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Nolecast preview: Florida at Florida State

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The Nolecast breaks down FSU and Florida.

Bud Elliott and Ingram Smith return with a Nolecast breaking down Florida at FSU. The Nolecast is the No. 1 Florida State Seminoles podcast.

Listen in the player below this article, or on Apple Podcasts (iTunes), Stitcher, or Google Play Music

Show notes are as follows, roughly in order

Show outline as follows, roughly. And if you want, we also included the Tuesday Nolecast in the player below. The preview notes are included. They are the shorthand we use to guide the show, and not intended as paragraph form.

  • UF by 6, Over/Under of 51
  • Bowl streak

Florida offense against FSU defense are two evenly matched units.

QB

  • Feleipe Franks. 58% passer. Doesn’t connect on deep balls very often. Also rarely gets sacked. Gets rid of it quickly. Is a run threat now. Big battering ram who can fall forward.

RBs

  • Lamical Perine is a tough runner.
  • Jordan Scarlett is a HR threat with some size.
  • Kadarius Toney is a swiss army knife who can run and also catch out of the backfield well.

WR/TE

  • Van Jefferson is by far their top WR. Ole Miss transfer. Excellent route runner.
  • Josh Hammond is the No. 2. Solid.
  • Freddie Swain, when healthy, was coming on.

OL

  • Good, with several future pros in Jawan Taylor and Martez Ivey

Scheme: Multiple spread, moderate tempo.

Objective: Don’t die a slow death. Dare UF to create big plays. Why?

  • UF is 16th in efficiency, but 96th in explosiveness. This is a team very comfortable marching for long, sustained drives. But they are one of the least explosive teams FSU has played. UF is shockingly not very explosive with the run or pass.
  • Sell out to stop the short stuff, make UF execute the hard stuff.
  • This plan fits what FSU does well on defense.

FSU O v. UF D

  • This is the big mismatch. 106th rated O v. 29th rated defense.

DL is strong

  • DE Jachai Polite is excellent. Other DE Jabari Zuniga is good. Their DTs aren’t great, but FSU’s guards are bad, so…

LB

  • Linebackers Joseph and Reece are solid against the run, but struggle in zone pass coverage. Discipline is lacking, aggressiveness is not.

DBs are a good group.

  • CB Chris Henderson is excellent
  • Teams pick on C.J. McWilliams whenever he is in the game.
  • Will Chauncey Gardner tackle in space?

Contrast in styles.

  • UF is one of the best success rate defenses in the nation. FSU is one of the worst success rate offenses.
  • But, FSU is one of the most explosive offenses in the nation, and UF does give up some of those.

This will be a battle of explosive plays. FSU can’t sustain drives, so it needs to hit explosives. FSU will look to deny methodical drives by Florida, so can the Gators take advantage and hit explosive plays.

Predictions.