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Situational Box Score - Gonzaga

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Just for reference in case you were wondering.

Possessions by Time interval
(0-10 sec Transition, 11-20 sec Mid-Clock, 20+ sec Late Clock)

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FT Made FT Att FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast Ast
%
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt) FGM FGA FG
%
eFG%
Florida State 2163 1.095 2368 497 821 60.5% 118 336 35.1% 219 644 34.0% 481 704 68.3% 387 17.9% 429 51.4% 214 35 180 834 1801 46.3% 52.4%
Transition 794 1.055 838 200 298 67.1% 23 64 35.9% 60 189 31.7% 212 314 67.5% 117 14.7% 165 58.3% 107 9 49 283 551 51.4% 56.8%
Mid-Clock 867 0.999 866 167 288 58.0% 56 154 36.4% 90 265 34.0% 150 220 68.2% 162 18.7% 159 50.8% 67 18 74 313 707 44.3% 50.6%
Late Clock 502 1.323 664 130 235 55.3% 39 118 33.1% 69 190 36.3% 119 170 70.0% 108 21.5% 105 44.1% 40 8 57 238 543 43.8% 50.2%
Opponents of Florida State 2168 1.029 2231 359 703 51.1% 167 438 38.1% 250 678 36.9% 429 597 71.9% 423 19.5% 373 48.1% 143 41 189 776 1819 42.7% 49.5%
Transition 657 1.043 685 120 206 58.3% 30 74 40.5% 67 168 39.9% 184 251 73.3% 120 18.3% 115 53.0% 55 10 50 217 448 48.4% 55.9%
Mid-Clock 853 0.925 789 126 263 47.9% 64 171 37.4% 92 257 35.8% 133 190 70.0% 173 20.3% 138 48.9% 51 15 72 282 691 40.8% 47.5%
Late Clock 658 1.150 757 113 234 48.3% 73 193 37.8% 91 253 36.0% 112 156 71.8% 130 19.8% 120 43.3% 37 16 67 277 680 40.7% 47.4%

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FT Made FT Att FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast Ast
%
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt) FGM FGA FG
%
eFG%
Gonzaga 2171 1.200 2605 544 823 66.1% 138 339 40.7% 270 754 35.8% 431 601 71.7% 346 15.9% 483 50.7% 228 47 208 952 1916 49.7% 56.7%
Transition 718 1.099 789 157 238 66.0% 25 64 39.1% 79 215 36.7% 188 240 78.3% 122 17.0% 146 55.9% 72 7 67 261 517 50.5% 58.1%
Mid-Clock 1026 1.105 1134 248 380 65.3% 62 168 36.9% 122 334 36.5% 148 227 65.2% 166 16.2% 227 52.5% 113 25 89 432 882 49.0% 55.9%
Late Clock 427 1.597 682 139 205 67.8% 51 107 47.7% 69 205 33.7% 95 134 70.9% 58 13.6% 110 42.5% 43 15 52 259 517 50.1% 56.8%
Opponents of Gonzaga 2184 0.957 2089 341 683 49.9% 174 487 35.7% 221 644 34.3% 396 553 71.6% 384 17.6% 332 45.1% 106 51 175 736 1814 40.6% 46.7%
Transition 558 0.923 515 82 161 50.9% 22 66 33.3% 50 149 33.6% 157 204 77.0% 100 17.9% 75 48.7% 27 7 41 154 376 41.0% 47.6%
Mid-Clock 911 0.902 822 139 268 51.9% 83 208 39.9% 82 247 33.2% 132 192 68.8% 173 19.0% 143 47.0% 53 24 66 304 723 42.0% 47.7%
Late Clock 715 1.052 752 120 254 47.2% 69 213 32.4% 89 248 35.9% 107 157 68.2% 111 15.5% 114 41.0% 26 20 68 278 715 38.9% 45.1%

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FT Made FT Att FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast Ast
%
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt) FGM FGA FG
%
eFG%
Database Total 94249 1.067 100591 17951 30527 58.8% 7098 19235 36.9% 10647 30017 35.5% 18552 25735 72.1% 16684 17.7% 18641 52.2% 7808 2215 8618 35696 79779 44.7% 51.4%
Database Transition 29032 1.035 30053 5949 9336 63.7% 1152 3094 37.2% 2711 7666 35.4% 7718 10556 73.1% 5007 17.2% 5549 56.6% 2979 353 2217 9812 20096 48.8% 55.6%
Database Mid-Clock 38881 1.007 39148 6524 11325 57.6% 3180 8358 38.0% 4484 12378 36.2% 6288 8823 71.3% 6721 17.3% 7644 53.9% 2904 1081 3659 14188 32061 44.3% 51.2%
Database Late Clock 26336 1.192 31390 5478 9866 55.5% 2766 7783 35.5% 3452 9973 34.6% 4546 6356 71.5% 4956 18.8% 5448 46.6% 1925 781 2742 11696 27622 42.3% 48.6%

^^feather weight but like 680 or so games. Also Note that offensive rebounds are included in these numbers, so they are conventional possessions. I will separate their impact when talking exclusively about their impact after the late clock analysis.

