FanPost

Situational Box Score - Louisville Pt. 3

Florida State Poss % of All Poss Rim Made Rim Att % Rim Pts % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att % 2ptJ Pts % 3pt Made 3pt Att % 3pt Pts % FT Made FT Att % FT Pts % TOs TO % Pts % of Total Pts PPP FG% eFG% TS%
All Possessions 83 100.0% 15 29 51.7% 40.5% 4 12 33.3% 10.8% 8 20 40.0% 32.4% 12 21 57.1% 16.2% 13 15.7% 74 100.0% 0.892 44.3% 50.8% 47.6%
All Initial FGA 69 83.1% 10 21 47.6% 33.9% 2 9 22.2% 6.8% 8 19 42.1% 40.7% 11 19 57.9% 18.6% 12 17.4% 59 79.7% 0.855 40.8% 49.0% 45.6%
Transition 27 32.5% 4 9 44.4% 36.4% 1 2 50.0% 9.1% 2 10 20.0% 27.3% 6 10 60.0% 27.3% 2 7.4% 22 29.7% 0.815 33.3% 38.1% 41.9%
Mid-Clock 31 37.3% 6 10 60.0% 36.4% 1 6 16.7% 6.1% 5 6 83.3% 45.5% 4 7 57.1% 12.1% 6 19.4% 33 44.6% 1.065 54.5% 65.9% 55.2%
Late Clock 11 13.3% 0 2 0.0% 0.0% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 1 3 33.3% 75.0% 1 2 50.0% 25.0% 4 36.4% 4 5.4% 0.364 16.7% 25.0% 25.0%
Total Off Reb 14 16.9% 5 8 62.5% 66.7% 2 3 66.7% 26.7% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 1 2 50.0% 6.7% 1 7.1% 15 20.3% 1.071 58.3% 58.3% 57.1%

Louisville Poss % of All Poss Rim Made Rim Att % Rim Pts % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att % 2ptJ Pts % 3pt Made 3pt Att % 3pt Pts % FT Made FT Att % FT Pts % TOs TO % Pts % of Total Pts PPP FG% eFG% TS%
All Possessions 80 100.0% 9 21 42.9% 22.0% 13 26 50.0% 31.7% 10 16 62.5% 36.6% 8 15 53.3% 9.8% 9 11.3% 82 100.0% 1.025 50.8% 58.7% 51.3%
All Initial FGA 68 85.0% 9 20 45.0% 26.9% 9 18 50.0% 26.9% 8 14 57.1% 35.8% 7 13 53.8% 10.4% 9 13.2% 67 81.7% 0.985 50.0% 57.7% 50.8%
Transition 19 23.8% 3 4 75.0% 27.3% 1 3 33.3% 9.1% 3 6 50.0% 40.9% 5 7 71.4% 22.7% 2 10.5% 22 26.8% 1.158 53.8% 65.4% 60.0%
Mid-Clock 23 28.8% 4 9 44.4% 36.4% 3 4 75.0% 27.3% 2 4 50.0% 27.3% 2 4 50.0% 9.1% 4 17.4% 22 26.8% 0.957 52.9% 58.8% 52.4%
Late Clock 26 32.5% 2 7 28.6% 17.4% 5 11 45.5% 43.5% 3 4 75.0% 39.1% 0 2 0.0% 0.0% 3 11.5% 23 28.0% 0.885 45.5% 52.3% 41.7%
Total Off Reb 12 15.0% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 4 8 50.0% 53.3% 2 2 100.0% 40.0% 1 2 50.0% 6.7% 0 0.0% 15 18.3% 1.250 54.5% 63.6% 53.8%

A noon game loss to a Louisville team is nothing to get too upset about in a vacuum, especially to one motivated by the possibility of not being invited to the dance. It was how this game went down in a predictable fashion that is troubling. Consider this exchange from the game preview thread that laid out some of the pitfalls to avoid:

Matt's comments about Louisville's three point shooters proved to be undeniably the downfall of the Florida State defense in this game.

