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ACC Bowl Projections & BlogPoll: Week 14

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Here are this week's updated ACC Bowl projections.

Bowl Game ACC Opponent
Orange Bowl Florida St. (10-3) West Virginia
Chick-fil-A Bowl ACC #2 v. SEC 3/4/5 Virginia Tech (10-3) Miss St
Champs Sports Bowl ACC #3 v. BE #2/ ND N.C. ST (8-4) Notre Dame
Sun Bowl ACC #4 v. Pac 10 #4 Miami (7-5) Louisville
Meineke Car Care Bowl ACC #5 v. BE #3 Clemson (6-6) UConn
Music City Bowl ACC #6 v. SEC 6/7/8 UNC (7-5) Tennessee
Independence Bowl ACC #7 v. MWC #3 GT (6-6) Air Force
Military Bowl ACC #8 v. Army or C-USA #6 MD (8-4) East Carolina
Fight Hunger Bowl #9 BC (7-5) Boise State

Virginia Tech and Florida State are pretty much interchangeable here.  I also have to say that I like the ACC's chances of going 6-3 or better if these matchups hold.  The ACC is 18-23 in bowl games over the last five years.  

This is not a power poll. I don't attempt to rank teams based on how good I think they are. I only rank teams based on their resume. What have they done? Not how talented are their players or what other polls project them to do, but what have they done? The poll is designed to be dynamic. I try to start from scratch every week.

I do attempt to reward teams for "quality losses," while punishing them for poor performances. I do not give excessive credit for stomping horrible teams. I reward quality play, win or lose, particularly against other good teams. I am not bumping team A 10 spots and docking team B 10 spots when team A beats team B by a field goal in what was essentially an equally played game. I like to reward playing well against good teams, win or lose, and punish losing to poor teams more harshly than I reward defeating poor teams. To that end, TCU and Boise will probably not climb much higher in my poll for the rest of the year because they don't really play anyone. And if those two don't blow out the weak competition every week they will start to slip in addition to not climbing.

I Reward Grinders. I reward those who play difficult schedules. Teams that play a tough team every week don't get to spend extra time preparing for their tough games, and they also don't face the attrition other teams face because they are able to pull their starters in blowouts. Fewer plays for important players reduces the chance those players will get injured.

Change my mind using my criteria if you can.

1. Auburn

2. Oregon

3. Wisconsin

4. Ohio State

5. Stanford

6. Arkansas

7. Michigan State

8. TCU

9. LSU

10. Oklahoma

11. Boise State

12. Virgina Tech

13. Nebraska

14. Missouri

15. Oklahoma State

16. Alabama

17. South Carolina

18. Texas A&M

19. Florida State

20. Mississippi State

21. West Virginia

22. UCF

23. Maryland

24. NC State

25. Nevada