Transition

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts FG
%
eFG
%
Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FTM FTA FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast
(Tot)
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt)
Florida State Total 719 1.033 743 50.1% 55.9% 164 254 64.6% 23 61 37.7% 56 170 32.9% 201 300 67.0% 110 15.3% 157 100 9 48
CJ Walker Transition 128 0.758 97 38.9% 45.8% 17 35 48.6% 1 4 25.0% 10 33 30.3% 31 41 75.6% 18 14.1% 35 22 2 11
Braian Angola Transition 126 1.151 145 43.5% 51.1% 24 46 52.2% 2 7 28.6% 14 39 35.9% 51 59 86.4% 15 11.9% 28 20 3 5
Trent Forrest Transition 115 0.974 112 65.5% 66.4% 32 48 66.7% 3 4 75.0% 1 3 33.3% 39 67 58.2% 20 17.4% 41 23 0 18
Terance Mann Transition 98 1.143 112 63.8% 64.5% 36 46 78.3% 7 15 46.7% 1 8 12.5% 23 39 59.0% 16 16.3% 27 19 2 6
Phil Cofer Transition 78 1.051 82 45.8% 48.3% 19 28 67.9% 5 11 45.5% 3 20 15.0% 25 41 61.0% 9 11.5% 7 4 0 3
M.J. Walker Transition 64 1.047 67 43.8% 54.2% 10 16 62.5% 1 5 20.0% 10 27 37.0% 15 21 71.4% 11 17.2% 9 4 1 4
Mfiondu Kabengele Transition 35 1.200 42 46.4% 53.6% 8 12 66.7% 1 5 20.0% 4 11 36.4% 12 14 85.7% 5 14.3% 1 1 0 0
PJ Savoy Transition 34 1.353 46 47.1% 64.7% 4 5 80.0% 0 2 0.0% 12 27 44.4% 2 3 66.7% 6 17.6% 5 3 1 1
Ike Obiagu Transition 18 0.944 17 80.0% 80.0% 7 8 87.5% 1 2 50.0% 0 0
1 7 14.3% 7 38.9% 1 1 0 0
Christ Koumadje Transition 18 1.000 18 53.3% 53.3% 6 9 66.7% 2 6 33.3% 0 0
2 8 25.0% 3 16.7% 0 0 0 0

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts FG
%
eFG
%
Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FTM FTA FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast
(Tot)
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt)
Gonzaga Total 656 1.082 710 50.8% 58.8% % FT Made FT Att FT 62 38.7% 74 189 39.2% 170 222 76.6% 102 15.5% 132 63 7 62
Josh Perkins Transition 140 0.979 137 50.6% 63.5% % TO TO 7 14 50.0% 22 47 46.8% 29 37 78.4% 25 17.9% 51 24 2 25
Zach Norvell Jr. Transition 127 1.008 128 48.4% 55.5% % Ast Ast 2 6 33.3% 13 41 31.7% 27 31 87.1% 24 18.9% 24 13 2 9
Silas Melson Transition 97 1.155 112 44.7% 56.6% % Ast 56.5% 3 13 23.1% 18 40 45.0% 26 32 81.3% 5 5.2% 18 8 1 9
Johnathan Williams Transition 80 0.887 71 50.0% 53.1% (Rim) Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt) FGM FGA 40.0% 3 9 33.3% 20 38 52.6% 12 15.0% 11 3 0 8
Rui Hachimura Transition 59 1.288 76 60.5% 60.5% 22 30 73.3% 4 9 44.4% 0 4 0.0% 24 31 77.4% 10 16.9% 5 0 0 5
Killian Tillie Transition 56 1.232 69 55.8% 62.8% 13 21 61.9% 5 9 55.6% 6 13 46.2% 15 19 78.9% 7 12.5% 12 11 0 1
Corey Kispert Transition 55 1.255 69 52.1% 62.5% 14 16 87.5% 1 4 25.0% 10 28 35.7% 9 9 100.0% 7 12.7% 9 3 2 4
Jacob Larsen Transition 17 1.647 28 80.0% 80.0% 8 10 80.0% 0 0
0 0
12 14 85.7% 5 29.4% 0 0 0 0
Jeremy Jones Transition 10 1.300 13 100.0% 100.0% 3 3 100.0% 0 0
0 0
7 9 77.8% 4 40.0% 1 0 0 1


