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FSU basketball slides to the bubble in latest NCAA Tournament projections

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It’s getting interesting for the ’Noles.

NCAA Basketball: ACC Conference Tournament-Florida State vs Louisville Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

It just wouldn’t be Florida State basketball if it didn’t come right down to the wire, would it? As on the court, so on Selection Sunday.

Although SI.com thinks the Seminoles are comfortably in as a 9-seed, ESPN’s resident bracketologist Joe Lunardi has moved the ’Noles down another yet another line to an 11-seed, facing 6-seed Houston in Dallas with 3-seed Auburn likely on deck. It’s really not that bad of a prospective road to the Sweet 16, but the concern is that Lunardi has moved FSU into his “Last Four Byes” category. The good news is that there are two squads (USC and UCLA) below Florida State in that category, and then another four teams as the “Last Four In” category. So there’s still a solid buffer between the Seminoles and the NIT, per Lunardi.

Bracket Matrix, which compiles numerous brackets and averages each team’s position, has about the same composite information, with FSU as the third of four 10-seeds and the same six-team buffer, which, in addition to the two aforementioned Los Angeles schools, also includes St. Mary’s, Texas, Oklahoma, and Arizona State.

Team Rankings is more bearish on the Seminoles, giving them a 44% chance to make the Tourney and currently listing them as the first team left out.