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Florida State Seminoles vs Alabama Crimson Tide: Baseball Preview and Game Thread

Florida State is in a position that they haven't been in since 2008, coming off a loss in a regional. They had won 19 games in a row which is remarkable but they were completely dominated last night being outscored 7-0 and out hit 16-2 by a very good offense. The future of Georgia Southern's Sam Howard is going to be a good one as he is expected in the top four or five rounds next weekend, the left hander threw a complete game shut out limiting the Noles to just six balls that were hit out of the infield.

Alabama didn't fare much better as they were shutout by Kennesaw State. Their offense was hacking early and appeared to be extremely undisciplined at the plate which seems to be a common characteristic of this team, hopefully something the Noles can take advantage of today with their ace on the mound. Lose today and your season is over, fortunately the Seminoles are the better team and are in better position to advance.

OFFENSE:

2014 SEASON STATISTICS - OVERALL
TEAM GP SB % K% BB% Rsco% R/G AVG OBP SLG OPS BABIP IsoP
Florida State 58 79.2% 17.6% 13.2% 39.6% 6.7 0.278 0.394 0.387 0.781 0.335 0.109
Alabama 56 71.1% 16.8% 7.5% 34.3% 5.1 0.278 0.350 0.390 0.740 0.321 0.101
as of 5/29/14

Florida State is led by the ACC Player of the Year DJ Stewart (.348/.469/.561) and are protected by fellow first teamers in John Nogowski (.311/.433/.451) and Jose Brizuela (.325/.407/.453). The Noles are constantly on base as they lead the nation in walks, which constantly pressures opposing pitchers lending them to score as many runs as they do.

Outside of some power, second to only Kentucky in homeruns within the SEC, there is not much that Alabama does well. They struggled to score last season and that has continued in 2014 with an unimpressive on-base percentage and the fact that they strike out more than twice as much than they walk. The offensive leaders for the Tide are All SEC Team members Ben Moore (.305/.363/.486) and Wade Wass (.305/.398/.468), the right fielder Moore leads the team with 9 homeruns while Wass, the designated hitter is more free swinging.

2014 SEASON STATISTICS - FLORIDA STATE
TEAM GP GS PA SB % K% BB% Rsco% R/G AVG OBP SLG OPS BABIP IsoP
John Nogowski 58 57 261 50.0% 10.0% 16.1% 38.9% 0.8 0.311 0.433 0.451 0.884 0.326 0.141
Jose Brizuela 58 58 250 86.7% 14.8% 8.4% 42.9% 0.8 0.325 0.407 0.453 0.860 0.375 0.127
Justin Gonzalez 54 54 249 60.0% 26.5% 18.5% 39.4% 0.8 0.246 0.410 0.398 0.808 0.352 0.152
John Sansone 58 58 246 75.0% 23.2% 11.4% 40.2% 0.6 0.228 0.365 0.326 0.691 0.300 0.098
DJ Stewart 51 51 239 80.0% 12.6% 15.9% 36.2% 0.9 0.348 0.469 0.561 1.030 0.374 0.214
Josh Delph 56 51 231 50.0% 13.0% 14.7% 37.8% 0.6 0.275 0.393 0.360 0.753 0.323 0.085
Danny De La Calle 56 56 205 100.0% 16.6% 8.3% 42.2% 0.5 0.229 0.322 0.247 0.569 0.279 0.018
Ben DeLuzio 49 48 200 88.9% 22.0% 9.5% 46.5% 0.7 0.287 0.369 0.407 0.776 0.373 0.120
Casey Smit 53 35 181 75.0% 17.7% 18.2% 31.2% 0.5 0.300 0.436 0.336 0.771 0.373 0.036
Brett Knief 53 40 179 100.0% 17.3% 8.9% 40.7% 0.5 0.270 0.353 0.342 0.695 0.325 0.072
Jameis Winston 23 5 48 #DIV/0! 18.8% 16.7% 42.9% 0.3 0.132 0.298 0.184 0.482 0.172 0.053
Gage West 25 4 36 #DIV/0! 25.0% 8.3% 66.7% 0.2 0.167 0.222 0.467 0.689 0.136 0.300
Ladson Montgomery 27 2 31 #DIV/0! 9.7% 12.9% 21.4% 0.1 0.320 0.452 0.360 0.812 0.364 0.040
Hank Truluck 21 3 27 100.0% 22.2% 25.9% 21.4% 0.1 0.316 0.519 0.368 0.887 0.462 0.053
Nick Graganella 32 0 16 #DIV/0! 50.0% 18.8% ##### 0.2 0.231 0.375 0.231 0.606 0.600 0.000
Lee Howard 7 0 5 #DIV/0! 40.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.200 0.200 0.200 0.400 0.333 0.000
Matt Mulroy 4 0 3 #DIV/0! 0.0% 0.0% ##### 0.5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Gage Smith 2 0 2 #DIV/0! 50.0% 0.0% ##### 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Peter Miller 2 0 1 #DIV/0! 0.0% 0.0% ##### 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
TOTALS 58 58 2410 86.4% 17.6% 13.2% 39.6% 6.7 0.278 0.394 0.387 0.781 0.335 0.109
as of 5/29/14