  • 33% of their possessions and 38 percent of their points come in transition, sporting a 66% FG% at the rim and an overall eFG% of 57% (FSU: 57%, Database AVG: 56%)
  • Josh Perkins is not afraid to pull up for a 3 in transition (22/47 3pt in transition out of 74 total made 3s, eFG%: 70.2%))
  • Corey Kispert comes off the bench but he comes in launching early shot clock 3's where he has hit 35.7% (53.6% eFG%, 59% eFG% across all possessions), with 58% of his attempts being 3's.
  • Zach Norvell Jr. leads Gonzaga in getting to the rim in transition with 66% shooting at the rim.

Mid-Clock

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts FG
%
eFG
%
Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FTM FTA FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast
(Tot)
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt)
Florida State Total 749 1.047 784 45.1% 52.2% 137 236 58.1% 52 137 38.0% 87 239 36.4% 145 212 68.4% 119 15.9% 149 61 18 70
Phil Cofer Mid-Clock 111 1.450 161 47.2% 56.7% 22 40 55.0% 14 36 38.9% 24 51 47.1% 17 22 77.3% 13 11.7% 4 2 1 1
Braian Angola Mid-Clock 109 0.890 97 36.0% 44.2% 12 23 52.2% 5 18 27.8% 14 45 31.1% 21 26 80.8% 15 13.8% 35 15 4 16
Terance Mann Mid-Clock 106 1.160 123 52.9% 56.5% 31 42 73.8% 8 26 30.8% 6 17 35.3% 27 37 73.0% 15 14.2% 26 9 3 14
M.J. Walker Mid-Clock 88 0.795 70 34.8% 43.5% 7 18 38.9% 5 11 45.5% 12 40 30.0% 10 14 71.4% 12 13.6% 15 8 3 4
Trent Forrest Mid-Clock 78 0.769 60 52.5% 53.8% 18 32 56.3% 2 3 66.7% 1 5 20.0% 17 22 77.3% 23 29.5% 34 11 3 20
Mfiondu Kabengele Mid-Clock 77 1.104 85 53.3% 55.0% 22 29 75.9% 8 24 33.3% 2 7 28.6% 19 37 51.4% 11 14.3% 5 2 0 3
CJ Walker Mid-Clock 71 1.014 72 48.1% 60.6% 9 19 47.4% 3 5 60.0% 13 28 46.4% 9 12 75.0% 10 14.1% 21 10 2 9
PJ Savoy Mid-Clock 47 1.085 51 33.3% 48.9% 0 1 0.0% 1 3 33.3% 14 41 34.1% 7 10 70.0% 5 10.6% 3 2 0 1
Christ Koumadje Mid-Clock 32 1.219 39 46.4% 46.4% 9 20 45.0% 4 8 50.0% 0 0
13 19 68.4% 5 15.6% 3 2 1 0
Ike Obiagu Mid-Clock 18 1.167 21 57.1% 57.1% 6 11 54.5% 2 3 66.7% 0 0
5 13 38.5% 3 16.7% 1 0 0 1
Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts FG
%
eFG
%
Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FTM FTA FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast
(Tot)
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt)
Gonzaga Total 1020 1.018 1038 49.8% 56.9% 218 338 64.5% 62 158 39.2% 112 291 38.5% 142 215 66.0% 134 13.1% 221 110 25 86
Johnathan Williams Mid-Clock 171 1.029 176 58.5% 59.7% 58 88 65.9% 8 18 44.4% 3 12 25.0% 35 61 57.4% 26 15.2% 24 15 3 6
Josh Perkins Mid-Clock 165 0.770 127 37.6% 50.0% 6 20 30.0% 9 27 33.3% 29 70 41.4% 10 17 58.8% 16 9.7% 70 27 11 32
Killian Tillie Mid-Clock 147 1.279 188 57.3% 62.6% 44 62 71.0% 17 35 48.6% 14 34 41.2% 24 34 70.6% 21 14.3% 25 18 1 6
Rui Hachimura Mid-Clock 127 1.165 148 55.3% 55.8% 44 67 65.7% 12 28 42.9% 1 8 12.5% 33 42 78.6% 18 14.2% 10 5 0 5
Zach Norvell Jr. Mid-Clock 124 1.113 138 48.1% 59.9% 23 34 67.6% 3 9 33.3% 25 63 39.7% 11 13 84.6% 14 11.3% 27 16 4 7
Silas Melson Mid-Clock 121 0.810 98 38.5% 48.9% 9 16 56.3% 7 26 26.9% 19 49 38.8% 9 9 100.0% 17 14.0% 37 17 3 17
Corey Kispert Mid-Clock 83 1.000 83 45.5% 57.6% 11 16 68.8% 3 9 33.3% 16 41 39.0% 7 12 58.3% 11 13.3% 10 1 1 8
Jacob Larsen Mid-Clock 41 0.976 40 59.3% 59.3% 15 23 65.2% 1 4 25.0% 0 0
8 16 50.0% 7 17.1% 10 8 0 2
Jeremy Jones Mid-Clock 22 0.955 21 57.1% 60.7% 7 10 70.0% 0 0
1 4 25.0% 4 8 50.0% 4 18.2% 3 2 0 1
Jesse Wade Mid-Clock 11 1.273 14 55.6% 77.8% 1 1 100.0% 0 0
4 8 50.0% 0 0
0 0.0% 2 0 1 1

