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Bill Connelly projects the College Football Playoff race using advanced stats

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FSU has 12% projected chance of going undefeated (which would guarantee a playoff spot) and 49% chance of going 11-1 (FSU would still have a chance of getting in but not guaranteed).

"With road games remaining against two good teams, the win projections weren't incredibly kind to FSU last week. And with Miami's dominant win over Virginia Tech pushing the Canes to 16th overall in the F/+ rankings, FSU's odds aren't any better this week. I don't think you'll find too many people willing to bet on FSU losing to both Louisville and Miami in the coming weeks, but the numbers are pointing out that it's at least a possibility."