2014 SEASON STATISTICS - ALABAMA
TEAM GP GS PA SB % K% BB% Rsco% R/G AVG OBP SLG OPS BABIP IsoP
Mikey White 56 56 262 60.0% 14.9% 8.8% 39.6% 0.8 0.303 0.397 0.440 0.837 0.341 0.138
Georgie Salem 56 56 261 66.7% 11.9% 3.8% 34.1% 0.5 0.288 0.329 0.358 0.688 0.324 0.071
Ben Moore 56 56 251 80.0% 6.4% 6.4% 40.7% 0.8 0.305 0.363 0.486 0.849 0.290 0.182
Wade Wass 56 55 236 100.0% 19.1% 9.3% 26.7% 0.5 0.305 0.398 0.468 0.866 0.374 0.163
Kyle Overstreet 55 55 234 0.0% 12.0% 7.7% 42.5% 0.6 0.278 0.339 0.376 0.715 0.303 0.098
Austen Smith 52 52 216 83.3% 16.7% 12.5% 23.3% 0.5 0.316 0.426 0.480 0.905 0.353 0.164
Chance Vincent 51 48 187 100.0% 11.2% 6.4% 33.3% 0.4 0.253 0.301 0.301 0.602 0.277 0.048
Casey Hughston 47 42 165 0.0% 29.1% 3.0% 27.7% 0.4 0.282 0.313 0.423 0.736 0.385 0.141
Will Haynie 35 32 123 #DIV/0! 41.5% 5.7% 48.0% 0.4 0.177 0.231 0.274 0.506 0.288 0.097
Hunter Webb 39 24 101 83.3% 12.9% 6.9% 29.4% 0.3 0.265 0.358 0.301 0.659 0.314 0.036
Daniel Cucjen 31 15 63 66.7% 19.0% 15.9% 37.5% 0.3 0.288 0.397 0.346 0.743 0.350 0.058
Mathew Goodson 12 3 23 #DIV/0! 30.4% 8.7% 20.0% 0.1 0.158 0.217 0.158 0.375 0.214 0.000
William Elliott 10 3 18 #DIV/0! 44.4% 0.0% 50.0% 0.1 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.222 0.200 0.000
J.C. Wilhite 8 2 14 #DIV/0! 7.1% 7.1% 50.0% 0.3 0.100 0.286 0.100 0.386 0.100 0.000
Ryan Blanchard 7 3 13 #DIV/0! 23.1% 7.7% 25.0% 0.1 0.250 0.308 0.250 0.558 0.333 0.000
Taylor Poe 10 1 10 #DIV/0! 40.0% 10.0% 66.7% 0.2 0.222 0.300 0.222 0.522 0.400 0.000
Steven Cole 8 0 9 #DIV/0! 11.1% 11.1% 33.3% 0.1 0.250 0.333 0.250 0.583 0.286 0.000
Mitch Greer 6 1 9 #DIV/0! 33.3% 11.1% 0.0% 0 0.000 0.111 0.000 0.111 0.000 0.000
Riley Colburn 8 0 5 #DIV/0! 40.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.333 0.600 0.333 0.933 1.000 0.000
Colton Freeman 2 0 0 #DIV/0! ##### ##### ##### 1 ##### ##### ##### ##### ##### #####
TOTALS 56 56 2200 80.0% 16.8% 7.5% 34.3% 5.1 0.278 0.350 0.390 0.740 0.321 0.112
as of 5/29/14