  • Louisville shot 3 of 6 on three pointers in transition and 22 total points in transition (28% of all possessions, 3/4 at the rim, 3/6 3pt, 5/7 FTs, 2 TO's on 19 possessions)
  • Louisville hit 3 of 4 three pointers on their first attempt of a late clock possession while also adding another 2/2 triples during offensive rebound possessions.
  • Louisville managed to snag 12 offensive rebounds and scored 15 points on those possessions while only taking one shot at the rim. (0/1 at the rim, 4/8 from mid-range, 2/2 from distance, 1/2 from the line)
  • Florida State grabbed 14 offensive rebounds for 15 points (5/8 at the rim, 2/3 from mid-range, 0/1 from distance and 1/2 FTs with a TO)
  • Steals were not the biggest factor in the game, though Louisville got 6 points off steals and another 8 points off 7 dead ball turnovers.
  • FSU only managed 4 steals, from which they were able to get 4 points and another 5 dead ball turnovers from which they only managed 2 points (while taking 3 mid range jumpers and no shots at the rim).

While FSU was actually fairly successful with bringing the ball up the court without turning it over, this Louisville team still managed to turn FSU over on 18.8% of their possessions, compared to the Louisville defensive average of 19.1%. I think it's safe to say this game did not go very far off this pre-game riff. Oh and spoiler, I finally recategorized the turnovers to split into live ball turnovers (steals) and deadball turnovers (turnovers)

Florida State by Possession Category (Conventional Possessions)
Florida State Poss % of All Poss Rim Made Rim Att % Rim Pts % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att % 2ptJ Pts % 3pt Made 3pt Att % 3pt Pts % FT Made FT Att % FT Pts % TOs TO % Pts % of Total Pts PPP FG% eFG% TS%
Total OppScore 39 56.5% 8 14 57.1% 34.8% 3 8 37.5% 13.0% 5 10 50.0% 32.6% 9 16 56.3% 19.6% 8 20.5% 46 62.2% 1.179 50.0% 57.8% 52.1%
OppScore - Transition 10 14.5% 1 3 33.3% 25.0% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 1 3 33.3% 37.5% 3 5 60.0% 37.5% 1 10.0% 8 10.8% 0.800 28.6% 35.7% 41.7%
OppScore - Mid-Clock 20 29.0% 6 7 85.7% 42.9% 1 4 25.0% 7.1% 3 4 75.0% 32.1% 5 9 55.6% 17.9% 4 20.0% 28 37.8% 1.400 66.7% 76.7% 62.5%
OppScore - Late Clock 9 13.0% 1 4 25.0% 20.0% 2 3 66.7% 40.0% 1 3 33.3% 30.0% 1 2 50.0% 10.0% 3 33.3% 10 13.5% 1.111 40.0% 45.0% 41.7%
Total Def Reb 21 30.4% 4 11 36.4% 44.4% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 3 8 37.5% 50.0% 1 3 33.3% 5.6% 3 14.3% 18 24.3% 0.857 35.0% 42.5% 34.8%
Def Reb - Transition 12 17.4% 2 5 40.0% 50.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 5 20.0% 37.5% 1 3 33.3% 12.5% 1 8.3% 8 10.8% 0.667 30.0% 35.0% 30.8%
Def Reb - Mid-Clock 8 11.6% 2 6 33.3% 40.0% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 2 3 66.7% 60.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 12.5% 10 13.5% 1.250 40.0% 50.0% 40.0%
Def Reb - Late Clock 1 1.4% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 100.0% 0 0.0% 0.000 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total Turnovers 5 7.2% 1 1 100.0% 50.0% 1 3 33.3% 50.0% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 20.0% 4 5.4% 0.800 40.0% 40.0% 40.0%
TO - Transition 2 2.9% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 1 100.0% 100.0% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 2 2.7% 1.000 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%
TO - Mid-Clock 3 4.3% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 2 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 33.3% 0 0.0% 0.000 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TO - Late Clock 0 0.0% 1 1 100.0% 100.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 2 2.7% 0.000 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Total Steals 4 5.8% 2 3 66.7% 66.7% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 2 2 100.0% 33.3% 1 25.0% 6 8.1% 1.500 50.0% 50.0% 66.7%
Steals - Transition 3 4.3% 1 1 100.0% 50.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 2 2 100.0% 50.0% 0 0.0% 4 5.4% 1.333 50.0% 50.0% 75.0%
Steals - Mid-Clock 0 0.0% 1 1 100.0% 100.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 2 2.7% 0.000 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Steals - Late Clock 1 1.4% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 100.0% 0 0.0% 0.000 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
All Possessions 69 100.0% 15 29 51.7% 40.5% 4 12 33.3% 10.8% 8 20 40.0% 32.4% 12 21 57.1% 16.2% 13 18.8% 74 100.0% 1.072 44.3% 50.8% 47.6%
Total Transition 27 39.1% 4 9 44.4% 36.4% 1 2 50.0% 9.1% 2 10 20.0% 27.3% 6 10 60.0% 27.3% 2 7.4% 22 29.7% 0.815 33.3% 38.1% 41.9%
Total Mid-Clock 31 44.9% 9 14 64.3% 45.0% 1 7 14.3% 5.0% 5 7 71.4% 37.5% 5 9 55.6% 12.5% 6 19.4% 40 54.1% 1.290 53.6% 62.5% 54.1%
Total Late Offense 11 15.9% 2 6 33.3% 33.3% 2 3 66.7% 33.3% 1 3 33.3% 25.0% 1 2 50.0% 8.3% 5 45.5% 12 16.2% 1.091 41.7% 45.8% 42.9%

