Florida State’s tournament projections have held pretty steady over the last week— and considering that the Seminoles are sitting in a highly enviable position, that’s certainly not a bad thing. The ‘Noles remain a 2-seed according to ESPN bracketologist Joe Lunardi, who is keeping FSU in the Midwest Region and opening play in Orlando. This time around, however, it’s against 15-seed UNC Asheville, with a possible second-round matchup against the winner of 7-seed Michigan State and 10-seed Texas Tech. 11 ACC teams are currently in Lunardi’s field, but none are seeded higher than Florida State and fellow 2-seed North Carolina.
TeamRankings.com uses simulations to project its field, and after a 1-1 record over the last week, FSU remains most likely to get a 4-seed, as it was last week. The Seminoles’ tourney chances are once again 99%, but its chances of a deep run have abated some after Saturday’s loss at UNC. Florida State’s Final Four chances dropped from 8.4% to 7.8%, while its National Championship likelihood dipped from 1.3% to 1.1%.
BracketMatrix.com aggregates just about every projection out there, amassing 76 total— all of which have FSU in the field, at an average seed of 2.53. Only seven teams have better average seeds.