PITCHING:

2014 SEASON STATISTICS - OVERALL
TEAM G IP ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB FIP xERA BABIP BAA OPSa
Florida State 54 525.0 3.02 1.20 7.83 7.20 3.00 2.40 3.58 2.96 0.287 0.236 0.627
Alabama 56 501.3 3.29 1.25 7.38 6.89 3.86 1.79 4.03 2.91 0.276 0.228 0.626
as of 5/29/14

The Seminoles received some fantastic news this week as starting pitcher Brandon Leibrandt (39.1 IP/1.02 WHIP/6.86 K/9) will see action for the first time in two months. Luke Weaver (101.1 IP/1.04 WHIP/7.19 K/9)  will more than likely be a top 50 draft pick next week while reliever Gage Smith (60.1 IP/0.94 WHIP/4.62 K/9) can be used in just about every situation.
As a staff Alabama is not great, their strikeouts per nine is not strong (they do have groundball pitchers) but a walks per nine approaching four is bad for business especially when you have three teams in your region with strong offenses.

PROBABLES:
PITCHING PROBABLES - GAME 3 - Florida State vs. Alabama
TEAM G GS IP ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB HR/9 FIP BABIP BAA OPSa
Justin Kamplain - UA 14 14 82.0 3.07 1.06 6.59 7.24 2.96 2.44 0.55 3.99 0.244 0.206 0.582
Luke Weaver - FSU 15 15 101.3 2.66 1.04 7.37 7.19 1.95 3.68 0.62 3.49 0.266 0.224 0.582




2014 SEASON STATISTICS - FLORIDA STATE
TEAM G GS IP ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB HR/9 FIP BABIP BAA OPSa
Luke Weaver 15 15 101.3 2.66 1.04 7.37 7.19 1.95 3.68 0.62 3.49 0.266 0.224 0.582
Mike Compton 14 14 82.3 3.06 1.29 9.62 5.47 1.97 2.78 0.33 3.48 0.313 0.272 0.679
Gage Smith 38 0 60.3 2.09 0.94 7.76 4.62 0.75 6.20 0.15 3.06 0.268 0.234 0.548
Billy Strode 23 4 45.3 2.78 1.21 6.95 8.93 3.97 2.25 0.00 3.16 0.318 0.226 0.582
Peter Miller 17 7 42.0 5.14 1.64 8.14 11.36 6.64 1.71 0.64 4.11 0.354 0.247 0.725
Brandon Leibrandt 6 6 39.3 1.83 1.02 7.09 6.86 2.06 3.33 0.46 3.32 0.264 0.218 0.608
Bryant Holtmann 14 6 36.7 3.68 1.17 7.61 7.12 2.95 2.42 0.49 3.53 0.271 0.228 0.610
Jameis Winston 23 0 30.7 1.17 0.78 5.28 8.51 1.76 4.83 0.00 2.12 0.220 0.164 0.396
Dylan Silva 17 1 23.7 1.90 1.27 6.08 10.65 5.32 2.00 0.00 3.59 0.291 0.195 0.630
Taylor Blatch 14 2 17.3 6.23 1.85 6.75 5.71 9.87 0.58 0.52 7.05 0.235 0.210 0.748
Alec Byrd 9 1 14.7 3.68 1.50 8.59 7.98 4.91 1.63 1.23 5.26 0.300 0.259 0.804
Brandon Johnson 11 0 13.7 1.98 1.32 9.22 5.93 2.63 2.25 0.00 2.98 0.280 0.241 0.544
Kenny Burkhead 10 2 10.7 8.44 2.06 14.35 6.75 4.22 1.60 0.84 4.55 0.432 0.370 1.018
Jim Voyles 5 0 6.7 4.05 1.35 9.45 4.05 2.70 1.50 1.35 6.27 0.286 0.280 0.779
TOTALS 58 58 524.7 3.02 1.20 7.84 7.20 3.00 2.40 0.39 3.58 0.287 0.236 0.627
as of 5/29/14