For Reference: Season Situational Box Score after BC, Player Situational Box Scores after BC

  • FSU picked up 40.5% of their points at the rim at 51.7% shooting (Season average: 42.3% of all points, Season average: 60.7% FG% at the Rim),
  • Florida State earned 32.4% of all their points from beyond the arc at 40.0% shooting or 60% eFG%(Season average: 28.2% of all points, Season Average: 34% FG%, 51% eFG% from distance)

I mention this because FSU chose to get shots at the rim 29 times in a 69 possession game during a game where they were trailing by more than a dozen for most of the game. The Noles left a lot of points at the stripe with a 12/21 performance at the line when they did manage to get the call on a drive. There's some basic math that just immediately points to there being few likely outcomes where FSU could walk out of this game with a win while utilizing this strategy (especially due to the Louisville defense and the whistles not working for much of this game.) I'm not saying it is the wrong strategy in general to try to earn points at the rack through easy shots and free throws, it just was not going to work like that in the context of this game.

Louisville Poss % of All Poss Rim Made Rim Att % Rim Pts % 2ptJ Made 2ptJ Att % 2ptJ Pts % 3pt Made 3pt Att % 3pt Pts % FT Made FT Att % FT Pts % TOs TO % Pts % of Total Pts PPP FG% eFG% TS%
Total OppScore 30 44.1% 3 8 37.5% 18.2% 7 13 53.8% 42.4% 3 4 75.0% 27.3% 4 6 66.7% 12.1% 4 13.3% 33 40.2% 1.100 52.0% 58.0% 54.8%
OppScore - Transition 1 1.5% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 2 2 100.0% 100.0% 0 0.0% 2 2.4% 2.000 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
OppScore - Mid-Clock 13 19.1% 1 4 25.0% 16.7% 3 4 75.0% 50.0% 1 2 50.0% 25.0% 1 2 50.0% 8.3% 2 15.4% 12 14.6% 0.923 50.0% 55.0% 50.0%
OppScore - Late Clock 16 23.5% 2 4 50.0% 21.1% 4 9 44.4% 42.1% 2 2 100.0% 31.6% 1 2 50.0% 5.3% 2 12.5% 19 23.2% 1.188 53.3% 60.0% 52.9%
Total Def Reb 25 36.8% 2 7 28.6% 13.3% 4 8 50.0% 26.7% 5 10 50.0% 50.0% 3 7 42.9% 10.0% 3 12.0% 30 36.6% 1.200 44.0% 54.0% 43.8%
Def Reb - Transition 12 17.6% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 1 2 50.0% 18.2% 2 5 40.0% 54.5% 3 5 60.0% 27.3% 1 8.3% 11 13.4% 0.917 37.5% 50.0% 46.2%
Def Reb - Mid-Clock 6 8.8% 2 4 50.0% 36.4% 2 4 50.0% 36.4% 1 2 50.0% 27.3% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 16.7% 11 13.4% 1.833 50.0% 55.0% 50.0%
Def Reb - Late Clock 7 10.3% 0 2 0.0% 0.0% 1 2 50.0% 25.0% 2 3 66.7% 75.0% 0 2 0.0% 0.0% 1 14.3% 8 9.8% 1.143 42.9% 57.1% 33.3%
Total Turnovers 7 10.3% 1 2 50.0% 15.4% 2 4 50.0% 30.8% 2 2 100.0% 46.2% 1 2 50.0% 7.7% 1 14.3% 13 15.9% 1.857 62.5% 75.0% 60.0%