  • The mid-clock is all about the bigs for Gonzaga. 6'10" Killian Tillie is an exceptionally tough cover for the most traditional big men, hitting 41.4% from 3 (14/34, eFG %: 62.1%) and a team leading rim % of 71%.
  • However, Johnathan Williams is the more dominant offensive player in the post, finishing around the rim at a 66% clip with a team leading 58 layups on the year (or around 2 layups a game in the mid-clock). He is not an excellent free throw shooter though (55.4%) with a 58.3% FT/FGA rate. He definitely does spend a good bit of time at the line.
  • Josh Perkins is worth another mention here, not because of his own scoring (.779 PPP and 50% eFG%, but for his 32 assists on 3 point shots in this time interval and 70 mid-clock assists overall (77% of 3s made are assisted 3's in mid-clock, database average: 79%)

Late Clock

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts FG
%
eFG
%
Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FTM FTA FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast
(Tot)
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt)
Florida State Total 441 1.268 559 43.0% 49.3% 101 189 53.4% 37 106 34.9% 57 158 36.1% 112 160 70.0% 92 20.9% 90 37 8 45
Braian Angola Late Clock 88 1.045 92 37.2% 46.2% 8 19 42.1% 7 12 58.3% 14 47 29.8% 20 25 80.0% 19 21.6% 21 12 3 6
Phil Cofer Late Clock 73 1.562 114 47.2% 56.2% 17 27 63.0% 9 21 42.9% 16 41 39.0% 14 19 73.7% 11 15.1% 7 1 2 4
Terance Mann Late Clock 62 1.371 85 45.8% 47.9% 22 37 59.5% 8 21 38.1% 3 14 21.4% 16 22 72.7% 15 24.2% 15 8 0 7
Trent Forrest Late Clock 51 0.824 42 32.5% 33.8% 9 25 36.0% 3 11 27.3% 1 4 25.0% 15 19 78.9% 7 13.7% 23 7 3 13
CJ Walker Late Clock 50 0.980 49 38.6% 46.6% 10 18 55.6% 0 7 0.0% 7 19 36.8% 8 14 57.1% 11 22.0% 12 5 0 7
Mfiondu Kabengele Late Clock 36 1.222 44 29.7% 32.4% 8 20 40.0% 1 13 7.7% 2 4 50.0% 20 29 69.0% 8 22.2% 3 0 0 3
M.J. Walker Late Clock 33 1.667 55 50.0% 60.5% 7 13 53.8% 4 9 44.4% 8 16 50.0% 9 12 75.0% 4 12.1% 4 2 0 2
Christ Koumadje Late Clock 17 2.235 38 66.7% 66.7% 13 19 68.4% 3 5 60.0% 0 0
6 9 66.7% 5 29.4% 0 0 0 0
PJ Savoy Late Clock 15 1.600 24 47.1% 64.7% 0 2 0.0% 2 4 50.0% 6 11 54.5% 2 3 66.7% 4 26.7% 2 1 0 1
Ike Obiagu Late Clock 9 1.333 12 50.0% 50.0% 5 7 71.4% 0 3 0.0% 0 0
2 8 25.0% 5 55.6% 0 0 0 0
Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts FG
%
eFG
%
Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FTM FTA FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast
(Tot)
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt)
Gonzaga Total 546 1.048 572 49.5% 56.1% 111 172 64.5% 45 92 48.9% 56 164 34.1% 92 130 70.8% 57 10.4% 107 43 15 49
Johnathan Williams Late Clock 113 1.027 116 57.5% 58.8% 40 58 69.0% 4 15 26.7% 2 7 28.6% 22 40 55.0% 11 9.7% 12 3 3 6
Josh Perkins Late Clock 106 0.991 105 45.9% 56.5% 11 18 61.1% 10 19 52.6% 18 48 37.5% 9 9 100.0% 9 8.5% 29 12 5 12
Rui Hachimura Late Clock 64 1.438 92 60.0% 62.5% 21 34 61.8% 12 17 70.6% 3 9 33.3% 17 18 94.4% 5 7.8% 5 1 2 2
Zach Norvell Jr. Late Clock 64 0.844 54 37.8% 46.7% 7 11 63.6% 2 4 50.0% 8 30 26.7% 12 16 75.0% 4 6.3% 20 11 1 8
Killian Tillie Late Clock 62 1.226 76 52.7% 60.0% 13 22 59.1% 8 13 61.5% 8 20 40.0% 10 11 90.9% 6 9.7% 11 6 0 5
Silas Melson Late Clock 48 0.958 46 38.1% 50.0% 2 5 40.0% 4 13 30.8% 10 24 41.7% 4 5 80.0% 7 14.6% 15 4 2 9
Corey Kispert Late Clock 42 1.143 48 52.9% 63.2% 9 14 64.3% 2 4 50.0% 7 16 43.8% 5 11 45.5% 4 9.5% 3 1 0 2
Jacob Larsen Late Clock 20 0.950 19 70.0% 70.0% 6 7 85.7% 1 3 33.3% 0 0 5 7 71.4% 5 25.0% 6 4 0 2
Jeremy Jones Late Clock 12 0.833 10 40.0% 40.0% 2 3 66.7% 0 1 0.0% 0 1 0.0% 6 9 66.7% 3 25.0% 5 0 2 3
Jesse Wade Late Clock 11 0.182 2 12.5% 12.5% 0 0 1 2 50.0% 0 6 0.0% 0 1 0.0% 3 27.3% 1 1 0 0



