly looking for top-line seeds.

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