2014 SEASON STATISTICS - ALABAMA
TEAM G GS IP ERA WHIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 K:BB HR/9 FIP BABIP BAA OPSa
Spencer Turnbull 14 14 87.0 2.28 1.16 6.00 6.10 4.45 1.37 0.31 4.44 0.230 0.193 0.576
Justin Kamplain 14 14 82.0 3.07 1.06 6.59 7.24 2.96 2.44 0.55 3.99 0.244 0.206 0.582
Jon Keller 13 8 66.7 2.57 1.13 7.70 6.48 2.43 2.67 0.14 3.25 0.296 0.241 0.621
Nick Eicholtz 20 9 51.0 3.35 1.33 6.18 7.06 5.82 1.21 0.35 5.01 0.239 0.197 0.614
Geoffrey Bramblett 16 4 38.7 4.19 1.24 7.22 9.78 3.96 2.47 0.23 3.21 0.306 0.221 0.585
Tucker Hawley 13 3 37.3 1.93 1.04 7.23 5.79 2.17 2.67 0.00 2.86 0.273 0.226 0.551
Ray Castillo 17 3 35.3 5.09 1.67 9.93 6.62 5.09 1.30 1.02 5.54 0.324 0.285 0.801
Jay Shaw 21 0 34.0 3.97 1.44 8.74 4.50 4.24 1.06 0.00 3.83 0.295 0.258 0.619
Thomas Burrows 22 0 33.3 1.62 0.87 5.13 8.64 2.70 3.20 0.27 3.06 0.225 0.173 0.472
Taylor Guilbeau 14 0 15.7 5.17 2.17 13.21 8.04 6.32 1.27 0.00 4.31 0.442 0.348 0.856
Mitch Greer 11 0 10.7 6.75 1.69 11.81 6.75 3.38 2.00 1.69 5.48 0.364 0.341 0.920
Jake Hubbard 5 1 5.0 7.20 1.80 10.80 7.20 5.40 1.33 1.80 6.22 0.313 0.300 0.875
Colton Freeman 3 0 2.3 19.29 2.14 7.72 11.57 11.57 1.00 0.00 4.71 0.333 0.222 0.861
Kyle Overstreet 2 0 1.3 13.50 3.00 20.26 6.75 6.75 1.00 0.00 4.17 0.500 0.429 1.214
Cary Baxter 1 0 1.0 0.00 1.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 ##### 0.00 3.42 0.333 0.333 0.667
TOTALS 56 56 501.3 3.29 1.25 7.38 6.89 3.86 1.79 0.36 4.03 0.276 0.228 0.626
as of 5/29/14

COVERAGE:

The third game of the regional starts today at 1:05 PM and will be televised on ESPNU and on ESPN3. Bookmark this page for all of your coverage needs and make sure to bookmark our Regional Stream which will be updated continuously throughout the weekend. Of course there will be a thread for every game this weekend as @dtackett_@AriyaMassoudi and @RodMahoney (myself) will be there in Tallahassee, follow us for all the play by play and updates.