  • The late clock is influenced significantly by two factors typically, your late clock three point shooting and your ability to offensive rebound. Johnathan Williams is as good a cleanup man as there is in college basketball, with 69% shooting at the rim.
  • Rui Hachimura is another player that shines in the late clock with a 62% average at the rim and an absurd 71% shooting average from the mid-range in late clock situations. He can shoot it if you leave him open and around the rim(1.484 PPP, 62% at the rim, 94.4% at the line)
  • Silas Melson is another three point shooter that as not yet been mentioned, went 10/24 in late clock shooting from 3 (62.5% eFG%)

Offensive Rebounds

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FT Made FT Att FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast Ast
%
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt) FGM FGA FG
%
eFG%
Gonzaga Offensive Rebounds 357 1.224 437 115 153 75.2% 11 29 37.9% 37 89 41.6% 74 113 65.5% 35 9.8% 48 29.4% 17 2 29 163 271 60.1% 67.0%
Opponents of Gonzaga Offensive Rebounds 271 0.863 234 61 102 59.8% 11 43 25.6% 13 55 23.6% 51 77 66.2% 35 12.9% 21 24.7% 7 3 11 85 200 42.5% 45.8%
Florida State Offensive Rebounds 345 1.125 388 97 160 60.6% 13 40 32.5% 31 64 48.4% 75 111 67.6% 29 8.4% 41 29.1% 15 2 24 141 264 53.4% 59.3%
Opponents of Florida State Offensive Rebounds 344 0.980 337 64 130 49.2% 30 58 51.7% 25 69 36.2% 74 101 73.3% 38 11.0% 33 27.7% 6 7 20 119 257 46.3% 51.2%
Database Total Offensive Rebounds 14225 1.039 14781 3642 5906 61.7% 748 2062 36.3% 1068 2819 37.9% 2797 3996 70.0% 1573 11.1% 1657 30.4% 543 222 892 5458 10787 50.6% 55.5%