TO - Transition 2 2.9% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 2 0.0% 0.0% 1 1 100.0% 100.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 3 3.7% 1.500 33.3% 50.0% 33.3%
TO - Mid-Clock 3 4.4% 1 1 100.0% 40.0% 1 1 100.0% 40.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 2 50.0% 20.0% 1 33.3% 5 6.1% 1.667 100.0% 100.0% 75.0%
TO - Late Clock 2 2.9% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 1 1 100.0% 40.0% 1 1 100.0% 60.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 5 6.1% 2.500 66.7% 83.3% 66.7%
Total Steals 6 8.8% 3 4 75.0% 100.0% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 16.7% 6 7.3% 1.000 60.0% 60.0% 60.0%
Steals - Transition 4 5.9% 3 3 100.0% 100.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 1 25.0% 6 7.3% 1.500 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Steals - Mid-Clock 1 1.5% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.000 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Steals - Late Clock 1 1.5% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 1 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.000 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
All Possessions 68 100.0% 9 21 42.9% 22.0% 13 26 50.0% 31.7% 10 16 62.5% 36.6% 8 15 53.3% 9.8% 9 13.2% 82 100.0% 1.206 50.8% 58.7% 51.3%
Total Transition 19 27.9% 3 4 75.0% 27.3% 1 4 25.0% 9.1% 3 6 50.0% 40.9% 5 7 71.4% 22.7% 2 10.5% 22 26.8% 1.158 50.0% 60.7% 57.1%
Total Mid-Clock 23 33.8% 4 10 40.0% 28.6% 6 9 66.7% 42.9% 2 4 50.0% 21.4% 2 4 50.0% 7.1% 4 17.4% 28 34.1% 1.217 52.2% 56.5% 51.9%
Total Late Offense 26 38.2% 2 7 28.6% 12.5% 6 13 46.2% 37.5% 5 6 83.3% 46.9% 1 4 25.0% 3.1% 3 11.5% 32 39.0% 1.231 50.0% 59.6% 46.7%


Louisville shot 9/21 at the rim for 43% FG% and 22% of their points (Season Average: 61.6% FG%, Season Average: 37.1% of all points... oh and yeah, I totally did season long charts for every opponent that would have been on our schedule in the the ACC tournament)

The Cardinals earned 37% of their points from beyond the arc while shooting 10/16 from 3 point range or 62.5% FG% and 93.8% eFG% (that's a high percentage, Season Average: 37.4% FG% or 56.1% eFG%. Season Average: 30.3% of all points)

I'm gonna try to keep this shorter, but if you've got any questions, comments, or suggestions, feel free to add them below. I have updated player tables as well, but I'm re-working them a little to bring in some additional stats so I'll get that out in another post.

You can follow me on twitter:

Fanposts are a section for the fans and do NOT reflect the views of Tomahawk Nation.