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FSU basketball moves up in NCAA tournament projections

How much did the Seminoles benefit from a victory in Louisville?

NCAA Basketball: Florida State at Louisville
M.J. Walker helps guide the Seminoles to a crucial victory against the Cardinals
Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

Revenge is sweet.

An 80-76 victory against Louisville on Saturday not only made up for a head-scratching loss to the Cardinals earlier this season, but it also helped the Seminoles move up in Joe Lunardi’s NCAA bracketology. FSU (17-6) is currently an 8-seed, projected to play TCU in the first round of the East region. Lunardi also has the Seminoles at No. 26 in BPI.

Florida State entered the week as a 9-seed after falling on the road to Wake Forest, 76-72. The ’Noles are 6-5 in the ACC after starting conference play 1-3. At this point, winning their first round game in the tournament means it’s likely on to face 1-seed Villanova in the second round, which would take place in the Wildcats’ home state, in Pittsburgh.

Teamrankings.com agrees, as they also have FSU slated as an 8-seed in their latest bracketology. The website gives the Garnet & Gold an 82% chance to make the tournament— a big improvement from 67% last week. A road victory in the ACC can certainly push that needle for a team.

Bracketmatrix.com moved FSU from a 7-seed to a 9-seed and then up to the top 8-seed line after the Seminoles gained some traction at UL. Florida State is just a single spot behind the rival Florida Gators. Games against Virginia and at Notre Dame are on tap this week.