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts FG
%
eFG
%
Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FTM FTA FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast
(Tot)
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt)
Gonzaga Total 357 1.224 437 60.1% 67.0% 115 153 75.2% 11 29 37.9% 37 89 41.6% 74 113 65.5% 35 9.8% 48 29.4% 17 2
Johnathan Williams Offensive Rebounds 53 1.113 59 61.8% 61.8% 19 25 76.0% 2 8 25.0% 0 1 0.0% 17 27 63.0% 4 7.5% 3 0 1 2
Corey Kispert Offensive Rebounds 42 1.262 53 52.8% 62.5% 11 16 68.8% 1 2 50.0% 7 18 38.9% 8 12 66.7% 2 4.8% 1 1 0 0
Josh Perkins Offensive Rebounds 39 1.000 39 50.0% 61.7% 5 8 62.5% 3 5 60.0% 7 17 41.2% 2 2 100.0% 5 12.8% 14 7 0 7
Killian Tillie Offensive Rebounds 38 1.263 48 61.3% 64.5% 14 19 73.7% 3 5 60.0% 2 7 28.6% 8 10 80.0% 4 10.5% 7 1 0 6
Rui Hachimura Offensive Rebounds 30 1.400 42 61.5% 63.5% 14 21 66.7% 1 4 25.0% 1 1 100.0% 9 11 81.8% 2 6.7% 1 0 0 1
Silas Melson Offensive Rebounds 26 1.538 40 72.2% 88.9% 7 7 100.0% 0 1 0.0% 6 10 60.0% 8 11 72.7% 2 7.7% 9 4 0 5
Corey Kispert Offensive Rebounds 22 1.045 23 43.8% 56.3% 3 4 75.0% 0 1 0.0% 4 11 36.4% 5 6 83.3% 3 13.6% 6 2 0 4
Jacob Larsen Offensive Rebounds 20 1.150 23 87.5% 87.5% 7 8 87.5% 0 0
0 0 9 16 56.3% 4 20.0% 3 2 0 1
Jeremy Jones Offensive Rebounds 7 1.000 7 100.0% 100.0% 2 2 100.0% 0 0 0 0
3 8 37.5% 0 0.0% 2 0 1 1
Jesse Wade Offensive Rebounds 5 1.200 6 50.0% 75.0% 0 0
0 0 2 4 50.0% 0 0
1 20.0% 0 0 0 0
Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts FG
%
eFG
%
Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FTM FTA FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast
(Tot)
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt)
Florida State Total 345 1.125 388 53.4% 59.3% 97 160 60.6% 13 40 32.5% 31 64 48.4% 75 111 67.6% 29 8.4% 41 29.1% 15 2
Terance Mann Offensive Rebounds 58 1.224 71 57.1% 59.2% 23 35 65.7% 3 9 33.3% 2 5 40.0% 13 16 81.3% 3 5.2% 8 3 0 5
Phil Cofer Offensive Rebounds 43 1.093 47 48.6% 54.3% 11 18 61.1% 2 6 33.3% 4 11 36.4% 9 12 75.0% 3 7.0% 3 1 0 2
Braian Angola Offensive Rebounds 39 0.974 38 43.3% 58.3% 3 7 42.9% 1 4 25.0% 9 19 47.4% 3 4 75.0% 7 17.9% 9 2 1 6
Mfiondu Kabengele Offensive Rebounds 36 0.972 35 43.5% 45.7% 9 17 52.9% 0 5 0.0% 1 1 100.0% 14 22 63.6% 3 8.3% 0 0 0 0
Trent Forrest Offensive Rebounds 33 1.061 35 56.3% 59.4% 8 12 66.7% 0 2 0.0% 1 2 50.0% 16 20 80.0% 2 6.1% 9 3 1 5
Christ Koumadje Offensive Rebounds 28 1.143 32 57.1% 57.1% 10 18 55.6% 2 3 66.7% 0 0
8 13 61.5% 1 3.6% 1 1 0 0
CJ Walker Offensive Rebounds 21 1.143 24 50.0% 63.9% 3 7 42.9% 1 4 25.0% 5 7 71.4% 1 3 33.3% 2 9.5% 3 1 0 2
M.J. Walker Offensive Rebounds 16 1.188 19 46.2% 57.7% 2 4 50.0% 1 2 50.0% 3 7 42.9% 4 4 100.0% 1 6.3% 6 3 0 3
Ike Obiagu Offensive Rebounds 14 0.786 11 62.5% 62.5% 5 8 62.5% 0 0
0 0
1 9 11.1% 2 14.3% 0 0 0 0
PJ Savoy Offensive Rebounds 10 1.600 16 60.0% 80.0% 0 1 0.0% 2 3 66.7% 4 6 66.7% 0 0
1 10.0% 0 0 0 0


  • Gonzaga hold a huge offensive rebounding margin on their opponents. coming in with a 77% defensive rebound percentage to FSU's 32.6% offensive rebound rate, while FSU has allowed a 29.8% offensive rebound rate to Gonzaga's 33.1%.
  • One of these two teams has played: Ray Spalding, the Porter brothers and Jeremiah tilmon, Dewan Huell, Marvin Bagley and Wendell Carter, Luke Maye and Mitchell Solomon. Some good big men on FSU's schedule.
  • People may point to this category as the reason one of these two teams will lose, but I expect this to be a battle that projects well for Gonzaga if the refs get involved and if not, I don't expect the Bulldogs to hit 75% at the rim.
  • A great group of shooting big men for Gonzaga that will make you pay at the line and from kick outs. Because of all the spacing, they are capable passers and things can go downhill in a hurry.
  • I have Johnathan Williams shooting 76% at the rim with a 61.8% FG% leading the Zags on offensive rebounds. Three different players have hit at least 6 threes off offensive rebounds (Cody Krispert, Killian Tillie, and Zach Norvell Jr.)
  • Florida State is led by Terance Mann's 59.2% eFG% and 65.7% shooting at the rim. He also has improved his FT% to 81.3% in this time frame. That's important for closing out winning possessions.
  • By comparison, FSU only has one player to hit more than 6 threes over the course of a season off offensive rebounds. (Braian Angola with 9, followed by CJ Walker at 5)

