FSU football’s offseason odds: Win-total, championship odds, Heisman, conference favorites

For the first time in a long time, expectations in Tallahassee have risen to “in the title mix” levels — with plenty of justification as to why.

The hype around Florida State Seminole football for 2023 has been real ever since head coach Mike Norvell’s Seminoles began returning the bulk of its 10-win team, bringing back 79% percent of its 2022 production which includes Heisman Trophy-contending quarterback Jordan Travis, star running back Trey Benson, veteran leader defensive tackle Fabien Lovett, potential top 10 pick defensive end Jared Verse and many, many others.

Since then, they’ve added and upgraded through the transfer portal, bringing in names like wide receiver Keon Coleman, defensive back Fentrell Cypress, tight end Jaheim Bell, defensive lineman Braden Fiske, offensive tackle Jeremiah Byers — and also many, many others.

Vegas has reflected those expectations in its offseason odds so far, with Florida State a trendy pick to reach lofty goals across the board.

Below, we’ve compiled a look at where FSU currently sits in the eyes of Vegas, alongside a comparison of other teams and their outlook. We’ll be updating these odds periodically as the season approaches closer.

(All odds are according to DraftKings.)

2023 Florida State football schedule

Sunday, September 3: LSU Tigers (Orlando)

Vegas Pick: LSU -2.5 (-110)

Over, under: 55.5 (-110)

Moneyline: LSU -142, FSU +120

Last matchup: FSU win, 24-23

Saturday, September 9: Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, September 16: at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, September 23: at Clemson Tigers

Vegas Pick: Clemson -3

Last matchup: Clemson win, 34-28

Saturday, September 30: BYE

Saturday, October 7: Virginia Tech Hokies

Saturday, October 14: Syracuse Orange

Saturday, October 21: Duke Blue Devils

Saturday, October 28: at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Saturday, November 4: at Pittsburgh Panthers

Saturday, November 11: Miami Hurricanes

Vegas Pick: FSU -15

Last matchup: FSU win, 45-3

Saturday, November 18: North Alabama Lions

Saturday, November 25: at Florida Gators

Vegas Pick: FSU -9

Last matchup: FSU win, 45-38

2023 Florida State Seminoles odds: ACC Championship, national championship, Heisman, win total

Regular season wins

Odds:

Florida State, over 10 wins: +130

Florida State, under 10 wins: -150

In comparison:

Florida, over 5.5 wins: -120

Florida, under 5.5 wins: +100

Miami, over 7.5 wins: +120

Miami, under 7.5 wins: -140

Clemson, over 10 wins: +105

Clemson, under 10 wins: -125

Exact season wins

Odds:

Florida State

• 12: +750
• 11: +275
• 10: +250
• 9: +350
• 8: +700
• 7 or Fewer: +1000

In comparison:

Alabama Crimson Tide

• 12: +380
• 11: +275
• 10: +330
• 9: +450
• 8: +750
• 7 or Fewer: +850

Clemson Tigers

• 12: +500
• 11: +350
• 10: +300
• 9: +400
• 8: +550
• 7 or Fewer: +650

Colorado Buffaloes

• 7 or More: +3500
• 6: +1500
• 5: +700
• 4: +370
• 3: +300
• 2: +350
• 1: +650
• 0: +1800

Florida Gators

• 9 or More: +1800
• 8: +900
• 7: +475
• 6: +320
• 5: +300
• 4: +450
• 3: +1000
• 2 or Fewer: +1000

LSU Tigers

• 12: +850
• 11: +450
• 10: +300
• 9: +275
• 8: +450
• 7 or Fewer: +500

Miami Hurricanes

• 10 or More: +1000
• 9: +600
• 8: +330
• 7: +300
• 6: +400
• 5: +750
• 4: +2000
• 3 or Fewer: +6000

Texas Longhorns

• 12: +750
• 11: +400
• 10: +300
• 9: +350
• 8: +500
• 7 or Fewer: +550

Texas A&M Aggies

• 11 or More: +2500
• 10: +950
• 9: +475
• 8: +300
• 7: +320
• 6: +450
• 5: +1000
• 4 or Fewer: +2200

To win the ACC Championship

Odds:

Florida State: +150

In comparison:

Clemson: +145

North Carolina: +1000

Miami: +2000

To win the national championship

Odds:

Florida State: +2000

In comparison:

Georgia: +215

Alabama: +600

Ohio State: +650

Michigan: +800

LSU: +1100

USC: +1600

Clemson: +1800

Miami: +15000

Florida: +20000

To make playoff

Odds:

Florida State: +320 odds to make it, -425 to not make it

In comparison:

• Georgia: -250 to make it, +200 to miss
• Clemson: +320 to make it, -425 to miss
• LSU: +370 to make it, -500 to miss
• Michigan: +105 to make it, -135 to miss
• Ohio State: -125 to make it, -105 to miss
• USC: +260 to make it, -340 to miss

To have undefeated regular season

Odds:

FSU: Yes (+750), No (-1200)

In comparison:

Clemson: Yes (+500), No (-700)

Ohio State: Yes (+340), No (-425)

Alabama: Yes (+380), No (-475)

Michigan: Yes (+330), No (-400)

USC : Yes (+600), No (-900)

LSU: Yes (+850), No (-1400)

Heisman Trophy winner

Odds:

Jordan Travis, Florida State quarterback: +1400

In comparison:

Caleb Williams, USC quarterback: +550

Quinn Ewers, Texas Longhorns quarterback: +1200

Jayden Daniels, LSU Tigers quarterback: +1200

Cade Klubnik, Clemson Tigers quarterback: +1400

Drake Maye, UNC quarterback: +1600

Michael Penix Jr., Washington Huskies quarterback: +1600

Sam Hartman, Notre Dame quarterback: +1600

Trey Benson, Florida State running back: +15000