Possessions by Possession Start (After an Opponent Score, Defensive Rebound, Deadball Turnover or Steal)

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FT Made FT Att FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast Ast
%
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt) FGM FGA FG
%
eFG%
Florida State Total 2163 1.095 2368 497 821 60.5% 118 336 35.1% 219 644 34.0% 481 704 68.3% 387 17.9% 429 51.4% 214 35 180 834 1801 46.3% 52.4%
Florida State Defensive Rebounds 769 1.055 811 161 273 59.0% 36 101 35.6% 80 244 32.8% 177 239 74.1% 131 17.0% 148 53.4% 70 13 65 277 618 44.8% 51.3%
Florida State Opponent Scores 971 1.083 1052 196 346 56.6% 62 172 36.0% 104 299 34.8% 224 340 65.9% 184 18.9% 174 48.1% 72 17 85 362 817 44.3% 50.7%
Florida State Steals 207 1.386 287 93 117 79.5% 6 19 31.6% 15 48 31.3% 44 65 67.7% 24 11.6% 63 55.3% 50 2 11 114 184 62.0% 66.0%
Florida State Dead Ball Turnovers 216 0.995 215 46 84 54.8% 14 42 33.3% 20 51 39.2% 35 59 59.3% 48 22.2% 44 55.0% 22 3 19 80 177 45.2% 50.8%
Opponents of FSU Total 2168 1.029 2231 359 703 51.1% 167 438 38.1% 250 678 36.9% 429 597 71.9% 423 19.5% 373 48.1% 143 41 189 776 1819 42.7% 49.5%
Opponents of FSU Defensive Rebounds 723 1.047 757 123 243 50.6% 55 147 37.4% 89 237 37.6% 134 187 71.7% 124 17.2% 134 50.2% 51 14 69 267 627 42.6% 49.7%
Opponents of FSU Opponent Scores 1056 1.004 1060 149 313 47.6% 95 242 39.3% 122 318 38.4% 206 293 70.3% 210 19.9% 174 47.5% 59 24 91 366 873 41.9% 48.9%
Opponents of FSU Steals 172 1.163 200 49 76 64.5% 5 12 41.7% 15 49 30.6% 47 62 75.8% 37 21.5% 32 46.4% 20 1 11 69 137 50.4% 55.8%
Opponents of FSU
Dead Ball Turnovers
217 0.945 205 38 71 53.5% 12 37 32.4% 23 72 31.9% 36 48 75.0% 51 23.5% 32 43.8% 13 2 17 73 180 40.6% 46.9%

Team P
o
s
s
P
P
P
Pts Rim Made Rim Att Rim % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att 2ptJ % 3pt Made 3pt Att 3pt
%
FT Made FT Att FT
%
TO TO
%
Ast Ast
%
Ast
(Rim)
Ast (2ptJ) Ast (3pt) FGM FGA FG
%
eFG%
Gonzaga Total 2171 1.200 2605 544 823 66.1% 138 339 40.7% 270 754 35.8% 431 601 71.7% 346 15.9% 483 50.7% 228 47 208 952 1916 49.7% 56.7%
Gonzaga Defensive Rebounds 854 1.210 1033 197 312 63.1% 53 131 40.5% 119 322 37.0% 176 239 73.6% 133 15.6% 191 51.8% 82 17 92 369 765 48.2% 56.0%
Gonzaga Opponent Scores 934 1.146 1070 217 331 65.6% 70 161 43.5% 110 320 34.4% 166 244 68.0% 146 15.6% 202 50.9% 94 24 84 397 812 48.9% 55.7%
Gonzaga Steals 202 1.446 292 77 105 73.3% 9 17 52.9% 22 52 42.3% 54 68 79.4% 27 13.4% 50 46.3% 28 3 19 108 174 62.1% 68.4%
Gonzaga Dead Ball Turnovers 181 1.088 197 53 72 73.6% 6 30 20.0% 19 59 32.2% 22 35 62.9% 40 22.1% 40 51.3% 24 3 13 78 161 48.4% 54.3%
Opponents of Gonzaga Total 2184 0.957 2089 341 683 49.9% 174 487 35.7% 221 644 34.3% 396 553 71.6% 384 17.6% 332 45.1% 106 51 175 736 1814 40.6% 46.7%
Opponents of Gonzaga Defensive Rebounds 692 0.967 669 110 221 49.8% 48 135 35.6% 71 198 35.9% 140 194 72.2% 123 17.8% 117 51.1% 42 15 60 229 554 41.3% 47.7%
Opponents of Gonzaga Opponent Scores 1144 0.957 1095 176 343 51.3% 96 266 36.1% 117 339 34.5% 200 276 72.5% 203 17.7% 164 42.2% 52 26 86 389 948 41.0% 47.2%
Opponents of Gonzaga Steals 155 0.923 143 28 58 48.3% 8 32 25.0% 16 50 32.0% 23 33 69.7% 25 16.1% 20 38.5% 5 2 13 52 140 37.1% 42.9%
Opponents of Gonzaga
Dead Ball Turnovers
193 0.902 174 26 60 43.3% 21 53 39.6% 17 56 30.4% 29 45 64.4% 31 16.1% 30 46.9% 7 7 16 64 169 37.9% 42.9%

After Opponent Scores

  • Gonzaga does not use many of their shots after opponent scores but if they do it's usually because they have found a 3 point shot they like with 40.5% shoot beyond the arc (60.8%, eFG%)
  • The Bulldogs also turn it over 22.5% of the time to try to get the quick shot. Not a very effective transition attack here, but who needs that when you just work the ball into the post and finish at a 66% shooting rate over the final 20+ seconds of possessions.
  • Christ Koumadje has not quite lived up to his reputation, but Ike Obiagu has continued to show he is a force when on the court. Not to mention the very active defense by Kabengele has been an asset against other teams.
  • FSU leads off possessions after opponent scores with shooting from distance 42.2% shooting beyond the arc (63.3% eFG%) and points at the rim (33/55, 60%) with a relatively acceptable 16.6% TO rate
  • This is where FSU also picks up 54.5% of their offensive rebounds durings possessions after the opponent scores. It is also the area where Gonzaga allows the most offensive rebounds and highest percentage at the rim on offensive rebounds (70%)

After Defensive Rebounds

  • 28 of 33 (85%) transition threes were assisted for FSU, 38 of 46 (83%)
  • Over half of FSU's possessions after defensive rebounds are transition possessions (53% Transition, 1.000 PPP, Gonzaga: 47% Transition,1.007 PPP)
  • The difference is simply a massive advantage in efficiency at the rim and an increase in three point shooting attempts at a 37% clip for Gonzaga (55.5% eFG%, FSU: 32.3% 3p%, 48.4% eFG%)

I skipped the steals and turnovers categories because their shot charts are only mildly more useful than the tables.

Gonzaga in Losses

  • So how do you beat Gonzaga? Turn them over, defend the three point line and hope the Bulldogs miss.
  • Hold them to a low efficiency or volume at the rim and don't let them get to the line 22+ times
  • Opponents shot 45.2% from 3 overall in their losses,.while Gonzaga shot 30.7%.

Not super high level analysis, the analytics generally favor the Zags, but the resume does not have the wins you would expect from a 4 seed. I did a quick analysis for how long possessions were within a ten point margin for FSU and Gonzaga.

FSU had 1567 possessions in such scenarios and Gonzaga had roughly 1200 possessions in such scenarios.

Across the database of primarily power 5 teams and other teams in the tournament , 67% of all possessions fit that description.

55% competitive for Gonzaga, 72% competitive for FSU. There's a few ways you can use this poorly by neglecting the full context.

So if you're looking for a sound byte that's technically true but also means very little...

"Gonzaga blew out the teams they were supposed to blow out. They can only only play their schedule bro"

FSU was in games way longer than they ought to be or they were not in dominant footing in games for long stretches. "This FSU team just doesn't have what it takes to put teams away early"

Gonzaga has been in fewer tough games for long stretches, FSU's gonna wear them out "FSU has such good depth, the boys are gonna run them out the gym in the second half"

"They're NOT BATTLE TESTED! AYE SEE SEE"

"C'MON THEY LOST TO A BASEBALL SCHOOL"

Turn them over and block some of those shots at the rim. Sprinkle in some efficient shooting and offer some adversity. See what happens. I get the same as Ken Pom from the numbers (-6), but damn the numbers.

Prove it



I'm outta here.


Oh, don't worry about this chart.

Fine:

  • Gonzaga shot 57% eFG% in wins (66% at the rim, 36% from 3, 1.201 PPP)
  • Their opponents shot 50% at the rim, and 34% from 3 for 46.3% eFG% (0.952 PPP)

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